Anderson Araujo — OGILVIE

Anderson AraujoC FCL Phillies

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION142 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%23

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$67M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$7M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+1.4	$6M	+$3M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+1.4	$5M	+$1M
Totals		$27M		$39M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	159	46	11	3	7	19	37	4	11	5	289	379	528	907	239	336	20	10	395	154	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	167	35	8	2	6	11	54	4	11	5	210	275	389	664	180	264	30	6	288	81	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	167	35	8	2	6	11	54	4	11	5	210	275	389	664	180	269	30	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	159	46	11	3	7	19	37	4	11	5	289	379	528	907	239	336	20	10	395	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	166	35	8	2	6	11	54	4	11	5	211	275	392	666	181	264	30	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	166	35	8	2	6	11	54	4	11	5	211	275	392	666	181	264	30	6	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	PHI	—	142	127	27	4	1	0	14	35	1	10	2	213	296	260	556	47	293	25	10	256	59	-7	+1	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	PHI	—	142	118	33	5	2	0	23	24	1	10	2	280	401	356	757	76	351	17	16	352	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	PHI	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		288	23	8	280	76	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	PHI	—	155	139	29	4	1	0	15	38	1	10	2	209	290	252	542	43	287	25	10	258	61	-7	+1	-0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	43%	239	214	48	8	2	4	20	59	3	3	1	224	300	336	636	112	290	25	8	292	84	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.5
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	61%	368	330	77	13	3	8	31	89	4	4	1	233	307	364	670	130	292	24	8	300	89	-5	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	465	417	99	17	4	11	39	111	6	5	1	237	312	376	688	139	293	24	8	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+8	+10	1.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	520	464	111	19	4	13	44	123	7	5	1	239	315	381	696	142	294	24	8	310	96	-3	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	520	464	111	19	4	13	44	123	7	4	1	239	315	381	696	142	295	24	8	313	98	-1	+0	-1	+9	+11	1.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	72%	520	464	112	19	4	14	44	122	7	4	1	241	317	390	707	149	296	23	8	315	99	-0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	520	464	112	19	4	14	44	122	7	4	1	241	317	390	707	149	296	23	8	316	100	+0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	520	464	112	19	4	14	44	122	7	4	1	241	317	390	707	149	296	23	8	317	101	+0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	70%	520	463	112	19	4	14	45	122	7	4	1	242	318	391	709	149	296	23	9	317	101	+0	+0	-1	+9	+11	2.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	69%	520	462	112	19	4	14	46	123	7	4	1	242	320	392	712	149	295	24	9	316	100	+0	+0	-2	+9	+11	2.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	67%	520	462	111	19	4	14	46	124	7	4	1	240	318	390	708	149	294	24	9	314	99	-1	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	PHI	66%	520	462	109	18	4	13	46	125	7	4	1	236	315	377	691	141	293	24	9	311	97	-2	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.6
2039	31	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	504	449	105	17	4	13	44	123	6	3	1	234	311	376	687	143	291	24	9	307	94	-4	+0	-4	+9	+11	1.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	489	437	100	16	4	12	43	121	6	3	1	229	307	366	673	137	287	25	9	302	90	-6	+0	-4	+9	+11	1.0
2041	33	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	473	423	94	15	3	11	41	120	6	3	1	222	300	350	650	128	283	25	9	295	86	-8	+0	-5	+8	+10	0.6
2042	34	MLB MLE	PHI	60%	439	393	85	13	3	9	38	114	5	3	1	216	294	333	627	117	278	26	9	286	80	-11	+0	-6	+8	+10	0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	PHI	43%	103	93	22	4	1	2	8	25	1	1	0	237	304	366	670	129	293	24	8	288	84	-2	+0	-0	+2	+2	0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	61%	224	200	47	8	2	5	19	54	3	3	1	235	311	370	681	135	295	24	8	296	89	-3	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.6
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	317	283	69	12	3	8	27	76	4	3	1	244	318	392	711	148	296	24	9	301	93	-3	+0	-1	+6	+7	1.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	370	331	81	14	3	10	31	88	5	3	1	245	319	396	715	151	297	24	8	306	96	-2	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	376	336	82	14	3	10	32	89	5	3	1	244	319	393	712	149	298	24	9	309	98	-1	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	72%	372	332	82	14	3	11	32	87	5	3	1	247	322	407	729	160	299	23	9	311	99	-0	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	370	330	82	14	3	11	32	87	5	3	1	248	324	409	733	161	299	24	9	312	100	+0	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	369	329	82	14	3	11	32	86	5	3	1	249	325	410	735	161	299	23	9	313	101	+0	+0	-1	+7	+8	1.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	70%	362	323	79	13	3	11	31	85	5	3	1	245	320	406	726	161	298	23	9	313	101	+0	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.4
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	69%	358	319	78	13	3	10	31	85	5	3	1	245	321	398	719	154	298	24	9	312	100	+0	+0	-1	+6	+8	1.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	67%	348	310	76	13	3	10	31	83	4	3	1	245	322	403	725	158	297	24	9	310	99	-1	+0	-2	+6	+8	1.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	PHI	66%	342	305	74	12	3	10	30	82	4	2	1	243	319	400	719	157	296	24	9	307	97	-1	+0	-2	+6	+7	1.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	329	293	70	12	2	9	29	80	4	2	0	239	316	386	702	147	293	24	9	303	94	-2	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.9
2040	32	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	317	282	66	11	2	8	28	79	4	2	0	234	312	372	684	138	290	25	9	297	90	-4	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.7
2041	33	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	306	272	63	10	2	8	27	77	4	2	0	232	310	371	682	140	286	25	9	290	86	-5	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.4
2042	34	MLB CTX	PHI	60%	264	236	52	8	2	6	23	69	3	2	0	220	298	347	645	127	280	26	9	282	80	-6	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5127	4574	1105	186	41	140	443	1232	66	41	11	242	318	392	710	150	299	24	9	305	94	-29	+4	-22	+92	+111	15.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	141	24	5	18	56	156	8	5	1	243	318	395	713	152	300	24	9	305	94	-4	+0	-3	+12	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	7853	7011	1647	277	61	197	671	1900	103	72	21	235	311	376	687	141	293	24	9	308	94	-47	+6	-33	+137	+166	23.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	136	23	5	16	56	157	9	6	2	234	312	374	686	140	293	24	9	308	94	-4	+0	-3	+12	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	9.3	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	8.0	5,279	132	42	237	309	379	+94	-37	20.9	16.5
/162	664	17	5	+11.9	-4.7	2.6	pk7: 12
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#5Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13
#6Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Araujo (OGILVIE)	18	25→47	30→50	40→30	50	219/289/324	105	288	2	4	25%	8%	76	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	42→45	37→40	45	224/284/332	108	283	10	3	24%	7%	75	-0.5	242/309/351	109	303	9	3	22%	7%	88	+0.5	232/336/343	111	304	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.6
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	66	-1.1	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	209/308/288	79	290	8	4	28%	11%	73	-0.2
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→55	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	63	-1.4	248/300/360	112	296	11	2	20%	6%	86	+0.3	257/334/422	165	298	20	1	20%	10%	111	+1.3
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	60	-1.6	187/235/264	77	245	5	4	25%	5%	40	-3.0	253/312/396	144	279	17	0	16%	7%	98	+0.6
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	67	-1.1	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	63	-1.4	190/234/269	79	257	8	1	28%	3%	40	-0.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	76	-0.4	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	61	-1.5	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Francisco Ventura 2017 · A	18	48	40	41→40	54	228/297/319	92	260	7	6	15%	9%	76	-0.4	221/275/291	70	307	4	5	27%	7%	61	-1.5	222/262/247	25	337	0	0	32%	5%	42	-0.7
●Willy Adames 2014 · A	18	44→53	37→60	43→50	55	202/304/287	85	274	3	9	25%	12%	73	-0.6	220/288/329	109	333	6	7	33%	8%	75	-0.5	238/319/443	205	285	27	12	26%	10%	111	+2.2
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→40	44→55	44→45	43	197/263/310	113	267	13	9	30%	8%	63	-1.4	199/261/321	122	254	13	9	26%	7%	64	-1.3	217/271/392	175	242	26	8	23%	6%	83	+0.1
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	74	-0.6	209/254/346	137	287	16	2	32%	5%	68	-1.0	243/303/441	198	304	26	1	28%	7%	106	+1.5
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	47	39→45	42→40	47	226/292/305	79	288	7	8	23%	8%	72	-0.7	218/267/274	56	278	3	6	21%	5%	54	-2.0	237/288/332	95	305	11	1	25%	6%	73	-0.3
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	86	+0.3	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	76	-0.4	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
●Josmil Pinto 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→50	44→40	47	204/259/282	78	245	6	5	19%	7%	53	-2.1	204/266/305	101	247	8	4	20%	7%	62	-1.4	252/318/406	154	302	16	0	21%	8%	102	+1.2
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	65	-1.2	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	53	-2.1	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	23	-0.9
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2017 · A	19	51→44	42→50	40→45	49	245/295/346	101	262	10	5	11%	6%	82	-0.0	235/276/361	126	277	13	6	20%	4%	78	-0.3	225/263/372	146	262	18	5	22%	3%	75	-0.4
✕Amadeo Zazueta 2006 · A	20	45→55	45	40→50	44	223/268/355	132	261	12	5	20%	6%	74	-0.5	209/254/322	113	255	10	5	22%	5%	61	-1.5	285/316/376	91	312	6	10	10%	3%	93	+0.6
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	68	-1.0	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	85	+0.2	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Adinso Reyes 2021 · A	19	46	43→45	41→40	38	224/269/334	110	299	10	5	28%	4%	70	-0.9	180/233/285	105	338	12	4	47%	5%	45	-2.7	150/203/249	99	291	13	2	51%	5%	24	-1.3
✕Armando Sierra 2023 · A	19	47	41→45	43→40	47	227/288/323	97	280	8	4	22%	7%	74	-0.5	213/268/313	100	305	9	4	31%	6%	64	-1.3	189/239/286	97	292	10	0	37%	6%	45	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps