Daniel Hernandez

C FCL Nationals

Age 19 L/R 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #919MiLBFA 2037

ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKWSH	148	.225/.277/.275	0	3	-2	—	.143/.189/.171
2026	18	ROKWSH	84	.190/.238/.215	0	0	-12	—	.138/.179/.150
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBWSH	194	.226/.276/.299	1	2	62	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBWSH	57	.229/.282/.310	1	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBWSH	148	.232/.286/.321	2	2	72	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

K%79

Whiff%69

Z-Con%53

Chase%9

ISO5

Max EV1

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsNolan Beltran (age 19) · James Beresford (age 20) · Sergio Burruel (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .274 / .297

PA76

HR1

K%24

BB%6

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	148	138	31	7	0	0	8	16	2	3	2	225	277	275	552	51	254	11	5	255	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	84	79	15	2	0	0	4	13	1	0	0	190	238	215	453	25	227	15	5	213	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	148	140	20	4	0	0	6	20	2	3	2	143	189	171	361	29	169	14	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	84	80	11	1	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	138	179	150	329	12	182	23	4	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	148	140	20	4	0	0	6	20	2	3	2	143	189	171	361	29	167	14	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	148	138	31	7	0	0	8	16	2	3	2	225	277	275	552	51	254	11	5	255	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	84	80	11	1	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	138	179	150	329	12	180	23	4	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	84	79	15	2	0	0	4	13	1	0	0	190	238	215	453	25	227	15	5	213	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	148	139	20	4	0	0	6	20	2	3	2	144	189	173	362	29	169	14	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	84	80	11	1	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	138	179	150	329	12	182	23	4	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	148	139	20	4	0	0	6	20	2	3	2	144	189	173	362	29	169	14	4	165	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	84	80	11	1	0	0	3	19	1	0	0	138	179	150	329	12	182	23	4	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	194	179	40	7	1	1	11	46	2	2	1	226	276	299	575	74	293	24	6	261	62	-9	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	167	153	36	6	1	2	10	39	2	2	1	229	282	312	594	83	295	23	6	269	68	-6	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	WSH	48%	306	282	66	11	2	4	18	71	3	4	2	232	287	323	610	91	296	23	6	275	72	-10	+0	-3	+5	+7	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	WSH	54%	409	376	88	15	2	6	25	95	5	6	2	235	290	332	622	98	296	23	6	280	76	-12	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	478	440	104	18	3	7	30	110	5	6	3	237	293	340	633	103	297	23	6	285	79	-12	+0	-3	+9	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	520	476	113	20	3	8	33	119	6	7	3	238	296	346	642	108	297	23	6	288	81	-12	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	520	476	114	20	3	9	33	119	6	7	3	239	296	347	644	109	298	23	6	289	82	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	WSH	56%	520	476	114	20	3	9	33	119	6	7	3	239	296	348	644	109	297	23	6	289	82	-11	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	520	476	114	20	3	9	33	120	6	7	3	238	295	345	640	108	297	23	6	288	81	-12	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.7
2036	28	MLB MLE	WSH	55%	520	477	112	19	3	8	33	121	5	6	3	236	293	341	634	105	296	23	6	285	79	-13	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.5
2037	29	MLB MLE	WSH	53%	520	477	112	19	3	8	33	122	5	5	4	233	290	335	625	101	295	23	6	281	77	-15	-1	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2038	30	MLB MLE	WSH	57%	520	477	110	19	3	7	33	124	5	5	4	230	287	327	614	96	293	24	6	277	73	-16	-1	-4	+9	+11	-0.0
2039	31	MLB MLE	WSH	60%	504	463	105	18	2	7	31	122	5	4	9	226	282	317	599	91	290	24	6	271	69	-18	-3	-5	+9	+11	-0.6
2028	20	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	57	53	12	2	0	1	3	13	1	1	0	229	282	310	591	81	294	23	5	268	68	-2	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	WSH	48%	148	136	33	6	1	2	9	34	2	2	1	232	286	321	607	89	295	23	6	274	72	-5	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	WSH	54%	222	204	47	8	1	3	14	51	2	3	1	234	290	330	620	96	296	23	6	279	76	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	271	249	58	10	1	4	17	62	3	4	1	236	293	338	630	101	296	23	6	284	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	294	270	64	11	1	5	19	67	3	4	2	238	295	344	639	106	297	23	6	287	81	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	294	270	64	11	1	5	19	67	3	4	2	238	296	345	641	107	297	23	6	288	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2034	26	MLB CTX	WSH	56%	294	270	63	11	1	5	19	67	3	4	2	238	296	346	642	108	297	23	6	288	82	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2035	27	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	288	265	62	11	1	5	18	66	3	4	2	237	295	343	638	106	296	23	6	287	81	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	WSH	55%	285	262	62	11	1	5	18	66	3	3	2	235	293	339	632	104	295	23	6	284	79	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2037	29	MLB CTX	WSH	53%	278	255	59	10	1	4	18	65	3	3	2	233	290	333	623	100	294	23	6	281	77	-8	-0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2038	30	MLB CTX	WSH	57%	297	273	63	11	1	4	19	71	3	3	3	230	286	325	612	95	293	24	6	276	73	-9	-1	-2	+5	+6	-0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	WSH	60%	300	275	63	11	1	4	19	73	3	2	5	226	282	316	597	90	290	24	6	270	69	-11	-2	-3	+5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3028	2782	650	113	11	47	192	702	32	37	23	234	291	333	624	99	295	23	6	282	74	-81	-2	-19	+54	+66	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	139	24	2	10	41	151	7	8	5	233	290	330	620	97	294	23	6	282	74	-17	-0	-4	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5812	5340	1235	213	31	85	358	1338	63	70	42	231	287	331	618	99	291	23	6	277	74	-152	-3	-35	+100	+121	3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	138	24	3	10	40	150	7	8	5	231	287	332	618	101	291	23	6	277	74	-18	-0	-4	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#2Nick Hundleylast yr '19 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,373 PA	5.1	3,373	93	15	247	299	405	+60	-31	10.3	10.8
/162	664	18	3	+11.9	-6.0	2.0	pk7: 11
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Cy Perkins'15-'34 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,015 PA	6.0	4,015	30	18	231*	292*	368*	+71	-3	5.9	7.1
/162	664	5	3	+11.8	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 8
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,105	46	37	236	289	337	+55	-14	5.5	5.0
/162	664	10	8	+11.9	-3.0	1.2	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	19	25→60	20→30	40	50	224/274/297	73	293	1	1	24%	6%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nolan Beltran 2024 · A	19	41→49	35→40	43→45	53	192/268/251	60	234	2	7	18%	9%	51	-2.3	199/272/282	83	250	6	6	21%	8%	59	-1.6	203/286/287	84	248	7	4	20%	9%	63	-0.5
✕James Beresford 2009 · A	20	46→56	33→30	42→45	45	213/270/256	43	281	1	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	253/295/293	40	313	1	8	18%	5%	68	-1.0	286/319/337	51	336	1	6	15%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Sergio Burruel 2010 · A	19	45	37→30	45→30	43	214/266/287	73	286	3	6	25%	6%	57	-1.8	206/274/267	61	301	3	4	30%	8%	56	-1.9	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Rossmel Perez 2009 · A	19	44→54	34→30	42→45	53	202/278/255	53	240	1	4	16%	8%	55	-1.9	242/296/300	58	278	3	3	13%	6%	71	-0.8	266/319/325	59	287	3	5	8%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Juan Diaz 2008 · A	19	40→50	35→45	36→45	43	190/250/251	61	261	2	5	27%	6%	43	-2.8	228/266/307	79	303	5	6	25%	5%	61	-1.5	258/295/352	94	339	7	7	25%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Jordan Cowan 2015 · A	20	45→51	36→30	44→50	44	212/265/281	69	279	2	6	24%	6%	55	-2.0	234/282/306	72	307	5	8	24%	6%	67	-1.1	243/291/299	56	317	4	10	23%	6%	67	-0.5
✕Livan Soto 2019 · A	19	46→56	34→40	47→50	50	211/277/260	49	262	1	10	19%	8%	55	-1.9	195/255/257	62	255	4	9	23%	7%	47	-2.6	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Eduardo Guerrero 2024 · A	19	41→51	35→30	44→50	48	192/252/250	58	236	2	7	19%	7%	44	-2.8	203/287/262	59	275	3	9	24%	10%	61	-1.5	212/303/269	57	287	3	10	25%	11%	67	-0.7
✕William Bergolla Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→61	34→30	40→55	56	233/299/285	52	260	2	6	11%	9%	69	-0.9	265/310/326	61	298	2	23	11%	6%	82	-0.0	282/322/337	55	312	1	31	9%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Alberth Palma 2024 · A	18	40→46	36→30	44→55	43	192/242/254	63	253	3	7	25%	6%	40	-3.0	209/283/254	45	257	1	19	17%	8%	57	-1.8	213/298/242	29	264	0	25	17%	10%	58	-0.9
✕Yonny Hernández 2016 · A	18	41→51	34→30	40→60	51	191/278/244	52	247	2	8	22%	9%	53	-2.1	208/291/262	54	250	1	22	15%	9%	62	-1.4	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Aderling Mejia 2011 · A	19	40→50	34→30	44→50	46	189/254/238	49	249	2	11	24%	7%	42	-2.9	220/269/269	49	260	2	11	15%	6%	53	-2.1	261/314/307	45	305	1	19	14%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Emerson Landoni 2008 · A	19	43→53	35→40	45	45	201/274/257	56	276	2	7	26%	7%	54	-2.0	223/278/293	70	290	4	8	23%	6%	63	-1.3	259/302/329	70	307	3	4	16%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Carlos Garay 2014 · A	19	45→55	34→30	42→30	49	205/260/257	51	244	1	3	16%	7%	48	-2.5	198/252/257	59	259	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	296/320/353	57	342	3	1	14%	2%	87	+0.2
✕Roynier Hernandez 2024 · A	19	45→55	34→40	46→50	57	207/291/258	51	247	1	8	16%	10%	61	-1.5	237/303/297	60	304	2	8	21%	9%	74	-0.6	252/319/319	67	324	3	6	21%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Meibrys Viloria 2016 · A	19	45→48	35→45	46→40	49	211/274/263	52	264	3	3	20%	8%	55	-2.0	241/289/346	105	310	8	3	24%	5%	80	-0.2	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	43→53	39→40	39→50	44	205/264/289	84	263	6	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	211/270/305	94	274	8	5	25%	6%	63	-1.3	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Alain Camou 2024 · A	20	46	35→30	44→50	50	215/284/281	66	275	2	7	21%	8%	63	-1.4	198/249/265	67	258	3	5	23%	6%	45	-2.7	142/168/182	41	171	0	0	16%	3%	-6	-1.2
✕Jose Garcia 2007 · A	19	39→49	35→40	41→55	44	184/239/243	59	224	2	8	19%	5%	37	-3.3	203/257/267	64	255	2	11	20%	6%	49	-2.4	253/296/322	69	311	5	22	19%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Herlis Rodriguez 2013 · A	19	40→50	37→45	39→50	42	194/239/265	71	248	4	5	23%	5%	41	-3.0	236/275/327	91	300	7	7	23%	5%	70	-0.9	247/287/347	101	294	10	10	19%	4%	77	-0.1

Daniel Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps