Adrian Garcia

3B FCL Phillies

Age 20 S/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Phillies …	182	.238/.326/.356	2	12	24	—	.158/.232/.224
2025	18	ROKPHI	143	.262/.329/.369	0	3	30	—	.180/.238/.241
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBPHI	253	.212/.271/.299	2	5	61	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBPHI	42	.218/.279/.319	1	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBPHI	129	.222/.284/.334	2	3	73	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

K%61

ISO57

wRC+51

Speed49

Z-Con%45

Whiff%44

CompsAllan Castro (age 20) · Brainer Bonaci (age 20) · Angel Martínez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .269 / .296

PA71

HR1

K%26

BB%6

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	160	38	7	3	2	16	23	5	12	2	237	326	356	682	119	265	13	9	310	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	143	130	34	6	4	0	10	28	3	3	2	262	329	369	698	108	333	20	7	315	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	165	26	4	2	1	11	28	5	12	2	158	232	224	456	67	178	15	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	133	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	180	238	241	478	60	258	28	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	165	26	4	2	1	11	28	5	12	2	158	232	224	456	67	182	15	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	160	38	7	3	2	16	23	5	12	2	237	326	356	682	119	265	13	9	310	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	133	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	180	238	241	478	60	258	28	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	143	130	34	6	4	0	10	28	3	3	2	262	329	369	698	108	333	20	7	315	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	164	26	4	2	1	11	28	5	12	2	159	232	226	458	67	178	15	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	132	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	182	238	242	480	61	258	28	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	182	164	26	4	2	1	11	28	5	12	2	159	232	226	458	67	178	15	6	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	143	132	24	4	2	0	7	40	3	3	2	182	238	242	480	61	258	28	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	253	232	49	8	3	2	16	66	3	5	1	212	271	299	570	87	284	26	6	259	61	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	121	111	24	4	1	2	8	31	1	3	1	217	278	316	594	99	285	26	7	268	68	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	266	243	54	9	3	4	18	68	3	6	2	221	283	330	613	109	287	26	7	276	73	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	370	337	77	13	4	7	25	93	5	8	2	225	287	342	629	117	288	25	7	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	441	403	91	15	4	9	30	110	5	10	3	228	290	351	642	124	289	25	7	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	484	441	100	17	4	10	34	120	6	11	3	230	293	359	651	129	290	25	7	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	509	463	107	18	5	11	35	127	6	11	3	230	293	361	655	131	289	25	7	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	520	473	108	18	5	11	36	130	6	11	3	229	292	359	651	130	289	25	7	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	PHI	59%	523	476	108	18	5	11	36	132	6	11	3	227	290	354	644	127	288	25	7	288	81	-12	+1	-1	+2	+11	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	PHI	56%	518	471	106	18	4	11	36	132	6	11	3	224	287	347	634	123	286	25	7	284	79	-13	+1	-1	+2	+11	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	42	38	8	1	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	218	279	319	598	101	286	26	7	270	68	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	129	117	26	4	1	2	9	33	2	3	1	222	284	334	618	112	287	26	7	278	73	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	201	183	42	7	2	4	14	51	2	4	1	226	288	347	635	121	289	25	7	285	77	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	244	222	50	8	2	5	17	61	3	5	1	229	292	357	649	128	290	25	7	290	81	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	271	247	56	9	2	6	19	67	3	6	2	231	294	364	659	133	290	25	7	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	286	261	61	10	3	7	20	71	3	6	2	232	295	367	662	136	290	25	7	296	84	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	288	263	61	10	3	7	20	72	3	6	2	230	294	365	658	134	289	25	7	294	83	-6	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	PHI	59%	309	281	64	10	3	7	21	78	4	6	2	228	292	360	651	131	288	25	7	291	81	-7	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	PHI	56%	289	264	59	10	2	6	20	74	3	6	2	226	288	353	641	127	286	26	7	287	79	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2059	1876	427	69	18	45	143	518	24	43	13	228	291	356	646	128	289	25	7	290	76	-48	+3	-1	+7	+45	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	135	22	6	14	45	164	8	14	4	228	291	356	648	128	290	25	7	290	76	-15	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4148	3782	839	140	40	78	280	1030	53	98	27	222	285	342	627	120	282	25	7	280	76	-91	+7	-2	+14	+83	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	131	22	6	12	44	161	8	15	4	221	284	339	623	118	281	25	7	280	76	-15	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ray Mack'38-'47 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,016 PA	4.5	3,016	34	35	223*	288*	357*	+11	-7	1.7	2.7
/162	664	7	8	+2.4	-1.5	0.4	pk7: 4
#4Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,130	42	46	227	287	351	+8	+3	2.0	2.1
/162	664	13	14	+2.4	+0.9	0.6	pk7: 2
#5John Kerr'23-'34 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,631 PA	2.5	1,631	6	26	238*	297*	338*	+7	+3	0.7	1.1
/162	664	2	11	+2.9	+1.3	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Bobby Lowe'01-'07 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,085 PA	3.1	2,085	4	65	229*	274*	350*	+6	+6	0.1	0.1
/162	664	1	21	+2.0	+1.8	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adrian Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	210/269/296	86	284	1	1	26%	6%	61	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Rosell Herrera 2013 · A	20	40→50	37→45	48→55	42	193/245/268	75	263	5	9	28%	6%	45	-2.7	238/286/328	90	316	8	10	26%	6%	74	-0.6	253/308/344	91	321	4	24	21%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Jean Batista 2012 · A	20	42	40→55	50→45	36	208/237/299	91	278	6	8	28%	4%	48	-2.5	217/242/336	119	280	10	7	26%	3%	59	-1.7	220/234/364	144	272	12	6	24%	1%	61	-0.4
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Miguel Gómez 2013 · A	20	39→49	37→50	48→40	43	188/248/260	72	247	3	6	24%	6%	45	-2.7	199/247/278	79	252	4	5	22%	5%	48	-2.5	272/289/402	130	307	13	1	16%	2%	89	+0.4
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	40→47	38→45	50	46	194/262/268	74	258	6	14	26%	8%	52	-2.2	208/274/317	109	299	10	11	32%	7%	68	-1.0	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Luis Suisbel 2023 · A	20	33→43	38→50	46→45	40	163/257/237	74	251	5	6	34%	7%	45	-2.7	200/279/328	128	306	15	5	37%	7%	73	-0.6	191/267/326	136	288	18	4	38%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Michael Beltre 2015 · A	20	40→50	35→45	50→60	43	187/269/245	58	279	2	12	31%	8%	51	-2.3	200/263/276	76	291	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	224/296/341	118	306	9	22	28%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	41→44	36→50	48→45	43	194/262/264	70	258	3	9	25%	6%	51	-2.2	218/281/363	145	322	16	4	35%	7%	81	-0.1	210/279/360	150	310	18	4	36%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Riley Unroe 2016 · A	20	44→47	36→45	44→55	44	209/267/272	63	286	4	8	27%	7%	54	-2.0	197/265/266	69	286	5	12	30%	8%	53	-2.1	218/301/329	112	292	11	26	27%	10%	78	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	46→52	38→45	55	45	218/283/303	84	283	5	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	233/297/347	114	294	9	19	23%	7%	83	+0.1	234/307/360	127	282	11	18	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	42→52	38→50	52→50	44	203/259/282	79	268	5	14	25%	7%	53	-2.1	228/290/353	125	327	10	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Angelo Mora 2013 · A	20	41→51	34→45	50→45	39	194/231/251	57	258	1	14	25%	4%	34	-3.5	213/256/289	76	288	4	9	26%	5%	53	-2.1	259/294/363	103	333	5	4	23%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→50	39→45	48→50	50	203/281/298	95	268	5	9	24%	9%	66	-1.1	222/309/292	70	291	3	10	22%	11%	75	-0.5	247/316/346	99	293	8	16	17%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Shawn O'Malley 2008 · A	20	42→52	36→40	50→60	41	199/263/266	68	282	4	11	29%	6%	52	-2.2	217/293/272	55	302	1	24	26%	7%	65	-1.2	259/320/356	97	321	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4

Adrian Garcia

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps