Jhojan Downer
C ACL Padres| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Padres Br… | 98 | .154/.320/.179 | 0 | 3 | -1 | — | .083/.206/.095 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Padres Go… | 168 | .194/.349/.254 | 0 | 9 | 9 | — | .111/.229/.146 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKSD | 132 | .262/.402/.327 | 0 | 6 | 32 | — | .155/.258/.190 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBSD | 242 | .175/.255/.237 | 1 | 4 | 42 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBSD | 42 | .178/.260/.252 | 0 | 1 | 49 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Padres Brown | — | 98 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 154 | 320 | 179 | 499 | 26 | 261 | 34 | 18 | 254 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Padres Gold | — | 168 | 134 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 40 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 194 | 349 | 254 | 603 | 60 | 274 | 24 | 17 | 291 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 132 | 107 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 262 | 402 | 327 | 729 | 65 | 459 | 35 | 18 | 344 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 98 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 83 | 206 | 95 | 301 | 12 | 169 | 42 | 12 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 168 | 144 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 111 | 229 | 146 | 375 | 35 | 163 | 30 | 11 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 132 | 116 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 155 | 258 | 190 | 447 | 34 | 367 | 50 | 11 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 98 | 84 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 83 | 206 | 95 | 301 | 12 | 159 | 42 | 12 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres Brown | — | 98 | 78 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 154 | 320 | 179 | 499 | 26 | 261 | 34 | 18 | 254 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 168 | 144 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 111 | 229 | 146 | 375 | 35 | 168 | 30 | 11 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Padres Gold | — | 168 | 134 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 40 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 194 | 349 | 254 | 603 | 60 | 274 | 24 | 17 | 291 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 132 | 116 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 155 | 258 | 190 | 447 | 34 | 360 | 50 | 11 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Padres | — | 132 | 107 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 46 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 262 | 402 | 327 | 729 | 65 | 459 | 35 | 18 | 344 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 98 | 85 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 82 | 206 | 94 | 300 | 12 | 169 | 42 | 12 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 168 | 144 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 111 | 229 | 146 | 375 | 35 | 163 | 30 | 11 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 132 | 115 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 157 | 258 | 191 | 449 | 35 | 367 | 50 | 11 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Brown | — | 98 | 85 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 41 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 82 | 206 | 94 | 300 | 12 | 169 | 42 | 12 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Padres Gold | — | 168 | 144 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 50 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 111 | 229 | 146 | 375 | 35 | 163 | 30 | 11 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 132 | 115 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 66 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 157 | 258 | 191 | 449 | 35 | 367 | 50 | 11 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | SD | 0% | 242 | 217 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 175 | 255 | 237 | 492 | 62 | 263 | 33 | 9 | 231 | 42 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | SD | 34% | 122 | 109 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 181 | 262 | 256 | 518 | 75 | 266 | 32 | 9 | 241 | 49 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | SD | 34% | 42 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 178 | 260 | 252 | 511 | 73 | 261 | 31 | 10 | 238 | 49 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 42 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 184 | 422 | 26 | 240 | 31 | 10 | 238 | 25 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 92 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 201 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 156 | 237 | 182 | 419 | 26 | 238 | 31 | 10 | 238 | 25 | -39 | +3 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 588 | 514 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 63 | 218 | 7 | 21 | 10 | 138 | 241 | 179 | 420 | 41 | 235 | 37 | 11 | 205 | 25 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 568 | 78 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 70 | 241 | 8 | 23 | 11 | 137 | 241 | 176 | 418 | 39 | 234 | 37 | 11 | 205 | 25 | -41 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKACL Padres · 132 PAwOBA .337 → .216 (−121)K% 34.8% → 50.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 50.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 11.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.997 | ×1.008 | 28.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×1.008 | 8.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .337 → .216; ISO .065 → .039; BABIP .459 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 168 PAwOBA .287 → .182 (−105)K% 23.8% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.26% | ÷1.049 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.21% | ÷1.064 | ×0.680 | ×0.971 | ×1.008 | 12.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.159 | ×0.600 | ×0.971 | ×1.008 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.049 | ×0.600 | ×0.971 | ×1.008 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 113, 2B 132, 3B 110, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .287 → .182; ISO .060 → .032; BABIP .274 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 98 PAwOBA .252 → .166 (−86)K% 33.7% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.67% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.37% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 12.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.951 | ×1.022 | 14.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.015 | ×0.600 | ×0.951 | ×1.022 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.951 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.908 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .252 → .166; ISO .026 → .014; BABIP .261 → .169. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).