Anderson Araujo — OGILVIE

Anderson AraujoC DSL Phillies Red

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.9 · 2034

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .283 / .340

PA154

HR3

K%29

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25↗47

PWR

30↗50

SPD

40↘30

FLD

30↗42

EYE

50→50

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.0peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.7	$35M	+$34M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.8	$37M	+$36M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.9	$40M	+$39M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+3.9	$41M	+$33M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$12M	+3.8	$41M	+$28M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$17M	+3.6	$40M	+$23M
Totals		$40M		$234M	+$193M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	183	166	36	9	3	7	12	54	4	11	5	.217	.286	.434	.719	.217	.274	30	7	.303	90	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	PHI	154	139	29	5	1	3	12	45	2	2	0	.209	.281	.324	.605	.115	.289	29	8	.282	74	-4	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	PHI	239	213	49	8	2	6	21	67	3	3	1	.230	.308	.371	.679	.141	.303	28	9	.307	93	-2	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.9
2028	20	MLB 28%	PHI	368	326	78	13	2	11	34	100	5	5	1	.239	.321	.393	.713	.153	.309	27	9	.318	102	+1	+1	-1	+7	+10	1.8
2029	21	MLB 48%	PHI	465	410	100	17	3	14	45	123	7	6	1	.244	.329	.402	.731	.159	.309	26	10	.326	108	+4	+1	-1	+8	+13	2.6
2030	22	MLB 65%	PHI	520	456	112	19	3	17	52	134	7	6	1	.246	.332	.412	.744	.167	.309	26	10	.333	113	+8	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.2
2031	23	MLB 86%	PHI	520	454	113	19	3	18	54	131	7	5	1	.249	.338	.423	.761	.174	.309	25	10	.339	118	+10	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.5
2032	24	MLB	PHI	520	452	113	19	3	18	55	129	8	5	1	.250	.342	.425	.767	.175	.309	25	11	.343	121	+12	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.7
2033	25	MLB	PHI	520	451	114	19	3	19	56	129	8	4	1	.253	.346	.435	.780	.182	.310	25	11	.346	123	+14	+0	-1	+9	+15	3.8
2034	26	MLB	PHI	520	450	114	19	3	19	57	128	8	4	1	.253	.348	.436	.783	.182	.311	25	11	.348	124	+14	+0	-1	+9	+15	3.9
2035	27	MLB	PHI	520	449	114	19	3	19	58	129	8	4	0	.254	.350	.437	.786	.183	.311	25	11	.348	125	+14	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.9
2036	28	MLB	PHI	520	449	114	19	3	19	58	130	8	3	0	.254	.350	.437	.786	.183	.310	25	11	.347	124	+14	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.8
2037	29	MLB	PHI	520	450	113	19	3	19	58	131	7	3	0	.251	.346	.433	.779	.182	.310	25	11	.345	122	+13	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.6
2038	30	MLB	PHI	520	450	111	18	3	18	58	133	7	3	0	.247	.342	.420	.762	.173	.308	26	11	.342	120	+12	+1	-3	+9	+15	3.4
2039	31	MLB	PHI	504	435	106	17	3	17	57	131	7	2	0	.244	.341	.414	.754	.170	.307	26	11	.338	117	+10	+0	-4	+9	+14	3.0
2040	32	MLB	PHI	489	424	103	17	3	16	55	130	7	2	0	.243	.340	.410	.750	.167	.305	27	11	.333	113	+7	+0	-4	+9	+14	2.6
2041	33	MLB	PHI	473	411	98	16	3	15	53	129	6	2	0	.238	.334	.401	.736	.163	.304	27	11	.328	109	+5	+0	-5	+8	+13	2.2
2042	34	MLB	PHI	441	383	88	14	2	13	49	124	6	2	0	.230	.326	.379	.705	.149	.302	28	11	.321	104	+2	+0	-6	+8	+12	1.7
2043	35	MLB	PHI	377	328	74	12	2	11	41	110	5	2	0	.226	.321	.375	.696	.149	.300	29	11	.313	98	-1	+0	-6	+7	+11	1.1
2044	36	MLB	PHI	315	274	60	9	2	8	34	95	4	2	0	.219	.314	.354	.668	.135	.297	30	11	.304	91	-3	+0	-7	+6	+9	0.5
2045	37	MLB	PHI	251	219	46	7	1	6	27	78	3	1	0	.210	.305	.333	.639	.123	.293	31	11	.294	83	-5	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.0
2046	38	MLB	PHI	188	164	33	5	1	4	20	60	2	1	0	.201	.296	.317	.613	.116	.288	32	11	.283	75	-5	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9127	7953	1918	319	55	297	966	2420	129	78	13	.241	.333	.407	.740	.166	.307	27	11	.331	111	+116	+10	-62	+163	+259	49.7
/ 162G	—			650	566	137	23	4	21	69	172	9	6	1	.242	.333	.408	.741	.166	.309	26	11	.331	111	+8	+1	-4	+12	+18	3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	183	159	46	11	3	7	19	37	4	11	5	.289	.379	.528	.907	.239	.336	20	10	.395	161	+13	+0	—	—	+5	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Araujo (OGILVIE)	18	25→47	30→50	40→30	50	.214/.283/.340	.126	.289	3	2	29%	8%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Willy Adames 2014 · A	18	44→53	37→60	43→50	55	.204/.304/.289	.085	.276	3	9	25%	11%	70	-0.3	.222/.290/.332	.110	.330	6	7	32%	8%	73	-0.1	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
★Xander Bogaerts 2012 · A	19	43→53	49→60	42→55	41	.222/.273/.365	.143	.281	17	4	27%	6%	76	+0.0	.244/.297/.396	.152	.312	17	5	26%	6%	94	+1.3	.293/.370/.507	.214	.325	27	7	18%	10%	148	+4.3
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A	18	50→57	37→50	44→50	42	.231/.298/.310	.079	.319	4	5	27%	6%	72	-0.2	.233/.297/.322	.089	.310	7	4	25%	6%	74	-0.1	.278/.371/.439	.161	.339	19	13	22%	11%	132	+2.8
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	43→45	38→40	46	.227/.287/.337	.110	.280	10	4	22%	7%	74	-0.1	.243/.310/.355	.112	.303	9	3	22%	7%	89	+0.9	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	40→50	43→45	44	.205/.267/.300	.095	.269	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.185/.233/.263	.078	.242	5	4	25%	5%	31	-3.0	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	40→45	50	.215/.291/.285	.070	.280	4	8	23%	9%	63	-0.9	.194/.266/.263	.069	.302	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	.211/.309/.291	.080	.290	8	4	27%	11%	71	-0.1
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	40	.230/.273/.349	.119	.292	11	4	25%	4%	71	-0.3	.214/.267/.303	.089	.290	7	4	27%	6%	56	-1.3	.176/.240/.214	.038	.249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
●Miguel Sanó 2011 · A	18	44→52	43→70	45	37	.212/.262/.323	.112	.317	11	6	35%	6%	59	-1.1	.211/.275/.398	.187	.296	23	6	35%	7%	85	+0.7	.243/.334/.470	.227	.340	31	2	35%	11%	124	+3.1
●Gary Sánchez 2011 · A	18	49→51	47→65	46→45	39	.239/.293/.375	.135	.327	14	5	30%	6%	86	+0.8	.220/.268/.368	.148	.299	18	6	32%	5%	75	-0.0	.232/.315/.480	.248	.254	37	1	26%	9%	119	+2.3
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→54	37→60	46→50	46	.215/.278/.292	.076	.296	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	.231/.286/.324	.093	.321	6	13	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→41	42→45	44→50	46	.227/.316/.333	.107	.303	8	7	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.212/.309/.337	.125	.286	12	8	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.203/.305/.339	.136	.270	15	9	28%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	42→30	46	.210/.281/.301	.092	.255	7	5	20%	6%	63	-0.8	.212/.270/.299	.087	.272	7	4	24%	5%	57	-1.2	.189/.232/.268	.080	.253	8	1	28%	3%	31	-0.9
●Josmil Pinto 2007 · A	18	43→53	38→55	44→40	47	.205/.261/.284	.079	.247	6	6	20%	7%	49	-1.8	.202/.264/.299	.097	.244	8	5	20%	7%	55	-1.4	.254/.321/.415	.161	.304	18	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
●Tyler Stephenson 2016 · A	19	44→54	37→50	42→30	42	.208/.264/.281	.073	.290	3	4	28%	6%	50	-1.8	.207/.268/.296	.089	.292	7	3	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.253/.327/.399	.146	.323	16	1	25%	9%	102	+1.3
✕Rayner Santana 2021 · A	18	46	47→50	43→40	43	.215/.300/.355	.140	.337	15	5	38%	9%	85	+0.7	.170/.234/.261	.091	.383	10	5	54%	6%	33	-2.9	.108/.166/.164	.056	.288	8	3	62%	5%	-23	-1.7
✕Yonatan Henriquez 2023 · A	18	45→48	40→45	43→55	45	.209/.292/.297	.088	.310	7	9	32%	8%	67	-0.5	.198/.280/.275	.077	.287	5	14	30%	9%	56	-1.3	.204/.287/.292	.088	.279	6	20	27%	10%	60	-0.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	.230/.303/.339	.110	.271	10	5	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.291/.326	.101	.280	9	5	22%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
★Austin Riley 2016 · A	19	44→54	49→65	45→40	38	.218/.279/.361	.143	.320	17	5	36%	6%	78	+0.2	.214/.260/.366	.152	.309	18	3	36%	5%	71	-0.3	.273/.345/.498	.224	.325	30	1	25%	8%	136	+4.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)