Aaron Pinero — OGILVIE

Aaron PineroSS FCL Rays

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION199 act + 132 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†90

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .319 / .329

PA132

HR2

SB7

K%20

BB%9

BABIP274

ISO104

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.7	$14M	+$13M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$13M	+$13M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.8	$12M	+$12M
2035	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$11M	+$8M
2036	Arb-2	$8M	+2.4	$9M	+$6M
2037	Arb-3	$11M	+2.2	$8M	+$4M
Totals		$28M		$66M	+$56M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	167	151	26	4	0	0	11	41	5	5	1	172	251	199	450	26	236	25	7	204	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	167	145	34	6	0	0	17	29	5	5	1	234	335	276	611	41	293	17	10	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	151	29	9	0	2	14	43	11	13	1	192	307	291	598	99	248	24	8	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	141	37	11	0	2	24	30	11	13	1	262	409	383	792	121	312	17	13	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	TB	—	199	161	41	3	1	7	24	32	10	21	2	255	385	416	801	161	270	16	12	346	123	+5	+3	+0	+2	+6	1.7
YTD	19	ROK	TB	—	199	146	48	4	1	8	39	22	10	21	2	329	497	534	1.032	205	333	11	20	450	203	+23	+3	+0	+2	+6	3.5
ROS	19	ROK	TB	0%	132	115	26	4	1	2	12	27	4	7	1	225	319	329	648	104	276	20	9	303	90	-2	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.5
ROS	19	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		280	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	TB	—	199	162	41	3	1	7	24	32	10	21	2	253	385	414	798	160	268	16	12	346	123	+5	+3	+0	+2	+6	1.7
TOT	19	ROK	TB	—	331	276	67	7	2	9	36	59	14	28	3	242	358	380	738	137	271	18	11	329	110	+4	+4	+0	+4	+9	2.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TB	34%	325	284	67	11	2	6	30	66	8	9	1	236	326	352	678	116	279	20	9	305	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.1
2028	21	MLB	TB	48%	428	375	88	14	2	9	40	86	10	12	2	235	325	355	679	120	280	20	9	311	96	-2	+2	+0	+5	+12	1.7
2029	22	MLB	TB	54%	497	436	103	17	2	11	46	100	12	13	2	236	326	360	686	124	282	20	9	315	99	-1	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.1
2030	23	MLB	TB	57%	540	473	115	19	3	13	50	108	12	14	2	243	331	378	709	135	283	20	9	317	101	+0	+2	+0	+6	+15	2.4
2031	24	MLB	TB	57%	568	497	121	20	3	14	53	113	13	14	2	243	332	380	712	137	284	20	9	319	102	+1	+2	+0	+6	+16	2.6
2032	25	MLB	TB	57%	584	510	123	20	3	14	55	115	14	15	2	241	332	375	706	133	284	20	9	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+6	+17	2.7
2033	26	MLB	TB	56%	590	515	125	20	3	15	56	117	14	15	2	243	333	381	714	138	284	20	9	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+6	+17	2.8
2034	27	MLB	TB	55%	590	515	124	20	3	14	56	117	14	15	2	241	332	373	704	132	283	20	9	320	103	+2	+2	+0	+6	+17	2.8
2035	28	MLB	TB	59%	585	510	123	20	3	14	56	117	14	14	2	241	333	375	707	133	283	20	10	319	103	+2	+2	-1	+6	+17	2.6
2036	29	MLB	TB	61%	575	501	120	19	3	14	56	116	13	13	2	240	332	373	705	134	283	20	10	318	101	+1	+2	-1	+6	+16	2.4
2037	30	MLB	TB	62%	564	491	117	19	3	13	55	115	13	13	2	238	331	369	700	130	282	20	10	315	99	-0	+2	-2	+6	+16	2.2
2038	31	MLB	TB	58%	550	479	112	18	2	12	53	114	13	12	2	234	327	355	682	121	280	21	10	311	96	-2	+2	-3	+6	+16	1.8
2039	32	MLB	TB	60%	531	463	106	17	2	11	51	112	12	11	2	229	321	346	667	117	277	21	10	306	92	-5	+1	-4	+6	+15	1.4
2040	33	MLB	TB	62%	501	437	98	15	2	10	48	108	11	10	1	224	317	336	653	112	273	22	10	300	87	-7	+2	-4	+5	+14	1.0
2041	34	MLB	TB	57%	455	399	88	13	2	9	43	101	10	8	1	221	312	331	643	110	268	22	9	291	81	-10	+1	-5	+5	+13	0.4
2027	20	MLB	TB	34%	112	98	24	4	1	2	10	23	3	3	0	245	333	367	701	122	282	21	9	289	79	-3	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2028	21	MLB	TB	48%	207	181	43	7	1	4	19	42	5	6	1	238	327	354	680	116	284	20	9	294	84	-4	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.5
2029	22	MLB	TB	54%	270	237	57	9	1	6	25	54	6	7	1	241	328	363	691	122	286	20	9	298	87	-4	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.8
2030	23	MLB	TB	57%	306	267	65	10	2	7	29	61	7	8	1	243	333	375	708	131	287	20	9	301	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.9
2031	24	MLB	TB	57%	321	281	69	11	2	8	30	64	7	8	1	246	333	384	718	139	287	20	9	303	90	-4	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.0
2032	25	MLB	TB	57%	330	288	71	11	2	8	31	65	8	8	1	247	336	382	718	135	287	20	9	304	91	-4	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2033	26	MLB	TB	56%	333	291	71	11	2	8	31	66	8	8	1	244	333	378	711	134	287	20	9	304	91	-3	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2034	27	MLB	TB	55%	327	285	70	11	2	8	31	65	8	8	1	246	336	382	719	137	287	20	9	304	91	-3	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2035	28	MLB	TB	59%	346	302	74	12	2	8	33	69	8	8	1	245	335	377	713	132	287	20	10	303	90	-4	+1	-0	+4	+10	1.1
2036	29	MLB	TB	61%	350	305	74	12	2	8	34	71	8	8	1	243	334	374	708	131	286	20	10	302	89	-4	+1	-1	+4	+10	1.0
2037	30	MLB	TB	62%	351	306	73	11	2	8	34	72	8	8	1	239	330	366	696	127	285	21	10	299	87	-5	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.9
2038	31	MLB	TB	58%	318	277	65	10	1	7	31	66	7	7	1	235	327	354	681	119	283	21	10	295	84	-6	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.6
2039	32	MLB	TB	60%	319	278	65	10	1	7	31	67	7	6	1	234	326	353	678	119	280	21	10	290	80	-7	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.4
2040	33	MLB	TB	62%	309	269	61	9	1	6	30	67	7	6	1	227	320	335	655	108	277	22	10	284	76	-8	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.2
2041	34	MLB	TB	57%	260	227	50	7	1	5	25	58	6	5	1	220	314	326	640	106	272	22	10	276	70	-9	+1	-3	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4459	3893	932	145	23	100	424	910	103	104	14	239	330	366	696	126	286	20	10	297	86	-72	+15	-12	+48	+126	10.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	136	21	3	15	62	133	15	15	2	240	331	367	698	127	286	20	10	297	86	-10	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.6
Career	—			—	8361	7302	1711	279	39	183	785	1716	203	213	30	234	326	358	684	124	280	21	9	310	95	-45	+31	-20	+90	+237	29.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	133	22	3	14	61	133	16	17	2	234	326	357	683	123	281	20	9	310	95	-4	+3	-2	+7	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	167	145	34	6	0	0	17	29	5	5	1	234	335	276	611	41	293	17	10	291	81	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	179	141	37	11	0	2	24	30	11	13	1	262	409	383	792	121	312	17	13	362	135	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,667	105	109	237	323	363	+48	+27	17.4	14.0
	/162	664	15	15	237	323	363	+6.9	+3.8	2.5	pk7: 10
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Aaron Pinero (OGILVIE)	19	45	30	60	50	242/358/380	137	271	9	28	18%	11%	110	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A	19	49	40→45	51→50	43	233/286/331	98	308	6	13	25%	6%	71	-0.3	210/256/293	83	314	4	11	32%	5%	49	-1.8	178/220/246	68	283	3	12	36%	4%	17	-1.1
✕Luis Santana 2018 · A	19	52	39→45	54→50	50	243/311/343	100	274	5	11	13%	7%	85	+0.7	245/315/335	90	288	6	9	16%	7%	85	+0.7	225/297/334	109	287	11	10	24%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A	19	49	40	52→50	47	232/289/326	94	289	6	12	22%	7%	72	-0.2	206/273/275	69	276	4	8	25%	8%	52	-1.6	196/269/254	58	272	5	9	27%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→53	39→40	54→50	56	239/327/329	91	293	6	14	19%	11%	89	+1.0	243/317/334	91	314	8	14	23%	8%	86	+0.8	243/318/331	88	313	8	14	23%	8%	83	+0.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	50	40→45	51→50	44	234/303/337	103	302	5	13	23%	6%	81	+0.4	213/264/311	98	289	7	9	27%	5%	57	-1.2	192/236/285	92	270	8	8	31%	4%	36	-0.9
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	52	233/301/304	71	285	4	11	19%	9%	70	-0.3	238/285/305	67	306	4	12	22%	6%	64	-0.8	278/336/369	91	334	5	15	17%	7%	97	+1.5
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	63	-0.8	199/289/276	77	291	4	13	30%	10%	60	-1.0	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2014 · A	20	49	40→45	51→50	44	234/287/326	92	283	6	16	20%	5%	71	-0.3	246/305/362	116	287	10	14	17%	6%	88	+0.9	277/338/426	150	303	14	17	13%	6%	120	+1.3
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	38→40	55→60	45	206/289/290	83	281	5	13	27%	8%	63	-0.8	190/255/255	65	322	4	20	39%	6%	40	-2.4	197/270/275	78	320	7	32	37%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	49→55	38→45	51→60	51	232/298/315	83	281	5	13	18%	8%	72	-0.2	229/285/335	106	315	11	30	29%	7%	72	-0.2	236/292/342	106	319	11	39	28%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Carlos Arroyo 2019 · A	18	50	35→30	50	51	231/310/281	51	284	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.3	221/279/288	67	257	4	15	15%	6%	58	-1.2	184/235/249	65	243	5	19	25%	4%	28	-1.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A	19	48	37→30	54→55	41	225/280/299	74	293	4	12	24%	5%	61	-1.0	192/240/242	50	258	2	14	25%	5%	28	-3.2	167/212/188	21	225	0	20	24%	4%	1	-1.5
✕Mikey Edie 2016 · A	19	48	35→30	49→50	42	224/295/281	56	296	3	13	24%	5%	64	-0.8	212/267/270	58	314	2	15	31%	4%	48	-1.9	187/236/240	52	281	2	10	32%	3%	22	-1.4