Sebastian Mendez

SS DSL Astros Orange

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Astros Or…	224	.318/.450/.416	1	49	69	—	.214/.326/.283
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	334	.217/.295/.294	2	14	69	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	94	.221/.301/.307	1	4	74	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	191	.224/.305/.318	2	7	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed81

wOBA80

wRC+75

Chase%65

BB%64

Whiff%62

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsNelson Rada (age 18) · Carlos Jorge (age 18) · Adrian Pinto (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 193 proj PA

wRC+69

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .293 / .291

PA193

HR1

SB8

K%25

BB%9

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$34M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE68

scouting grade only

SPEED80

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	224	173	55	12	1	1	39	43	4	49	10	318	450	416	866	98	403	19	17	386	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	224	187	40	8	1	1	27	52	4	49	10	214	326	283	609	70	264	23	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	224	187	40	8	1	1	27	52	4	49	10	214	326	283	609	70	281	23	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	224	173	55	12	1	1	39	43	4	49	10	318	450	416	866	98	403	19	17	386	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	224	191	40	8	1	1	27	52	4	49	10	209	326	277	603	68	264	23	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	224	191	40	8	1	1	27	52	4	49	10	209	326	277	603	68	264	23	12	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	334	298	64	11	2	2	30	85	3	14	1	217	295	294	589	77	291	25	9	271	69	-12	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	273	244	55	10	2	3	24	68	3	11	1	221	301	307	607	86	293	25	9	278	74	-8	+2	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	394	351	79	14	2	5	35	98	5	15	2	224	305	318	623	94	294	25	9	285	79	-10	+2	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	485	431	98	17	3	7	44	119	7	18	3	227	308	328	636	101	295	25	9	290	82	-10	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	548	487	111	20	3	8	49	133	7	20	3	230	310	336	647	106	296	24	9	294	85	-10	+3	+0	+6	+12	1.1
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	592	526	123	22	4	10	53	143	8	22	3	232	312	343	655	111	296	24	9	297	87	-9	+3	+0	+6	+13	1.4
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	616	547	127	23	4	10	56	148	8	22	4	233	313	346	659	113	297	24	9	298	88	-9	+3	+0	+7	+13	1.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	627	557	130	23	4	11	57	151	8	23	4	233	313	347	660	114	297	24	9	299	88	-9	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.5
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	635	564	131	23	4	11	58	153	8	23	4	233	313	347	660	114	297	24	9	299	89	-9	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.5
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	634	563	131	23	4	11	58	153	8	22	4	232	312	345	657	113	297	24	9	298	88	-9	+3	+0	+7	+14	1.4
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	629	559	129	23	4	10	57	154	8	21	3	230	310	340	651	110	296	24	9	295	86	-11	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.2
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	619	550	126	22	4	10	56	153	8	20	3	228	308	334	642	106	295	25	9	292	84	-12	+3	-1	+7	+13	0.9
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	55%	609	543	122	22	3	9	54	152	7	19	3	225	304	327	631	101	293	25	9	287	81	-14	+3	-2	+7	+13	0.6
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	54%	595	530	118	21	3	8	53	151	7	17	3	221	300	317	617	96	291	25	9	282	77	-16	+2	-3	+6	+13	0.2
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	57%	576	515	111	19	3	7	50	149	6	15	4	216	294	305	599	89	287	26	9	274	72	-19	+1	-4	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	94	85	19	3	1	1	8	24	1	4	0	221	301	307	607	86	293	26	9	278	74	-3	+1	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	191	170	38	7	1	2	17	47	2	7	1	224	305	318	623	94	294	25	9	285	79	-5	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	263	233	53	9	2	4	24	64	4	10	2	227	308	328	636	101	295	24	9	290	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	310	275	63	11	2	5	28	75	4	11	2	230	310	336	647	106	296	24	9	294	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	341	302	71	13	2	6	31	82	5	12	2	232	312	343	655	111	296	24	9	297	87	-5	+2	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	351	311	73	13	2	6	32	84	5	13	2	233	313	346	659	113	297	24	9	298	88	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	356	316	73	13	2	6	32	86	5	13	2	233	313	347	660	114	297	24	9	299	88	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	359	318	74	13	2	6	33	86	5	13	2	233	313	347	660	114	297	24	9	299	89	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	352	312	73	13	2	6	32	85	5	12	2	232	312	345	657	113	297	24	9	298	88	-5	+2	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	307	71	13	2	6	31	84	4	12	2	230	310	340	651	110	296	24	9	295	86	-6	+2	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	360	321	73	13	2	6	32	89	4	11	2	228	308	334	642	106	295	25	9	292	84	-7	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	55%	337	300	68	12	2	5	30	84	4	10	2	225	304	327	631	101	293	25	9	287	81	-8	+1	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	54%	320	285	63	11	2	4	28	81	4	9	2	221	300	317	617	96	291	25	9	282	77	-9	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	57%	330	294	64	11	2	4	29	85	4	9	2	216	294	305	599	89	287	26	9	274	72	-11	+1	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4309	3829	876	155	26	67	387	1056	56	146	25	229	309	335	644	107	296	25	9	292	83	-85	+19	-6	+46	+93	7.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	132	23	4	10	58	159	8	22	4	228	307	334	641	106	295	24	9	292	83	-13	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	8249	7326	1668	297	49	122	748	2026	104	325	55	228	308	332	640	104	296	25	9	290	83	-162	+37	-10	+86	+174	12.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	132	23	4	10	59	160	8	26	4	229	309	334	643	106	298	25	9	290	83	-13	+3	-1	+7	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddie Patek'68-'81 * career totals — 13 seasons, 6,246 PA	9.4	6,246	41	385	242*	311*	356*	+66	-5	14.7	15.3
/162	664	4	41	+7.0	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 16
#2Bucky Harris'19-'31 * career totals — 9 seasons, 5,556 PA	8.4	5,556	9	167	242*	319*	362*	+20	+27	14.1	14.6
/162	664	1	20	+2.4	+3.3	1.7	pk7: 15
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.8	4,501	68	154	229	305	333	+48	+27	10.3	8.7
/162	664	10	23	+7.1	+4.0	1.5	pk7: 7
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Sebastian Mendez (OGILVIE)	18	48→53	30→35	80	68	215/293/291	76	291	1	8	25%	9%	69	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Adrian Pinto 2022 · A	19	49	38→45	60→65	58	225/314/315	90	253	4	32	13%	10%	82	+0.0	225/310/318	93	284	5	23	21%	9%	82	-0.0	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Luigi Rodriguez 2011 · A	18	44→49	37→50	59→55	52	205/277/291	86	252	3	23	19%	9%	63	-1.4	224/277/314	90	328	6	17	31%	7%	67	-1.1	226/267/359	133	345	15	15	38%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Abiatal Avelino 2014 · A	19	50→54	36→45	60→55	50	229/296/300	71	270	2	24	15%	7%	72	-0.7	231/278/311	80	292	4	22	21%	5%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Eddy Diaz 2018 · A	18	46→53	36→40	60→65	50	213/281/286	73	264	2	29	19%	8%	63	-1.4	212/286/288	76	250	2	35	15%	9%	65	-1.2	221/285/287	66	293	2	43	24%	6%	62	-0.9
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	43→53	36→45	58→50	59	198/299/266	68	249	3	16	20%	12%	67	-1.1	232/295/324	92	306	6	11	24%	8%	77	-0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Telmito Agustin 2015 · A	18	43→42	39→45	58→50	51	204/287/303	99	262	4	18	22%	9%	70	-0.9	223/268/319	96	306	6	15	27%	5%	65	-1.2	228/261/337	108	324	10	12	32%	4%	64	-0.7
✕Yeiker Reyes 2024 · A	18	45	35→30	59→60	51	208/300/268	60	273	2	27	22%	9%	68	-1.0	194/269/246	52	302	2	23	33%	8%	50	-2.3	184/257/226	42	294	2	24	35%	8%	38	-1.4
✕Charlie Culberson 2008 · A	19	45→54	38→45	60→50	41	212/274/296	84	304	4	18	30%	6%	63	-1.4	218/263/298	80	292	5	11	26%	5%	58	-1.7	253/299/420	167	321	18	9	26%	5%	101	+0.6
✕José Peraza 2014 · A	20	53→63	36→45	61→65	44	248/288/316	68	295	2	33	17%	4%	71	-0.8	275/301/357	82	318	4	36	14%	3%	85	+0.2	275/311/366	91	307	8	25	13%	4%	91	+0.7
✕Randy Ventura 2016 · A	19	48→56	34→30	61→60	53	222/291/279	57	261	1	37	15%	8%	65	-1.2	236/284/285	49	310	2	22	23%	6%	62	-1.4	248/290/284	36	335	1	21	25%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Delino DeShields 2013 · A	20	47→56	42→45	61→65	45	227/292/330	103	308	9	36	28%	8%	77	-0.3	238/310/344	106	319	7	37	26%	8%	87	+0.4	239/317/344	105	318	6	38	24%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2014 · A	19	39→49	39→50	60→65	49	190/263/275	84	238	6	30	22%	8%	54	-2.0	208/262/297	89	288	5	36	27%	6%	58	-1.7	217/266/353	136	277	13	42	26%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Andrew Velazquez 2013 · A	19	47→53	38→50	60	41	214/274/305	90	332	3	20	34%	7%	64	-1.3	228/282/312	84	346	4	17	32%	7%	68	-1.0	226/274/363	137	318	12	31	31%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3

Sebastian Mendez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps