Reid Easterly — OGILVIE

Reid Easterly P Everett AquaSox

Age 24 LHP 6'0" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 97105vR 113

ERA4.20

FIP4.20

K%22.5%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%14.6%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	3	0	5	19	3	1	0	0%	1.6	15.8%	5.3%	10.5%	0.0%	1.93	2.43	—
2025	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	3	0	5	19	3	1	0	0%	1.6	15.8%	5.3%	10.5%	0.0%	1.93	2.43	—
2025	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	3	0	5	19	3	1	0	0%	1.6	15.8%	5.3%	10.5%	0.0%	1.93	2.46	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	34	1	66	284	77	16	5	3%	2.0	20.9%	6.5%	14.4%	2.2%	3.39	3.37	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	34	1	66	284	77	16	5	3%	2.0	20.9%	6.5%	14.4%	2.2%	3.39	3.37	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	SEA	34	1	66	284	77	16	5	3%	1.9	27.1%	5.6%	21.5%	1.8%	3.39	2.49	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SEA	63	0	66	278	64	22	8	0%	1.0	23.0%	7.8%	15.1%	3.0%	4.18	4.16	+0.3
2028	26	MLB MLE	SEA	63	0	66	278	64	22	8	0%	1.0	23.2%	7.9%	15.3%	3.0%	4.17	4.15	+0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	274	63	22	8	0%	1.0	23.2%	8.1%	15.1%	3.0%	4.19	4.19	+0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	SEA	27	0	28	118	27	9	3	0%	1.0	23.0%	7.8%	15.1%	3.0%	4.18	4.16	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	SEA	42	0	44	186	43	15	5	0%	1.0	23.2%	7.9%	15.3%	3.0%	4.17	4.15	+0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	SEA	48	0	50	211	49	17	6	0%	1.0	23.2%	8.1%	15.1%	3.0%	4.19	4.19	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		116	0	122	516	119	41	15	0%	1.1	23.1%	8.0%	15.2%	3.0%	4.18	3.79	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	195	67	25	0%	1.1	23.1%	8.0%	15.2%	3.0%	4.18	3.79	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		37	1	71	303	62	19	6	3%	1.9	20.6%	6.4%	14.2%	2.1%	3.30	3.31	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	3	200	854	175	55	18	3%	1.9	20.6%	6.4%	14.2%	2.1%	3.30	3.31	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reid Easterly (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.20	22.5%	7.8%	3.0%	—	4.17	23.1%	15.2%	196	-0.03	—	—	—
Chris Cotton L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	20.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.288	4.17	9.7%	3.3%	61	+0.48	3.69	128	86
Trevor Lane L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	21.5%	7.3%	2.5%	.360	3.10	21.2%	12.6%	91	-0.46	2.13	246	84
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	84
Josh Dye L 2021 · 3.51 FIP	24	SU	3.51	22.0%	7.0%	2.5%	.298	5.34	16.6%	10.4%	79	+1.83	2.79	238	84
Ben Wereski L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	24	SU	4.78	18.6%	7.6%	4.2%	.287	3.73	29.0%	21.6%	20	-1.05	3.73	132	83
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	83
Easton Lucas L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	23.6%	9.2%	3.7%	.316	4.03	21.2%	11.6%	184	-0.26	3.43	311	83
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	83
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	82
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2015 · 3.77 FIP	26	SU	3.77	20.5%	6.9%	2.8%	.287	3.21	22.3%	9.6%	66	-0.56	2.81	159	82
Michael Sansone L 2023 · 3.48 FIP	23	SU	3.48	24.2%	5.2%	3.2%	.338	4.71	16.4%	10.0%	263	+1.23	3.15	291	81
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	21.0%	9.8%	1.9%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	201	81
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	81
Thomas Burrows L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	24	SU	3.99	22.0%	10.5%	2.6%	.276	3.93	26.5%	12.9%	82	-0.06	2.67	271	81
Haylen Green L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	16.9%	8.1%	2.4%	.291	4.09	18.6%	7.8%	49	+0.07	4.02	104	80
Brandon Hughes L 2021 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	27.0%	11.1%	2.7%	.300	4.61	24.0%	15.0%	149	+0.93	3.68	206	80
Kirby Snead L 2019 · 4.03 FIP	24	SU	4.03	20.7%	8.7%	2.9%	.318	3.10	24.6%	15.6%	98	-0.93	2.12	388	80
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	80
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.2%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	80
Christian Jones L 2015 · 3.32 FIP	24	SU	3.32	18.5%	7.4%	1.6%	.319	4.00	15.0%	3.7%	89	+0.68	3.32	161	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	58	23.0%	7.9%	1.15	4.18
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47