Aaron Pinero

SS FCL Rays
Age 20 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1006ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKTB167.234/.335/.2760517—.147/.234/.167
202518ROKDSL Tampa Bay179.262/.409/.38321351—.162/.295/.230
202619ROKTB124.290/.459/.46241197—.228/.361/.356
2027PROJMLE20MLBTB234.215/.291/.30335700.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBTB41.221/.298/.31811750.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBTB101.225/.301/.32922790.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%99
wOBA97
wRC+96
K%96
ISO86
BB%84
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 4.6, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 87%
CompsDerrik Gibson (age 20) · Jesus Hernandez (age 20) · Gilberto Celestino (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA
wRC+†70
AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .289 / .300
PA64
HR1
K%24
BB%8
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.40.50.50.40.30.20.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.3$0.7M+$0.2M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$1M———
2038Arb-3$0.6M———
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Rays — 167145 34600 17295 51 234335276611 41293 1710 291 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Tampa Bay — 179141 371102 243011 131 262409383792 121312 1713 362 51 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Rays — 12493 27214 22157 111 290459462921 172303 1218 412 97 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rays — 167150 22300 12355 51 147234167400 20197 217 194 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 179148 24701 173711 131 162295230525 68198 219 244 51 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 124101 23213 14227 111 228361356717 129236 1811 312 97 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rays — 167150 22300 12355 51 147234167400 20191 217 194 17 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Rays — 167145 34600 17295 51 234335276611 41293 1710 291 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 179148 24701 173711 131 162295230525 68204 219 244 51 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Tampa Bay — 179141 371102 243011 131 262409383792 121312 1713 362 51 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 124101 23213 14227 111 228361356717 129256 1811 312 97 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 12493 27214 22157 111 290459462921 172303 1218 412 97 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rays — 167148 22300 12355 51 149234169402 20197 217 194 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 179149 24701 173711 131 161295228524 67198 219 244 51 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 124102 23213 14227 111 225361353714 127236 1811 312 97 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Rays — 167148 22300 12355 51 149234169402 20197 217 194 17 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Tampa Bay — 179149 24701 173711 131 161295228524 67198 219 244 51 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 124102 23213 14227 111 225361353714 127236 1811 312 97 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLETB 0% 234210 45813 18564 51 215291303594 88277 248 272 70 -8 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLETB 34% 118106 24412 9282 31 219296317613 98279 248 280 75 -3 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.1
202922 MLB MLETB 48% 208185 41713 17494 51 222299328628 106281 248 285 79 -5 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.2
203023 MLB MLETB 54% 303271 611125 24715 72 225302337639 112282 238 290 82 -6 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.4
203124 MLB MLETB 55% 377336 771427 31877 92 227304344648 116284 238 293 84 -7 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.6
203225 MLB MLETB 56% 418374 851528 34977 102 229305348653 119284 238 295 86 -7 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.8
203326 MLB MLETB 56% 441395 911639 361027 113 229305348653 119284 238 295 86 -7 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.8
203427 MLB MLETB 55% 451403 921639 371058 113 227304345649 118283 238 294 85 -8 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.8
203528 MLB MLETB 55% 451404 901628 371067 103 226302341643 115283 248 291 83 -9 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.6
203629 MLB MLETB 53% 444398 891628 361067 93 223300335634 111281 248 288 81 -10 +1 -1 +5 +10 0.3
203730 MLB MLETB 57% 434389 851527 351057 83 221296327624 107280 248 283 78 -11 +0 -2 +5 +9 0.1
203831 MLB MLETB 60% 417375 811427 331026 73 217292318609 101277 248 277 74 -13 +0 -3 +4 +9 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXTB 34% 4137 8101 3101 10 221298318616 97283 247 281 75 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXTB 48% 10190 21312 8242 21 225301329630 104284 248 287 79 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXTB 54% 164147 34613 13383 41 227304337641 110286 238 291 82 -3 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.2
203124 MLB CTXTB 55% 209186 42714 17494 51 230306344650 114287 238 294 84 -4 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.4
203225 MLB CTXTB 56% 234209 47814 19544 61 231307348655 117287 238 296 86 -4 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203326 MLB CTXTB 56% 248222 52925 20574 61 231307348655 117287 238 296 86 -4 +1 +0 +3 +5 0.5
203427 MLB CTXTB 55% 249223 51915 20584 62 230306345651 116287 238 295 85 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
203528 MLB CTXTB 55% 247221 50914 20584 51 228304341645 113286 238 292 83 -5 +1 -0 +3 +5 0.3
203629 MLB CTXTB 53% 237212 47814 19564 51 226301335636 109285 248 289 81 -5 +1 -1 +3 +5 0.2
203730 MLB CTXTB 57% 248222 49814 20604 52 223298328626 105283 248 284 78 -7 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.0
203831 MLB CTXTB 60% 248222 48814 20614 42 219293318612 100281 258 279 74 -8 +0 -2 +3 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22261991 449761140 17952538 4913 226302335637 109285 248 290 78 -48 +5 -4 +24 +48 2.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650581 13122312 5215311 144 225301336636 110284 248 290 78 -14 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 45964093 8971582378 377106791 12029 219299326625 107275 238 284 78 -91 +8 -7 +44 +89 4.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650579 12622311 5315113 174 218298323621 105273 238 284 78 -14 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 124 PAwOBA .409 → .312 (−97)K% 12.1% → 17.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.10%÷1.000×1.440——17.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.74%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00811.08%
HBP% /PA5.65%—×0.720—×1.0084.09%
Singles /BIP25.64%÷1.000×0.820×0.970×1.00820.54%
Doubles /BIP2.56%÷1.000×0.720×0.970×1.0081.80%
Triples /BIP1.28%÷1.000×0.720×0.970×1.0080.90%
Home runs /BIP5.13%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0084.03%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .409 → .312; ISO .172 → .141; BABIP .303 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 179 PAwOBA .360 → .244 (−116)K% 16.8% → 20.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.76%÷1.005×1.220——20.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.41%÷1.011×0.700—×1.0089.35%
HBP% /PA6.15%—×0.700—×1.0084.33%
Singles /BIP21.62%÷1.054×0.680×0.987×1.00813.87%
Doubles /BIP9.91%÷0.944×0.600×0.987×1.0086.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.600×0.987×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.80%÷0.952×0.470—×1.0080.90%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.

Result: wOBA .360 → .244; ISO .121 → .075; BABIP .312 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Rays · 167 PAwOBA .284 → .194 (−90)K% 17.4% → 21.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.37%÷1.004×1.220——21.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.18%÷0.985×0.700—×1.0227.40%
HBP% /PA2.99%—×0.700—×1.0222.14%
Singles /BIP24.14%÷0.994×0.680×0.990×1.02216.72%
Doubles /BIP5.17%÷1.053×0.600×0.990×1.0222.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.990×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.160×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .284 → .194; ISO .041 → .024; BABIP .293 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).