Juan Martinez

OF DSL Padres Brown

Age 20 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	17	ROKDSL Padres Br…	145	.189/.379/.243	0	1	28	—	.119/.283/.153
2025	18	ROKDSL Padres Br…	120	.087/.210/.146	1	0	-35	—	.057/.160/.104
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSD	230	.194/.272/.268	2	2	56	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSD	41	.196/.275/.280	0	0	62	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%44

Z-Con%40

ISO26

BB%20

Whiff%20

K%19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsRonnierd Garcia (age 20) · Omar Meregildo (age 20) · Aaron Familia (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .270 / .266

PA64

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	111	21	6	0	0	22	45	12	1	4	189	379	243	623	54	318	31	15	313	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	103	9	3	0	1	11	35	5	0	0	87	210	146	356	58	119	29	9	182	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	118	14	4	0	0	15	56	12	1	4	119	283	153	435	34	218	39	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	106	6	2	0	1	8	42	5	0	0	57	160	104	263	47	75	35	7	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	118	14	4	0	0	15	56	12	1	4	119	283	153	435	34	226	39	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	111	21	6	0	0	22	45	12	1	4	189	379	243	623	54	318	31	15	313	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	106	6	2	0	1	8	42	5	0	0	57	160	104	263	47	79	35	7	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	103	9	3	0	1	11	35	5	0	0	87	210	146	356	58	119	29	9	182	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	117	14	4	0	0	15	56	12	1	4	120	283	154	437	34	218	39	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	106	6	2	0	1	8	42	5	0	0	57	160	104	263	47	75	35	7	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	145	117	14	4	0	0	15	56	12	1	4	120	283	154	437	34	218	39	10	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	120	106	6	2	0	1	8	42	5	0	0	57	160	104	263	47	75	35	7	117	-35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	SD	0%	230	206	40	8	1	2	17	72	5	2	1	194	272	268	540	75	285	31	7	250	56	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	119	106	21	4	1	1	9	36	3	1	0	199	278	286	563	86	286	30	8	259	62	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	13	1	0	0	196	275	280	555	84	281	32	7	256	62	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	13	1	0	0	162	244	189	433	27	250	32	7	256	24	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	95	16	0	0	48	206	16	0	0	162	245	189	434	27	249	32	7	256	24	-30	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	448	388	51	12	1	2	37	154	21	2	4	131	244	183	427	52	210	34	8	204	24	-9	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	73	17	1	3	54	223	30	3	6	130	242	179	422	50	207	34	8	204	24	-31	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Martinez (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	192/270/266	74	285	0	0	31%	7%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	35	37→45	42→40	38	175/237/244	69	259	5	4	33%	6%	37	-3.3	206/258/298	92	286	7	4	29%	6%	57	-1.8	213/268/321	108	292	9	2	29%	6%	63	-0.6
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	35→31	36→50	47→30	41	172/239/241	69	258	3	6	33%	7%	38	-3.2	197/255/307	110	316	10	3	38%	7%	59	-1.7	174/242/299	125	281	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Aaron Familia 2019 · A	20	39	37→40	47→40	44	179/272/247	69	298	4	5	38%	9%	53	-2.1	195/267/281	86	350	6	5	42%	8%	57	-1.8	162/241/257	94	310	8	0	46%	9%	38	-0.8
✕Franklin Hernandez 2007 · A	20	40→36	36→45	45→40	42	189/246/257	68	265	3	5	28%	7%	43	-2.8	193/237/276	83	291	5	4	34%	5%	44	-2.8	183/219/273	90	269	6	2	33%	3%	33	-1.7
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	41	176/252/260	84	283	6	10	37%	8%	47	-2.5	192/274/286	94	292	6	14	33%	9%	61	-1.5	139/214/211	72	250	5	19	43%	8%	20	-1.4
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Brian Sanchez 2016 · A	20	35	39→50	47→45	37	173/232/259	86	255	6	7	33%	5%	39	-3.1	185/246/289	104	268	10	4	33%	6%	51	-2.2	177/247/294	117	245	12	0	32%	7%	52	-0.7
✕Frank Rodriguez 2022 · A	20	40	36→45	48→30	44	190/262/257	67	265	4	4	28%	7%	50	-2.3	183/239/269	86	267	8	4	33%	5%	43	-2.8	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	39	36→40	48→50	45	186/264/252	67	256	3	6	27%	7%	50	-2.3	191/282/272	81	245	5	11	23%	8%	61	-1.5	167/274/245	79	204	6	15	20%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Dale Burdick 2016 · A	20	36	38→45	43→50	43	172/261/250	78	270	6	4	36%	8%	49	-2.4	178/251/271	93	308	7	7	41%	8%	49	-2.4	152/230/247	95	273	6	9	43%	8%	33	-1.2
✕Armando Sierra 2024 · A	20	42	39→40	42→40	47	204/271/287	83	267	6	4	25%	8%	60	-1.6	209/260/307	98	311	8	5	33%	6%	59	-1.6	193/225/303	110	284	12	0	36%	3%	44	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Francisco Medina 2018 · A	20	37	36→40	45→40	41	181/239/241	60	254	5	5	29%	6%	37	-3.3	176/227/249	73	336	4	6	46%	6%	34	-3.5	134/179/211	77	253	5	6	47%	5%	5	-1.3
✕Anderson De Los Santos 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	43→50	40	192/247/282	89	269	7	8	30%	6%	49	-2.4	183/261/280	97	274	9	12	34%	9%	55	-1.9	173/266/275	101	253	10	13	33%	10%	53	-1.5
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	38→41	40→45	50→45	37	182/243/274	92	287	7	6	37%	6%	47	-2.6	199/249/314	115	274	11	5	30%	6%	57	-1.8	198/253/321	123	239	15	9	24%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Steven Mateo 2013 · A	20	38	35→30	45→50	47	180/265/239	59	261	3	6	30%	9%	47	-2.5	196/279/265	69	283	3	8	28%	10%	58	-1.7	192/270/254	63	279	2	6	29%	9%	49	-0.9
✕Romer Cuadrado 2017 · A	19	37→36	38→40	45	43	180/251/257	77	267	6	8	33%	8%	46	-2.6	202/259/294	92	320	8	7	37%	6%	57	-1.8	197/253/289	92	311	8	5	37%	6%	51	-1.5
✕Edison Sanchez 2011 · A	20	39	38→45	48→45	48	182/287/260	78	276	5	7	32%	10%	61	-1.5	190/265/282	92	300	7	4	36%	8%	57	-1.8	183/257/283	100	293	8	3	37%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Francisco Garcia 2023 · A	20	34	37→40	43→50	35	169/231/239	70	269	5	6	37%	5%	34	-3.5	176/235/259	83	289	7	5	39%	5%	40	-3.1	143/196/212	69	231	6	4	39%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Ronald Castillo 2012 · A	20	40	38→45	51→40	39	190/248/273	83	289	4	8	34%	6%	48	-2.5	216/254/294	78	293	3	5	26%	4%	53	-2.1	205/238/282	76	271	4	1	25%	4%	43	-1.2