Chung-Hsiang Huang

Chung-Hsiang Huang P Visalia Rawhide

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.7 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111103vR 95

ERA4.09

FIP4.09

K%20.8%

BB%6.2%

K-BB%14.6%

ROS IP48

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 47 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$29M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CMD4560

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$6M	+1.1	$6M	+$2M
2033	Arb-3	$8M	+1.1	$5M	+$1M
Totals		$21M		$28M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	15	68	272	78	15	4	94%	4.3	20.3%	6.8%	13.6%	1.9%	3.56	3.30	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	15	68	272	78	15	4	94%	4.3	20.3%	6.8%	13.6%	1.9%	3.56	3.30	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	15	68	272	78	15	4	94%	4.3	28.7%	5.5%	23.2%	1.5%	3.56	2.24	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	17	14	68	313	56	21	9	82%	4.0	13.2%	7.9%	5.3%	3.7%	6.35	5.04	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	17	14	68	313	56	21	9	82%	4.0	13.2%	7.9%	5.3%	3.7%	6.35	5.04	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	ARI	17	14	68	313	56	21	9	82%	4.0	17.9%	6.7%	11.2%	2.9%	6.35	4.02	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	70	295	63	19	8	100%	5.0	21.4%	6.3%	15.2%	2.8%	4.05	4.02	+0.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	73	310	70	19	9	100%	5.2	22.5%	6.1%	16.4%	2.8%	3.96	3.88	+0.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	76	322	75	19	9	100%	5.4	23.2%	5.9%	17.3%	2.7%	3.86	3.78	+1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	78	330	78	19	9	100%	5.6	23.8%	5.8%	18.0%	2.7%	3.77	3.70	+1.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	14	14	79	334	81	19	9	100%	5.6	24.2%	5.7%	18.5%	2.7%	3.69	3.64	+1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	79	334	81	19	9	100%	6.1	24.4%	5.6%	18.7%	2.7%	3.65	3.62	+1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	78	329	80	19	9	100%	6.0	24.4%	5.7%	18.6%	2.8%	3.66	3.66	+1.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	13	13	76	319	77	19	9	100%	5.8	24.2%	5.9%	18.4%	2.9%	3.71	3.74	+1.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	12	12	72	305	73	19	9	100%	6.0	24.0%	6.1%	17.9%	3.0%	3.81	3.87	+0.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	11	11	68	287	68	18	9	100%	6.2	23.6%	6.4%	17.3%	3.2%	3.96	4.05	+0.7
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	11	11	63	267	62	18	9	100%	5.8	23.2%	6.7%	16.5%	3.4%	4.14	4.25	+0.5
2027	21	MLB CTX	ARI	7	7	34	144	31	9	4	100%	4.9	21.4%	6.3%	15.2%	2.7%	3.96	3.93	+0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	53	224	50	14	6	100%	5.3	22.5%	6.1%	16.4%	2.6%	3.88	3.80	+0.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	64	270	63	16	7	100%	5.3	23.2%	5.9%	17.3%	2.6%	3.78	3.70	+0.9
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	70	296	70	17	8	100%	5.8	23.8%	5.8%	18.0%	2.6%	3.69	3.62	+1.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	73	308	74	17	8	100%	6.1	24.2%	5.7%	18.5%	2.6%	3.61	3.56	+1.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	74	312	76	18	8	100%	6.2	24.4%	5.6%	18.7%	2.6%	3.57	3.54	+1.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	74	312	76	18	8	100%	6.2	24.4%	5.7%	18.6%	2.6%	3.58	3.58	+1.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	72	304	74	18	8	100%	6.0	24.2%	5.9%	18.4%	2.7%	3.62	3.65	+1.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	12	12	69	291	70	18	8	100%	5.8	24.0%	6.1%	17.9%	2.8%	3.72	3.78	+0.9
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	11	11	65	274	65	18	8	100%	5.9	23.6%	6.4%	17.3%	3.0%	3.86	3.95	+0.7
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	10	10	60	253	59	17	8	100%	6.0	23.2%	6.7%	16.5%	3.2%	4.04	4.15	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		123	123	707	2986	707	179	81	100%	5.7	23.7%	6.0%	17.7%	2.7%	3.73	3.35	+13.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	200	51	23	100%	5.7	23.7%	6.0%	17.7%	2.7%	3.73	3.35	+3.8
Career	—	MLE		33	29	136	585	97	43	17	88%	4.1	16.5%	7.4%	9.2%	2.9%	4.95	4.23	+10.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	43	200	858	142	63	25	88%	4.1	16.5%	7.4%	9.2%	2.9%	4.95	4.23	+2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Chung-Hsiang Huang (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.09	20.8%	6.2%	2.9%	—	3.89	22.4%	16.3%	220	-0.20	—	—	—
Hyun-il Choi R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	19	SP-	3.97	18.4%	5.2%	3.2%	.293	4.26	19.1%	14.1%	106	+0.29	3.97	455	87
Gilberto Batista R 2023 · 3.63 FIP	18	SP-	3.63	22.8%	6.2%	3.0%	.323	5.53	15.1%	5.0%	210	+1.90	3.63	250	85
Jordan Johnson R 2015 · 2.93 FIP	21	SP	2.93	21.2%	5.7%	1.6%	.347	5.00	15.3%	5.2%	350	+2.07	2.93	443	84
Peniel Otano R 2021 · 3.06 FIP	20	SP	3.06	19.3%	7.4%	1.2%	.307	4.67	14.6%	-1.0%	176	+1.61	3.06	232	84
Andrew Hoffmann R 2021 · 3.17 FIP	21	SP	3.17	23.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.275	4.91	18.6%	8.8%	311	+1.74	3.17	421	83
Yordi Rosario R 2018 · 3.53 FIP	19	SP-	3.53	21.3%	6.7%	2.5%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.25	163	82
Jarrod Cande R 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP-	4.31	19.1%	7.3%	3.5%	.330	4.94	18.1%	9.1%	212	+0.63	4.31	304	82
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	82
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	81
Angel Jimenez R 2023 · 3.31 FIP	20	SP	3.31	23.3%	5.1%	2.8%	.368	4.43	21.1%	10.0%	144	+1.12	3.24	223	81
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	81
Logan Shore R 2017 · 3.09 FIP	22	SP-	3.09	18.3%	5.9%	1.4%	.350	4.17	13.2%	4.9%	188	+1.08	3.09	386	81
Cody Stashak R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	21	SP	4.07	19.7%	7.5%	3.1%	.304	3.55	17.1%	9.8%	261	-0.52	1.99	467	81
Matt Tabor R 2019 · 3.36 FIP	21	SP	3.36	19.8%	5.0%	2.4%	.287	5.90	16.8%	7.7%	107	+2.54	3.36	203	80
Cedric De Grandpre R 2023 · 3.38 FIP	21	SP	3.38	18.2%	7.0%	1.7%	.327	4.17	22.9%	8.9%	177	+0.79	3.38	264	80
Garrett Burhenn R 2022 · 4.40 FIP	22	SP	4.40	21.1%	7.7%	3.8%	.333	4.37	16.9%	8.8%	341	-0.03	4.30	433	80
Matt Eckelman R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP	4.30	15.6%	4.7%	3.5%	.265	4.44	16.3%	5.4%	169	+0.14	4.07	386	80
Nick Fraze R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	23	SP-	4.49	18.8%	7.3%	3.8%	.271	4.70	17.9%	10.2%	162	+0.21	3.86	278	79
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	79
Jesus Lugo R 2019 · 3.79 FIP	21	SP-	3.79	17.8%	8.1%	2.1%	.243	6.08	19.8%	10.5%	45	+2.29	3.79	113	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	72	23.4%	6.0%	1.11	3.85
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43