Kyle Fossum

OF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	24	ACOL	265	.268/.360/.447	9	2	59	—	.193/.264/.311
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBCOL	315	.185/.255/.296	6	5	56	-0.6
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBCOL	77	.198/.268/.325	2	1	58	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO72

wOBA59

wRC+58

BB%42

Chase%39

Z-Con%16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsConnor Kaiser (age 25) · Josh Altmann (age 25) · Spencer Henson (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 212 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .253 / .293

PA212

HR4

K%34

BB%8

ISO111

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	24	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	265	228	61	14	0	9	30	92	3	2	3	268	360	447	808	180	400	35	11	356	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	265	238	46	10	0	6	20	125	3	2	3	193	264	311	575	118	355	47	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	265	238	46	10	0	6	20	125	3	2	3	193	264	311	575	118	364	47	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	265	228	61	14	0	9	30	92	3	2	3	268	360	447	808	180	400	35	11	356	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	265	240	46	10	0	6	20	125	3	2	3	192	264	308	573	117	355	47	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	265	240	46	10	0	6	20	125	3	2	3	192	264	308	573	117	355	47	8	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	315	285	52	10	1	6	24	106	3	5	2	185	255	296	551	111	264	34	8	250	56	-17	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	256	232	43	8	1	5	20	85	2	4	1	188	258	301	559	113	265	33	8	254	58	-13	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.9
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	77	70	13	2	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	198	268	325	593	127	279	32	8	267	58	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	77	70	13	2	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	186	260	300	560	114	256	32	8	267	58	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	110	17	0	17	51	211	8	8	0	186	260	301	561	115	256	32	8	267	58	-33	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	733	662	125	25	2	15	56	281	7	9	5	189	259	301	560	112	296	38	8	254	58	-24	+1	+0	-3	+10	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	111	22	2	13	50	249	6	8	4	189	260	300	560	111	298	38	8	254	58	-33	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#5Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	289	6	4	186	254	298	-2	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	14	10	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Fossum (OGILVIE)	25	20	43	44	48	183/253/293	110	264	4	3	34%	8%	56	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Josh Altmann 2019 · A	25	36→39	45	48→50	42	190/256/313	123	245	14	9	28%	6%	61	-1.5	189/268/294	105	260	10	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	160/254/247	87	222	8	9	29%	8%	45	-1.7
✕Spencer Henson 2023 · A	25	35	48→50	46→40	39	186/254/321	136	277	17	6	38%	7%	62	-1.4	194/248/328	134	275	16	5	35%	5%	61	-1.5	179/229/324	146	236	20	1	34%	4%	53	-1.2
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Conor Bierfeldt 2016 · A	25	33→30	45→50	46→30	40	174/233/300	125	240	12	3	32%	6%	49	-2.4	201/255/353	152	267	18	4	31%	6%	70	-0.9	189/240/369	180	230	24	1	30%	5%	65	-0.7
✕Harrison Spohn 2024 · A	25	39	45	45	45	202/266/321	119	264	14	8	29%	8%	66	-1.1	175/236/260	85	299	8	8	41%	7%	40	-3.0	141/204/204	63	260	5	7	45%	7%	13	-2.3
✕Colin Davis 2024 · A	25	39	45	51→50	41	199/255/320	121	267	12	12	30%	6%	61	-1.5	183/248/293	110	260	12	11	33%	6%	53	-2.1	154/229/257	103	218	14	11	35%	6%	36	-1.0
✕Griffin Doersching 2024 · A	25	37→33	47→50	44→40	43	188/270/319	130	290	16	3	38%	9%	68	-1.0	193/261/322	129	279	15	6	34%	8%	65	-1.2	157/224/289	132	208	17	4	33%	7%	42	-1.4
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	44→45	45	34	196/246/310	114	289	12	9	36%	4%	56	-1.9	191/245/288	97	289	10	6	36%	5%	51	-2.3	154/207/216	62	234	8	0	36%	5%	17	-2.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Drew Biery 2011 · A	25	41→38	45	42→45	41	207/264/326	118	272	14	8	29%	6%	66	-1.1	215/270/335	120	287	14	7	29%	6%	70	-0.8	204/248/330	125	257	18	0	28%	5%	59	-0.3
✕Darlin Moquete 2024 · A	24	38	44→45	45→55	41	196/250/307	112	252	13	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	206/258/321	115	275	13	19	29%	6%	63	-1.4	200/253/312	112	267	14	26	30%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	32→40	43→45	47→45	44	169/250/274	105	239	11	6	33%	8%	50	-2.3	190/273/295	105	264	10	5	30%	9%	63	-1.3	177/267/274	97	242	10	3	29%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Jay Brossman 2010 · A	25	40→36	46→45	46→45	41	204/256/331	127	257	13	8	26%	5%	65	-1.2	197/245/313	116	258	12	9	28%	5%	56	-1.9	153/190/246	92	197	10	9	28%	4%	17	-0.8
✕Ryan McCarty 2024 · A	25	41→38	43→45	47→50	43	198/274/311	113	289	9	8	33%	8%	67	-1.1	196/265/293	97	275	9	11	30%	7%	59	-1.6	187/259/272	85	258	9	12	29%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Jhalan Jackson 2017 · A	24	38→34	45→50	42→45	38	194/248/324	130	281	13	6	35%	6%	59	-1.6	190/255/326	136	306	15	6	40%	7%	63	-1.3	173/247/308	135	285	17	6	43%	7%	54	-1.2
✕Jonathan Engelmann 2022 · AA	25	38	43→45	47→45	41	190/259/297	106	273	11	9	33%	7%	58	-1.7	197/262/324	127	287	13	9	34%	7%	65	-1.2	146/212/290	145	198	17	9	36%	6%	36	-0.8

Kyle Fossum

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps