Ben Madison
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 103
ERA4.53
FIP4.53
K%23.8%
BB%12.3%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 9 | 9 | 16 | 74 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 21.1% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 3.24 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Giants Orange | 9 | 9 | 16 | 74 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 1.8 | 31.1% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 0.0% | 3.38 | 1.91 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 8 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 16.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 4.58 | 3.67 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 8 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 2.5 | 22.9% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 1.2% | 4.58 | 2.90 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 34 | 138 | 54 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 0.0% | 2.65 | 2.47 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 0 | 34 | 138 | 54 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 39.1% | 12.3% | 26.8% | 0.0% | 2.65 | 1.42 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 105 | 50 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 27.9% | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 3.47 | 4.37 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 105 | 50 | 5 | 0% | 1.7 | 35.5% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 1.7% | 3.47 | 3.17 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 50 | 236 | 73 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.6% | 17.9% | 6.7% | 0.9% | 5.58 | 3.78 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 0 | 50 | 236 | 73 | 38 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.9% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 0.8% | 5.58 | 2.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SF | 36 | 0 | 38 | 161 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.53 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SF | 35 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SF | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 105 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 114 | 9 | 190 | 827 | 214 | 140 | 10 | 8% | 1.7 | 25.8% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 1.2% | 3.99 | 3.71 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 120 | 9 | 200 | 872 | 225 | 147 | 10 | 8% | 1.7 | 25.8% | 16.9% | 8.9% | 1.2% | 3.99 | 3.71 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Madison (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.53 | 23.8% | 12.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.64 | 23.5% | 11.3% | 36 | +0.11 | — | — | — |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 82 |
| Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 82 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 82 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 82 |
| Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.25 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .303 | 3.99 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.26 | 2.95 | 260 | 82 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 81 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 80 |
| Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 80 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 80 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 80 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 80 |
| Peyton Gray R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 80 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 79 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 79 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.63 | 23.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 315 | 79 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 79 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 23.7% | 12.3% | 1.09 | 4.56 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |