Griffin Kilander

Griffin Kilander P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 205 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION73 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.10

FIP6.10

K%14.8%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%-3.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	7	26	6	3	0	0%	1.8	23.1%	11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	1.23	2.61	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	4	0	7	26	6	3	0	0%	1.8	23.1%	11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	1.23	2.61	—
2024	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	4	0	7	26	6	3	0	0%	1.8	23.1%	11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	1.23	2.69	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	64	277	58	38	3	30%	3.2	15.5%	16.2%	-0.7%	1.6%	4.34	4.71	—
2025	22	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	20	6	64	277	58	38	3	30%	3.2	15.5%	16.2%	-0.7%	1.6%	4.34	4.71	—
2025	22	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	20	6	64	277	58	38	3	30%	3.2	20.9%	13.7%	7.2%	1.1%	4.34	3.68	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	37	0	73	328	100	43	9	0%	2.0	23.0%	15.4%	7.6%	3.6%	5.42	5.11	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	37	0	73	328	100	43	9	0%	2.0	23.0%	15.4%	7.6%	3.6%	5.42	5.11	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	BOS	20	0	34	165	53	25	2	0%	1.7	32.1%	15.2%	17.0%	1.2%	5.50	2.97	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	BOS	14	0	35	146	42	16	7	0%	2.5	28.8%	11.0%	17.8%	4.8%	4.84	4.69	—
2026	23	AA RAW	BOS	3	0	3	17	5	2	0	0%	1.1	29.4%	11.8%	17.6%	0.0%	10.80	2.11	—
ROS	23	MLB MLE	BOS	5	0	5	22	3	4	1	0%	1.0	14.8%	18.4%	-3.6%	2.8%	6.10	6.10	-0.1
2026 TOT	23	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	78	350	103	47	10	—	—	29.5%	13.4%	16.1%	2.7%	5.47	5.18	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BOS	70	0	73	309	51	50	9	0%	1.0	16.6%	16.2%	0.5%	2.8%	5.76	5.66	-0.9
2028	25	MLB MLE	BOS	71	0	74	313	55	46	9	0%	1.0	17.6%	14.8%	2.9%	2.8%	5.50	5.39	-0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	BOS	71	0	74	313	57	45	9	0%	1.0	18.1%	14.4%	3.7%	2.8%	5.37	5.32	-0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	BOS	70	0	73	309	56	44	9	0%	1.0	18.3%	14.4%	3.9%	2.9%	5.33	5.33	-0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	BOS	68	0	71	299	54	43	9	0%	1.0	18.1%	14.5%	3.6%	3.0%	5.38	5.41	-0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	BOS	64	0	68	286	51	42	9	0%	1.1	17.9%	14.8%	3.1%	3.1%	5.48	5.54	-0.7
2033	30	MLB MLE	BOS	61	0	64	269	47	40	9	0%	1.0	17.6%	15.1%	2.5%	3.3%	5.62	5.72	-0.8
2027	24	MLB CTX	BOS	30	0	32	135	22	22	4	0%	1.1	16.6%	16.2%	0.5%	2.8%	5.76	5.66	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	BOS	47	0	49	207	37	31	6	0%	1.0	17.6%	14.8%	2.9%	2.8%	5.50	5.39	-0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56	0	59	249	45	36	7	0%	1.1	18.1%	14.4%	3.7%	2.8%	5.37	5.32	-0.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	BOS	59	0	62	262	48	38	7	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.4%	3.9%	2.9%	5.33	5.33	-0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	BOS	60	0	63	266	48	39	8	0%	1.1	18.1%	14.5%	3.6%	3.0%	5.38	5.41	-0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	BOS	59	0	62	262	47	39	8	0%	1.1	17.9%	14.8%	3.1%	3.1%	5.48	5.54	-0.7
2033	30	MLB CTX	BOS	56	0	59	249	44	38	8	0%	1.1	17.6%	15.1%	2.5%	3.3%	5.62	5.72	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		367	0	385	1627	290	240	48	0%	1.0	17.9%	14.8%	3.1%	3.0%	5.47	5.09	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	151	125	25	0%	1.1	17.9%	14.8%	3.1%	3.0%	5.47	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		61	6	145	631	124	98	16	10%	2.4	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.6%	4.73	4.83	-5.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	8	200	872	172	136	23	10%	2.4	19.7%	15.6%	4.1%	2.6%	4.73	4.83	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Griffin Kilander (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.10	14.8%	18.4%	2.8%	—	5.46	17.5%	2.4%	222	-0.64	—	—	—
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	87
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	86
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	85
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	84
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	84
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	83
Jack Jasiak R 2023 · 5.03 FIP	22	SU	5.03	12.1%	14.2%	2.1%	.288	3.81	19.8%	12.1%	193	-1.22	3.24	262	83
Dylan Rheault R 2015 · 5.75 FIP	23	SU	5.75	6.5%	14.9%	2.4%	.288	4.11	14.1%	4.8%	96	-1.64	3.88	198	82
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	82
David Lucroy R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	15.8%	16.8%	2.0%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	103	82
Josue Gerardo R 2016 · 5.33 FIP	23	SU	5.33	17.8%	23.5%	1.4%	.220	5.99	16.5%	-6.0%	30	+0.66	4.59	122	82
Luis Ledo R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	23	SU	5.51	17.1%	17.6%	3.0%	.329	3.65	20.8%	8.0%	85	-1.86	3.27	376	82
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	81
Austin Pettibone R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	23	SU	5.11	14.6%	16.2%	2.2%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	142	81
Ocean Gabonia R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	22	SU	5.04	15.4%	14.6%	2.5%	.283	3.29	19.1%	10.9%	91	-1.75	2.79	144	81
Alexis Liebano R 2023 · 6.15 FIP	20	SU	6.15	11.8%	24.2%	1.8%	.312	6.00	17.7%	3.8%	112	-0.15	4.80	142	80
Audry Lugo R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	23	SU	5.76	13.7%	16.3%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	113	80
German Taveras R 2016 · 6.41 FIP	23	SU	6.41	10.9%	15.7%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	108	80
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	80
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	70	17.4%	15.3%	1.13	5.56
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59