Nate Garkow
P
New Hampshire Fisher Cats
Age 28
RHP
5'11" / 190 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 30 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.21
FIP4.21
K%26.2%
BB%11.2%
K-BB%15.0%
ROS IP30
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 24 | 93 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 27.1% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 1.6% | 1.88 | 3.50 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 24 | 93 | 34 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 36.6% | 11.8% | 24.7% | 1.1% | 1.88 | 2.18 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 54 | 222 | 86 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.8% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 2.3% | 3.19 | 3.61 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 54 | 222 | 86 | 29 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 38.7% | 13.1% | 25.7% | 1.4% | 3.19 | 2.24 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 18 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 22 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 19.2% | -0.0% | 1.5% | 3.60 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TOR | 28 | 0 | 30 | 125 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 50 | 216 | 55 | 31 | 4 | — | — | 25.3% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 3.96 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | TOR | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 26.2% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.21 | 3.83 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 31 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.30 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 40 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 212 | 85 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 98 | 406 | 111 | 64 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.4% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 1.9% | 2.95 | 3.84 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 147 | 0 | 200 | 831 | 227 | 130 | 16 | 0% | 1.4 | 27.4% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 1.9% | 2.95 | 3.84 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nate Garkow (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.35 | 25.7% | 14.5% | 28 | +0.14 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 88 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 82 |
| Shane Greene R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.54 | 25.8% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .253 | 3.91 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 154 | +0.37 | 2.90 | 484 | 82 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 81 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 81 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 81 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.74 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .277 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | -0.06 | 2.78 | 596 | 81 |
| Brad Brach R 2027 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 27.5% | 10.8% | 2.0% | .259 | 3.16 | 25.6% | 17.1% | 210 | -0.09 | 2.73 | 410 | 81 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 81 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 81 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 81 |
| Blake Wood R 2027 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.05 | 24.5% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .325 | 3.66 | 24.9% | 14.9% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.05 | 210 | 81 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 80 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2029 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 80 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 80 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.16 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .299 | 3.68 | 16.8% | 11.4% | 39 | -0.48 | 3.68 | 323 | 80 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.68 | 27.1% | 12.5% | 4.2% | .389 | 4.81 | 29.1% | 19.7% | 116 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 220 | 80 |
| Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2029 · 3.41 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.41 | 26.5% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .241 | 3.66 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.25 | 3.41 | 212 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 25.9% | 11.2% | 1.11 | 4.25 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Lucas Sims ('24) | 6 | 47 | 27.6% | 11.6% | 1.24 | 4.22 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |