Hendry Alcala — OGILVIE

Hendry AlcalaOF DSL White Sox

Age 19 S/R 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .295 / .294

PA7

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	91	68	14	2	2	0	19	16	4	4	3	206	407	294	701	88	269	18	21	341	117	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	91	75	12	1	2	0	12	23	4	4	3	160	308	227	534	67	220	25	13	244	51	-5	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	91	75	12	1	2	0	12	23	4	4	3	160	308	227	534	67	231	25	13	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	91	68	14	2	2	0	19	16	4	4	3	206	407	294	701	88	269	18	21	341	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	91	75	12	1	2	0	12	23	4	4	3	160	308	227	534	67	220	25	13	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	91	75	12	1	2	0	12	23	4	4	3	160	308	227	534	67	220	25	13	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		289	29	14	273	71	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	171	150	32	5	2	2	16	44	3	5	1	213	302	313	615	100	291	26	9	282	77	-5	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	310	272	61	10	4	4	29	79	6	9	2	224	313	335	647	110	292	25	9	289	82	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	412	364	81	13	5	6	38	104	7	13	3	223	308	335	643	113	293	25	9	293	85	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	480	424	96	16	6	7	44	121	9	15	3	226	312	342	654	116	294	25	9	296	87	-8	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	525	462	104	17	6	8	49	132	9	16	4	225	312	340	651	115	295	25	9	298	88	-8	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	552	486	111	18	7	9	51	138	10	17	4	228	314	350	664	121	295	25	9	299	89	-8	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2033	26	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	566	499	114	18	7	10	52	142	10	17	4	228	314	353	666	124	295	25	9	300	89	-7	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	571	502	114	18	7	10	54	144	10	17	4	227	314	351	665	124	295	25	9	300	89	-7	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	569	500	114	18	7	10	54	144	10	17	4	228	316	352	668	124	294	25	9	299	88	-8	+2	-1	-3	+12	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	561	493	110	18	6	9	53	143	10	17	4	223	311	339	650	116	293	25	9	297	87	-9	+2	-1	-3	+12	0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	552	484	108	17	6	9	53	142	10	16	4	223	313	339	651	116	292	26	10	294	85	-10	+2	-2	-3	+12	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	59	53	12	2	1	1	5	15	1	2	0	226	305	358	664	132	292	25	8	270	77	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	150	132	30	5	2	2	14	38	3	4	1	227	315	341	656	114	293	25	9	276	82	-3	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	223	196	44	7	3	3	21	56	4	7	2	224	312	337	649	112	294	25	9	281	85	-4	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	272	240	54	9	3	4	25	68	5	8	2	225	311	338	649	113	294	25	9	284	87	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	297	263	59	10	3	5	27	75	5	9	2	224	308	342	651	118	295	25	9	286	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	312	274	62	10	4	5	29	78	6	10	2	226	314	347	661	120	296	25	9	287	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	320	281	64	10	4	6	30	80	6	10	2	228	315	356	671	128	295	25	9	288	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	317	278	63	10	4	5	30	80	6	10	2	227	315	345	661	119	295	25	9	288	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	312	273	62	10	4	5	30	79	6	9	2	227	317	348	665	121	295	25	10	287	88	-4	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	300	263	59	10	3	5	29	76	5	9	2	224	313	342	655	118	294	25	10	285	87	-5	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	291	256	57	9	3	5	28	75	5	9	2	223	311	340	651	117	292	26	10	282	85	-5	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2853	2509	566	92	34	46	268	720	52	87	19	226	313	344	658	119	296	25	9	284	86	-44	+10	-2	-17	+62	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	129	21	8	10	61	164	12	20	4	226	313	343	656	117	297	25	9	284	86	-10	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5367	4717	1058	169	65	84	506	1358	98	163	40	224	312	341	653	117	295	25	9	296	86	-83	+17	-4	-32	+114	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	128	20	8	10	61	164	12	20	5	224	312	340	651	116	295	25	9	296	86	-10	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.4	2,933	46	88	225	309	342	-18	+0	2.7	2.5
/162	664	10	20	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hendry Alcala (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	208/295/294	85	289	1	2	27%	9%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/283/318	100	304	7	21	28%	8%	71	-0.8	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jonatan Clase 2021 · A	19	46	38→50	55→65	49	214/295/302	88	304	4	19	29%	10%	72	-0.7	205/281/334	129	306	12	34	34%	9%	75	-0.5	202/277/349	146	289	15	47	33%	8%	74	-0.5
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→49	39→55	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	59	-1.7	233/267/327	94	309	6	15	26%	4%	66	-1.1	234/276/378	144	307	14	25	28%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→45	51→50	46	211/284/282	71	293	4	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	242/292/348	106	310	7	11	23%	6%	80	-0.1	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
●Danny Santana 2010 · A	19	42→52	39→55	59→55	41	205/247/303	97	262	5	15	24%	5%	53	-2.1	211/247/304	93	292	7	15	29%	4%	53	-2.1	240/285/441	201	301	25	22	29%	5%	97	+0.7
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	45→53	39→50	52→55	44	217/261/304	87	269	6	12	22%	6%	59	-1.7	218/263/298	80	291	5	16	25%	6%	58	-1.7	245/296/373	128	305	13	20	23%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	43→49	37→45	52→65	41	200/262/273	74	297	3	17	32%	7%	53	-2.1	207/271/277	70	311	3	17	31%	8%	57	-1.8	221/299/315	94	323	7	52	31%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Angel Martínez 2021 · A	19	47	37→50	51→50	48	218/284/299	80	266	3	10	19%	7%	67	-1.1	212/273/327	115	277	10	10	26%	7%	70	-0.9	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
●Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	41→51	37→50	47→60	44	195/271/269	74	274	3	11	28%	7%	56	-1.9	213/273/337	124	275	9	14	25%	7%	72	-0.7	266/329/370	104	332	7	30	21%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	45→49	38→45	55	44	215/279/298	83	279	5	18	24%	6%	65	-1.2	225/287/334	109	284	9	19	23%	7%	76	-0.4	224/293/340	117	276	10	20	22%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→52	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	65	-1.2	236/283/372	136	299	10	20	23%	6%	83	+0.1	239/283/383	143	299	11	21	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→55	41	202/272/282	80	293	3	10	30%	6%	59	-1.6	220/300/318	98	281	6	11	23%	6%	78	-0.3	253/307/362	109	339	8	26	26%	4%	88	+0.3
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2011 · A	19	45→55	36→50	49→50	55	209/304/274	65	270	3	8	22%	11%	70	-0.8	246/297/307	61	315	2	12	21%	5%	73	-0.6	248/310/361	113	309	7	9	21%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→40	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	47	-2.5	207/258/252	45	280	1	12	25%	6%	46	-2.6	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	68	-1.0	200/289/277	77	290	4	13	29%	10%	65	-1.2	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2016 · A	19	41→43	37→45	53→50	47	193/272/275	82	278	3	12	29%	9%	57	-1.8	201/256/314	113	299	9	14	34%	6%	60	-1.6	196/266/304	108	307	10	14	37%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	233/282/341	108	299	5	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps