Luis Gutierrez

SS DSL Royals Ventura

Age 21 L/R ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	20	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	76	.213/.351/.262	0	5	24	—	.159/.284/.206
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBKC	186	.201/.275/.268	1	4	56	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBKC	53	.204/.278/.277	0	1	60	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBKC	136	.207/.281/.287	1	3	64	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed98

Z-Con%70

K%34

Whiff%27

wOBA23

wRC+17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsLuis Valenzuela (age 21) · Je'Von Ward (age 21) · Diomedes Del Rio (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .273 / .265

PA71

HR0

K%30

BB%6

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	20	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	76	61	13	1	1	0	6	19	7	5	0	213	351	262	614	49	310	25	8	292	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	76	63	10	1	1	0	4	23	7	5	0	159	284	206	490	48	217	30	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	76	63	10	1	1	0	4	23	7	5	0	159	284	206	490	48	250	30	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	76	61	13	1	1	0	6	19	7	5	0	213	351	262	614	49	310	25	8	292	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	76	65	10	1	1	0	4	23	7	5	0	154	284	200	484	46	217	30	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	20	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	76	65	10	1	1	0	4	23	7	5	0	154	284	200	484	46	217	30	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	186	167	33	4	2	1	11	55	6	4	1	201	275	268	543	66	290	30	6	251	56	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	155	139	28	4	1	1	10	45	5	3	1	205	279	279	558	74	291	29	6	257	60	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	48%	280	252	53	7	3	3	18	81	8	6	1	208	282	289	572	81	292	29	6	263	64	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	369	332	70	10	3	4	24	105	10	7	1	212	285	298	584	87	293	28	7	268	67	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	423	381	82	12	4	5	28	119	11	8	1	214	288	306	593	92	293	28	7	271	70	-15	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	455	409	88	13	4	6	31	127	12	9	1	216	289	312	602	97	293	28	7	274	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	471	424	90	13	4	6	32	132	12	8	1	214	288	310	598	95	292	28	7	273	71	-16	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	476	429	91	13	4	6	32	134	12	7	1	213	286	305	592	93	291	28	7	270	69	-17	+1	-1	+5	+10	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	53	48	10	1	1	0	3	15	2	1	0	204	278	277	555	73	290	28	6	256	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	48%	136	122	24	3	1	1	9	39	4	3	0	207	281	287	568	80	291	29	7	261	64	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	195	175	37	5	2	2	13	56	5	4	1	210	284	295	579	85	292	29	7	266	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	231	208	44	6	2	3	15	65	6	4	1	212	286	302	588	90	292	28	6	269	70	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	253	227	48	7	2	3	17	70	7	5	1	214	288	308	596	94	291	28	7	272	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	259	233	49	7	2	3	17	72	7	5	1	213	287	306	592	93	291	28	7	271	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	260	233	49	7	2	3	18	73	7	4	1	211	285	301	586	90	290	28	7	268	69	-10	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1387	1246	261	36	12	15	92	390	38	26	5	209	284	294	578	84	290	28	7	268	67	-51	+3	-0	+15	+30	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	123	17	6	7	43	183	18	12	2	211	285	296	582	86	292	28	7	268	67	-24	+1	-0	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2776	2494	525	75	25	31	183	787	79	54	7	211	286	298	583	87	293	28	7	267	67	-102	+7	-1	+29	+58	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	123	18	6	7	43	184	18	13	2	211	285	298	583	87	293	28	7	267	67	-24	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.2	1,458	18	27	213	284	304	+16	+15	0.5	0.6
/162	664	8	12	+7.1	+6.8	0.2	pk7: 1
#5David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/273/265	66	290	0	1	30%	6%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Je'Von Ward 2021 · A	21	43→37	37→45	47→50	42	199/261/272	74	301	4	8	33%	8%	52	-2.2	202/251/297	95	324	8	10	37%	6%	54	-2.0	195/284/320	125	290	14	8	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Diomedes Del Rio 2018 · A	20	38	35→55	51→50	45	179/249/238	60	241	2	9	25%	7%	40	-3.0	203/266/309	106	286	5	9	28%	7%	62	-1.4	197/266/356	159	277	6	11	29%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	44	39→45	54→50	40	208/268/296	88	312	7	13	34%	7%	60	-1.6	217/259/315	98	317	7	13	32%	5%	61	-1.5	212/252/306	95	305	6	14	31%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	41→45	35→40	53→55	44	191/255/252	61	281	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	220/280/300	80	293	8	18	26%	7%	65	-1.2	220/282/295	75	288	8	21	25%	8%	64	-0.8
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	39	37→55	47→45	45	186/259/261	75	246	3	10	25%	7%	50	-2.3	209/272/362	153	261	19	5	27%	6%	78	-0.3	203/264/381	178	246	25	2	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	38	36→40	48→55	37	178/244/244	65	288	3	14	37%	6%	40	-3.1	173/249/273	100	324	9	19	45%	8%	49	-2.4	138/226/243	104	269	10	25	48%	9%	32	-1.5
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/268/285	77	297	4	7	30%	7%	57	-1.8	183/261/286	103	304	10	4	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/240/258	104	248	11	1	40%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2024 · A	21	40	38→45	48→45	46	192/271/267	75	284	6	7	32%	9%	55	-1.9	191/263/273	82	291	6	4	33%	8%	53	-2.1	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Juan Centeno 2011 · A	21	43	37→45	50→40	44	205/259/273	67	267	4	9	24%	6%	51	-2.2	255/296/318	63	315	2	6	19%	5%	75	-0.5	279/317/335	56	337	1	3	17%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Dan Arcila 2011 · A	21	33	37→40	53→50	42	166/231/239	73	242	5	12	32%	7%	34	-3.5	196/250/324	128	265	13	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	174/233/338	164	215	19	3	29%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Shane Opitz 2013 · A	21	41	38→40	48→50	40	199/241/281	81	267	4	5	26%	5%	46	-2.6	238/277/316	78	303	4	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	254/288/325	71	310	3	9	18%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	46	190/261/259	69	270	4	9	29%	8%	50	-2.3	191/256/256	65	306	3	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	156/231/187	31	268	0	14	38%	8%	19	-1.5
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1

Luis Gutierrez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps