Joey Danielson
P
Hub City Spartanburgers
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'3" / 235 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.55
FIP4.55
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.4%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%11.7%
IP56
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
OFP—40
STUF4545
CTRL5040
CMD5050
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 7 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 3.24 | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 49 | 0 | 56 | 254 | 67 | 27 | 6 | 20.6% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.34 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | TEX | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 52 | 26 | 7 | 21.8% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.66 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 61 | 252 | 58 | 26 | 7 | 22.8% | 10.4% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 52 | 26 | 7 | 22.2% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.61 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 52 | 25 | 7 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 52 | 25 | 7 | 22.3% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 54 | — | 54 | 226 | 50 | 24 | 7 | 22.2% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.62 | 4.64 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 52 | — | 52 | 220 | 48 | 24 | 7 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.70 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | TEX | 50 | — | 50 | 212 | 46 | 23 | 7 | 21.8% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 4.73 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 44 | 23 | 7 | 21.5% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.81 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 46 | — | 46 | 194 | 41 | 22 | 6 | 21.2% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.90 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 20.8% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 5.00 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 41 | — | 41 | 174 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 20.4% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 5.12 | 5.19 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 5.24 | 5.33 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 70 | 304 | 64 | 33 | 6 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 3.88 | 3.87 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 0 | 200 | 873 | 184 | 95 | 17 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 3.88 | 3.87 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joey Danielson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.66 | 21.8% | 11.1% | 2.9% | — | 4.60 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 166 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.41 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.4% | .311 | 5.44 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.41 | 152 | 93 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 92 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.42 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.4% | .281 | 5.22 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.80 | 4.42 | 121 | 91 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 91 |
| Cody Tucker R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.99 | 22.0% | 12.0% | 4.1% | .272 | 5.30 | 15.8% | -1.9% | 40 | +0.31 | 4.99 | 105 | 90 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.72 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | -0.01 | 3.05 | 290 | 90 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 3.0% | .331 | 4.32 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 122 | +0.00 | 3.48 | 290 | 90 |
| David Griffin R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.42 | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .279 | 5.32 | 15.6% | 5.5% | 168 | +0.90 | 4.42 | 239 | 90 |
| Ben Hecht R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.51 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .293 | 7.98 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.47 | 4.42 | 155 | 89 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.05 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.60 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.45 | 3.20 | 386 | 89 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.89 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.5% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 89 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.41 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.65 | 255 | 88 |
| Dusty Isaacs R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.97 | 23.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .255 | 4.63 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.66 | 3.16 | 253 | 88 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.25 | 22.7% | 11.0% | 3.0% | .232 | 4.70 | 20.0% | 8.7% | 139 | +0.45 | 3.60 | 246 | 88 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.08 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 3.84 | 21.6% | 13.4% | 73 | -0.24 | 3.84 | 206 | 88 |
| Grant Hartwig R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.84 | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.1% | .330 | 3.91 | 21.7% | 11.3% | 61 | +0.07 | 2.52 | 179 | 88 |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.59 | 146 | 87 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 21.7% | 10.7% | 3.8% | .273 | 3.93 | 27.1% | 13.7% | 63 | -0.76 | 2.39 | 191 | 87 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.73 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.9% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 104 | 87 |
| Darin Gillies R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.82 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 4.2% | .294 | 4.84 | 23.2% | 12.8% | 106 | +0.02 | 4.22 | 295 | 87 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.