David Sanchez

P ACL D-backs

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.8 · 2033

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKDSL Arizona B…	16	0	19	6.52	4.34	18.1%	16.0%	—	K 12.3% · BB 19.9% · FIP 5.50
2025	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	12	8	50	6.48	4.38	19.0%	8.6%	—	K 12.9% · BB 10.7% · FIP 5.54
2026	19	MIX2 levels	14	13	51	5.96	4.56	15.5%	11.8%	—	K 10.0% · BB 12.5% · FIP 5.67
2027PROJ	20	MLBARI	5	5	27	6.00	6.00	11.2%	14.2%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBARI	5	5	24	5.70	5.60	13.9%	13.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBARI	7	7	37	5.40	5.27	16.1%	12.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control40Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJuan Gomez (age 20) · Erick Reynoso (age 20) · Lisander Brito (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.00

FIP6.00

K%11.2%

BB%14.2%

K-BB%-3.0%

Proj IP27

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3030

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	16	0	19	94	17	15	1	0%	1.2	12.3%	19.9%	-7.6%	1.7%	6.52	5.50	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	16	0	19	94	17	15	1	0%	1.2	12.3%	19.9%	-7.6%	1.7%	6.52	5.50	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	16	0	19	94	17	15	1	0%	1.2	18.1%	16.0%	2.1%	1.1%	6.52	4.34	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	8	50	221	42	19	7	67%	4.2	12.9%	10.7%	2.2%	4.0%	6.48	5.54	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	12	8	50	221	42	19	7	67%	4.2	12.9%	10.7%	2.2%	4.0%	6.48	5.54	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	12	8	50	221	42	19	7	67%	4.2	19.0%	8.6%	10.4%	3.2%	6.48	4.38	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	51	238	37	28	5	93%	3.7	10.0%	12.5%	-2.5%	3.3%	5.96	5.67	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	13	51	238	37	28	5	93%	3.7	10.0%	12.5%	-2.5%	3.3%	5.96	5.67	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	13	51	238	37	28	5	93%	3.7	15.5%	11.8%	3.8%	2.1%	5.96	4.56	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	ARI	5	5	27	114	13	16	3	100%	5.4	11.2%	14.2%	-3.0%	3.0%	6.00	6.00	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	ARI	9	9	48	205	28	27	6	100%	5.4	13.9%	13.1%	0.7%	3.0%	5.70	5.60	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	ARI	10	10	51	215	35	26	6	100%	5.1	16.1%	12.2%	3.9%	2.9%	5.40	5.27	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	ARI	10	10	53	223	39	26	6	100%	5.3	17.4%	11.6%	5.8%	2.9%	5.17	5.06	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	ARI	10	10	54	228	42	26	7	100%	5.4	18.2%	11.3%	6.9%	2.9%	5.03	4.94	-0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	ARI	9	9	55	231	43	26	7	100%	6.1	18.6%	11.2%	7.4%	2.8%	4.94	4.89	+0.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	ARI	9	9	55	231	43	26	7	100%	6.1	18.8%	11.2%	7.6%	2.8%	4.89	4.86	+0.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	ARI	9	9	54	228	43	26	7	100%	6.0	18.8%	11.2%	7.6%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	ARI	5	5	24	101	14	13	3	100%	4.8	13.9%	13.1%	0.7%	3.0%	5.70	5.60	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	ARI	7	7	37	156	25	19	5	100%	5.3	16.1%	12.2%	3.9%	2.9%	5.40	5.27	-0.2
2030	23	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	45	190	33	22	5	100%	5.6	17.4%	11.6%	5.8%	2.9%	5.17	5.06	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	48	203	37	23	6	100%	5.3	18.2%	11.3%	6.9%	2.9%	5.03	4.94	-0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	ARI	9	9	50	211	39	24	6	100%	5.6	18.6%	11.2%	7.4%	2.8%	4.94	4.89	+0.0
2033	26	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	51	215	40	24	6	100%	6.4	18.8%	11.2%	7.6%	2.8%	4.89	4.86	+0.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	ARI	8	8	51	215	40	24	6	100%	6.4	18.8%	11.2%	7.6%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	54	306	1294	230	149	37	100%	5.7	17.8%	11.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.09	4.64	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	150	97	24	100%	5.6	17.8%	11.6%	6.2%	2.9%	5.09	4.64	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		42	21	121	553	64	72	18	50%	2.9	11.6%	13.1%	-1.5%	3.3%	6.27	5.59	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		70	35	200	917	106	120	30	50%	2.9	11.6%	13.1%	-1.5%	3.3%	6.27	5.59	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
David Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.00	11.2%	14.2%	3.0%	—	5.30	15.8%	3.6%	152	-0.70	—	—	—
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	87
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	87
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	86
Gillian Wernet R 2018 · 5.46 FIP	19	SP-	5.46	11.2%	16.6%	2.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	107	85
Alain Pena R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	20	SP-	5.48	14.2%	13.9%	3.3%	.222	5.68	15.6%	3.5%	191	+0.20	3.66	266	85
Jorge Cespedes R 2016 · 4.88 FIP	20	SW	4.88	11.2%	12.2%	2.1%	.284	4.14	12.9%	5.6%	107	-0.74	3.47	153	85
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	84
Miguel Vinicio R 2019 · 5.69 FIP	19	SP-	5.69	13.8%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	3.99	16.9%	1.4%	47	-1.70	3.63	164	84
Daury Cabrera R 2021 · 5.97 FIP	20	SW	5.97	9.7%	14.3%	3.4%	.290	4.15	15.1%	5.0%	44	-1.82	2.86	191	84
Chad Bryant R 2019 · 4.96 FIP	19	SP-	4.96	12.8%	13.3%	2.3%	.345	5.43	14.4%	-4.5%	49	+0.47	3.93	136	84
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	84
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	83
Andres German R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	20	SW	4.97	8.7%	10.4%	2.3%	.302	3.04	13.4%	7.0%	73	-1.93	3.04	116	83
Jhon Vergara R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	19	SW	5.75	11.1%	13.1%	3.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	106	83
Mayky Perez R 2017 · 5.34 FIP	20	SP-	5.34	8.6%	11.6%	2.7%	.321	4.42	22.9%	7.0%	84	-0.92	3.44	160	83
Harold Chirino R 2017 · 6.05 FIP	19	SP-	6.05	13.2%	16.0%	3.7%	.327	3.11	19.0%	6.2%	34	-2.94	3.11	321	82
Mason Denaburg R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	19	SP-	4.98	12.8%	17.3%	1.4%	.328	4.95	16.3%	-0.1%	39	-0.03	4.48	151	82
Weskendry Espinosa R 2022 · 4.82 FIP	20	SP-	4.82	11.6%	11.9%	2.2%	.368	4.05	15.6%	3.6%	78	-0.77	2.98	147	82
Carlos Castillo R 2024 · 5.00 FIP	18	SP-	5.00	13.5%	13.3%	2.5%	.336	4.65	14.3%	2.6%	121	-0.35	3.15	206	82
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.0	50	17.0%	11.8%	1.12	5.19
Jesus Colome ('10)	2.1	53	17.3%	11.7%	1.03	4.69
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
C.J. Nitkowski ('05)	2.4	68	15.8%	11.9%	1.07	5.37
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*