Jheremy Vargas — OGILVIE

Jheremy VargasSS Biloxi Shuckers

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 223 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .258 / .233

PA223

HR1

SB6

K%23

BB%7

BABIP247

ISO45

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	174	145	25	1	2	2	19	60	5	8	4	172	290	248	538	76	261	34	11	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	174	135	31	2	3	2	29	42	5	8	4	230	385	333	718	104	302	24	17	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	352	308	40	7	0	3	36	136	7	11	7	130	236	182	418	52	218	39	10	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	352	289	54	10	0	4	55	92	7	11	7	187	330	263	593	76	258	26	16	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	251	228	38	9	0	0	21	75	2	11	4	167	243	206	449	39	248	30	8	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	2 teams	—	251	215	51	13	0	0	34	51	2	11	4	237	347	298	644	60	311	20	14	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	353	320	54	9	1	4	27	74	4	23	8	169	242	241	483	72	205	21	8	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	353	309	65	11	1	5	38	54	4	23	8	210	305	301	606	91	238	15	11	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	354	331	62	3	0	0	19	106	2	13	7	187	236	196	432	9	273	30	5	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	2 teams	—	354	322	70	5	0	0	28	71	2	13	7	217	284	233	517	16	277	20	8	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	AA	MIL	—	97	83	15	4	0	1	9	17	3	1	1	181	284	265	549	84	209	18	9	252	51	-5	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
YTD	23	AA	MIL	—	97	79	16	5	0	1	13	13	3	1	1	203	337	304	641	101	224	13	13	297	86	-2	-0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
ROS	23	AA	MIL	2%	223	202	38	6	0	1	16	52	3	6	3	188	258	233	491	45	248	23	7	233	37	-16	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
ROS	23	MLB	MIL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		246	25	0	223	29	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	AA	MIL	—	101	87	16	4	0	1	9	18	3	1	1	184	283	264	547	80	214	18	9	251	50	-6	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
TOT	23	AA	MIL	—	320	285	53	10	0	2	25	69	6	7	4	186	266	242	508	56	235	22	8	239	41	-21	-0	+0	+3	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIL	31%	416	378	76	12	1	5	30	96	5	10	5	201	269	278	547	77	252	23	7	249	49	-24	+0	+0	+4	+12	-0.8
2028	25	MLB	MIL	45%	452	410	85	14	1	7	34	103	5	11	5	207	276	298	574	90	256	23	8	260	57	-22	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	MIL	51%	474	430	90	15	1	8	36	108	5	12	5	209	278	305	583	95	257	23	8	266	62	-21	+0	+0	+5	+13	-0.2
2030	27	MLB	MIL	53%	481	436	91	15	1	8	37	110	5	12	5	209	278	303	581	94	258	23	8	267	63	-20	+0	+0	+5	+14	-0.1
2031	28	MLB	MIL	53%	482	436	90	15	1	8	38	111	5	11	5	206	278	300	578	94	258	23	8	266	62	-21	+0	-1	+5	+14	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	MIL	31%	129	118	23	4	0	1	9	30	1	3	1	195	258	254	512	59	250	23	7	239	41	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	MIL	45%	201	182	37	6	0	3	15	46	2	5	2	203	271	286	557	82	254	23	7	250	49	-12	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	MIL	51%	241	218	45	7	1	4	18	55	3	6	3	206	276	303	579	96	255	23	7	256	54	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2030	27	MLB	MIL	53%	253	228	48	8	1	4	20	58	3	6	3	211	283	307	590	96	256	23	8	257	55	-13	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2031	28	MLB	MIL	53%	257	232	48	8	1	4	20	59	3	6	3	207	278	302	580	95	256	23	8	256	54	-13	+0	-0	+3	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1085	982	202	33	3	16	82	249	12	26	12	206	275	294	569	89	258	23	8	253	52	-59	+0	-0	+12	+31	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	122	20	2	10	49	149	7	16	7	207	276	299	575	92	259	23	8	253	52	-35	+0	-0	+7	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	4012	3624	689	106	8	46	313	1031	48	128	58	190	263	262	525	72	250	26	8	241	43	-259	+2	-1	+43	+114	-10.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	111	17	1	7	51	167	8	21	9	189	263	257	520	68	250	26	8	241	43	-42	+1	-0	+7	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	174	135	31	2	3	2	29	42	5	8	4	230	385	333	718	104	302	24	17	329	110	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2022	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	314	257	46	8	0	3	49	80	7	9	4	179	326	245	571	66	246	25	16	279	71	-10	+0	—	—	+9	-0.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	—	38	32	8	2	0	1	6	12	0	2	3	250	368	406	775	156	368	32	16	352	127	+1	-1	—	—	+1	0.1
2023	20	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	64	58	14	2	0	0	6	18	0	1	1	241	312	276	588	34	350	28	9	275	69	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	20	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	187	157	37	11	0	0	28	33	2	10	3	236	358	306	664	70	298	18	15	314	98	-0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	353	309	65	11	1	5	38	54	4	23	8	210	305	301	606	91	238	15	11	281	73	-11	+1	—	—	+10	0.1
2025	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	321	291	64	4	0	0	26	65	2	10	6	220	288	234	522	14	281	20	8	246	47	-19	-0	—	—	+9	-1.1
2025	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	33	31	6	1	0	0	2	6	0	3	1	194	242	226	468	32	240	18	6	218	25	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	1,088	17	27	208	275	300	+12	+6	-0.7	-0.4
	/162	664	11	16	208	275	300	+7.1	+3.7	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jheremy Vargas (OGILVIE)	23	40	20	50	35	186/266/242	56	235	2	7	22%	8%	41	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕DJ Jenkins 2017 · A	23	45	34→30	50→55	43	214/263/264	51	276	2	17	23%	6%	43	-2.2	217/268/262	45	307	2	14	28%	6%	45	-2.1	216/267/246	31	307	1	15	28%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Derrik Gibson 2013 · AA	23	42→52	34→40	51→55	43	198/255/246	48	275	1	16	27%	6%	36	-2.7	225/286/296	71	304	3	13	25%	7%	63	-0.9	236/301/308	72	311	3	11	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	42	35→30	53→50	40	195/250/250	55	290	2	14	32%	6%	35	-2.8	219/281/290	71	320	3	12	30%	7%	59	-1.1	227/294/286	60	334	2	11	30%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Dionis Hinojosa 2014 · A	23	42	36→30	50→60	41	200/254/264	64	288	3	17	30%	6%	40	-2.4	208/261/286	78	284	5	10	27%	6%	50	-1.8	198/248/261	62	248	4	8	21%	4%	37	-0.4
✕Jose Toussen 2013 · A	23	42	34→30	48→50	40	199/236/252	53	256	1	12	22%	4%	29	-3.2	202/252/263	61	270	2	11	24%	6%	39	-2.5	200/255/246	46	266	1	11	24%	7%	34	-1.1
✕Juan Montes 2018 · A	23	41	36→30	52→55	44	193/280/256	63	253	4	19	24%	6%	52	-1.6	212/285/291	79	294	6	12	28%	6%	63	-0.9	214/282/293	79	299	8	5	29%	4%	59	-0.2
✕Pablo Olivares 2021 · A	23	45→41	38→40	46→50	45	213/287/289	76	269	5	14	22%	6%	63	-0.9	207/281/293	86	273	5	12	24%	8%	61	-1.0	192/271/278	86	259	4	12	25%	8%	50	-0.6
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2017 · A	23	42→52	36→30	55→45	42	200/265/269	69	274	3	14	27%	6%	47	-1.9	218/259/272	54	282	3	10	22%	4%	43	-2.2	230/268/284	54	294	2	9	22%	4%	48	-1.2
✕Juan Ciriaco 2013 · A	23	44→49	34→30	53→60	39	205/240/253	48	268	1	18	23%	4%	30	-3.1	225/250/276	51	296	2	27	24%	3%	40	-2.4	231/243/288	57	275	3	22	17%	1%	36	-1.0
✕Shawn Roof 2008 · A	23	44	35→30	45→50	43	204/266/259	55	283	2	9	27%	6%	45	-2.1	224/284/276	52	298	2	10	23%	6%	56	-1.3	237/288/285	47	315	1	17	23%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	43	207/272/268	61	283	4	14	27%	7%	50	-1.7	224/273/295	71	281	4	18	21%	5%	56	-1.3	231/275/288	57	282	1	27	18%	4%	52	-0.8
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Luis Rivera 2007 · A	23	47	35→30	51→45	40	220/255/275	55	273	3	13	20%	4%	43	-2.2	225/259/279	54	268	2	6	16%	4%	45	-2.1	234/264/274	40	274	1	3	14%	3%	42	-0.8
✕Alexis Bastardo 2017 · A	23	41	35→40	50→55	39	192/249/248	56	277	2	10	30%	6%	34	-2.8	199/246/273	74	279	5	13	29%	5%	40	-2.4	187/224/252	66	252	7	20	28%	3%	21	-1.4
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2012 · AAA	22	46	37→30	45→50	41	223/256/290	67	278	5	15	22%	4%	47	-1.9	244/275/298	54	298	3	10	18%	4%	56	-1.3	267/306/320	53	321	2	12	17%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Will Piwnica-Worms 2013 · A	23	41	36→40	52→50	47	193/261/264	71	245	3	7	22%	7%	44	-2.1	203/279/287	84	272	6	8	26%	8%	58	-1.2	196/277/278	82	262	7	8	26%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2011 · A	22	45	35→30	50→55	42	210/255/270	60	259	1	15	19%	4%	42	-2.3	220/262/311	91	280	5	10	22%	4%	56	-1.3	235/255/369	134	291	7	9	22%	2%	69	-0.1
✕Luis Alberto Sanz 2013 · AA	22	43	36→30	47→40	44	201/249/263	62	248	3	8	20%	5%	38	-2.6	212/270/280	68	250	5	6	16%	7%	52	-1.6	217/279/252	35	248	2	2	12%	8%	46	-0.7