Rainiel Rodriguez

C Springfield Cardinals

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 197 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #23MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP56ETA2028MLB%12%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ASTL	271	.249/.374/.498	13	3	100	—	.217/.319/.426
2025	18	ROKSTL	80	.373/.526/.831	7	1	155	—	.262/.385/.554
2026	19	AASTL	402	.328/.414/.591	23	7	135	—	.287/.359/.500
2026	19	A+STL	128	.311/.430/.519	4	4	118	—	.252/.352/.405
2027PROJ12% MLB	20	MLBSTL	38	.250/.330/.439	1	1	119	0.3
2028PROJ63% MLB	21	MLBSTL	329	.256/.338/.459	14	6	126	2.3
2029PROJ81% MLB	22	MLBSTL	420	.260/.342/.470	19	8	131	3.2

Next 3 projected WAR 5.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$9M2032Arb-2$15M2033Arb-3$22M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA97

wRC+94

ISO92

K%79

Whiff%59

Z-Con%50

Career WAR20 WAR median (P10 -2 / P90 31, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 42%

CompsFrancisco Alvarez (age 20) · Andy Pages (age 21) · Junior Caminero (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†119

AVG/OBP/SLG.250 / .330 / .439

PA38

HR1

K%21

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO147

MLB%12%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$114M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 63

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER63

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED33

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$17M	+$16M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.2	$26M	+$25M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.6	$29M	+$29M
2031	Arb-1	$9M	+3.7	$28M	+$23M
2032	Arb-2	$15M	+3.7	$26M	+$17M
2033	Arb-3	$22M	+3.6	$23M	+$11M
Totals		$49M		$150M	+$122M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	184	142	49	12	3	10	30	25	6	1	1	345	478	683	1.161	338	345	14	16	479	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	17	17	5	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	294	294	353	647	59	333	12	0	288	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	271	225	56	15	1	13	38	48	7	3	4	249	374	498	872	249	261	18	14	384	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	80	59	22	6	0	7	16	15	3	1	1	373	526	831	1.356	458	385	19	20	547	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	402	345	113	22	0	23	41	77	10	7	6	328	414	591	1.005	264	359	19	10	432	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	128	106	33	8	1	4	19	24	3	4	1	311	430	519	949	208	372	19	15	420	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	153	32	8	2	4	19	31	6	1	1	209	320	366	686	157	207	17	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	17	17	5	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	294	294	353	647	59	307	18	0	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	271	235	51	14	1	11	28	65	7	3	4	217	319	426	744	209	242	24	10	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	80	65	17	4	0	5	10	22	3	1	1	262	385	554	938	292	282	28	12	398	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	402	356	102	19	0	19	30	94	10	7	6	287	359	500	859	213	323	23	7	368	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	128	111	28	6	1	3	14	30	3	4	1	252	352	405	757	153	332	23	11	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	153	32	8	2	4	19	31	6	1	1	209	320	366	686	157	226	17	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	184	142	49	12	3	10	30	25	6	1	1	345	478	683	1.161	338	345	14	16	479	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	317	72	19	1	16	38	90	10	4	5	227	329	445	774	218	262	24	10	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A RAW	3 teams	—	368	301	83	22	1	20	54	65	10	4	5	276	403	555	958	279	288	18	15	415	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	2 teams	—	530	467	131	25	1	23	44	125	13	11	7	281	359	486	845	206	332	24	8	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA RAW	2 teams	—	530	451	146	30	1	27	60	101	13	11	7	324	418	574	992	251	362	19	11	429	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	157	32	8	2	4	19	31	6	1	1	204	320	357	677	153	207	17	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	317	72	19	1	16	38	90	10	4	5	227	329	445	774	218	254	24	10	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	2 teams	—	530	468	131	25	1	23	44	125	13	11	7	280	359	485	844	205	325	24	8	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	184	157	32	8	2	4	19	31	6	1	1	204	320	357	677	153	207	17	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	A MLE	3 teams	—	368	317	72	19	1	16	38	90	10	4	5	227	329	445	774	218	254	24	10	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	AA MLE	2 teams	—	530	468	131	25	1	23	44	125	13	11	7	280	359	485	844	205	325	24	8	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	12%	615	545	138	27	2	26	52	128	13	9	5	251	331	448	779	197	281	21	8	344	119	+14	-0	-1	+11	+13	2.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	20	MLB CTX	STL	12%	38	34	8	2	0	1	3	8	1	1	0	250	330	439	769	189	283	21	8	340	119	+1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	63%	520	459	118	23	1	24	45	104	11	9	5	258	339	469	807	211	282	20	9	355	126	+16	-0	-1	+9	+11	3.6
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	81%	520	458	120	23	1	25	46	102	11	10	5	262	343	480	824	218	283	20	9	361	131	+19	+0	-1	+9	+11	3.9
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	87%	520	458	121	23	2	25	47	100	10	10	5	264	346	486	832	222	284	19	9	364	133	+20	+0	-1	+9	+11	4.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	87%	520	458	122	23	2	25	47	100	10	10	5	265	347	487	834	222	285	19	9	365	133	+21	+0	-0	+9	+11	4.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	87%	520	458	122	23	2	25	47	100	10	10	5	265	347	486	832	221	286	19	9	365	133	+20	+0	+0	+9	+11	4.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	87%	520	457	122	23	2	25	48	100	10	10	5	265	347	485	832	221	286	19	9	364	133	+20	+0	+0	+9	+11	4.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	86%	520	457	122	23	2	25	48	101	10	9	4	264	346	483	828	219	285	19	9	363	132	+20	+0	+0	+9	+11	4.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	85%	520	457	119	23	1	24	48	102	10	7	4	262	344	478	821	216	284	20	9	360	130	+19	-0	-1	+9	+11	3.9
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	82%	520	459	118	22	1	24	47	104	9	6	4	259	341	471	812	212	283	20	9	357	127	+17	-0	-1	+9	+11	3.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	81%	520	459	118	22	1	24	47	105	9	4	3	256	337	463	800	207	281	20	9	352	124	+15	-0	-2	+9	+11	3.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	STL	81%	504	445	112	21	1	22	45	104	9	0	2	252	332	453	785	201	278	21	9	346	120	+12	-1	-3	+9	+11	2.9
2039	32	MLB MLE	STL	80%	489	435	107	20	1	21	43	103	8	0	2	246	326	439	765	193	274	21	9	338	115	+9	-1	-3	+9	+11	2.4
2040	33	MLB MLE	STL	80%	473	421	101	18	1	19	41	102	8	0	1	239	318	422	740	183	269	22	9	328	108	+5	-0	-4	+8	+10	1.9
2041	34	MLB MLE	STL	75%	439	392	91	16	1	17	37	98	7	0	1	230	308	402	710	172	262	22	8	316	100	-0	-0	-5	+8	+10	1.2
2042	35	MLB MLE	STL	71%	377	338	74	12	0	14	31	87	5	0	1	220	297	380	676	159	254	23	8	302	91	-4	-0	-6	+7	+8	0.5
2043	36	MLB MLE	STL	62%	313	281	58	9	0	10	25	75	4	0	0	211	286	356	642	146	247	24	8	288	81	-7	+0	-6	+6	+7	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	63%	329	290	75	15	1	14	29	66	7	6	3	256	338	459	796	202	284	20	9	351	126	+10	+0	-1	+6	+7	2.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	81%	420	371	96	19	1	19	37	82	9	8	4	260	342	470	812	209	285	20	9	357	131	+15	+0	-1	+8	+9	3.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	87%	452	399	104	21	1	20	41	87	9	9	4	263	344	475	819	212	286	19	9	360	133	+18	+0	-1	+8	+10	3.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	87%	453	400	105	21	1	20	41	87	9	9	4	264	345	477	822	213	287	19	9	361	133	+18	+0	-0	+8	+10	3.7
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	87%	454	401	105	21	1	20	41	87	9	9	4	263	345	475	820	212	287	19	9	360	133	+18	+0	+0	+8	+10	3.7
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	87%	454	400	105	21	1	20	42	87	9	8	4	263	345	475	820	212	287	19	9	360	133	+18	+0	+0	+8	+10	3.6
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	86%	445	393	102	20	1	20	41	86	8	8	4	262	344	472	816	210	287	19	9	359	132	+17	+0	+0	+8	+10	3.5
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	85%	441	390	101	20	1	19	40	87	8	6	3	260	342	467	810	207	286	20	9	356	130	+16	+0	-1	+8	+10	3.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	82%	429	379	97	19	1	18	39	85	8	5	3	258	339	461	800	203	284	20	9	352	127	+14	-0	-1	+8	+9	3.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	81%	422	374	95	19	1	18	38	85	7	3	3	255	336	453	789	198	282	20	9	348	124	+12	-1	-2	+8	+9	2.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	STL	81%	406	360	91	18	1	17	36	84	7	0	2	250	331	443	774	193	279	21	9	342	120	+10	-1	-2	+7	+9	2.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	STL	80%	392	347	85	16	1	16	35	83	7	0	1	245	325	430	754	185	275	21	9	334	115	+7	-0	-3	+7	+8	2.0
2040	33	MLB CTX	STL	80%	378	336	80	15	1	14	33	82	6	0	1	238	317	413	730	176	270	22	9	324	108	+4	-0	-3	+7	+8	1.5
2041	34	MLB CTX	STL	75%	331	295	67	12	0	12	28	74	5	0	1	229	307	394	700	165	263	22	8	312	100	-0	-0	-4	+6	+7	0.9
2042	35	MLB CTX	STL	71%	268	240	52	9	0	9	22	62	4	0	0	219	296	371	667	152	255	23	8	299	91	-3	+0	-4	+5	+6	0.4
2043	36	MLB CTX	STL	62%	194	173	36	6	0	6	16	47	3	0	0	210	285	349	633	139	248	24	8	285	81	-4	+0	-4	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6268	5548	1396	272	13	262	559	1271	115	71	41	252	333	447	780	195	280	20	9	345	121	+168	-2	-26	+112	+136	39.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	144	28	1	27	58	132	12	7	4	250	332	443	775	193	279	20	9	345	121	+17	-0	-3	+12	+14	4.1
Career	—	MLE		—	9197	8112	2051	390	24	405	820	1899	177	106	68	253	335	457	791	204	281	21	9	347	121	+208	-4	-35	+145	+176	49.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	146	28	2	29	58	134	13	7	5	255	337	462	799	208	283	21	9	347	121	+17	-0	-3	+12	+14	4.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gary Carter'74-'92 * career totals — 18 seasons, 9,019 PA	13.6	9,019	324	39	258*	332*	472*	+135	-7	60.1	49.9
/162	664	24	3	+9.9	-0.5	4.4	pk7: 40
#2Roy Campanella'48-'57 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,816 PA	7.3	4,816	242	25	267*	347*	509*	+86	+0	40.0	38.3
/162	664	33	3	+11.9	+0.0	5.5	pk7: 37
#3Bill Freehan'61-'76 * career totals — 14 seasons, 6,899 PA	10.4	6,899	200	24	269*	347*	458*	+99	-2	44.1	38.1
/162	664	19	2	+9.5	-0.1	4.2	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	9.5	6,305	284	71	255	332	461	+96	-3	45.2	36.0
/162	664	30	8	+10.1	-0.3	4.8	pk7: 27
#4Wilson Ramoslast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,786 PA	5.7	3,786	136	1	271	318	432	+68	+61	28.0	26.7
/162	664	24	0	+11.9	+10.7	4.9	pk7: 25
#5Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	6.1	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#6Welington Castillolast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	97	5	254	313	425	+48	-14	13.3	13.2
/162	664	24	1	+11.9	-3.4	3.3	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rainiel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	20	46→54	56→63	37→33	53	249/328/444	195	281	13	5	21%	8%	119	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Alvarez 2022 · A	20	47	60	44→40	48	247/332/466	219	308	28	8	29%	9%	124	+3.1	235/312/440	205	291	28	4	29%	9%	112	+2.2	229/307/433	203	277	28	2	28%	9%	108	+1.3
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	42→52	59→60	45→50	47	225/317/433	209	295	27	6	32%	10%	112	+2.2	225/305/404	179	293	21	7	29%	8%	100	+1.3	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Junior Caminero 2024 · MLB	21	51→55	55→65	47→45	43	265/312/442	176	315	24	7	24%	6%	111	+2.1	259/309/471	212	287	30	6	22%	6%	117	+2.6	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
●Evan Longoria 2008 · AAA	22	50→57	55→65	47→50	47	261/325/448	187	306	24	5	23%	7%	118	+2.6	268/337/486	218	311	26	9	22%	8%	130	+3.5	266/348/500	234	289	28	8	19%	10%	138	+4.4
●Gleyber Torres 2019 · MLB	22	51→55	53→60	46→50	47	259/324/431	172	322	20	10	26%	8%	113	+2.3	262/329/447	185	304	24	9	22%	9%	118	+2.7	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
●Gabriel Moreno 2022 · AA	22	54→60	53→50	47→45	46	272/326/449	177	307	20	7	19%	6%	118	+2.6	279/338/393	114	335	11	9	19%	8%	108	+1.9	280/361/429	149	314	16	5	15%	10%	126	+2.2
★Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2019 · AAA	20	61	52→65	44→45	52	304/362/474	170	332	19	6	15%	8%	137	+4.0	287/353/485	198	313	24	4	16%	9%	135	+3.9	278/352/500	221	288	30	5	16%	9%	140	+4.9
●Andy LaRoche 2006 · AA	22	49→57	57→55	47→45	45	261/311/457	196	299	26	8	23%	6%	114	+2.4	258/331/422	164	290	20	8	18%	9%	113	+2.3	250/335/398	148	275	18	7	16%	10%	108	+1.4
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	45→55	52→55	45→50	49	228/310/392	164	299	20	5	30%	10%	99	+1.3	209/309/374	165	282	20	9	31%	12%	95	+1.0	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
★Ryan Zimmerman 2006 · MLB	21	60→59	50→65	37→45	43	297/330/466	169	343	16	5	18%	4%	123	+3.0	278/332/456	178	316	18	6	18%	7%	121	+2.9	289/358/487	198	317	24	3	17%	9%	139	+4.0
★Xander Bogaerts 2014 · MLB	21	53→63	50→65	46→55	45	264/322/424	160	334	17	6	26%	7%	110	+2.1	270/322/395	125	327	12	7	20%	7%	103	+1.6	277/349/473	196	312	21	8	18%	9%	132	+3.9
★Adrian Beltré 2001 · MLB	22	55→62	53→65	48→50	56	279/347/459	180	297	21	12	14%	9%	127	+3.3	259/309/424	165	282	19	10	16%	6%	105	+1.7	298/336/528	230	297	31	1	12%	5%	140	+4.3
★Billy Butler 2006 · AA	20	57→64	60→55	47→30	44	293/340/511	218	347	27	3	24%	6%	137	+4.0	290/341/454	164	327	18	2	17%	7%	124	+3.1	303/362/479	176	329	20	1	14%	8%	138	+4.6
★Juan Soto 2019 · MLB	20	56→58	59→65	47→50	57	289/367/508	219	324	26	7	19%	11%	145	+4.6	289/396/535	246	319	30	10	18%	15%	162	+5.8	270/397/523	253	286	32	16	18%	17%	160	+6.7
●Miguel Sanó 2015 · AA	22	43→52	60→70	50→45	44	227/308/451	224	312	28	8	35%	9%	112	+2.2	244/328/466	222	343	28	4	34%	11%	122	+3.0	244/332/473	229	340	30	2	35%	11%	126	+2.9
✕Brandon Wood 2006 · AAA	21	48	67→65	47→50	39	261/306/527	265	315	35	6	29%	5%	130	+3.5	233/288/440	207	307	26	11	32%	7%	102	+1.5	221/279/413	192	288	25	12	32%	7%	90	+0.6
●Alejandro Kirk 2019 · A	20	53→57	49→50	50→40	52	265/323/407	143	286	17	4	15%	8%	107	+1.8	251/326/393	142	284	13	4	16%	9%	104	+1.6	262/349/405	143	283	15	1	13%	11%	115	+1.6
★Corey Seager 2015 · AA	21	54→62	54→65	49→45	42	270/318/462	191	347	20	7	28%	6%	118	+2.6	284/335/470	186	337	20	5	21%	7%	126	+3.2	290/349/476	186	337	20	4	19%	8%	134	+4.1
●Mike Zunino 2013 · AA	22	49→48	51→65	49→30	46	252/301/414	162	289	19	9	20%	6%	100	+1.3	208/267/379	171	271	22	3	31%	5%	80	-0.1	229/305/466	236	295	33	0	33%	8%	115	+1.9
●Angel Salome 2006 · A	20	53→63	49→50	49→45	45	264/300/418	154	294	16	7	17%	5%	101	+1.4	275/312/414	139	321	13	5	18%	5%	103	+1.6	299/336/445	146	347	13	4	17%	5%	119	+1.7

Rainiel Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps