Diomer Gonzalez P ACL Athletics
Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION2 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 118
ERA5.20
FIP5.20
K%13.9%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%3.6%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
K: -2.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-3KBB: -0.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: +0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+0CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.16 (38 IP)-0.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF3030
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†3045
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202419ROKDSL Athletics731576128143%2.110.7%13.2%-2.4%1.3%7.804.57
202419ROKDSL Athletics731576128143%2.115.8%10.5%5.3%1.3%7.803.97
202520ROKDSL Athletics107441753711170%4.414.4%7.9%6.5%1.1%2.233.48
202520ROKDSL Athletics107441753711170%4.421.1%6.3%14.9%0.6%2.232.47
▸ 2026 Season
202621ROKACL Athletics212901050%1.00.00
ROS21MLBOAK663615121164100%6.013.9%10.3%3.6%2.9%5.205.20-0.3
ROS21MLBOAK013.9%10.3%3.6%2.8%5.165.16
2026 TOT21MLBOAK381602117413.1%10.3%2.8%2.7%4.924.92-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBOAK773815826155100%5.416.3%9.8%6.6%2.8%4.984.90-0.2
202823MLBOAK773916429155100%5.617.8%9.4%8.4%2.8%4.804.71-0.1
202924MLBOAK774016831155100%5.718.6%9.2%9.4%2.8%4.674.60-0.0
203025MLBOAK774017133155100%5.819.1%9.0%10.1%2.8%4.594.54+0.0
203126MLBOAK774017133155100%5.819.3%9.0%10.3%2.8%4.554.52+0.0
203227MLBOAK774016832155100%5.719.3%9.1%10.2%2.8%4.554.550.0
203328MLBOAK663916331155100%6.419.2%9.2%9.9%2.9%4.604.64-0.0
202722MLBOAK3318761272100%6.016.3%9.8%6.6%2.8%4.944.86-0.1
202823MLBOAK552811821113100%5.617.8%9.4%8.4%2.7%4.774.68-0.0
202924MLBOAK663313926134100%5.518.6%9.2%9.4%2.7%4.644.57-0.0
203025MLBOAK663615229144100%6.019.1%9.0%10.1%2.7%4.564.51+0.0
203126MLBOAK663715630144100%6.219.3%9.0%10.3%2.7%4.524.49+0.0
203227MLBOAK663715630144100%6.219.3%9.1%10.2%2.8%4.524.52+0.0
203328MLBOAK663615229144100%6.019.2%9.2%9.9%2.9%4.564.60-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career39392259521788726100%5.818.7%9.2%9.5%2.8%4.614.20+3.2
/ 200 IP34342008441587723100%5.818.7%9.2%9.5%2.8%4.614.20+2.8
Career1911612603325358%3.212.8%9.5%3.3%1.1%3.523.83+0.5
/ 200 IP623620084810981958%3.212.8%9.5%3.3%1.1%3.523.83+3.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Diomer Gonzalez (OGILVIE) 5.20 13.9%10.3%2.9% 4.73 17.6%8.2%116 -0.47
Henry Valencio R 2025 · 4.15 FIP 20 SP- 4.15 16.4%10.6%2.0%.293 5.11 11.9%-11.9%14 +0.96 3.48 136 85
Ramon Santos R 2026 · 5.00 FIP 21 SP- 5.00 12.7%10.6%3.0%.323 4.24 15.6%5.5%199 -0.76 3.84 355 85
Jonathan Petit R 2026 · 4.74 FIP 21 SP- 4.74 16.3%9.1%3.4%.272 5.09 15.6%2.4%113 +0.35 2.80 189 85
Trent Fennell R 2027 · 4.48 FIP 22 SP- 4.48 14.5%12.5%1.9%.317 4.24 20.9%7.5%89 -0.24 3.88 163 85
Abel Brito R 2026 · 4.94 FIP 21 SP- 4.94 15.7%12.6%2.8%.310 5.83 13.2%-8.6%70 +0.89 4.13 147 84
Jheyson Caraballo R 2026 · 5.25 FIP 21 SW 5.25 11.9%10.6%3.3%.322 3.39 101 84
David Rodriguez R 2027 · 4.41 FIP 22 SP- 4.41 13.5%11.7%1.8%.316 3.77 17.7%10.1%102 -0.64 3.66 161 84
Holden Wilkerson R 2027 · 4.37 FIP 22 SP- 4.37 14.4%9.1%2.4%.370 4.86 15.8%4.8%63 +0.49 4.37 114 84
Wuilberth Mendez R 2026 · 5.18 FIP 21 SP- 5.18 13.2%8.9%3.8%.293 3.81 137 84
Adriel Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.27 FIP 20 SP- 4.27 14.8%9.7%2.2%.327 3.58 117 84
Miguel Rondon R 2026 · 5.13 FIP 21 SP- 5.13 15.5%11.4%3.5%.289 2.62 179 84
Juan Gomez R 2025 · 5.39 FIP 20 SP- 5.39 10.9%12.6%2.9%.345 3.58 11.2%-0.1%61 -1.81 3.58 113 83
Jonathan Jimenez R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 21 SP- 4.25 14.6%10.3%2.0%.272 7.97 13.5%-0.5%55 +3.72 3.49 174 83
Nolberto Henriquez R 2026 · 4.75 FIP 21 SP- 4.75 16.0%13.4%2.4%.305 5.43 11.3%-3.1%52 +0.68 4.75 108 82
Michael Cederoth R 2027 · 4.02 FIP 22 SP- 4.02 16.8%13.0%1.3%.292 4.87 21.6%2.4%83 +0.85 4.02 118 82
Noah Skirrow R 2028 · 4.34 FIP 23 SP- 4.34 18.4%11.5%2.4%.306 4.68 16.2%5.7%316 +0.34 3.90 371 82
Tanner Hall R 2027 · 4.56 FIP 22 SP- 4.56 18.8%11.2%3.0%.295 5.39 10.1%-4.6%72 +0.83 4.56 137 82
Sasagi Sanchez R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 21 SW 4.42 11.4%9.4%2.0%.289 4.54 12.7%4.0%108 +0.12 3.48 180 81
Tyler Mark R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 21 SP- 4.56 15.5%11.9%2.3%.400 4.79 17.5%3.9%170 +0.23 2.94 194 81
Shane Davis R 2026 · 5.14 FIP 21 SP- 5.14 17.3%9.8%4.1%.313 4.08 20.9%6.7%55 -1.06 4.08 129 81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION83918.0%9.4%1.104.73
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Bryan Shaw ('23)86421.4%9.4%1.124.19
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82
Buck Farmer ('24)105021.6%10.5%1.234.59
Luis Cessa ('23)85318.3%7.8%1.404.43