Draven Zeigler — OGILVIE

Draven Zeigler P Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 220 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%20.6%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%11.7%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	24	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	7	0	10	47	7	7	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	14.9%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.73	—
2025	24	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	7	0	10	47	7	7	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	14.9%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.73	—
2025	24	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	7	0	10	47	7	7	0	0%	1.4	14.9%	14.9%	0.0%	0.0%	5.40	3.80	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	41	6	74	321	67	24	13	15%	1.8	15.9%	8.7%	7.2%	5.1%	3.91	5.64	—
YTD	25	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	41	6	74	321	67	24	13	15%	1.8	15.9%	8.7%	7.2%	5.1%	3.91	5.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A RAW	PIT	17	0	19	82	19	6	1	0%	1.1	23.2%	7.3%	15.9%	1.2%	0.93	2.74	—
2026	25	A+ RAW	PIT	24	6	54	239	48	18	12	25%	2.3	20.1%	7.5%	12.6%	5.0%	4.97	5.11	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	PIT	69	0	72	304	64	27	9	0%	1.0	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	3.1%	4.53	4.52	+0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	PIT	68	0	71	300	64	27	9	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.0%	12.2%	3.1%	4.53	4.54	+0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	PIT	66	0	69	291	62	27	9	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.2%	12.1%	3.2%	4.58	4.62	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	PIT	63	0	66	278	58	26	9	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	3.4%	4.67	4.74	-0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	PIT	59	0	62	261	54	25	9	0%	1.0	20.7%	9.7%	11.0%	3.6%	4.82	4.92	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	PIT	30	0	31	131	28	12	4	0%	1.0	21.1%	8.9%	12.2%	3.1%	4.53	4.52	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	PIT	43	0	45	190	40	17	6	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.0%	12.2%	3.1%	4.53	4.54	+0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	PIT	50	0	52	220	47	20	7	0%	1.0	21.2%	9.2%	12.1%	3.2%	4.58	4.62	-0.0
2030	29	MLB CTX	PIT	51	0	54	228	48	21	8	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.4%	11.7%	3.4%	4.67	4.74	-0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	PIT	50	0	53	224	46	22	8	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.7%	11.0%	3.6%	4.82	4.92	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		223	0	234	988	208	92	33	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.3%	11.8%	3.3%	4.64	4.31	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	178	79	28	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.3%	11.8%	3.3%	4.64	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		48	6	84	368	58	35	16	12%	1.7	15.8%	9.5%	6.3%	4.4%	4.09	5.40	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	14	200	880	139	83	39	12%	1.7	15.8%	9.5%	6.3%	4.4%	4.09	5.40	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Draven Zeigler (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	20.6%	8.9%	3.1%	—	4.56	21.2%	12.2%	212	-0.01	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	85
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	85
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	84
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	84
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	83
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	83
Daniel Corcino R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.2%	7.5%	3.2%	.238	4.76	19.4%	8.2%	263	+0.39	3.84	299	83
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	83
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	83
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	82
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	82
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	82
Miguel Sánchez R 2019 · 3.65 FIP	25	SU	3.65	21.3%	9.0%	2.2%	.305	4.59	19.1%	9.7%	83	+0.94	2.54	309	82
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	82
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	81
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	81
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	81
Gavin Hollowell R 2023 · 4.55 FIP	25	SU	4.55	21.2%	10.1%	3.6%	.273	3.91	25.3%	12.6%	98	-0.64	2.41	226	81
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	61	21.0%	9.2%	1.26	4.62
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86