Aaron Pinero
SS FCL Rays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKTB | 167 | .234/.335/.276 | 0 | 5 | 17 | — | .147/.234/.167 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Tampa Bay | 179 | .262/.409/.383 | 2 | 13 | 51 | — | .162/.295/.230 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKTB | 124 | .290/.459/.462 | 4 | 11 | 97 | — | .228/.361/.356 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTB | 234 | .215/.291/.303 | 3 | 5 | 70 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBTB | 41 | .221/.298/.318 | 1 | 1 | 75 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBTB | 101 | .225/.301/.329 | 2 | 2 | 79 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | — | 167 | 145 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 335 | 276 | 611 | 41 | 293 | 17 | 10 | 291 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 179 | 141 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 262 | 409 | 383 | 792 | 121 | 312 | 17 | 13 | 362 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 124 | 93 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 290 | 459 | 462 | 921 | 172 | 303 | 12 | 18 | 412 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 167 | 150 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 147 | 234 | 167 | 400 | 20 | 197 | 21 | 7 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 179 | 148 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 162 | 295 | 230 | 525 | 68 | 198 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 124 | 101 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 228 | 361 | 356 | 717 | 129 | 236 | 18 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 167 | 150 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 147 | 234 | 167 | 400 | 20 | 191 | 21 | 7 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rays | — | 167 | 145 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 335 | 276 | 611 | 41 | 293 | 17 | 10 | 291 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 179 | 148 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 162 | 295 | 230 | 525 | 68 | 204 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 179 | 141 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 262 | 409 | 383 | 792 | 121 | 312 | 17 | 13 | 362 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 124 | 101 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 228 | 361 | 356 | 717 | 129 | 256 | 18 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Rays | — | 124 | 93 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 290 | 459 | 462 | 921 | 172 | 303 | 12 | 18 | 412 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 167 | 148 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 149 | 234 | 169 | 402 | 20 | 197 | 21 | 7 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 179 | 149 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 161 | 295 | 228 | 524 | 67 | 198 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 124 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 225 | 361 | 353 | 714 | 127 | 236 | 18 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 167 | 148 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 35 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 149 | 234 | 169 | 402 | 20 | 197 | 21 | 7 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 179 | 149 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 161 | 295 | 228 | 524 | 67 | 198 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 124 | 102 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 225 | 361 | 353 | 714 | 127 | 236 | 18 | 11 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 234 | 210 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 56 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 215 | 291 | 303 | 594 | 88 | 277 | 24 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TB | 34% | 118 | 106 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 296 | 317 | 613 | 98 | 279 | 24 | 8 | 280 | 75 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | TB | 48% | 208 | 185 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 49 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 222 | 299 | 328 | 628 | 106 | 281 | 24 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | TB | 54% | 303 | 271 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 71 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 225 | 302 | 337 | 639 | 112 | 282 | 23 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 377 | 336 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 87 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 227 | 304 | 344 | 648 | 116 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 56% | 418 | 374 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 97 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 229 | 305 | 348 | 653 | 119 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | TB | 56% | 441 | 395 | 91 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 102 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 229 | 305 | 348 | 653 | 119 | 284 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 451 | 403 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 105 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 227 | 304 | 345 | 649 | 118 | 283 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | TB | 55% | 451 | 404 | 90 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 106 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 226 | 302 | 341 | 643 | 115 | 283 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | TB | 53% | 444 | 398 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 106 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 223 | 300 | 335 | 634 | 111 | 281 | 24 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | TB | 57% | 434 | 389 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 105 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 221 | 296 | 327 | 624 | 107 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 283 | 78 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | TB | 60% | 417 | 375 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 102 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 217 | 292 | 318 | 609 | 101 | 277 | 24 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -13 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TB | 34% | 41 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 298 | 318 | 616 | 97 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 75 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | TB | 48% | 101 | 90 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 301 | 329 | 630 | 104 | 284 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | TB | 54% | 164 | 147 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 304 | 337 | 641 | 110 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 291 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 209 | 186 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 230 | 306 | 344 | 650 | 114 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 84 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 56% | 234 | 209 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 54 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 231 | 307 | 348 | 655 | 117 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | TB | 56% | 248 | 222 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 57 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 231 | 307 | 348 | 655 | 117 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 296 | 86 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 249 | 223 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 58 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 230 | 306 | 345 | 651 | 116 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | TB | 55% | 247 | 221 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 58 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 228 | 304 | 341 | 645 | 113 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 292 | 83 | -5 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | TB | 53% | 237 | 212 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 56 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 226 | 301 | 335 | 636 | 109 | 285 | 24 | 8 | 289 | 81 | -5 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | TB | 57% | 248 | 222 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 60 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 223 | 298 | 328 | 626 | 105 | 283 | 24 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | TB | 60% | 248 | 222 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 61 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 219 | 293 | 318 | 612 | 100 | 281 | 25 | 8 | 279 | 74 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2226 | 1991 | 449 | 76 | 11 | 40 | 179 | 525 | 38 | 49 | 13 | 226 | 302 | 335 | 637 | 109 | 285 | 24 | 8 | 290 | 78 | -48 | +5 | -4 | +24 | +48 | 2.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 131 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 52 | 153 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 225 | 301 | 336 | 636 | 110 | 284 | 24 | 8 | 290 | 78 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4596 | 4093 | 897 | 158 | 23 | 78 | 377 | 1067 | 91 | 120 | 29 | 219 | 299 | 326 | 625 | 107 | 275 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -91 | +8 | -7 | +44 | +89 | 4.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 11 | 53 | 151 | 13 | 17 | 4 | 218 | 298 | 323 | 621 | 105 | 273 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Rays · 124 PAwOBA .409 → .312 (−97)K% 12.1% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.10% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.65% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 4.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 20.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 1.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 4.03% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .409 → .312; ISO .172 → .141; BABIP .303 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 179 PAwOBA .360 → .244 (−116)K% 16.8% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.76% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.41% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 9.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.15% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷1.054 | ×0.680 | ×0.987 | ×1.008 | 13.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.91% | ÷0.944 | ×0.600 | ×0.987 | ×1.008 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.987 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.952 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.90% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .360 → .244; ISO .121 → .075; BABIP .312 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Rays · 167 PAwOBA .284 → .194 (−90)K% 17.4% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.37% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.18% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.99% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 16.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.053 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 2.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.160 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .284 → .194; ISO .041 → .024; BABIP .293 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).