Ubert Mejias P San Jose Giants
Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 237 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA5.16
FIP5.16
K%11.0%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%2.5%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 126 IP
K: -5.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-5KBB: +3.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+3BBCONTACT: -10.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-11CONTACTSTAM: +17.1 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+17STAMTotal WAR: +0.47 (126 IP)+0.5WAR
0.10.10.10.0262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL5050
CMD3535
K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202322ROKACL Giants Black1411622695617379%4.514.2%7.9%6.3%1.5%3.903.71
202322ROKACL Giants Black1411622695617379%4.520.8%6.3%14.5%1.1%3.902.75
202423ASan Jose Giants262412352885251292%4.711.9%5.6%6.3%3.2%4.704.57
202423ASan Jose Giants262412352885251292%4.716.1%4.7%11.4%2.3%4.703.60
202524MIX2 levels27066295521850%2.413.2%7.3%5.9%1.3%5.183.62
202524MIX2 levels27066295521850%2.417.6%6.1%11.5%1.7%5.183.33
▸ 2026 Season
202625A+Eugene Emeralds20056241609100%2.818.7%4.4%14.3%5.3%4.634.98-0.3
ROS25MLBSF67070296332580%1.011.0%8.5%2.5%2.8%5.165.16-0.3
ROS25MLBSF011.0%8.5%2.5%2.8%5.165.16
2026 TOT25MLBSF12653793341817.3%6.4%10.9%3.4%4.935.08+0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBSF67070296402580%1.013.5%8.5%5.0%2.8%5.014.97-0.2
202827MLBSF66069291412580%1.014.2%8.7%5.6%2.9%4.964.96-0.2
202928MLBSF64067282412580%1.014.6%8.8%5.7%3.0%4.985.01-0.2
202726MLBSF29030127171140%1.013.5%8.5%5.0%2.8%5.014.97-0.1
202827MLBSF41043182261650%1.014.2%8.7%5.6%2.9%4.964.96-0.2
202928MLBSF48050211311960%1.014.6%8.8%5.7%3.0%4.985.01-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career11801235217445150%1.014.2%8.7%5.5%2.9%4.984.60+1.2
/ 200 IP190020084412073240%1.114.2%8.7%5.5%2.9%4.984.60+1.9
Career87353071333185833840%3.513.9%6.2%7.7%2.8%4.634.26+4.1
/ 200 IP5723200867120542440%3.513.9%6.2%7.7%2.8%4.634.26+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Ubert Mejias (OGILVIE) 5.16 11.0%8.5%2.8% 4.98 14.1%5.4%206 -0.18
Joel De La Cruz R 2027 · 4.28 FIP 26 SW 4.28 10.3%6.7%2.2%.276 4.47 14.4%5.8%120 +0.19 4.28 205 84
Drasen Johnson R 2025 · 4.44 FIP 24 SW 4.44 9.6%5.7%2.6%.325 4.44 110 82
Dennis O'Grady R 2027 · 5.19 FIP 26 SW 5.19 13.5%11.0%3.4%.339 3.79 157 82
Tyler Santana R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 15.4%10.3%2.1%.306 4.97 15.4%5.1%183 +0.73 3.41 390 81
Marco Camarena R 2026 · 4.53 FIP 25 SW 4.53 11.0%9.3%2.2%.365 3.81 8.4%0.9%73 -0.72 3.81 142 81
Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 25 SW 4.50 13.6%10.2%2.3%.286 4.16 16.1%7.8%91 -0.34 3.28 252 80
Cullen Kafka R 2025 · 4.88 FIP 24 SW 4.88 14.2%12.1%2.6%.330 3.68 148 80
Kelvis Valerio R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 25 SW 4.03 11.7%7.1%1.9%.269 4.03 266 80
Brad Allen R 2027 · 4.22 FIP 26 SW 4.22 14.0%12.6%1.3%.315 6.07 14.7%1.5%87 +1.85 4.22 149 80
Kurt Heyer R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 25 SW 4.03 14.1%6.7%2.3%.337 3.65 178 79
Raymar Navarro R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 25 SW 4.12 13.1%11.7%1.2%.332 4.29 11.8%1.0%41 +0.17 4.12 108 79
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2027 · 4.08 FIP 26 SW 4.08 12.4%9.1%1.6%.283 4.08 107 79
Blake McKnight R 2026 · 4.40 FIP 25 SW 4.40 7.0%10.8%1.0%.277 4.56 9.5%0.1%39 +0.16 3.25 225 78
Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.37 FIP 25 SW 4.37 16.2%10.3%2.4%.290 4.81 11.8%0.5%58 +0.44 4.37 160 78
Conor Steinbaugh R 2026 · 4.77 FIP 25 SU 4.77 16.0%9.9%3.2%.281 6.87 14.3%0.8%39 +2.10 4.77 107 78
Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 25 SU 4.03 16.8%9.3%2.1%.275 8.37 16.9%-3.1%25 +4.34 4.03 161 77
Abel Amaya R 2025 · 4.25 FIP 24 SW 4.25 7.0%4.9%2.0%.264 6.31 8.5%5.1%12 +2.06 4.25 109 77
Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 16.9%8.6%2.8%.338 3.01 22.4%12.3%71 -1.30 3.01 176 77
John Kuchno R 2026 · 5.21 FIP 25 SU 5.21 10.2%8.6%3.4%.275 2.43 162 77
Daury Torrez R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SU 4.39 12.9%6.5%2.8%.310 3.33 356 77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46913.3%8.6%1.115.03
Vance Worley ('17)37715.4%8.5%1.024.73
Odrisamer Despaigne ('18)46313.5%8.1%0.965.54
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86
JC Ramírez ('17)38317.0%7.7%1.304.33
Robert Gsellman ('21)56718.4%7.8%0.964.38
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21