Rainer Marin

P FCL Twins

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 168 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKMIN	11	6	29	6.21	4.48	19.7%	19.7%	—	K 13.4% · BB 24.6% · FIP 5.68
2026	21	MIX2 levels	7	0	8	5.62	4.47	11.9%	16.7%	—	K 11.9% · BB 16.7% · FIP 4.21
2027PROJ	22	MLBMIN	16	0	17	5.63	5.63	21.2%	18.3%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBMIN	12	0	13	5.30	5.17	22.2%	15.5%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJordan Brink (age 23) · Will Varmette (age 21) · Blake Holub (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.63

FIP5.63

K%21.2%

BB%18.3%

K-BB%2.9%

Proj IP17

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	6	29	137	27	27	1	55%	2.6	13.4%	24.6%	-11.2%	1.1%	6.21	5.68	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	11	6	29	137	27	27	1	55%	2.6	13.4%	24.6%	-11.2%	1.1%	6.21	5.68	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	11	6	29	137	27	27	1	55%	2.6	19.7%	19.7%	0.0%	0.7%	6.21	4.48	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	8	42	5	7	0	0%	1.1	11.9%	16.7%	-4.8%	0.0%	5.62	4.21	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	0	8	42	5	7	0	0%	1.1	11.9%	16.7%	-4.8%	0.0%	5.62	4.21	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	0	8	42	5	7	0	0%	1.1	11.9%	16.7%	-4.8%	0.0%	5.62	4.47	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIN	16	0	17	72	15	13	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	18.3%	2.9%	3.0%	5.63	5.63	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	26	0	27	114	25	18	3	0%	1.0	22.2%	15.5%	6.7%	2.9%	5.30	5.17	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	12	0	13	55	12	9	2	0%	1.1	22.2%	15.5%	6.7%	2.9%	5.30	5.17	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	13	56	12	9	2	0%	1.0	22.2%	15.5%	6.7%	2.9%	5.30	4.79	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	135	30	0%	1.1	22.2%	15.5%	6.7%	2.9%	5.30	4.79	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		18	6	37	179	23	41	1	33%	2.1	13.1%	22.8%	-9.7%	0.8%	6.08	5.33	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	32	200	968	126	220	8	33%	2.1	13.1%	22.8%	-9.7%	0.8%	6.08	5.33	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rainer Marin (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.63	21.2%	18.3%	3.0%	—	5.17	22.2%	6.7%	27	-0.46	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	85
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	83
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	82
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	82
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	81
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	81
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	80
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	80
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	79
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	79
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	79
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	79
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	79
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	79
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	78
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	78
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	78
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	78
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	78
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	78