Jordan Henriquez

P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 245 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKCHC	11	0	18	4.50	3.16	24.7%	11.8%	—	K 16.8% · BB 14.7% · FIP 4.59
2026	22	ACHC	34	2	68	5.00	3.67	22.1%	7.6%	—	K 16.4% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.74
2027PROJ	23	MLBCHC	32	0	34	4.84	4.84	18.3%	9.7%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBCHC	26	0	27	4.70	4.64	19.7%	9.2%	-0.0
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCHC	40	0	42	4.59	4.53	20.5%	9.0%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsMatt Pidich (age 23) · Heath Holder (age 23) · Colby Morris (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%18.3%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%8.5%

Proj IP34

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	25	102	21	10	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	12.3%	1.7%	3.0%	1.82	5.12	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	25	102	21	10	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	12.3%	1.7%	3.0%	1.82	5.12	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	16	0	25	102	21	10	2	0%	1.5	20.6%	9.8%	10.8%	2.0%	1.82	3.67	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	11	0	18	85	21	10	1	0%	1.6	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	1.9%	4.50	4.59	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	11	0	18	85	21	10	1	0%	1.6	16.8%	14.7%	2.1%	1.9%	4.50	4.59	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	11	0	18	85	21	10	1	0%	1.6	24.7%	11.8%	12.9%	1.2%	4.50	3.16	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	34	2	68	303	67	23	8	6%	2.0	16.4%	9.0%	7.4%	3.4%	5.00	4.74	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	34	2	68	303	67	23	8	6%	2.0	16.4%	9.0%	7.4%	3.4%	5.00	4.74	—
2026	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	34	2	68	303	67	23	8	6%	2.0	22.1%	7.6%	14.5%	2.6%	5.00	3.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CHC	32	0	34	144	26	14	4	0%	1.1	18.3%	9.7%	8.5%	3.1%	4.84	4.84	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	60	0	63	266	52	25	8	0%	1.1	19.7%	9.2%	10.5%	3.0%	4.70	4.64	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	61	0	64	269	55	24	8	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.0%	11.6%	3.0%	4.59	4.53	+0.0
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	61	0	64	269	56	24	8	0%	1.0	20.9%	8.9%	12.0%	3.0%	4.53	4.49	+0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	60	0	63	265	56	24	8	0%	1.0	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	26	0	27	114	22	11	3	0%	1.0	19.7%	9.2%	10.5%	3.0%	4.70	4.64	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	40	0	42	177	36	16	5	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.0%	11.6%	3.0%	4.59	4.53	+0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	49	0	51	215	45	19	6	0%	1.0	20.9%	8.9%	12.0%	3.0%	4.53	4.49	+0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	51	0	54	228	48	21	7	0%	1.1	21.0%	9.0%	12.0%	3.1%	4.52	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		165	0	173	732	151	66	22	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.0%	4.57	4.15	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	76	25	0%	1.1	20.7%	9.0%	11.7%	3.0%	4.57	4.15	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		61	2	111	490	78	52	15	3%	1.8	15.9%	10.6%	5.3%	3.1%	4.22	4.79	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	4	200	883	141	94	27	3%	1.8	15.9%	10.6%	5.3%	3.1%	4.22	4.79	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Henriquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	18.3%	9.7%	3.1%	—	4.55	20.4%	11.4%	191	-0.29	—	—	—
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	93
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	90
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	90
Dylan Simmons R 2024 · 3.85 FIP	23	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.4%	1.9%	.295	5.10	12.7%	0.6%	74	+1.25	3.85	125	90
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	90
Anyelo Leclerc R 2015 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	16.2%	9.8%	3.7%	.326	4.65	15.9%	6.1%	96	-0.35	4.65	140	89
Luis Eusebio R 2019 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.2%	10.6%	3.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.79	131	89
Miguel Guerrero R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	18.1%	10.3%	3.1%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	171	88
Alex Burnett R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	17.5%	9.5%	2.8%	.311	3.80	12.9%	5.3%	122	-0.57	3.68	170	88
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	88
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	88
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	87
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	87
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	87
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	87
Aaron Brooks R 2015 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	15.2%	7.3%	2.5%	.314	3.54	13.7%	6.0%	77	-0.55	3.54	109	87
Blake Goldsberry R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.42	3.43	117	87
Miles Mikolas R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	16.0%	10.4%	2.7%	.275	4.29	14.9%	8.6%	57	-0.27	3.13	1,386	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Justin Lasko R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	22	SU	3.66	17.1%	8.6%	1.7%	.286	4.62	15.8%	8.1%	152	+0.96	3.66	173	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	58	20.3%	9.1%	1.17	4.62
J. C. Gutierrez ('07-'14, -0 WAR*)	1.4	57	19.8%*	8.5%*	1.19*	4.72*
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*