Xavier Kolhosser

Xavier Kolhosser P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 194 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.98

FIP4.98

K%22.0%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	4	26	111	32	14	2	29%	1.8	17.2%	16.7%	0.6%	0.0%	4.21	3.76	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	4	26	111	32	14	2	29%	1.8	17.2%	16.7%	0.6%	0.0%	4.21	3.76	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	4	26	111	32	14	2	29%	1.8	28.8%	12.6%	16.2%	1.8%	4.21	3.26	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	27	1	51	228	76	31	6	4%	1.9	25.2%	15.8%	9.5%	3.3%	5.86	4.80	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	27	1	51	228	76	31	6	4%	1.9	25.2%	15.8%	9.5%	3.3%	5.86	4.80	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	MIN	13	0	20	89	32	11	2	0%	1.5	36.0%	12.4%	23.6%	2.2%	4.95	2.86	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	MIN	14	1	31	139	44	20	4	7%	2.2	31.7%	14.4%	17.3%	2.9%	6.46	3.83	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	MIN	48	0	51	214	49	26	6	0%	1.1	22.7%	12.2%	10.4%	2.9%	4.79	4.71	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	MIN	49	0	51	217	50	24	6	0%	1.0	23.1%	11.2%	11.9%	2.9%	4.63	4.55	0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	MIN	49	0	51	217	51	24	6	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.1%	12.2%	2.9%	4.55	4.51	+0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	MIN	48	0	51	214	50	24	6	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.1%	12.2%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	MIN	21	0	22	93	21	11	3	0%	1.0	22.7%	12.2%	10.4%	2.9%	4.79	4.71	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	MIN	32	0	34	144	33	16	4	0%	1.1	23.1%	11.2%	11.9%	2.9%	4.63	4.55	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	MIN	39	0	41	173	40	19	5	0%	1.1	23.3%	11.1%	12.2%	2.9%	4.55	4.51	+0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	MIN	41	0	43	182	42	20	5	0%	1.0	23.3%	11.1%	12.2%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		133	0	140	591	137	67	17	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.3%	11.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.18	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	196	96	24	0%	1.1	23.2%	11.3%	11.8%	2.9%	4.61	4.18	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		41	5	76	339	77	54	8	12%	1.9	22.6%	16.1%	6.5%	2.2%	5.31	4.46	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	13	200	888	201	143	20	12%	1.9	22.6%	16.1%	6.5%	2.2%	5.31	4.46	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Xavier Kolhosser (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	22.0%	13.8%	2.9%	—	4.59	23.0%	11.5%	154	-0.39	—	—	—
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	90
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	88
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	86
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	86
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	86
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	86
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	85
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	85
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	85
Tyler Schimpf R 2019 · 4.04 FIP	23	SU	4.04	24.3%	15.9%	1.8%	.300	5.63	24.1%	7.1%	58	+1.59	3.37	126	84
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	84
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	84
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	84
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	83
David Ellingson R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	23	SU	4.15	20.5%	14.6%	1.7%	.362	3.52	18.0%	10.2%	105	-0.63	3.43	150	83
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	83
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	43	23.0%	11.5%	1.13	4.65
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33