Harlin Naut
P
FCL Orioles
Age 21
RHP
6'2" / 161 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%22.5%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 30 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | 7 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 2.89 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Orioles Orange | 7 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% | 1.74 | 2.91 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 11 | 2 | 31 | 130 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 18% | 2.8 | 12.6% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.30 | 4.56 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 11 | 2 | 31 | 130 | 24 | 11 | 2 | 18% | 2.8 | 18.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 2.30 | 3.45 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 3 | 1 | 12 | 50 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 33% | 3.9 | 5.4% | 10.0% | -4.6% | 0.0% | 2.31 | 3.91 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 30 | 129 | 22 | 11 | 2 | — | — | 16.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 3.59 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 3.82 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.27 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 21 | 3 | 53 | 221 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 14% | 2.5 | 11.8% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.19 | 4.10 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 11 | 200 | 829 | 98 | 85 | 10 | 14% | 2.5 | 11.8% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.19 | 4.10 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Harlin Naut (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.5% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.20 | 23.5% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 89 |
| Clark Beeker R 2028 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 84 |
| J.T. Hintzen R 2027 · 3.20 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.20 | 20.1% | 7.0% | 1.7% | .303 | 4.45 | 24.1% | 15.1% | 123 | +1.25 | 3.20 | 205 | 82 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 82 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 82 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 81 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 81 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.89 | 21.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .321 | 5.42 | 14.9% | 9.4% | 36 | +1.53 | 3.44 | 213 | 81 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 81 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 81 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 81 |
| Joey Matulovich R 2026 · 3.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.22 | 22.8% | 12.0% | 1.0% | .317 | 5.29 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 107 | +2.07 | 3.22 | 201 | 80 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 80 |
| Ian Koenig R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.55 | 20.0% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .310 | 5.84 | 14.4% | 5.9% | 225 | +2.29 | 3.55 | 244 | 80 |
| Ben Anderson R 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 80 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 80 |
| Brandon Komar R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 79 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 79 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 79 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 79 |