Carlos Garcia — OGILVIE

Carlos GarciaC DSL Blue Jays Blue

Age 19 L/R 5'9" / 174 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .279 / .280

PA6

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	80	66	15	3	0	0	12	15	1	0	0	227	354	273	627	45	288	19	15	298	88	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	80	70	11	2	0	0	8	22	1	0	0	157	253	186	439	29	222	28	10	207	26	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	80	70	11	2	0	0	8	22	1	0	0	157	253	186	439	29	224	28	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	80	66	15	3	0	0	12	15	1	0	0	227	354	273	627	45	288	19	15	298	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	80	71	11	2	0	0	8	22	1	0	0	155	253	183	436	28	222	28	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Blue Jays Blue	—	80	71	11	2	0	0	8	22	1	0	0	155	253	183	436	28	222	28	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		289	33	0	259	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TOR	34%	164	148	33	6	1	2	13	43	2	0	0	223	294	318	612	95	291	26	8	270	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2028	21	MLB MLE	TOR	48%	304	273	61	11	2	4	25	78	3	0	0	223	296	322	618	99	292	26	8	277	73	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	TOR	54%	408	367	82	15	2	6	33	104	5	0	0	223	296	324	621	101	293	25	8	282	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	477	430	97	17	3	7	39	121	5	0	0	226	297	328	625	102	294	25	8	285	79	-12	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	520	466	106	19	3	8	43	131	6	0	0	227	301	333	634	105	295	25	8	286	80	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2032	25	MLB MLE	TOR	57%	520	466	106	19	3	8	43	131	6	0	0	227	301	333	634	105	295	25	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2033	26	MLB MLE	TOR	56%	520	466	107	19	3	9	43	131	6	0	0	230	303	341	644	112	295	25	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2034	27	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	520	465	107	19	3	9	44	131	6	0	0	230	305	342	647	112	295	25	8	288	81	-12	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	TOR	59%	520	465	106	19	3	8	44	132	6	0	0	228	303	333	636	105	294	25	8	287	81	-12	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	TOR	61%	520	465	104	18	3	8	44	133	6	0	0	224	299	327	626	103	293	26	8	285	79	-13	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2037	30	MLB MLE	TOR	62%	520	465	103	18	2	8	44	134	6	0	0	222	297	320	618	99	292	26	8	282	77	-14	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.5
2038	31	MLB MLE	TOR	63%	504	450	98	17	2	7	43	132	6	0	0	218	295	311	606	93	290	26	9	278	75	-15	+0	-3	+9	+11	0.2
2039	32	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	488	439	94	16	2	7	41	130	5	0	0	214	289	308	596	93	286	27	8	273	71	-17	+0	-4	+9	+11	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	TOR	34%	56	50	11	2	0	1	5	15	1	0	0	220	304	320	624	100	293	27	9	263	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	TOR	48%	147	132	30	5	1	2	12	38	2	0	0	227	301	326	627	98	294	26	8	270	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	TOR	54%	221	199	44	8	1	3	18	56	2	0	0	221	292	317	609	95	295	25	8	274	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	270	243	56	10	2	4	22	68	3	0	0	230	302	337	640	107	295	25	8	277	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	24	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	294	265	61	11	2	5	24	74	3	0	0	230	301	343	645	113	296	25	8	279	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	25	MLB CTX	TOR	57%	294	265	61	11	2	5	24	74	3	0	0	230	301	343	645	113	296	25	8	280	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	26	MLB CTX	TOR	56%	294	265	61	11	2	5	24	74	3	0	0	230	301	343	645	113	296	25	8	281	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2034	27	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	288	259	59	10	2	5	24	73	3	0	0	228	301	340	640	112	296	25	8	281	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	TOR	59%	307	274	63	11	2	5	26	78	4	0	0	230	306	339	645	109	296	25	8	280	81	-7	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.5
2036	29	MLB CTX	TOR	61%	317	283	64	11	2	5	27	81	4	0	0	226	303	332	635	106	295	26	9	278	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2037	30	MLB CTX	TOR	62%	324	289	65	11	2	5	28	84	4	0	0	225	302	329	631	104	293	26	9	275	77	-9	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.3
2038	31	MLB CTX	TOR	63%	318	284	63	11	1	5	27	83	4	0	0	222	298	320	619	99	291	26	8	271	75	-10	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.1
2039	32	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	311	279	59	10	1	4	26	83	3	0	0	211	286	297	583	86	288	27	8	266	71	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3441	3087	697	122	20	54	287	881	39	0	0	226	300	331	630	105	296	26	8	276	77	-91	+0	-7	+61	+75	4.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	132	23	4	10	54	166	7	0	0	226	299	331	630	105	298	26	8	276	77	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6071	5441	1216	215	32	91	507	1555	69	0	0	223	298	325	623	101	294	26	8	282	77	-158	+0	-10	+107	+130	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	130	23	3	10	54	166	7	0	0	223	297	324	621	101	292	26	8	282	77	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.3	3,515	53	1	225	295	326	+63	+32	6.5	5.6
/162	664	10	0	+11.9	+6.0	1.2	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	210/279/280	70	289	0	0	27%	8%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Starlin Aguilar 2022 · A	18	41	38→50	42→45	45	195/267/273	78	268	5	3	28%	8%	55	-1.9	200/250/267	67	295	3	4	31%	5%	47	-2.6	182/231/281	99	278	10	2	37%	5%	40	-1.0
✕Leopoldo Correa 2011 · A	19	41	37→45	42→30	47	194/260/268	74	247	3	4	22%	7%	51	-2.2	214/272/303	89	268	7	3	22%	7%	63	-1.3	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Carlos Soto 2018 · A	19	44	35→45	47→30	48	206/271/262	56	268	3	3	23%	8%	53	-2.1	199/261/286	87	276	8	4	29%	7%	56	-1.9	168/255/284	116	235	12	0	32%	10%	53	-0.8
✕Shed Long Jr. 2015 · A	19	39→49	36→50	46→50	39	188/233/248	60	262	3	6	29%	5%	36	-3.4	224/279/342	118	305	11	9	29%	7%	75	-0.5	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	42	38→45	52→45	44	198/258/283	84	268	4	6	26%	7%	53	-2.1	213/253/294	81	276	5	8	23%	5%	53	-2.1	262/284/362	100	318	5	7	19%	2%	77	-0.1
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	43	36→45	46→55	53	200/285/268	68	260	3	9	23%	10%	61	-1.5	217/295/305	88	312	7	14	30%	10%	73	-0.6	206/286/298	92	317	9	17	35%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	51	-2.3	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	47	-2.6	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Robert Lopez 2023 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	40	174/248/241	67	276	4	6	36%	7%	41	-3.0	195/256/281	86	295	7	4	34%	7%	53	-2.1	183/247/263	80	272	8	3	34%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→41	39→55	47→45	39	169/233/258	89	267	6	8	37%	7%	39	-3.1	207/271/343	136	302	13	8	34%	8%	73	-0.6	206/286/370	164	268	21	5	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2021 · A	19	37→47	36→45	44→45	43	180/244/238	58	245	3	6	27%	6%	38	-3.2	177/256/265	88	271	6	6	34%	8%	50	-2.3	210/283/339	129	268	13	5	26%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Luilly Baez 2008 · A	19	41	34→45	44→40	43	191/254/247	56	284	2	5	31%	8%	44	-2.8	213/291/302	89	281	5	5	24%	9%	71	-0.8	225/317/339	114	273	8	2	19%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2019 · A	20	45→39	38→45	48→55	50	214/284/293	79	268	6	5	22%	8%	65	-1.2	195/274/272	77	286	5	5	30%	9%	58	-1.7	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Juan Diaz 2007 · A	18	37→47	35→45	44→45	45	175/255/243	68	260	2	6	31%	8%	45	-2.7	206/250/273	67	281	3	5	26%	5%	47	-2.5	251/287/343	92	329	7	7	25%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2012 · A	19	41	39→45	45	42	194/268/284	90	301	6	6	35%	8%	58	-1.7	221/281/320	99	290	5	10	24%	6%	70	-0.8	222/278/321	99	292	5	13	24%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Alixon Suarez 2012 · A	18	39	36→45	43→40	48	187/274/249	62	250	4	3	25%	8%	53	-2.1	195/268/275	80	256	5	4	24%	7%	57	-1.8	183/257/267	85	235	5	2	23%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Daniel Santos 2018 · A	19	37	36→45	46→40	43	178/255/242	64	250	3	6	28%	7%	45	-2.7	197/260/282	85	284	6	6	31%	6%	55	-2.0	186/247/273	87	269	7	4	31%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Herman Armas 2006 · A	19	37	36→45	41→50	44	179/250/243	64	257	4	7	30%	8%	42	-2.9	210/278/316	106	287	9	10	28%	7%	70	-0.9	212/283/329	117	282	11	12	27%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	41	38→45	48→40	42	197/246/269	72	251	5	3	23%	5%	46	-2.6	214/269/309	95	283	8	3	26%	6%	64	-1.3	199/285/301	102	280	11	2	31%	10%	67	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps