Jacob Gomez — OGILVIE

Jacob Gomez P Rome Emperors

Age 25 LHP 5'10" / 190 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 29 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.74

FIP4.74

K%24.0%

BB%13.7%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP29

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	7	0	14	50	22	3	0	0%	2.0	32.6%	7.1%	25.5%	0.0%	0.66	1.25	—
2024	22	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	7	0	14	50	22	3	0	0%	2.0	32.6%	7.1%	25.5%	0.0%	0.66	1.25	—
2024	22	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	7	0	14	50	22	3	0	0%	2.0	44.0%	6.0%	38.0%	0.0%	0.66	0.54	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	51	207	67	29	2	3%	1.5	24.5%	16.3%	8.2%	1.0%	2.82	3.63	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	1	51	207	67	29	2	3%	1.5	24.5%	16.3%	8.2%	1.0%	2.82	3.63	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	1	51	207	67	29	2	3%	1.5	32.4%	14.0%	18.4%	1.0%	2.82	2.69	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ATL	28	0	29	122	29	17	3	0%	1.0	24.0%	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	4.74	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ATL	44	0	46	194	47	26	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	13.2%	10.9%	2.8%	4.68	4.68	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	ATL	43	0	45	191	46	25	6	0%	1.1	24.1%	13.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.67	4.69	-0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	ATL	42	0	44	185	44	24	6	0%	1.0	23.9%	12.9%	11.0%	3.0%	4.71	4.75	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	ATL	19	0	20	84	20	11	2	0%	1.1	24.1%	13.2%	10.9%	2.8%	4.68	4.68	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	ATL	27	0	28	118	28	15	3	0%	1.0	24.1%	13.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.67	4.69	-0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	ATL	31	0	33	139	33	18	4	0%	1.1	23.9%	12.9%	11.0%	3.0%	4.71	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		77	0	81	342	82	45	10	0%	1.1	24.0%	13.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.69	4.33	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	202	111	25	0%	1.1	24.0%	13.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.69	4.33	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		40	1	65	257	67	37	2	2%	1.6	26.0%	14.5%	11.6%	0.8%	2.37	3.17	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	3	200	795	207	115	6	2%	1.6	26.0%	14.5%	11.6%	0.8%	2.37	3.17	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jacob Gomez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.74	24.0%	13.7%	2.8%	—	4.71	24.0%	11.0%	135	-0.03	—	—	—
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	88
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	88
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	87
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	86
Trey Cumbie L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SU	4.54	25.3%	15.3%	3.0%	.284	5.07	23.3%	7.2%	42	+0.53	3.44	152	85
C.J. Widger L 2024 · 4.21 FIP	25	SU	4.21	26.0%	16.0%	2.3%	.258	5.75	18.1%	-0.7%	57	+1.54	3.83	105	84
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	84
Giovanni Soto L 2016 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	21.3%	14.3%	1.6%	.348	4.18	25.6%	15.1%	25	+0.17	3.30	128	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2024 · 4.48 FIP	25	SU	4.48	24.0%	11.1%	3.6%	.355	5.36	18.3%	4.9%	93	+0.88	4.15	142	83
Robby Ahlstrom L 2024 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	21.9%	11.6%	2.1%	.294	4.02	20.7%	11.1%	120	+0.13	3.79	332	83
Hunter Cervenka L 2015 · 3.63 FIP	25	SU	3.63	25.2%	14.7%	1.5%	.381	4.34	22.0%	10.0%	109	+0.71	3.08	194	82
Jared Tobey L 2021 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	23.6%	11.8%	2.8%	.341	8.03	20.1%	1.1%	25	+3.92	3.99	158	82
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.59	24.3%	15.3%	149	+0.91	3.68	206	82
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	82
Wayne Franklin L 2000 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	20.4%	10.7%	1.9%	.319	5.53	13.7%	2.4%	231	+1.73	3.80	315	81
Will Ohman L 2001 · 4.66 FIP	23	SU	4.66	22.2%	11.1%	3.7%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	350	81
Peyton Alford L 2023 · 3.69 FIP	25	SU	3.69	28.0%	12.4%	2.5%	.303	4.09	24.5%	13.4%	175	+0.40	3.48	291	81
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	80
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	80
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	41	24.0%	13.1%	1.12	4.70
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Tim Byrdak ('13)	1.7	42	21.4%	13.3%	1.22	4.35
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82