Hendry Alcala — OGILVIE

Hendry AlcalaOF DSL White Sox

Age 19 S/R 6'3" / 170 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .295 / .296

PA81

HR1

K%26

BB%9

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	91	75	12	1	2	0	12	23	4	4	3	160	308	227	534	67	231	25	13	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	91	68	14	2	2	0	19	16	4	4	3	206	407	294	701	88	269	18	21	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	CWS	—	81	73	15	2	1	1	7	21	1	1	0	205	284	301	585	96	289	26	9	274	68	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CWS	34%	171	150	33	5	2	2	16	44	3	3	1	220	308	320	628	100	291	26	9	283	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	CWS	48%	310	273	61	10	4	4	28	79	6	5	1	223	309	333	643	110	292	25	9	289	80	-7	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.0
2029	22	MLB	CWS	54%	412	364	81	13	5	6	38	104	7	6	1	223	308	335	643	113	293	25	9	294	83	-8	+1	+0	-2	+12	0.2
2030	23	MLB	CWS	57%	480	424	95	15	6	7	44	120	9	7	2	224	310	337	648	113	294	25	9	297	85	-8	+1	+0	-3	+14	0.3
2031	24	MLB	CWS	57%	525	463	105	17	7	8	48	131	9	8	2	227	312	346	657	119	295	25	9	298	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+15	0.5
2032	25	MLB	CWS	57%	552	486	111	18	7	9	51	138	10	9	2	228	314	350	664	121	295	25	9	300	87	-8	+1	+0	-3	+16	0.6
2027	20	MLB	CWS	34%	59	53	12	2	1	1	5	15	1	1	0	226	305	358	664	132	292	25	8	270	65	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	CWS	48%	150	132	30	5	2	2	14	38	3	2	1	227	315	341	656	114	293	25	9	277	70	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	22	MLB	CWS	54%	223	197	44	7	3	3	20	56	4	3	1	223	308	335	643	112	294	25	9	281	73	-7	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.2
2030	23	MLB	CWS	57%	272	240	54	9	3	4	25	68	5	4	1	225	311	338	649	113	295	25	9	284	76	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2031	24	MLB	CWS	57%	297	263	60	10	4	5	27	74	5	5	1	228	312	354	665	125	296	25	9	286	77	-8	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.0
2032	25	MLB	CWS	57%	312	274	63	10	4	5	29	78	6	5	1	230	317	350	668	120	296	25	9	287	78	-8	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1313	1159	263	43	17	20	120	329	24	20	5	227	312	345	657	118	298	25	9	283	75	-37	+2	+0	-8	+37	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	130	21	8	10	59	163	12	10	2	226	312	343	655	117	297	25	9	283	75	-18	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2622	2308	513	81	34	37	244	660	49	43	12	222	310	335	645	113	293	25	9	293	82	-53	+4	+0	-16	+74	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	126	20	8	9	60	164	12	11	3	220	307	330	637	110	291	25	9	293	82	-13	+1	+0	-4	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	91	68	14	2	2	0	19	16	4	4	3	206	407	294	701	88	269	18	21	341	119	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,394	20	22	225	307	340	-8	+0	0.8	0.9
	/162	664	10	10	225	307	340	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hendry Alcala (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	209/295/296	87	289	1	1	26%	9%	68	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Riley Unroe 2015 · A	19	39→48	37→50	47→55	46	188/255/261	74	254	4	8	27%	8%	41	-2.3	191/253/250	59	276	4	10	30%	7%	37	-2.7	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
●Endy Rodríguez 2019 · A	19	43→52	40→50	46→40	46	204/275/297	92	279	6	6	28%	8%	59	-1.1	216/284/329	113	282	8	6	25%	7%	71	-0.3	241/302/396	155	307	13	3	25%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	45→53	39→50	52→55	44	217/261/302	85	268	6	12	21%	6%	53	-1.5	218/262/298	80	293	5	16	26%	6%	52	-1.6	239/291/390	151	301	16	19	25%	6%	88	+0.8
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	41→51	37→50	47→55	44	195/271/269	74	274	3	11	28%	7%	50	-1.7	212/273/338	126	273	10	14	25%	7%	68	-0.5	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→45	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	40	-2.4	205/256/250	45	276	1	12	24%	6%	37	-2.6	262/314/365	103	319	5	12	18%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→55	41	202/272/282	80	293	3	10	30%	6%	54	-1.4	220/300/318	98	281	6	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	253/307/360	107	342	7	26	27%	4%	86	+0.5
✕Yolmer Sánchez 2011 · A	19	45→55	36→50	49→50	55	209/304/274	65	270	3	8	22%	11%	66	-0.6	243/294/305	62	311	2	12	21%	5%	68	-0.5	247/310/359	112	308	7	9	21%	7%	86	+0.7
✕Angel Martínez 2021 · A	19	47	37→50	51→50	48	218/284/299	80	266	3	10	19%	7%	63	-0.9	213/274/330	117	278	10	10	26%	7%	66	-0.6	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→48	39→60	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	53	-1.5	233/267/329	96	309	7	15	26%	4%	63	-0.9	233/273/379	146	307	15	25	28%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	43→51	36→40	50→55	47	200/276/275	74	283	2	6	28%	9%	53	-1.5	220/297/313	93	288	7	14	24%	10%	72	-0.2	227/311/321	94	298	8	22	25%	11%	78	+0.1
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	42	36→45	46→55	52	196/279/261	65	256	3	9	23%	10%	52	-1.6	220/298/308	88	314	7	14	29%	10%	71	-0.3	212/292/305	93	325	9	17	34%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Luis Alexander Basabe 2016 · A	19	41→45	37→45	53→50	47	193/272/275	82	278	3	12	29%	9%	52	-1.6	202/256/315	113	303	9	14	34%	6%	55	-1.4	188/260/297	109	305	11	14	39%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Allan Castro 2022 · A	19	38→43	38→45	51→55	41	184/252/273	90	271	4	6	32%	7%	43	-2.2	192/261/299	107	277	8	11	31%	8%	54	-1.4	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A	19	43	38→45	45→55	46	205/268/282	77	271	6	5	26%	8%	52	-1.6	205/257/287	82	297	4	5	30%	6%	47	-1.9	259/294/370	111	330	12	18	24%	4%	85	+0.4
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→49	39→45	48→50	50	203/280/297	94	266	5	9	24%	9%	61	-1.0	218/304/287	69	285	3	10	22%	11%	69	-0.4	249/317/359	110	296	9	16	18%	9%	89	+0.6
✕Steward Berroa 2018 · A	19	43→47	37→45	52→65	41	200/262/273	74	297	3	17	32%	7%	46	-2.0	207/271/277	70	311	3	17	31%	8%	51	-1.7	223/304/322	99	313	9	48	29%	10%	75	+0.0