Ubert Mejias — OGILVIE

Ubert Mejias P Eugene Emeralds

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 237 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.12

FIP5.12

K%11.0%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 85 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL5050

CMD3535

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	14	11	62	269	56	17	3	79%	4.5	14.2%	7.9%	6.3%	1.5%	3.90	3.74	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	14	11	62	269	56	17	3	79%	4.5	14.2%	7.9%	6.3%	1.5%	3.90	3.74	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Giants Black	14	11	62	269	56	17	3	79%	4.5	20.8%	6.3%	14.5%	1.1%	3.90	2.75	—
2024	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	24	123	528	85	25	12	92%	4.7	11.9%	5.6%	6.3%	3.1%	4.70	4.49	—
2024	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	26	24	123	528	85	25	12	92%	4.7	11.9%	5.6%	6.3%	3.1%	4.70	4.49	—
2024	23	A RAW	San Jose Giants	26	24	123	528	85	25	12	92%	4.7	16.1%	4.7%	11.4%	2.3%	4.70	3.60	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	66	295	52	18	5	0%	2.4	13.2%	7.3%	5.9%	1.6%	5.18	3.81	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	0	66	295	52	18	5	0%	2.4	13.2%	7.3%	5.9%	1.6%	5.18	3.81	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	0	66	295	52	18	5	0%	2.4	17.6%	6.1%	11.5%	1.7%	5.18	3.33	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	29	1	79	337	80	17	13	3%	2.7	17.9%	5.4%	12.5%	4.7%	4.90	4.85	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	29	1	79	337	80	17	13	3%	2.7	17.9%	5.4%	12.5%	4.7%	4.90	4.85	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	SF	13	0	40	162	41	5	5	0%	3.1	25.3%	3.1%	22.2%	3.1%	3.12	3.05	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	SF	15	1	36	163	36	10	7	7%	2.4	22.1%	6.1%	16.0%	4.3%	7.00	4.37	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	SF	1	0	3	12	3	2	1	0%	2.7	25.0%	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	3.38	7.67	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	SF	6	0	6	25	3	2	1	0%	1.0	11.0%	8.0%	3.0%	2.8%	5.12	5.12	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	SF	—	—	85	362	83	19	14	—	—	22.9%	5.2%	17.6%	3.8%	4.91	4.86	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SF	105	0	110	466	62	37	13	0%	1.1	13.4%	8.0%	5.4%	2.8%	4.96	4.92	-0.5
2028	27	MLB MLE	SF	104	0	109	459	64	37	13	0%	1.0	14.0%	8.0%	6.0%	2.9%	4.91	4.91	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	SF	100	0	105	445	64	36	13	0%	1.1	14.3%	8.2%	6.1%	3.0%	4.92	4.96	-0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	SF	96	0	101	425	61	36	13	0%	1.0	14.2%	8.4%	5.9%	3.2%	5.00	5.07	-0.6
2031	30	MLB MLE	SF	90	0	95	400	56	35	13	0%	1.1	13.9%	8.7%	5.2%	3.4%	5.15	5.25	-0.7
2027	26	MLB CTX	SF	45	0	47	198	27	16	6	0%	1.0	13.4%	8.0%	5.4%	2.8%	4.96	4.92	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SF	65	0	68	287	40	23	8	0%	1.0	14.0%	8.0%	6.0%	2.9%	4.91	4.91	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	SF	75	0	79	334	48	27	10	0%	1.1	14.3%	8.2%	6.1%	3.0%	4.92	4.96	-0.4
2030	29	MLB CTX	SF	78	0	82	346	49	29	11	0%	1.1	14.2%	8.4%	5.9%	3.2%	5.00	5.07	-0.5
2031	30	MLB CTX	SF	77	0	81	342	48	30	11	0%	1.1	13.9%	8.7%	5.2%	3.4%	5.15	5.25	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		341	0	358	1510	212	125	47	0%	1.0	14.0%	8.3%	5.7%	3.1%	4.99	4.66	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	119	70	26	0%	1.1	14.0%	8.3%	5.7%	3.1%	4.99	4.66	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		96	36	330	1429	200	90	41	38%	3.4	14.0%	6.3%	7.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.29	-2.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	22	200	866	121	55	25	38%	3.4	14.0%	6.3%	7.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.29	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ubert Mejias (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.12	11.0%	8.0%	2.8%	—	4.93	13.9%	5.8%	324	-0.19	—	—	—
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	84
Drasen Johnson R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	24	SW	4.70	9.6%	5.7%	3.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	110	83
Joel De La Cruz R 2015 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	10.3%	6.7%	2.0%	.276	4.61	14.4%	5.8%	120	+0.42	4.19	205	82
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	82
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	4.90	15.1%	4.9%	191	+0.47	3.37	399	81
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	81
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	81
Daniel Blair R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	24	SW	4.10	16.6%	10.0%	2.1%	.284	4.39	17.0%	7.8%	78	+0.29	4.10	171	81
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	80
Dylan Cumming R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	24	SW	4.11	16.0%	10.7%	1.8%	.311	4.31	18.4%	9.4%	314	+0.20	3.75	406	80
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	80
Kurt Heyer R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	14.1%	6.7%	2.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	178	80
Kelvis Valerio R 2017 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	11.7%	7.1%	2.1%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	266	79
Zeke Spruill R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	25	SW	3.94	11.8%	6.9%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	114	79
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	79
Trevor Foss R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	25	SU	4.22	14.5%	5.9%	2.9%	.308	3.77	17.3%	13.8%	42	-0.45	3.77	120	79
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	79
Daury Torrez R 2018 · 4.28 FIP	25	SU	4.28	12.9%	6.5%	2.6%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	356	79
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	79
John Kuchno R 2016 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	10.2%	8.6%	3.3%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.43	162	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	98	13.6%	8.2%	1.17	5.00
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Ty Blach ('24)	2.5	84	12.8%	6.9%	1.23	5.56
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Chi Chi González ('22)	1.3	64	13.3%	9.0%	1.41	5.44
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32