Dariel Garcia — OGILVIE

Dariel GarciaSS ACL Rockies

Age 19 S/R 5'10" / 155 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION106 act + 70 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .255 / .263

PA70

HR1

K%34

BB%7

BABIP277

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	200	171	31	5	1	1	16	61	5	11	7	181	271	240	511	58	268	30	8	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	200	162	39	9	1	1	25	47	5	11	7	241	359	327	687	86	325	24	12	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	190	168	32	7	0	1	17	59	5	24	5	190	284	250	534	60	287	31	9	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	190	157	42	11	0	1	28	43	5	24	5	268	395	357	751	89	363	23	15	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	COL	—	106	98	16	2	1	1	7	53	0	8	1	163	219	235	454	71	341	50	7	196	8	-11	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
YTD	19	ROK	COL	—	106	93	23	4	1	1	12	37	0	8	1	247	333	344	677	97	400	35	11	307	93	-1	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.5
ROS	19	ROK	COL	0%	70	64	12	2	0	1	5	24	1	2	0	186	255	263	518	77	287	34	7	238	40	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		307	—	—	245	46	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	COL	—	106	99	16	2	1	1	7	53	0	8	1	162	219	232	451	71	333	50	7	196	8	-11	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
TOT	19	ROK	COL	—	176	162	28	4	1	2	12	77	1	10	1	172	233	246	479	74	311	44	7	213	21	-16	+2	+0	+2	+5	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	242	218	43	8	1	3	19	79	3	6	1	197	271	284	555	87	290	33	8	254	52	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	365	329	67	12	2	6	29	115	4	9	2	204	276	307	583	103	291	32	8	265	61	-16	+1	+0	+4	+10	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	454	409	85	16	2	8	37	140	5	11	2	208	282	315	597	108	292	31	8	272	66	-17	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.2
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	512	459	98	18	3	10	42	156	6	13	3	214	288	331	619	118	293	30	8	276	69	-18	+1	+0	+5	+15	0.4
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	550	494	105	19	3	11	45	167	6	14	3	213	286	330	616	117	294	30	8	278	71	-18	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.5
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	572	513	109	20	3	11	47	174	7	14	3	212	287	327	615	115	294	30	8	279	72	-18	+2	+0	+6	+16	0.6
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	584	524	112	20	3	12	48	177	7	14	3	214	288	332	620	118	294	30	8	279	72	-19	+2	+0	+6	+17	0.6
2034	27	MLB	COL	60%	586	525	112	20	3	12	49	178	7	14	3	213	289	331	621	118	294	30	8	279	72	-19	+2	+0	+6	+17	0.6
2035	28	MLB	COL	62%	583	522	110	20	3	11	49	178	7	14	3	211	287	324	611	113	293	31	8	278	71	-19	+2	-1	+6	+17	0.5
2036	29	MLB	COL	63%	574	513	109	20	3	11	49	177	7	13	3	212	290	327	617	115	293	31	9	277	70	-19	+1	-1	+6	+16	0.3
2027	20	MLB	COL	34%	83	76	15	3	0	1	6	27	1	2	0	197	265	276	541	79	311	33	7	262	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	COL	48%	177	159	35	7	1	3	14	56	2	4	1	220	291	333	625	113	313	32	8	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2029	22	MLB	COL	54%	246	221	49	9	1	5	20	76	3	6	1	222	295	339	634	118	314	31	8	281	73	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2030	23	MLB	COL	57%	290	261	59	11	2	6	24	89	3	7	2	226	299	352	651	126	315	31	8	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.4
2031	24	MLB	COL	57%	311	279	64	12	2	7	25	95	4	8	2	229	302	362	664	133	316	31	8	288	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2032	25	MLB	COL	57%	323	290	67	13	2	7	26	98	4	8	2	231	303	362	665	131	316	30	8	289	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2033	26	MLB	COL	56%	330	296	69	13	2	8	27	100	4	8	2	233	306	372	677	139	316	30	8	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2034	27	MLB	COL	60%	350	314	72	14	2	8	29	106	4	9	2	229	303	363	666	134	316	30	8	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2035	28	MLB	COL	62%	360	323	74	14	2	8	30	110	4	9	2	229	303	359	662	130	316	31	8	289	79	-8	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.6
2036	29	MLB	COL	63%	360	323	73	14	2	8	30	111	4	8	2	226	300	356	656	130	315	31	8	287	78	-9	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2830	2543	577	110	16	61	231	868	33	69	16	227	300	355	654	128	317	31	8	286	77	-73	+7	-1	+30	+80	4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	133	25	4	14	53	199	8	16	4	228	301	356	657	128	318	31	8	286	77	-17	+2	-0	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	5482	4909	1025	187	27	98	452	1685	70	159	38	209	285	318	603	109	294	31	8	272	66	-210	+17	-2	+59	+155	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	122	22	3	12	54	200	8	19	5	210	286	320	605	110	295	31	8	272	66	-25	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	200	162	39	9	1	1	25	47	5	11	7	241	359	327	687	86	325	24	12	309	94	-1	-1	—	—	+6	0.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	190	157	42	11	0	1	28	43	5	24	5	268	395	357	751	89	363	23	15	350	126	+6	+3	—	—	+5	1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,991	54	73	211	282	322	+32	+18	1.7	1.9
	/162	664	12	16	211	282	322	+7.1	+4.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dariel Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	60	55	172/233/246	74	311	2	10	44%	7%	21	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	33	-2.9	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	53	-1.5	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	63	-0.9	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	58	-1.2	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→49	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	276	2	20	30%	9%	42	-2.3	209/294/259	50	308	2	38	29%	10%	57	-1.2	210/286/268	58	278	5	56	25%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	46	-2.0	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	61	-1.0	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	42	-2.3	225/287/323	98	318	6	19	29%	7%	70	-0.3	201/262/323	122	304	12	21	36%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	57	-1.2	219/285/316	97	323	6	14	31%	8%	67	-0.5	224/266/315	91	324	5	11	31%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	216/270/292	76	297	5	21	28%	6%	54	-1.4	200/264/255	55	278	2	13	27%	8%	43	-2.2	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Ismael Dionicio 2010 · A	19	41	36→30	48→55	41	189/254/254	65	292	2	12	34%	7%	39	-2.5	212/265/261	49	292	1	16	26%	6%	44	-2.1	243/295/288	46	321	0	23	23%	6%	60	-0.3
✕Leandro Arias 2023 · A	18	40	38→30	51→45	43	188/262/268	80	284	4	11	33%	8%	46	-2.0	199/267/280	81	262	6	10	25%	7%	51	-1.7	199/277/263	64	267	6	7	25%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→51	34→40	50→55	44	200/257/251	51	263	2	7	24%	6%	39	-2.5	229/294/315	86	297	6	14	23%	7%	72	-0.2	239/309/308	69	304	4	19	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jorky Infante 2010 · A	19	41	37→30	51→50	43	198/254/268	70	273	4	9	28%	7%	42	-2.3	205/265/260	55	256	3	12	20%	7%	44	-2.1	201/262/238	38	245	2	14	18%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Dervy Ventura 2023 · A	19	43→51	36→40	50→55	47	200/276/275	74	283	2	6	28%	9%	53	-1.5	220/297/313	93	288	7	14	24%	10%	72	-0.2	227/311/321	94	298	8	22	25%	11%	78	+0.1