Aaron Pinero — OGILVIE

Aaron PineroSS FCL Rays

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION124 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .214 / .154

PA14

HR0

K%21

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$47M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$21M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	167	145	34	6	0	0	17	29	5	5	1	234	335	276	611	41	293	17	10	291	83	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	141	37	11	0	2	24	30	11	13	1	262	409	383	792	121	312	17	13	362	131	+7	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	151	26	4	0	0	11	42	5	5	1	172	251	199	450	26	232	25	7	204	24	-15	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	150	29	8	0	2	15	43	11	13	1	193	312	287	599	93	238	24	8	263	64	-8	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	151	26	4	0	0	11	42	5	5	1	172	251	199	450	26	239	25	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	167	145	34	6	0	0	17	29	5	5	1	234	335	276	611	41	293	17	10	291	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	150	29	8	0	2	15	43	11	13	1	193	312	287	599	93	250	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	141	37	11	0	2	24	30	11	13	1	262	409	383	792	121	312	17	13	362	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	149	26	4	0	0	11	42	5	5	1	174	251	201	453	27	232	25	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	151	29	8	0	2	15	43	11	13	1	192	312	285	597	93	238	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	167	149	26	4	0	0	11	42	5	5	1	174	251	201	453	27	232	25	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	151	29	8	0	2	15	43	11	13	1	192	312	285	597	93	238	24	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	TB	—	124	101	22	1	1	3	14	22	7	11	1	218	352	337	689	119	244	18	11	310	96	-1	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	TB	—	124	93	27	2	1	4	22	15	7	11	1	290	459	462	921	172	303	12	18	412	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	TB	0%	14	13	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	154	214	154	368		271	21	7	283	77	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	TB	—	138	114	24	1	1	3	15	25	7	12	1	211	338	316	654	105	239	18	11	307	94	-1	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	233	205	46	8	1	4	20	51	6	6	1	224	312	332	643	107	275	22	9	293	84	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	359	317	72	12	2	7	31	77	8	9	2	227	312	344	656	117	277	21	9	299	89	-5	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.8
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	449	397	92	16	3	9	39	96	10	11	2	232	316	355	671	123	279	21	9	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	508	447	105	18	3	11	44	108	12	13	2	235	320	362	682	128	280	21	9	306	93	-4	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	547	482	113	19	3	12	48	115	12	14	2	234	319	361	680	127	281	21	9	308	94	-4	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	569	501	118	20	3	13	50	120	13	14	2	236	321	365	686	130	281	21	9	308	95	-3	+2	+0	+6	+12	1.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	581	512	119	20	3	13	51	122	13	14	2	232	318	359	677	127	281	21	9	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.8
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	584	514	121	21	3	13	52	123	13	14	2	235	321	364	685	128	281	21	9	309	95	-3	+2	+0	+6	+13	1.8
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	59%	581	511	119	20	3	13	52	123	13	14	2	233	319	360	680	127	280	21	9	308	95	-4	+2	-1	+6	+13	1.7
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	61%	572	502	116	20	3	12	52	123	13	13	2	231	319	355	674	124	280	22	9	306	93	-4	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.5
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	62%	562	493	114	19	3	12	51	122	13	13	2	231	320	355	675	124	279	22	9	304	92	-6	+2	-2	+6	+12	1.3
2038	31	MLB MLE	TB	58%	549	483	109	18	3	11	49	121	12	12	2	226	312	344	656	118	277	22	9	300	89	-7	+2	-3	+6	+12	1.0
2039	32	MLB MLE	TB	60%	531	466	104	17	3	10	48	119	12	11	2	223	312	337	649	114	274	22	9	295	86	-9	+1	-4	+6	+12	0.6
2040	33	MLB MLE	TB	62%	501	440	95	15	2	9	45	115	11	10	2	216	304	320	625	105	270	23	9	288	81	-11	+1	-4	+5	+11	0.2
2041	34	MLB MLE	TB	57%	454	401	85	13	2	8	40	107	10	8	1	212	299	314	614	102	265	24	9	280	76	-13	+1	-5	+5	+10	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	80	71	16	3	0	1	7	17	2	2	0	225	312	310	622	85	283	21	9	282	84	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	174	153	35	6	1	3	15	37	4	4	1	229	314	340	654	111	285	21	9	289	89	-2	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	244	215	51	9	1	5	21	52	6	6	1	237	322	358	680	121	287	21	9	293	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	288	254	61	11	2	6	25	61	7	7	1	240	325	370	695	130	288	21	9	296	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	309	272	66	12	2	7	27	65	7	8	1	243	327	379	705	136	289	21	9	298	94	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.9
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	322	284	68	12	2	7	28	68	7	8	1	239	323	370	693	130	289	21	9	299	95	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	328	288	70	12	2	8	29	69	8	8	1	243	329	382	711	139	289	21	9	299	95	-2	+1	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	324	285	68	12	2	7	29	68	7	8	1	239	324	368	692	130	289	21	9	299	95	-2	+1	+0	+3	+7	1.0
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	59%	343	301	73	13	2	8	31	73	8	8	1	243	329	379	708	136	288	21	9	298	95	-2	+1	-0	+4	+7	1.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	61%	349	307	74	13	2	8	31	75	8	8	1	241	327	375	701	134	288	21	9	297	93	-3	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	62%	350	307	74	13	2	8	32	76	8	8	1	241	329	375	703	134	287	22	9	294	92	-3	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	TB	58%	317	278	65	11	2	7	29	70	7	7	1	234	322	363	685	129	285	22	9	290	89	-4	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.6
2039	32	MLB CTX	TB	60%	319	280	64	11	2	6	29	71	7	7	1	229	316	346	663	118	282	22	9	285	86	-5	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	TB	62%	309	271	61	10	2	6	28	71	7	6	1	225	314	343	657	118	278	23	9	278	81	-7	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.1
2041	34	MLB CTX	TB	57%	259	228	50	8	1	5	23	61	6	5	1	219	307	329	636	110	273	24	9	270	76	-7	+1	-3	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4315	3794	896	156	25	92	384	934	99	100	14	236	322	363	686	127	288	22	9	292	88	-49	+14	-12	+46	+93	9.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	135	23	4	14	58	141	15	15	2	236	323	364	687	128	287	22	9	292	88	-7	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7940	6985	1585	268	40	159	699	1730	187	195	30	227	314	345	659	118	277	22	9	299	88	-87	+24	-20	+81	+165	16.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	130	22	3	13	57	142	15	16	2	227	314	344	658	117	278	22	9	299	88	-7	+2	-2	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	8.5	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
/162	664	18	5	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.7	4,463	91	102	230	312	350	+46	+27	13.0	10.6
/162	664	14	15	+6.8	+4.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Pinero (OGILVIE)	19	45	30	60	50	215/302/307	93	271	2	6	22%	8%	77	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→45	54→55	47	208/265/283	75	252	3	14	19%	6%	56	-1.9	245/295/319	74	283	3	14	14%	5%	75	-0.5	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	87	+0.4	246/316/336	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	88	+0.4	234/303/348	114	293	12	10	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	74	-0.5	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	55	-2.0	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	26	-1.1
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	49	40	52→50	47	232/289/326	94	289	6	12	22%	7%	75	-0.5	206/273/275	69	276	4	8	25%	8%	57	-1.8	197/271/252	55	275	4	9	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	74	-0.6	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	68	-1.0	274/333/360	86	328	5	15	17%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Walter Rasquin 2015 · A	19	48	37→30	51→50	50	226/300/303	77	278	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.5	226/280/298	72	291	4	10	22%	6%	65	-1.2	185/230/244	59	245	5	10	26%	4%	31	-1.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	65	-1.2	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	36	-3.3	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	12	-1.5
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	68	-1.0	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	54	-2.0	183/233/236	53	275	2	10	32%	3%	30	-1.5
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	66	-1.1	253/298/346	93	309	6	11	19%	6%	82	+0.0	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	39→40	55→60	46	209/291/296	87	283	6	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	190/254/255	65	320	4	20	39%	6%	47	-2.6	197/269/273	76	310	7	32	36%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Samad Taylor 2017 · A	19	45→54	38→45	50→65	42	214/266/292	78	290	4	10	27%	6%	58	-1.7	192/258/286	94	273	6	18	30%	7%	55	-2.0	235/311/365	130	323	13	46	29%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	74	-0.6	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	63	-1.4	183/236/245	62	242	4	19	25%	4%	36	-1.1
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	74	-0.5	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	89	+0.5	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	118	+1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps