Anderson Araujo

C FCL Phillies

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 177 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1067ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	183	.289/.379/.528	7	11	59	—	.182/.258/.321
2026	18	ROKPHI	142	.280/.401/.356	0	10	63	—	.214/.303/.262
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBPHI	252	.216/.284/.319	3	4	71	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPHI	44	.221/.291/.337	1	1	76	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPHI	110	.225/.296/.349	2	1	81	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%80

Speed80

K%72

Z-Con%62

Whiff%61

wRC+56

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 5.8, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 87%

CompsRamon Mendoza (age 20) · Alexander Campos (age 18) · Elias Díaz (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .282 / .316

PA73

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	159	46	11	3	7	19	37	4	11	5	289	379	528	907	239	336	20	10	395	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	142	118	33	5	2	0	23	24	1	10	2	280	401	356	757	76	351	17	16	352	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	165	30	7	2	4	13	46	4	11	5	182	258	321	579	139	220	25	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	126	27	4	1	0	15	35	1	10	2	214	303	262	565	48	297	25	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	165	30	7	2	4	13	46	4	11	5	182	258	321	579	139	224	25	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	159	46	11	3	7	19	37	4	11	5	289	379	528	907	239	336	20	10	395	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	126	27	4	1	0	15	35	1	10	2	214	303	262	565	48	297	25	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	142	118	33	5	2	0	23	24	1	10	2	280	401	356	757	76	351	17	16	352	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	164	30	7	2	4	13	46	4	11	5	183	258	323	581	140	220	25	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	125	27	4	1	0	15	35	1	10	2	216	303	264	567	48	297	25	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	183	164	30	7	2	4	13	46	4	11	5	183	258	323	581	140	220	25	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	142	125	27	4	1	0	15	35	1	10	2	216	303	264	567	48	297	25	11	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	252	229	49	9	2	3	19	65	2	4	1	216	284	319	603	103	283	26	8	273	71	-9	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	128	116	26	5	1	2	10	32	1	2	0	220	290	333	623	112	285	25	8	281	76	-4	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	226	203	45	8	2	4	18	57	3	3	1	224	295	344	638	120	286	25	8	287	81	-5	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	337	303	69	12	3	7	27	83	4	4	1	227	298	353	651	126	288	25	8	292	84	-6	+0	-3	+6	+7	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	414	373	86	15	4	9	33	102	5	5	1	229	301	360	661	131	289	25	8	296	87	-7	+1	-3	+7	+9	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	445	401	93	16	4	10	36	108	5	5	1	232	303	366	669	135	290	24	8	300	89	-6	+1	-3	+8	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	445	401	93	16	4	10	36	108	5	5	1	232	303	368	671	136	290	24	8	300	89	-6	+1	-2	+8	+10	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	445	401	92	16	4	10	36	108	5	4	1	232	303	369	672	137	290	24	8	301	90	-5	+0	-2	+8	+10	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	445	401	92	16	4	10	36	109	5	4	1	231	302	366	668	135	289	24	8	299	89	-6	+0	-2	+8	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	445	401	92	16	4	10	36	110	5	4	1	229	300	361	661	132	288	25	8	296	87	-7	+0	-3	+8	+10	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	445	401	91	16	3	10	36	111	5	3	2	226	297	355	652	128	286	25	8	293	84	-8	-0	-3	+8	+10	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	445	402	90	16	3	9	35	113	5	3	2	223	294	347	641	124	284	25	8	288	81	-10	-0	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	426	386	84	15	3	8	33	110	4	2	8	219	289	337	626	118	281	26	8	282	77	-12	-3	-5	+8	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	44	41	9	2	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	221	291	337	628	115	285	25	7	283	76	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	110	99	22	4	1	2	9	28	1	1	0	225	296	349	644	124	287	25	8	290	81	-3	+0	-1	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	183	164	38	6	2	4	15	45	2	2	1	228	299	358	658	130	288	25	8	295	84	-3	+0	-2	+3	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	234	210	48	8	2	5	19	57	3	3	1	231	302	366	668	135	289	24	8	299	87	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	252	227	53	9	2	6	20	61	3	3	1	233	304	372	677	139	290	24	8	303	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	251	226	52	9	2	6	20	61	3	3	1	234	305	374	679	141	290	24	8	303	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	251	226	52	9	2	6	20	61	3	2	1	234	305	375	680	141	290	24	8	304	90	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	247	222	52	9	2	6	20	61	3	2	1	232	304	372	676	140	289	25	8	302	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	244	219	51	9	2	6	20	60	3	2	1	231	302	367	669	137	288	25	8	299	87	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	238	214	48	8	2	5	19	60	3	2	1	228	299	361	659	133	287	25	8	296	84	-4	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	234	211	48	8	2	5	19	59	2	1	1	225	295	352	647	128	285	25	8	291	81	-5	-0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	222	201	45	7	2	5	17	57	2	1	4	220	290	342	632	122	282	26	8	284	77	-6	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2510	2260	518	88	21	57	201	621	28	23	13	229	300	362	663	133	289	25	8	297	83	-43	-1	-17	+45	+54	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	134	23	5	15	52	161	7	6	3	229	300	362	662	133	289	25	8	297	83	-11	-0	-4	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5044	4546	1025	181	43	104	406	1251	58	66	27	225	297	353	650	127	287	25	8	292	83	-84	+1	-32	+84	+102	7.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	132	23	6	13	52	161	7	9	3	225	296	352	647	126	287	25	8	292	83	-12	+0	-4	+12	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Phillies · 142 PAwOBA .344 → .261 (−83)K% 16.9% → 24.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.90%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	24.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.20%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	10.27%
HBP% /PA	0.70%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.52%
Singles /BIP	27.66%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.037	×1.022	24.05%
Doubles /BIP	5.32%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.037	×1.022	4.06%
Triples /BIP	2.13%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.037	×1.022	1.62%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .344 → .261; ISO .076 → .057; BABIP .351 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 183 PAwOBA .385 → .255 (−131)K% 20.2% → 24.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.22%	÷0.990	×1.220	—	—	24.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.84%	÷0.980	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.18%
HBP% /PA	2.19%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.56%
Singles /BIP	20.49%	÷1.063	×0.680	×1.022	×1.022	13.69%
Doubles /BIP	9.02%	÷0.932	×0.600	×1.022	×1.022	6.06%
Triples /BIP	2.46%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.022	×1.022	1.71%
Home runs /BIP	5.74%	÷0.849	×0.470	—	×1.022	3.25%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 113, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .385 → .255; ISO .239 → .147; BABIP .336 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
#2Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Scott Servais'91-'01 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,778 PA	4.2	2,778	63	3	235*	296*	373*	+49	+0	6.5	6.9
/162	664	15	1	+11.7	+0.1	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.9	2,583	55	24	229	296	358	+46	-20	7.4	6.5
/162	664	14	6	+11.9	-5.0	1.9	pk7: 6
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Araujo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	214/282/316	102	283	1	1	26%	8%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	45→51	38→45	40→45	45	210/282/297	87	291	5	4	28%	7%	66	-1.1	196/268/274	78	282	4	5	29%	8%	56	-1.9	232/310/341	109	301	10	3	24%	9%	83	+0.1
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	43	35→40	39→45	54	200/286/260	60	251	3	8	20%	10%	59	-1.6	189/262/255	66	292	3	9	33%	8%	49	-2.4	213/312/292	79	295	7	4	27%	11%	75	-0.1
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	39→49	38→50	42→45	47	187/254/264	78	235	5	5	22%	7%	49	-2.4	183/232/256	73	238	4	4	24%	5%	37	-3.3	251/309/394	143	277	17	0	16%	7%	99	+0.7
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Jancel Villarroel 2024 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	53	218/308/313	95	272	6	8	21%	10%	80	-0.1	214/289/309	95	287	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.7	215/287/315	100	285	9	11	26%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Paul Kelly 2006 · A	19	45→52	40	40	40	216/274/305	90	305	8	6	30%	6%	65	-1.2	232/286/316	84	295	4	5	22%	5%	72	-0.7	244/298/328	84	302	3	3	19%	5%	76	-0.3
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	42→50	41→30	44	214/268/309	96	274	10	4	25%	6%	63	-1.3	253/306/367	114	303	12	2	20%	6%	91	+0.6	260/336/420	160	301	19	1	20%	10%	113	+1.4
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	42→40	50	210/283/277	67	260	5	8	20%	8%	62	-1.4	215/266/268	53	272	3	6	21%	6%	53	-2.1	247/298/343	95	318	11	1	25%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Juan Fernandez 2019 · A	20	43→53	39→40	39→50	44	205/264/289	84	263	6	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	211/270/305	94	274	8	5	25%	6%	63	-1.3	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Jacob Reimer 2024 · A	20	46→49	40→45	44→50	50	217/316/303	86	302	8	5	28%	10%	82	-0.0	226/307/346	120	303	11	9	27%	9%	87	+0.4	226/302/377	150	302	15	14	28%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Tyler Nevin 2017 · A	20	44→54	38→50	40→45	45	209/276/295	86	290	5	6	28%	8%	63	-1.3	239/291/345	106	307	9	7	24%	6%	80	-0.2	240/319/380	139	292	16	4	22%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Bryan Ramos 2021 · A	19	44→42	40→50	44→50	41	210/271/306	95	293	8	6	30%	6%	63	-1.3	215/279/354	139	276	16	6	28%	6%	79	-0.2	211/278/358	146	263	19	5	27%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Xavier Fernández 2014 · A	19	49	36→45	40	45	229/279/293	64	291	3	5	22%	6%	63	-1.4	213/263/294	81	262	6	3	20%	6%	58	-1.7	233/283/351	119	276	13	2	20%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Clayton Campbell 2023 · A	19	37→44	37→45	41→45	44	174/265/248	74	284	4	4	37%	9%	50	-2.3	177/259/266	89	265	7	6	33%	8%	52	-2.2	157/241/237	80	226	7	5	32%	8%	38	-1.2
✕Cutter Dykstra 2009 · A	20	44→54	42→40	41→55	45	215/280/315	100	287	9	7	28%	8%	70	-0.9	213/274/291	78	300	6	14	29%	7%	61	-1.5	239/306/325	86	316	6	16	24%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2013 · A	19	47→54	37→50	44→40	47	223/289/295	72	272	4	12	19%	6%	68	-1.0	226/281/287	61	280	3	5	19%	6%	63	-1.4	223/310/358	136	283	15	3	25%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	41	38→45	41→30	48	193/269/270	77	229	5	4	18%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/293	84	266	6	4	23%	5%	59	-1.6	190/235/269	79	257	8	1	28%	3%	40	-0.9

Anderson Araujo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps