Anderson Araujo — OGILVIE

Anderson AraujoC FCL Phillies

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION142 act + 94 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .296 / .350

PA94

HR2

K%25

BB%8

BABIP285

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED30

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$13M	+$12M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.4	$12M	+$12M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.5	$12M	+$11M
2034	Arb-1	$5M	+2.5	$11M	+$9M
2035	Arb-2	$8M	+2.5	$10M	+$7M
2036	Arb-3	$11M	+2.4	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$27M		$67M	+$56M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	166	36	9	3	7	12	54	4	11	5	217	286	434	719	217	274	30	7	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	159	46	11	3	7	19	37	4	11	5	289	379	528	907	239	336	20	10	395	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	142	127	27	4	1	0	14	35	1	10	2	213	296	260	556	47	293	25	10	256	54	-7	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.0
YTD	18	ROK	PHI	—	142	118	33	5	2	0	23	24	1	10	2	280	401	356	757	76	351	17	16	352	127	+4	+1	+0	+3	+4	1.2
ROS	18	ROK	PHI	0%	94	85	19	3	1	2	8	24	1	3	1	222	296	350	646	128	288	25	8	282	74	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	18	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	277	70	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	PHI	—	142	128	27	4	1	0	14	35	1	10	2	211	296	258	554	47	290	25	10	256	54	-7	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.0
TOT	18	ROK	PHI	—	236	212	46	7	2	2	22	59	2	13	3	216	296	296	592	80	290	25	9	266	62	-10	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	PHI	43%	272	245	56	10	2	5	22	67	3	4	1	229	300	347	647	118	291	25	8	294	83	-5	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2028	20	MLB	PHI	61%	393	352	82	14	3	9	33	96	5	4	1	233	308	366	674	134	293	24	8	302	89	-5	+0	-1	+7	+11	1.3
2029	21	MLB	PHI	68%	483	433	102	17	4	12	41	116	6	5	1	236	310	376	687	141	294	24	8	307	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+14	1.9
2030	22	MLB	PHI	71%	520	464	111	19	4	13	44	124	7	5	1	239	315	381	696	142	294	24	8	311	96	-2	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.2
2031	23	MLB	PHI	72%	520	464	112	19	4	14	44	123	7	4	1	241	317	390	707	149	295	24	8	314	98	-1	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.3
2032	24	MLB	PHI	72%	520	464	112	19	4	14	44	123	7	4	1	241	317	390	707	149	296	24	8	316	100	-0	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.4
2033	25	MLB	PHI	71%	520	464	112	19	4	14	44	123	7	4	1	241	317	390	707	149	296	24	8	317	101	+1	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2034	26	MLB	PHI	71%	520	463	112	19	4	14	45	122	7	4	1	242	318	391	709	149	296	23	9	318	101	+1	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2035	27	MLB	PHI	70%	520	463	112	19	4	14	45	123	7	4	1	242	318	391	709	149	296	24	9	318	101	+1	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.5
2036	28	MLB	PHI	69%	520	462	111	19	4	14	46	124	7	4	1	240	318	390	708	149	295	24	9	317	101	+0	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.4
2037	29	MLB	PHI	67%	520	462	111	19	4	14	46	125	7	4	1	240	318	390	708	149	294	24	9	315	99	-1	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.2
2038	30	MLB	PHI	66%	520	462	110	18	4	14	46	126	7	4	1	238	317	385	702	147	293	24	9	312	97	-2	+0	-3	+9	+15	2.0
2039	31	MLB	PHI	65%	504	448	105	17	4	13	45	124	6	3	1	234	313	377	690	143	291	25	9	308	94	-4	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.7
2040	32	MLB	PHI	65%	489	437	100	16	4	12	43	122	6	3	1	229	307	366	673	137	288	25	9	302	90	-6	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.3
2041	33	MLB	PHI	65%	473	423	94	15	3	11	41	120	6	3	1	222	300	350	650	128	283	25	9	295	84	-8	+0	-5	+8	+13	0.9
2042	34	MLB	PHI	60%	439	393	85	13	3	10	38	114	5	3	1	216	294	341	635	125	278	26	9	287	78	-11	+0	-6	+8	+12	0.4
2027	19	MLB	PHI	43%	117	105	24	4	1	2	10	29	1	2	0	229	302	343	645	114	293	25	9	288	78	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	20	MLB	PHI	61%	239	214	50	9	2	5	20	58	3	3	1	234	308	364	673	131	295	24	8	295	84	-4	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2029	21	MLB	PHI	68%	329	294	70	12	3	8	28	79	4	3	1	238	313	381	694	143	296	24	9	300	88	-5	+0	-1	+6	+9	1.0
2030	22	MLB	PHI	71%	370	331	80	14	3	10	31	88	5	3	1	242	316	393	709	151	296	24	8	304	91	-4	+0	-1	+7	+10	1.3
2031	23	MLB	PHI	72%	376	336	81	14	3	10	32	89	5	3	1	241	316	390	706	149	297	24	9	307	93	-3	+0	-1	+7	+11	1.4
2032	24	MLB	PHI	72%	372	332	81	14	3	10	32	88	5	3	1	244	320	395	714	151	298	24	9	309	94	-2	+0	-1	+7	+11	1.5
2033	25	MLB	PHI	71%	370	330	81	14	3	10	32	87	5	3	1	245	322	397	718	152	298	24	9	310	95	-2	+0	-1	+7	+10	1.5
2034	26	MLB	PHI	71%	369	329	80	14	3	10	32	87	5	3	1	243	320	395	715	152	298	24	9	310	96	-2	+0	-1	+7	+10	1.5
2035	27	MLB	PHI	70%	362	323	78	13	3	10	31	86	5	3	1	241	318	393	711	152	298	24	9	310	96	-2	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.5
2036	28	MLB	PHI	69%	358	319	77	13	3	10	31	85	5	3	1	241	318	395	713	154	297	24	9	309	95	-2	+0	-1	+6	+10	1.4
2037	29	MLB	PHI	67%	348	310	76	13	3	10	31	83	4	3	1	245	322	403	725	158	297	24	9	308	94	-3	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.2
2038	30	MLB	PHI	66%	342	305	73	12	3	9	30	83	4	2	1	239	316	387	703	148	295	24	9	305	91	-3	+0	-2	+6	+10	1.1
2039	31	MLB	PHI	65%	329	293	69	12	2	9	29	81	4	2	0	235	313	382	695	147	293	25	9	301	88	-4	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.9
2040	32	MLB	PHI	65%	317	282	65	11	2	8	28	79	4	2	0	230	309	369	678	138	290	25	9	295	84	-6	+0	-3	+6	+9	0.7
2041	33	MLB	PHI	65%	306	272	61	10	2	7	27	78	4	2	0	224	304	353	657	129	285	25	9	289	79	-7	+0	-3	+5	+9	0.4
2042	34	MLB	PHI	60%	264	236	52	8	2	6	23	69	3	2	0	220	298	347	645	127	280	26	9	280	73	-8	+0	-3	+5	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5168	4612	1098	187	41	134	447	1249	66	42	11	238	314	384	698	145	296	24	9	303	90	-60	+4	-22	+92	+146	16.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	139	24	5	17	56	157	8	5	1	240	315	386	701	147	298	24	9	303	90	-8	+1	-3	+12	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	8010	7150	1682	284	63	206	687	1950	105	76	22	235	311	379	690	144	293	24	9	309	94	-50	+6	-33	+143	+227	29.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	137	23	5	17	56	158	9	6	2	236	313	381	694	145	294	24	9	309	94	-4	+0	-3	+12	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	159	46	11	3	7	19	37	4	11	5	289	379	528	907	239	336	20	10	395	161	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Iannettalast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 4,253 PA	14	4,253	141	11	230	345	406	+76	-30	23.7	21.5
	/162	664	22	2	230	345	406	+11.9	-4.6	3.7	pk7: 19
#2Kurt Suzukilast yr '22 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,163 PA	16	6,163	143	20	255	314	388	+110	-35	22.7	20.5
	/162	664	15	2	255	314	388	+11.9	-3.8	2.4	pk7: 18
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	5,341	136	43	237	309	381	+95	-37	21.5	16.9
	/162	664	17	5	237	309	381	+11.9	-4.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#6Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	8	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
	/162	664	24	1	254	313	425	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Araujo (OGILVIE)	18	25→47	30→50	40→30	50	216/296/296	80	290	2	13	25%	9%	62	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	44→54	42→45	37→40	44	216/277/321	104	275	9	3	25%	7%	66	-0.6	239/305/344	105	301	8	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	63	-0.9	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	58	-1.2	188/232/267	79	256	8	1	29%	3%	30	-0.9
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	72	-0.2	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	55	-1.4	186/235/263	77	243	5	4	25%	5%	32	-3.0	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→49	46→60	43→30	45	215/275/340	125	273	14	3	26%	7%	70	-0.3	206/250/349	143	284	18	2	33%	5%	62	-0.9	245/305/447	202	325	28	0	32%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Francisco Ventura 2017 · A	18	48	40	41→40	54	228/297/319	92	260	7	6	15%	9%	73	-0.1	221/275/291	70	307	4	5	27%	7%	56	-1.3	222/262/247	25	337	0	0	32%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	47	39→45	42→40	47	226/292/305	79	288	7	8	23%	8%	68	-0.5	218/267/274	56	277	3	6	21%	5%	48	-1.9	232/282/331	98	300	12	1	26%	6%	67	-0.3
●Josmil Pinto 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→55	44→40	47	204/259/282	78	245	6	5	19%	7%	47	-1.9	204/266/305	101	247	8	4	20%	7%	57	-1.2	251/317/419	167	299	19	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
●Tyler Stephenson 2016 · A	19	44→54	36→55	41→30	42	207/263/279	72	289	3	3	28%	6%	49	-1.8	203/263/290	87	291	7	3	30%	7%	52	-1.6	253/327/404	151	320	18	1	25%	9%	105	+1.4
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	61	-1.0	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
✕Sebastian Valle 2008 · A	18	46→49	38→50	43→40	49	216/286/302	86	264	5	6	20%	8%	65	-0.7	209/261/312	103	271	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.3	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Amadeo Zazueta 2006 · A	20	45→55	45	40→50	44	223/268/355	132	261	12	5	20%	6%	71	-0.3	209/254/322	113	255	10	5	22%	5%	56	-1.3	282/313/378	96	307	8	10	11%	3%	91	+0.8
✕Armando Sierra 2023 · A	19	46	41→45	43→40	47	225/288/323	98	278	9	4	22%	7%	71	-0.3	214/269/315	101	304	9	4	31%	6%	60	-1.0	191/241/289	98	292	10	0	37%	6%	39	-0.5
✕Adinso Reyes 2021 · A	19	46	43→45	41→40	38	224/269/334	110	299	10	5	28%	4%	66	-0.6	178/231/282	104	339	12	4	48%	5%	37	-2.7	146/199/242	96	289	13	2	52%	5%	10	-1.4
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8