Alvaro RiosC
DSL White Sox
Age 19
R/R
6'1" / 170 lbs
ROK
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.0 · 2033
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .266 / .290
PA57
HR1
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.0peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.9 | $28M | +$27M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.0 | $30M | +$29M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.0 | $30M | +$29M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.8 | $29M | +$24M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +2.7 | $29M | +$20M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $12M | +2.4 | $27M | +$15M |
| Totals | $29M | $172M | +$143M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 92 | 82 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .171 | .244 | .171 | .415 | .000 | .275 | 36 | 5 | .192 | 5 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | CWS | 57 | 52 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .212 | .281 | .308 | .588 | .096 | .290 | 32 | 7 | .255 | 54 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | CWS | 120 | 108 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .213 | .286 | .324 | .610 | .111 | .298 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | CWS | 270 | 242 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 75 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .227 | .302 | .368 | .670 | .140 | .299 | 28 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | CWS | 384 | 341 | 79 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 105 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .232 | .312 | .375 | .688 | .144 | .300 | 27 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | CWS | 461 | 409 | 96 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 123 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .235 | .317 | .384 | .700 | .149 | .300 | 27 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | CWS | 512 | 452 | 108 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 135 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .239 | .321 | .396 | .718 | .157 | .301 | 26 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 520 | 458 | 110 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 51 | 136 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .240 | .324 | .402 | .726 | .162 | .301 | 26 | 10 | .322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.9 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 520 | 457 | 110 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 52 | 136 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .241 | .326 | .403 | .729 | .162 | .302 | 26 | 10 | .323 | 106 | +3 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.0 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 520 | 457 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 52 | 137 | 6 | 12 | 2 | .236 | .322 | .394 | .716 | .158 | .302 | 26 | 10 | .324 | 106 | +3 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 3.0 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 520 | 456 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 138 | 6 | 11 | 2 | .237 | .324 | .395 | .719 | .158 | .302 | 27 | 10 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.8 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | CWS | 520 | 456 | 108 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 53 | 139 | 6 | 10 | 1 | .237 | .324 | .395 | .719 | .158 | .301 | 27 | 10 | .320 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.7 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 520 | 456 | 105 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 141 | 6 | 9 | 1 | .230 | .318 | .379 | .698 | .149 | .299 | 27 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 2.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 504 | 442 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 139 | 6 | 6 | 0 | .231 | .319 | .378 | .696 | .147 | .298 | 28 | 10 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 489 | 430 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 137 | 6 | 4 | 0 | .228 | .317 | .377 | .694 | .149 | .296 | 28 | 10 | .309 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -4 | +9 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 447 | 394 | 88 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 129 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .223 | .311 | .365 | .676 | .142 | .295 | 29 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 391 | 345 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 116 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .304 | .351 | .655 | .133 | .293 | 30 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -7 | +0 | -5 | +7 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 332 | 292 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 102 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .216 | .304 | .346 | .650 | .130 | .291 | 31 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 271 | 239 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 86 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .209 | .297 | .335 | .632 | .126 | .288 | 32 | 10 | .280 | 73 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | CWS | 210 | 186 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 69 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .199 | .284 | .306 | .590 | .108 | .284 | 33 | 10 | .271 | 65 | -8 | +0 | -7 | +4 | +6 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7660 | 6754 | 1548 | 252 | 49 | 211 | 748 | 2129 | 91 | 120 | 18 | .229 | .314 | .375 | .689 | .146 | .300 | 28 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -48 | +17 | -38 | +137 | +217 | 29.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 131 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 63 | 181 | 8 | 10 | 2 | .229 | .314 | .373 | .687 | .145 | .299 | 28 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -4 | +1 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 2.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 92 | 79 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .241 | .333 | .241 | .574 | .000 | .322 | 24 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alvaro Rios (OGILVIE) | 19 | — | — | — | — | .201/.266/.290 | .089 | .290 | 1 | 1 | 31% | 7% | 54 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Wilin Rosario 2008 · A |
19 | 39→49 | 37→60 | 45 | 35 | .189/.235/.257 | .068 | .297 | 6 | 6 | 37% | 5% | 31 | -3.0 | .219/.259/.344 | .125 | .302 | 14 | 5 | 31% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .265/.302/.457 | .192 | .301 | 26 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
●Maikel Franco 2012 · A |
19 | 36→46 | 38→55 | 48→40 | 37 | .180/.226/.261 | .081 | .253 | 6 | 4 | 30% | 5% | 28 | -3.2 | .239/.273/.382 | .143 | .277 | 16 | 3 | 20% | 4% | 80 | +0.4 | .263/.299/.434 | .171 | .290 | 19 | 2 | 17% | 4% | 100 | +1.6 |
|
●Amed Rosario 2015 · A |
19 | 39→49 | 40→50 | 43→55 | 36 | .196/.231/.287 | .092 | .270 | 7 | 5 | 30% | 4% | 37 | -2.7 | .236/.274/.327 | .091 | .314 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .286/.323/.422 | .136 | .344 | 12 | 14 | 20% | 5% | 107 | +1.7 |
|
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A |
19 | 40→46 | 36→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .193/.237/.259 | .066 | .276 | 3 | 8 | 30% | 5% | 32 | -3.0 | .202/.246/.272 | .070 | .280 | 4 | 10 | 28% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .230/.295/.366 | .136 | .298 | 17 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
●Yonathan Perlaza 2018 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 37→60 | 48→50 | 37 | .195/.235/.273 | .078 | .279 | 4 | 12 | 31% | 5% | 34 | -2.8 | .213/.257/.285 | .072 | .313 | 4 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .235/.307/.417 | .182 | .303 | 19 | 12 | 28% | 9% | 100 | +1.6 |
|
●Jose Alvarez 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 38→60 | 49→50 | 38 | .197/.247/.279 | .082 | .270 | 5 | 8 | 28% | 5% | 42 | -2.3 | .198/.241/.288 | .090 | .275 | 6 | 8 | 29% | 3% | 41 | -2.3 | .293/.324/.482 | .189 | .318 | 26 | 9 | 17% | 2% | 126 | +2.8 |
|
●Aaron Altherr 2010 · A |
19 | 42→51 | 38→55 | 51→50 | 43 | .201/.253/.279 | .078 | .267 | 5 | 11 | 26% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .200/.241/.279 | .079 | .282 | 6 | 16 | 30% | 4% | 38 | -2.6 | .244/.318/.420 | .176 | .303 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 104 | +1.5 |
|
●Alex Liddi 2007 · A |
18 | 43→53 | 39→60 | 52→50 | 35 | .205/.243/.299 | .094 | .302 | 6 | 10 | 33% | 4% | 44 | -2.1 | .213/.261/.326 | .113 | .308 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .241/.296/.424 | .182 | .336 | 20 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 99 | +1.7 |
|
●Eloy Jiménez 2016 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 40→65 | 49→40 | 39 | .197/.240/.291 | .094 | .269 | 7 | 7 | 29% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .251/.286/.404 | .153 | .321 | 16 | 4 | 26% | 4% | 91 | +1.1 | .273/.314/.492 | .219 | .314 | 30 | 0 | 23% | 5% | 125 | +2.3 |
|
●Oneil Cruz 2018 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 41→60 | 45→55 | 35 | .200/.243/.293 | .093 | .310 | 8 | 9 | 37% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .217/.257/.339 | .122 | .316 | 12 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .241/.304/.442 | .201 | .317 | 25 | 22 | 31% | 8% | 103 | +1.7 |
|
●Austin Dean 2013 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 39→55 | 45 | 45 | .195/.265/.280 | .085 | .270 | 5 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 50 | -1.7 | .220/.275/.314 | .094 | .285 | 7 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .257/.302/.413 | .156 | .304 | 17 | 4 | 21% | 5% | 96 | +1.1 |
|
●Jose Miranda 2017 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 36→50 | 43→40 | 42 | .191/.245/.255 | .064 | .255 | 3 | 6 | 26% | 6% | 34 | -2.8 | .215/.260/.324 | .109 | .245 | 12 | 3 | 17% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .262/.312/.407 | .145 | .294 | 18 | 2 | 17% | 5% | 101 | +1.5 |
|
✕Joe Benson 2007 · A |
19 | 42→50 | 42→60 | 46→50 | 41 | .206/.256/.312 | .106 | .277 | 8 | 10 | 28% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .214/.282/.309 | .095 | .312 | 6 | 13 | 31% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .231/.309/.414 | .183 | .319 | 19 | 15 | 32% | 8% | 101 | +1.4 |
|
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2016 · A |
20 | 40→50 | 35→55 | 48→45 | 45 | .185/.261/.247 | .062 | .282 | 3 | 12 | 33% | 9% | 40 | -2.4 | .222/.269/.320 | .098 | .293 | 7 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .246/.303/.412 | .166 | .293 | 19 | 4 | 22% | 7% | 97 | +1.1 |
|
✕Yairo Muñoz 2015 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 38→50 | 48→55 | 42 | .195/.251/.276 | .081 | .262 | 4 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .218/.254/.321 | .103 | .267 | 10 | 9 | 22% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .270/.315/.386 | .116 | .325 | 11 | 18 | 20% | 5% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
●Brandon Drury 2011 · A |
18 | 36→46 | 38→60 | 45→40 | 33 | .178/.219/.255 | .076 | .265 | 6 | 5 | 34% | 4% | 24 | -3.6 | .214/.245/.320 | .106 | .267 | 10 | 3 | 23% | 3% | 51 | -1.7 | .254/.305/.458 | .204 | .301 | 25 | 1 | 24% | 6% | 112 | +2.0 |
|
●Moisés Sierra 2008 · A |
19 | 37→47 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 37 | .188/.241/.283 | .095 | .258 | 9 | 10 | 30% | 5% | 41 | -2.3 | .219/.266/.312 | .093 | .295 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .250/.316/.378 | .129 | .306 | 14 | 15 | 22% | 7% | 94 | +1.0 |
|
✕Chris Nelson 2006 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 38→50 | 47→50 | 36 | .199/.245/.279 | .080 | .293 | 6 | 8 | 33% | 5% | 40 | -2.4 | .216/.262/.340 | .124 | .278 | 11 | 11 | 26% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .257/.301/.387 | .130 | .311 | 13 | 7 | 21% | 5% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2014 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 38→60 | 51→65 | 36 | .205/.241/.276 | .071 | .288 | 6 | 13 | 30% | 4% | 37 | -2.6 | .198/.229/.299 | .101 | .284 | 9 | 19 | 32% | 4% | 39 | -2.5 | .248/.279/.427 | .179 | .328 | 19 | 49 | 30% | 4% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
●Óscar Mercado 2014 · A |
19 | 38→48 | 37→55 | 52→60 | 40 | .185/.243/.259 | .074 | .266 | 4 | 12 | 30% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .192/.242/.259 | .067 | .240 | 4 | 22 | 21% | 5% | 34 | -2.8 | .236/.299/.394 | .159 | .271 | 16 | 22 | 19% | 7% | 92 | +0.9 |