Griffin Kilander

Griffin Kilander P Salem RidgeYaks

+0.0 WAR

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A peak 0.5 · 2028

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.3%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%10.1%

IP64

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.5peak

2028

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4550

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	4	0	7	26	6	3	0	—	—	—	1.23	—	—
2025	22	A	Salem Red Sox	20	6	64	277	58	38	3	15.5%	16.2%	1.6%	4.34	4.72	+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	A	Salem RidgeYaks	4	0	6	39	11	10	0	—	—	—	10.50	—	—
ROS	23	MLB	BOS	12	12	64	271	53	38	8	19.5%	14.0%	2.8%	5.16	5.16	-0.1
2026 Total	23	MLB	BOS	—	—	70	310	64	48	8	20.6%	15.5%	2.5%	5.62	4.72	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	24	MLB	BOS	12	12	66	278	57	36	8	20.4%	13.0%	2.8%	4.99	4.93	+0.1
2028	25	MLB	BOS	12	12	67	282	59	35	8	21.0%	12.3%	2.8%	4.86	4.80	+0.2
2029	26	MLB	BOS	12	12	67	282	60	34	8	21.3%	12.1%	2.8%	4.79	4.76	+0.2
2030	27	MLB	BOS	12	12	66	280	60	34	8	21.4%	12.1%	2.8%	4.76	4.76	+0.2
2031	28	MLB	BOS	12	12	65	275	59	33	8	21.4%	12.1%	2.9%	4.77	4.78	+0.2
2032	29	MLB	BOS	12	12	64	269	57	33	8	21.2%	12.2%	2.9%	4.80	4.83	+0.1
2033	30	MLB	BOS	11	11	62	261	55	32	8	21.0%	12.3%	3.0%	4.85	4.89	+0.1
2034	31	MLB	BOS	60	—	60	252	52	31	8	20.8%	12.4%	3.0%	4.92	4.96	-0.0
2035	32	MLB	BOS	57	—	57	242	50	30	8	20.5%	12.6%	3.1%	5.00	5.05	-0.1
2036	33	MLB	BOS	55	—	55	231	47	29	7	20.2%	12.8%	3.2%	5.09	5.15	-0.1
2037	34	MLB	BOS	52	—	52	219	44	28	7	19.9%	13.0%	3.3%	5.19	5.26	-0.2
2038	35	MLB	BOS	49	—	49	206	40	27	7	19.5%	13.2%	3.4%	5.30	5.38	-0.2
2039	36	MLB	BOS	46	—	46	193	37	26	7	19.1%	13.5%	3.5%	5.43	5.52	-0.3
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			28	6	78	342	60	58	4	17.5%	16.9%	1.3%	4.52	4.48	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—			72	15	200	881	155	149	10	17.5%	16.9%	1.3%	4.52	4.48	+1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Griffin Kilander (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	19.5%	14.0%	2.8%	—	4.83	20.9%	8.4%	199	-0.33	—	—	—
Jhonny Polanco R 2026 · 4.74 FIP	23	SW	4.74	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.09	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.65	4.09	116	97
Alaska Abney R 2026 · 4.94 FIP	23	SW	4.94	18.8%	13.8%	3.1%	.301	3.44	18.6%	10.2%	76	-1.50	3.36	178	94
Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.51 FIP	23	SW	4.51	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.34	3.86	242	93
Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.24 FIP	23	SW	5.24	18.5%	13.5%	3.6%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.49	5.24	107	92
David Trexler R 2027 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	17.7%	13.4%	2.3%	.313	4.44	18.3%	4.8%	31	-0.14	4.44	100	92
Max Alba R 2027 · 4.50 FIP	24	SW	4.50	20.6%	12.6%	2.8%	.290	4.91	17.8%	11.6%	162	+0.41	4.50	217	91
Jarret Whorff R 2027 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	3.96	20.3%	11.1%	143	-0.28	3.84	206	91
Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	18.3%	14.4%	1.9%	.265	4.51	22.7%	9.8%	58	+0.09	4.42	155	91
Anyelo Gómez R 2026 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	17.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-1.97	2.66	145	91
Jhondaniel Medina R 2026 · 4.54 FIP	23	SW	4.54	19.3%	13.9%	2.4%	.261	5.27	19.3%	4.4%	35	+0.73	4.38	167	91
Cade Winquest R 2026 · 4.37 FIP	23	SW	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.94	18.5%	7.4%	135	-0.43	3.84	213	91
Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.56 FIP	23	SW	4.56	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.78	16.2%	5.7%	316	+0.22	3.98	371	90
Kieran Lovegrove R 2026 · 5.00 FIP	23	SW	5.00	17.9%	12.6%	3.3%	.273	4.48	19.3%	4.5%	76	-0.52	3.80	215	90
Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2027 · 4.58 FIP	24	SW	4.58	21.0%	13.2%	2.9%	.341	4.72	15.7%	4.0%	343	+0.14	4.04	404	90
Cole Hillier R 2026 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	16.9%	14.7%	2.1%	.297	3.79	18.1%	3.6%	58	-0.89	3.79	117	90
Bailey Dees R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	23	SW	4.27	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.37	21.4%	9.6%	278	+0.10	3.41	330	89
Zach Linginfelter R 2027 · 5.56 FIP	24	SW	5.56	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.02	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.54	3.62	109	89
Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.50 FIP	23	SW	4.50	21.5%	12.1%	3.1%	.275	4.24	25.9%	14.9%	121	-0.26	3.32	181	89
Kevin Kopps R 2028 · 4.59 FIP	25	SW	4.59	20.2%	15.1%	2.3%	.278	4.54	16.5%	2.8%	182	-0.05	3.49	237	89
Pat Light R 2027 · 4.34 FIP	24	SW	4.34	20.9%	14.5%	2.1%	.270	4.39	16.4%	2.8%	110	+0.05	4.15	172	89

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.