Carlos Garces

IF ACL Guardians

Age 20 S/R 5'7" / 143 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	191	.234/.413/.362	1	16	53	—	.154/.315/.235
2026	19	ROKCLE	172	.244/.422/.354	2	26	65	—	.196/.331/.290
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBCLE	282	.211/.293/.295	2	7	69	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCLE	77	.215/.298/.309	1	2	75	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCLE	167	.219/.302/.323	2	4	80	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed96

K%81

Whiff%74

Z-Con%72

wRC+66

BB%64

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsJorge Barrosa (age 20) · Ricardo Ferreira (age 20) · Candido Pimentel (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 144 proj PA

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .291 / .293

PA144

HR1

K%24

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	106	24	6	2	0	18	15	3	4	6	226	354	321	675	94	255	12	14	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	141	33	5	5	1	28	11	15	16	2	234	413	362	775	128	237	6	15	351	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	172	127	31	4	2	2	30	26	9	26	5	244	422	354	776	110	287	15	17	354	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	111	15	3	1	0	13	19	3	4	6	135	244	180	424	45	158	15	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	149	23	3	3	1	20	14	15	16	2	154	315	235	550	81	148	7	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	172	138	27	3	2	2	19	37	9	26	5	196	331	290	621	94	228	22	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	111	15	3	1	0	13	19	3	4	6	135	244	180	424	45	158	15	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	106	24	6	2	0	18	15	3	4	6	226	354	321	675	94	255	12	14	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	149	23	3	3	1	20	14	15	16	2	154	315	235	550	81	157	7	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	141	33	5	5	1	28	11	15	16	2	234	413	362	775	128	237	6	15	351	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	172	138	27	3	2	2	19	37	9	26	5	196	331	290	621	94	248	22	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	172	127	31	4	2	2	30	26	9	26	5	244	422	354	776	110	287	15	17	354	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	113	15	3	1	0	13	19	3	4	6	133	244	177	421	44	158	15	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	154	23	3	3	1	20	14	15	16	2	149	315	227	542	78	148	7	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	172	142	27	3	2	2	19	37	9	26	5	190	331	282	613	92	228	22	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	130	113	15	3	1	0	13	19	3	4	6	133	244	177	421	44	158	15	10	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	191	154	23	3	3	1	20	14	15	16	2	149	315	227	542	78	148	7	10	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	172	142	27	3	2	2	19	37	9	26	5	190	331	282	613	92	228	22	11	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	282	251	53	9	3	2	24	67	5	7	1	211	293	295	588	85	276	24	9	271	69	-10	+1	+0	+0	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	224	199	43	7	2	3	19	53	4	6	1	216	298	313	611	97	278	24	8	279	75	-7	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	345	306	68	12	3	5	29	81	7	9	2	220	302	326	628	106	280	23	8	286	80	-8	+1	+0	+0	+7	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	426	378	85	15	4	7	37	99	8	11	2	223	305	336	641	113	281	23	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+0	+9	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	479	426	96	17	4	8	41	111	9	12	3	226	307	344	651	118	283	23	9	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+0	+10	0.3
2032	25	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	510	452	102	18	4	9	44	117	9	13	3	227	308	349	657	122	283	23	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	527	468	106	18	5	10	45	121	9	13	3	227	308	349	657	122	283	23	9	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+0	+11	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	533	473	107	19	4	10	46	124	9	13	3	226	307	347	654	121	282	23	9	296	86	-9	+1	+0	+0	+12	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	533	473	105	18	4	9	46	125	9	12	3	224	305	342	647	118	281	23	9	293	84	-10	+1	-1	+0	+12	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	526	467	104	18	4	9	45	125	9	11	3	222	302	335	637	114	280	24	9	289	82	-11	+1	-1	+0	+11	-0.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	517	459	100	17	4	8	44	124	9	10	3	218	298	327	626	109	278	24	9	285	79	-13	+1	-2	+0	+11	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	77	69	16	3	1	1	7	18	1	2	0	215	298	309	607	94	277	23	9	278	75	-2	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	167	148	32	6	1	2	14	39	3	4	1	219	302	323	624	103	279	23	8	285	80	-4	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	231	205	46	8	2	4	20	54	4	6	1	223	304	333	637	110	280	23	9	290	83	-5	+1	+0	+0	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	266	236	53	9	2	5	23	61	5	7	2	225	307	341	647	116	282	23	9	293	86	-5	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	286	254	57	10	2	5	25	66	5	7	2	227	308	346	654	119	282	23	9	296	87	-4	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	296	263	60	11	2	6	26	68	5	7	2	227	308	346	654	120	282	23	9	296	87	-4	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	295	262	58	10	2	5	26	68	5	7	2	225	307	344	650	118	282	23	9	295	86	-5	+1	+0	+0	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	292	260	58	10	2	5	25	68	5	6	2	224	305	339	644	115	281	23	9	292	84	-5	+0	-0	+0	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	281	250	56	10	2	5	24	67	5	6	2	221	302	333	634	112	279	24	9	288	82	-6	+0	-1	+0	+6	-0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	295	263	58	10	2	5	25	71	5	6	2	218	298	325	623	107	277	24	8	284	79	-7	+0	-1	+0	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2486	2210	494	87	18	43	215	580	43	58	16	224	305	338	642	114	283	23	9	291	80	-48	+5	-2	+0	+54	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	129	23	5	11	56	152	11	15	4	223	303	337	641	114	283	23	9	291	80	-13	+1	-1	+0	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5257	4627	1008	173	45	82	460	1184	112	159	40	218	304	328	632	110	273	23	9	286	80	-96	+12	-4	+0	+103	1.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	125	21	6	10	57	146	14	20	5	219	305	329	634	110	273	22	9	286	80	-13	+2	-1	+0	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#4Ray Mack'38-'47 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,016 PA	4.5	3,016	34	35	223*	288*	357*	+11	-7	1.7	2.7
/162	664	7	8	+2.4	-1.5	0.4	pk7: 4
#5Jimmy Burke'01-'05 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,093 PA	3.2	2,093	1	86	236*	296*	348*	+7	+4	2.7	2.7
/162	664	0	27	+2.3	+1.4	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.0	2,630	44	61	224	302	338	+0	+0	2.6	2.6
/162	664	11	15	+0.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Garces (OGILVIE)	20	45	25	60	55	209/291/293	84	276	1	3	24%	8%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	46→52	38→45	55	45	218/283/303	84	283	5	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	233/297/347	114	294	9	19	23%	7%	83	+0.1	234/307/360	127	282	11	18	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Candido Pimentel 2010 · A	20	45	35→30	53→55	54	207/295/272	65	273	2	17	23%	11%	65	-1.2	211/275/265	54	294	2	15	26%	8%	55	-1.9	234/284/275	41	327	1	17	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Luis Mendez 2013 · A	20	45	37→30	55→50	50	211/295/286	74	262	4	15	20%	8%	69	-0.9	212/273/273	61	282	2	13	24%	6%	57	-1.8	211/271/264	53	281	2	13	24%	6%	51	-1.1
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Luis Durango 2023 · A	20	45	35→30	53→70	48	209/290/266	57	271	3	24	22%	8%	63	-1.4	216/288/274	58	294	2	32	25%	6%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Yonny Hernández 2018 · A	20	44→54	34→30	53→60	56	199/285/252	53	230	1	20	13%	9%	57	-1.8	236/318/291	55	300	1	25	20%	9%	78	-0.3	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→51	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	277	2	20	30%	9%	49	-2.4	215/301/265	50	313	2	38	28%	11%	66	-1.1	214/299/272	58	299	5	52	27%	10%	65	-1.0
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Cole Miles 2007 · A	20	49→52	37→30	57→55	51	228/307/306	77	293	4	19	22%	9%	78	-0.3	236/285/296	60	294	3	15	19%	6%	65	-1.2	238/283/292	53	295	3	15	19%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Yoyner Fajardo 2019 · A	20	46→56	37→40	57→60	51	211/279/293	82	248	2	14	16%	8%	63	-1.3	227/286/295	68	281	2	19	19%	6%	67	-1.1	260/318/350	90	329	5	34	21%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	217/271/293	76	299	5	21	28%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/264	57	287	2	13	26%	7%	53	-2.1	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Darwin Perez 2009 · A	20	44→53	36→40	54→50	46	203/275/276	73	292	3	10	29%	9%	59	-1.7	231/292/302	71	324	3	12	27%	8%	70	-0.8	238/302/305	67	328	3	14	26%	8%	72	-0.6
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→52	40→45	53→50	52	213/295/309	95	271	8	10	23%	10%	74	-0.6	224/297/348	124	275	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.1	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	41→40	35→40	55→60	51	191/273/258	66	249	1	16	22%	9%	54	-2.0	191/269/267	76	262	2	18	25%	8%	54	-2.0	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7

Carlos Garces

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps