Griffin Kilander
P
Salem RidgeYaks
Age 23
RHP
6'5" / 205 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION50 act + 62 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 153143vR 134
ERA5.97
FIP5.97
K%14.8%
BB%17.2%
K-BB%-2.4%
ROS IP62
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 112 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 1.23 | 2.61 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 4 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% | 1.23 | 2.69 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 20 | 6 | 64 | 277 | 58 | 38 | 3 | 30% | 3.2 | 15.5% | 16.2% | -0.7% | 1.8% | 4.34 | 4.83 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Salem Red Sox | 20 | 6 | 64 | 277 | 58 | 38 | 3 | 30% | 3.2 | 20.9% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 1.1% | 4.34 | 3.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 25 | 0 | 50 | 221 | 69 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 2.0 | 23.3% | 17.0% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 4.11 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BOS | 59 | 0 | 62 | 260 | 38 | 45 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.8% | 17.2% | -2.4% | 2.8% | 5.97 | 5.97 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.8% | 17.2% | -2.4% | 2.8% | 5.97 | 5.97 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 112 | 481 | 107 | 77 | 10 | — | — | 22.3% | 16.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 5.13 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 44 | 41 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.66 | 5.57 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 48 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.6% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.42 | 5.33 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | BOS | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.6% | 15.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 5.66 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | BOS | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 31 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.6% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.42 | 5.33 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 50 | 43 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.51 | 5.04 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 144 | 124 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.51 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 49 | 6 | 122 | 524 | 100 | 85 | 9 | 12% | 2.5 | 19.2% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.06 | 4.47 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 10 | 200 | 859 | 165 | 140 | 14 | 12% | 2.5 | 19.2% | 16.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.06 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Griffin Kilander (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.97 | 14.8% | 17.2% | 2.8% | — | 5.45 | 17.1% | 2.4% | 127 | -0.52 | — | — | — |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.20 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.19 | 17.9% | 5.9% | 182 | -1.01 | 3.59 | 327 | 86 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 86 |
| Blake Quinn R 2026 · 5.32 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.32 | 16.9% | 15.3% | 3.1% | .328 | 4.28 | 17.1% | 3.3% | 48 | -1.04 | 4.28 | 122 | 85 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2027 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 84 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 84 |
| Jon Keller R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.41 | 15.3% | 20.9% | 1.7% | .265 | 3.84 | 8.9% | -2.9% | 15 | -1.57 | 3.62 | 156 | 83 |
| Dylan Rheault R 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.57 | 6.5% | 14.9% | 2.1% | .288 | 4.14 | 14.1% | 4.8% | 96 | -1.43 | 3.96 | 198 | 82 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 82 |
| David Lucroy R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.85 | 15.8% | 16.8% | 1.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 103 | 81 |
| Luis Ledo R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.45 | 17.1% | 17.6% | 2.9% | .329 | 3.60 | 20.8% | 8.0% | 85 | -1.85 | 3.22 | 376 | 81 |
| Josue Gerardo R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.33 | 17.8% | 23.5% | 1.4% | .220 | 5.99 | 16.5% | -6.0% | 30 | +0.66 | 4.59 | 122 | 81 |
| Jacob Morris R 2027 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 80 |
| Austin Pettibone R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.94 | 14.6% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 142 | 80 |
| Abel Brito R 2026 · 6.54 FIP | 23 | SU | 6.54 | 14.0% | 23.6% | 3.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 147 | 79 |
| Taylor Grover R 2027 · 5.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.40 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% | .229 | 4.26 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -1.14 | 3.63 | 239 | 79 |
| Audry Lugo R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.73 | 13.7% | 16.3% | 3.1% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.05 | 113 | 79 |
| David Trexler R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.91 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.9% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.47 | 4.44 | 100 | 79 |
| Mark McLaughlin R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.18 | 15.8% | 13.3% | 3.1% | .247 | 4.30 | 19.3% | 10.6% | 82 | -0.88 | 4.28 | 195 | 79 |
| Juan Gámez R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.85 | 11.9% | 16.7% | 1.2% | .293 | 4.16 | 14.1% | -0.5% | 70 | -0.69 | 3.86 | 130 | 79 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2028 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 63 | 16.4% | 15.5% | 1.09 | 5.68 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |