Kane Kepley

CF South Bend Cubs

Age 23 L/L 5'8" / 180 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #207MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP48ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ACHC	131	.299/.481/.433	2	16	113	—	.255/.397/.358
2026	22	AACHC	144	.212/.382/.363	3	20	80	—	.192/.326/.333
2026	22	A+CHC	451	.254/.440/.414	7	50	103	—	.217/.366/.343
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCHC	2	.238/.370/.371	0	0	113	0.0
2028PROJ45% MLB	24	MLBCHC	262	.241/.370/.382	4	12	115	1.5
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBCHC	402	.243/.369/.387	7	16	116	2.3

Next 3 projected WAR 3.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$7M2033Arb-2$11M2034Arb-3$15M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Chase%99

Whiff%99

Speed99

BB%93

Z-Con%93

K%91

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 12, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 76%

CompsTyler Black (age 24) · Jakob Marsee (age 23) · Tony Kemp (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†113

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .370 / .371

PA2

HR0

K%18

BB%14

BABIP286

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$91M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

DEFENSE61

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$16M	+$15M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.7	$18M	+$17M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$17M	+$16M
2032	Arb-1	$7M	+2.6	$15M	+$10M
2033	Arb-2	$11M	+2.2	$11M	+$5M
2034	Arb-3	$15M	+1.9	$9M	+$2M
Totals		$36M		$85M	+$66M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	97	29	1	3	2	25	15	9	16	4	299	481	433	914	134	338	11	19	421	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	144	113	24	4	2	3	24	23	7	20	1	212	382	363	745	150	241	16	17	348	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	451	331	84	18	7	7	96	66	15	50	5	254	440	414	854	160	292	15	21	386	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	106	27	1	2	2	16	21	9	16	4	255	397	358	755	104	296	16	12	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	144	120	23	4	2	3	17	28	7	20	1	192	326	333	660	142	218	19	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	451	359	78	15	6	6	69	84	15	50	5	217	366	343	708	125	254	19	15	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	106	27	1	2	2	16	21	9	16	4	255	397	358	755	104	301	16	12	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	97	29	1	3	2	25	15	9	16	4	299	481	433	914	134	338	11	19	421	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	595	479	101	19	8	9	86	112	22	70	6	211	356	340	696	129	253	19	14	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	595	444	108	22	9	10	120	89	22	70	6	243	426	401	827	158	279	15	20	377	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	105	27	1	2	2	16	21	9	16	4	257	397	362	759	105	296	16	12	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	595	482	101	19	8	9	86	112	22	70	6	210	356	338	694	129	245	19	14	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	105	27	1	2	2	16	21	9	16	4	257	397	362	759	105	296	16	12	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	595	482	101	19	8	9	86	112	22	70	6	210	356	338	694	129	245	19	14	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	567	465	109	21	7	8	80	103	17	30	3	235	367	363	730	129	281	18	14	335	113	+9	+5	+2	+2	+12	1.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	238	370	371	741	133	286	0	0	339	113	+0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	45%	581	478	114	21	7	10	81	106	17	26	3	238	367	375	742	137	283	18	14	339	115	+11	+4	+3	+2	+13	3.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	66%	609	504	121	23	7	11	83	112	17	24	2	240	366	381	747	141	283	18	14	340	116	+12	+4	+4	+2	+13	3.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	76%	627	521	124	23	7	12	84	116	17	22	2	240	364	382	746	143	284	19	13	339	116	+12	+4	+4	+2	+14	3.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	78%	638	531	128	24	7	13	85	120	17	20	2	239	361	381	742	142	284	19	13	337	114	+11	+3	+4	+2	+14	3.5
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	79%	634	531	126	24	7	12	82	122	16	17	2	237	357	378	734	140	283	19	13	334	112	+9	+3	+3	+2	+14	3.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	78%	627	525	123	23	6	12	81	123	16	15	1	235	354	371	725	136	282	20	13	330	110	+7	+3	+3	+2	+14	2.9
2034	30	MLB MLE	CHC	77%	617	518	119	22	6	11	79	123	15	13	1	232	350	362	713	131	280	20	13	326	106	+5	+2	+2	+2	+13	2.5
2035	31	MLB MLE	CHC	77%	607	509	115	21	6	10	78	123	15	10	1	227	346	352	697	125	277	20	13	320	102	+2	+2	+1	+2	+13	2.0
2036	32	MLB MLE	CHC	77%	596	502	111	20	6	9	75	123	14	9	1	222	339	339	678	117	273	21	13	312	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.5
2037	33	MLB MLE	CHC	77%	514	433	93	16	5	7	64	109	12	6	2	215	332	323	655	108	268	21	12	303	91	-5	+0	-1	+2	+11	0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	45%	262	216	52	10	4	4	36	48	8	12	1	241	370	382	752	141	288	18	14	342	115	+5	+2	+1	+1	+6	1.5
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	66%	402	333	80	15	5	7	55	74	11	16	2	243	369	387	756	145	288	18	14	343	116	+8	+2	+3	+1	+9	2.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	76%	475	395	95	18	6	9	64	88	13	16	2	243	367	389	755	146	288	19	13	342	116	+9	+2	+3	+2	+10	2.7
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	78%	499	417	100	19	6	9	66	94	13	16	2	242	363	387	750	145	288	19	13	340	114	+8	+2	+3	+2	+11	2.7
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	79%	504	420	101	19	6	10	66	97	13	14	1	240	359	383	742	143	288	19	13	337	112	+7	+2	+3	+2	+11	2.6
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	78%	490	412	98	19	6	9	63	96	12	12	1	238	356	376	733	139	286	20	13	333	110	+6	+2	+2	+2	+11	2.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	CHC	77%	478	401	94	18	6	8	62	95	12	10	1	234	353	368	721	134	284	20	13	328	106	+4	+2	+1	+2	+10	1.9
2035	31	MLB CTX	CHC	77%	467	393	90	17	5	8	60	95	11	8	1	230	348	357	705	127	281	20	13	322	102	+1	+1	+1	+2	+10	1.5
2036	32	MLB CTX	CHC	77%	457	385	87	16	5	7	58	95	11	7	1	224	342	344	686	120	277	21	13	315	97	-1	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.2
2037	33	MLB CTX	CHC	77%	394	333	72	13	4	5	49	84	9	5	1	218	334	329	663	111	272	21	12	306	91	-4	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4428	3705	869	164	53	76	579	866	113	116	13	235	355	369	724	134	285	20	13	331	108	+42	+18	+17	+16	+96	19.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	544	128	24	8	11	85	127	17	17	2	235	357	369	726	134	286	20	13	331	108	+6	+3	+2	+2	+14	2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	7096	5899	1364	249	78	123	939	1368	197	265	29	231	355	362	718	131	279	19	13	327	108	+65	+28	+24	+23	+138	28.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	540	125	23	7	11	86	125	18	24	3	231	355	361	716	130	280	19	13	327	108	+7	+3	+2	+2	+14	2.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Coco Crisplast yr '16 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,627 PA	10.0	6,627	130	309	265	327	402	+4	+51	30.8	28.0
/162	664	13	31	+0.4	+5.1	3.1	pk7: 25
#2Randy Winn'98-'10 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,878 PA	10.4	6,878	110	215	274*	333*	406*	-36	+59	25.9	25.4
/162	664	11	21	-3.4	+5.7	2.5	pk7: 25
#3Jim Landis'57-'67 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,025 PA	7.6	5,025	93	139	247*	342*	395*	+9	+25	22.3	21.8
/162	664	12	18	+1.2	+3.3	2.9	pk7: 21
#4Jimmy Slagle'01-'08 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,447 PA	6.7	4,447	2	218	262*	358*	388*	-15	+8	17.7	17.7
/162	664	0	33	-2.2	+1.1	2.6	pk7: 18
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	6.7	4,430	79	114	234	351	366	-27	+31	15.4	14.2
/162	664	12	17	-4.0	+4.7	2.3	pk7: 13
#5Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#6Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kane Kepley (OGILVIE)	23	46→57	30→35	64→62	61	232/364/360	128	281	5	17	18%	14%	113	+1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Black 2024 · AAA	24	51→53	48→50	63→60	54	248/344/409	162	313	13	33	23%	11%	115	+2.4	235/325/365	130	309	11	28	25%	10%	98	+1.2	225/318/339	114	302	9	27	26%	10%	86	+0.2
●Jakob Marsee 2024 · AA	23	47→49	47→45	58→60	58	234/337/363	130	285	15	28	22%	12%	103	+1.5	219/318/347	128	277	12	34	24%	11%	92	+0.7	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
●Tony Kemp 2015 · AA	23	56→62	41→45	56→55	53	266/339/372	106	308	7	22	15%	8%	104	+1.6	273/332/362	89	318	5	22	15%	7%	99	+1.2	277/334/377	99	313	7	21	13%	7%	100	+1.1
●Desmond Jennings 2010 · AAA	23	57→61	45→50	63→60	52	274/336/411	137	313	10	34	16%	8%	112	+2.2	254/323/391	137	305	11	33	19%	8%	103	+1.5	246/325/404	158	293	16	28	21%	9%	107	+1.9
●Brice Turang 2023 · AAA	23	52→60	42→50	56→60	48	250/310/350	100	316	9	23	23%	8%	88	+0.4	250/312/358	108	309	10	31	21%	8%	91	+0.7	269/346/409	140	334	13	28	22%	10%	116	+2.7
●Rafael Furcal 2001 · MLB	23	59→63	40→50	58→60	63	278/373/375	97	324	6	37	15%	13%	117	+2.6	274/335/387	113	316	8	28	15%	8%	105	+1.7	282/347/421	139	308	12	33	12%	9%	119	+3.1
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	50→55	38→40	57→60	52	230/333/311	81	290	5	25	20%	9%	90	+0.6	242/331/329	87	297	6	24	19%	10%	92	+0.7	256/352/337	81	314	4	22	17%	11%	102	+0.9
✕Vidal Bruján 2021 · AA	23	52→60	41→45	60→65	49	249/307/353	105	298	7	34	19%	7%	88	+0.4	226/286/340	114	274	10	36	20%	7%	78	-0.3	228/301/339	111	280	8	25	20%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jace Peterson 2014 · A	24	54→57	40→50	62→55	52	257/321/361	103	302	5	29	16%	8%	95	+0.9	243/312/343	100	299	6	18	19%	9%	87	+0.4	239/315/386	147	295	14	19	23%	9%	98	+0.8
✕Garin Cecchini 2014 · AA	23	59→65	41→45	56→55	52	277/349/390	113	352	6	21	22%	9%	112	+2.2	237/296/331	94	310	7	13	24%	7%	79	-0.2	221/273/302	81	286	7	12	24%	6%	61	-1.2
●Maikel Garcia 2023 · MLB	23	52→58	41→45	57→60	48	250/309/356	106	315	8	27	22%	8%	88	+0.5	254/311/364	110	310	8	26	19%	8%	92	+0.7	260/322/390	130	293	10	24	14%	8%	102	+1.4
★Jacoby Ellsbury 2007 · AA	23	57→67	41→55	57→65	48	271/324/376	105	309	8	28	15%	6%	99	+1.3	291/341/399	108	330	7	42	13%	6%	110	+2.1	290/344/451	161	317	16	37	14%	7%	125	+3.0
●Alejandro De Aza 2007 · AA	23	55→61	38→50	55	47	255/314/345	90	325	4	29	22%	7%	88	+0.4	241/294/351	110	305	7	18	22%	6%	82	+0.0	273/332/409	136	330	12	24	20%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2014 · AAA	23	54→59	39→40	60→55	47	252/309/349	97	323	5	27	22%	7%	87	+0.4	213/271/293	80	303	6	20	29%	7%	61	-1.5	201/259/269	69	292	5	20	31%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Caleb Durbin 2024 · AA	24	51→53	41→45	58→60	51	240/311/342	101	263	7	32	12%	6%	87	+0.4	248/325/373	125	268	11	28	12%	7%	100	+1.3	245/327/375	129	263	13	26	12%	8%	101	+1.2
✕Ben Revere 2011 · MLB	23	62→64	36→40	58→65	49	290/339/356	66	326	2	32	12%	6%	99	+1.3	280/319/332	52	313	1	36	10%	5%	86	+0.3	300/329/359	59	330	1	38	9%	4%	96	+0.9
●Chris Coghlan 2009 · AA	24	53→63	43→50	55	52	257/324/382	125	293	9	21	16%	8%	101	+1.4	280/344/409	129	326	9	16	16%	8%	114	+2.4	283/349/415	132	329	9	14	16%	8%	118	+2.2
✕Kyle Wren 2014 · A	23	55→62	41→40	62→60	46	265/304/372	107	306	6	32	16%	5%	90	+0.6	257/302/323	66	318	2	30	18%	6%	78	-0.3	254/314/331	77	325	3	25	21%	8%	82	-0.0
●Adam Eaton 2012 · AA	23	57→67	43→50	54→55	51	274/357/393	120	331	9	21	19%	8%	116	+2.5	286/356/395	109	342	6	23	17%	8%	116	+2.5	285/356/413	128	338	9	15	17%	8%	120	+3.0
●Xavier Edwards 2024 · MLB	24	58→68	39→40	56→60	52	278/333/360	82	319	6	25	15%	8%	99	+1.2	292/351/382	90	341	5	30	14%	8%	110	+2.1	293/359/382	88	343	4	31	14%	9%	113	+2.1

Kane Kepley

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps