Carter Dorighi — OGILVIE

Carter DorighiSS Everett AquaSox

Age 23 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION264 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†36

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .253 / .253

PA176

HR1

SB6

K%30

BB%6

BABIP284

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	63	58	11	1	0	1	3	18	0	1	0	190	230	259	488	69	244	29	5	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	63	56	11	1	0	1	5	13	0	1	0	196	262	268	530	71	227	21	8	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	502	458	112	23	2	0	31	142	9	24	4	245	305	303	609	59	350	28	6	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	2 teams	—	502	445	128	30	3	0	44	106	9	24	4	288	363	369	732	81	373	21	9	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	SEA	—	264	245	45	7	0	2	16	87	1	14	1	184	237	237	473	53	274	33	6	217	24	-23	+2	+0	+3	+7	-1.0
YTD	23	A+	SEA	—	264	236	56	10	0	3	25	62	1	14	1	237	313	318	631	81	308	23	9	289	79	-6	+2	+0	+3	+7	0.7
ROS	23	A+	SEA	0%	176	162	32	6	0	1	11	53	1	6	1	198	253	253	506	56	285	30	6	233	36	-13	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
ROS	23	MLB	SEA	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						283	0	0	225	30	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	SEA	—	265	246	45	7	0	2	16	87	1	14	1	183	236	236	472	53	272	33	6	217	24	-23	+2	+0	+3	+8	-1.0
TOT	23	A+	SEA	—	440	407	77	13	0	3	27	140	2	20	2	189	243	243	486	54	278	32	6	223	29	-35	+3	+0	+5	+12	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	SEA	30%	475	437	91	17	1	5	31	139	4	13	1	208	267	286	553	78	290	29	7	252	51	-26	+2	+0	+5	+13	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	SEA	44%	502	459	98	18	1	7	34	144	4	13	1	214	274	303	576	89	290	29	7	262	59	-23	+2	+0	+5	+14	-0.2
2029	26	MLB	SEA	51%	517	472	102	19	1	8	35	146	5	13	1	216	277	311	589	95	291	28	7	268	63	-22	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.1
2030	27	MLB	SEA	52%	522	475	103	19	1	9	37	147	5	12	1	217	280	318	598	101	291	28	7	269	64	-21	+2	+0	+6	+15	0.1
2027	24	MLB	SEA	30%	144	133	28	5	0	2	9	42	1	4	0	211	266	293	559	83	287	29	6	244	45	-9	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	SEA	44%	222	203	44	8	1	3	15	64	2	6	1	217	277	310	588	94	288	29	7	253	52	-12	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.3
2029	26	MLB	SEA	51%	262	240	51	9	1	4	18	74	2	6	1	212	273	308	581	96	288	28	7	259	56	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	SEA	52%	274	251	54	10	1	4	19	77	2	6	1	215	276	311	586	96	288	28	7	260	57	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	903	828	177	32	3	13	61	257	7	22	3	214	273	307	580	93	292	28	7	256	54	-47	+3	+0	+10	+26	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	127	23	2	9	44	185	5	16	2	213	273	304	577	91	291	28	7	256	54	-34	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2757	2521	549	103	6	31	182	789	28	82	9	218	278	300	578	83	301	29	7	261	58	-131	+13	+0	+30	+78	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	128	24	1	7	43	186	7	19	2	215	276	295	571	79	299	29	7	261	58	-31	+3	+0	+7	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	63	56	11	1	0	1	5	13	0	1	0	196	262	268	530	71	227	21	8	238	40	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	22	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	154	141	37	9	3	0	10	38	1	5	0	262	316	369	685	106	352	25	6	303	90	-2	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	348	304	91	21	0	0	34	68	8	19	4	299	384	368	753	69	382	20	10	345	122	+9	+2	—	—	+10	2.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	904	14	22	215	273	309	+10	+6	-0.2	-0.0
	/162	664	10	16	215	273	309	+7.1	+4.4	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Dorighi (OGILVIE)	23	50	20	55	40	189/243/243	54	278	3	20	32%	6%	29	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Danny Woodrow 2018 · A	23	46→56	34→30	51→55	44	215/269/272	56	289	1	17	25%	7%	48	-1.9	239/289/305	66	318	3	21	24%	6%	66	-0.6	241/288/300	59	323	2	23	25%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Jovan Pickett 2011 · A	23	45	34→30	54→55	39	212/262/264	51	290	2	19	26%	5%	43	-2.2	226/285/286	60	322	2	15	29%	5%	59	-1.1	242/302/279	36	348	0	22	28%	4%	60	-0.4
✕Stephen Gaylor 2015 · A	23	47	37→30	52→55	39	219/266/296	77	308	4	9	29%	5%	53	-1.5	225/277/276	51	294	1	16	22%	6%	53	-1.5	223/275/262	39	293	1	19	22%	6%	45	-0.9
✕Jordan Cowan 2018 · AA	23	48→53	36→30	48→50	44	228/279/292	64	295	4	11	24%	6%	58	-1.2	238/291/298	60	309	4	12	23%	7%	65	-0.7	244/301/310	66	315	5	17	23%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Julio Gonzalez 2018 · A	23	48	35→30	55→50	50	223/288/289	66	286	2	12	22%	8%	62	-0.9	206/269/275	69	268	2	8	22%	8%	50	-1.8	172/237/227	55	216	0	5	19%	7%	21	-1.0
✕Jake Peter 2016 · A	23	48→55	36→40	54→50	42	226/268/294	68	293	3	12	24%	5%	53	-1.5	232/280/321	89	316	7	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	229/280/321	92	317	9	8	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Garcia 2009 · AA	23	47→49	36→30	51→55	44	223/276/284	61	300	4	19	26%	7%	55	-1.4	214/259/279	65	300	4	19	28%	5%	46	-2.0	208/251/263	55	294	3	21	29%	5%	35	-1.7
✕Alvaro Rondon 2015 · A	24	45	36→30	53→55	41	214/255/286	72	286	3	10	26%	5%	46	-2.0	225/270/293	68	293	2	16	22%	6%	54	-1.4	244/285/300	56	307	0	27	19%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2021 · A	24	46	34→30	49→45	46	215/276/269	53	285	2	12	24%	7%	51	-1.7	211/276/283	72	278	5	7	24%	8%	56	-1.3	192/260/254	62	254	5	3	25%	8%	38	-1.3
✕Patrick Biondi 2015 · A	24	45→44	36→30	50→60	45	211/268/281	70	279	3	15	24%	7%	50	-1.7	231/285/300	69	308	4	25	24%	6%	63	-0.9	239/296/296	57	318	3	32	24%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Wang-Wei Lin 2011 · A	23	47→54	36→30	50	47	219/286/279	60	282	4	11	23%	8%	59	-1.1	232/306/301	69	302	4	9	22%	8%	72	-0.2	235/315/299	64	306	4	9	22%	9%	73	-0.1
✕James Rapoport 2008 · A	23	43→53	34→40	53→55	42	201/250/254	53	275	2	18	27%	6%	36	-2.7	232/285/302	70	292	4	16	20%	6%	63	-0.8	246/303/316	71	297	4	13	18%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Kyle Barrett 2017 · A	23	49	35→30	51→50	40	230/272/290	59	311	3	13	26%	5%	53	-1.5	224/270/292	68	310	2	14	27%	5%	53	-1.5	224/271/285	61	310	0	16	26%	5%	50	-0.8
✕Chris Bisson 2013 · A	23	50→55	36→30	54→60	42	236/281/299	64	319	4	23	26%	6%	60	-1.0	223/271/301	78	319	5	17	29%	6%	57	-1.2	164/214/224	59	266	0	9	36%	5%	12	-0.7
✕Ryan Walker 2015 · A	23	43→50	35→40	50	40	201/248/258	56	280	2	9	28%	6%	35	-2.8	218/268/278	60	299	2	11	26%	6%	50	-1.8	209/275/276	67	281	4	13	25%	8%	50	-1.0
✕Cody Jones 2016 · A	23	47→49	35→30	56→55	43	217/272/277	60	305	1	18	28%	6%	51	-1.7	216/283/282	66	297	4	20	26%	8%	58	-1.2	212/284/273	61	287	4	23	26%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Corey Bird 2019 · A	23	49→54	35→40	50→55	47	228/288/290	62	295	3	16	23%	8%	62	-0.9	213/265/298	85	271	7	18	23%	6%	54	-1.4	207/259/304	97	259	9	22	23%	6%	49	-1.0
✕Greg Miclat 2010 · A	23	43→53	34→30	52→60	44	203/252/255	51	267	2	16	24%	6%	37	-2.7	243/297/311	68	324	3	23	24%	6%	70	-0.3	261/318/330	69	347	2	28	24%	6%	80	+0.2
✕James Ramsay 2015 · A	23	43→53	38→40	58→50	46	201/269/295	94	278	3	19	28%	8%	55	-1.4	223/281/321	98	288	7	11	24%	7%	67	-0.5	227/285/322	95	286	8	8	22%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Jeremias Pineda 2014 · A	23	50→57	36→30	53→65	35	225/273/289	63	348	3	19	34%	5%	55	-1.4	218/270/271	53	331	3	32	33%	6%	49	-1.8	236/296/283	47	365	1	40	33%	7%	58	-0.7