Deinys Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Deinys GonzalezC FCL Rays

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 178 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .297 / .359

PA102

HR2

K%25

BB%7

BABIP288

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED35

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.0	$10M	+$10M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$8M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.8	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.6	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$20M		$48M	+$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	178	150	21	5	0	2	12	53	14	6	2	140	267	213	480	73	196	30	7	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	178	143	29	8	0	3	19	37	14	6	2	203	352	322	674	119	248	21	11	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	183	153	29	4	2	4	15	41	11	0	1	190	307	320	628	131	225	22	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	183	144	39	5	3	5	24	29	11	0	1	271	413	451	865	181	301	16	13	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	TB	—	52	46	12	4	0	1	2	13	2	1	0	261	320	413	733	152	324	25	4	307	93	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
YTD	19	ROK	TB	—	52	44	15	5	0	1	4	9	2	1	0	341	420	523	943	182	389	17	8	402	166	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.7
ROS	19	ROK	TB	0%	102	92	21	4	1	2	7	25	2	1	0	228	297	359	656	130	284	25	7	284	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	19	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	267	63	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	TB	—	52	47	12	4	0	1	2	13	2	1	0	255	320	404	724	149	314	25	4	307	93	-0	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.2
TOT	19	ROK	TB	—	154	138	33	8	1	3	9	38	4	2	0	239	305	377	681	138	300	25	6	292	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TB	43%	236	212	47	9	1	4	17	58	5	3	1	222	295	330	625	108	286	25	7	291	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2028	21	MLB	TB	61%	360	323	73	14	2	7	26	86	8	4	1	226	300	347	646	121	287	24	7	297	86	-6	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.1
2029	22	MLB	TB	68%	450	403	94	18	3	10	34	107	10	5	1	233	309	367	676	134	288	24	8	301	89	-6	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.6
2030	23	MLB	TB	71%	509	455	106	21	3	11	38	120	11	5	2	233	308	365	672	132	289	24	7	304	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.9
2031	24	MLB	TB	71%	520	464	109	21	3	12	39	122	12	5	2	235	311	371	681	136	290	23	8	306	92	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2032	25	MLB	TB	71%	520	464	109	21	3	12	39	122	12	5	2	235	311	371	681	136	290	23	8	307	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2033	26	MLB	TB	71%	520	463	109	21	3	12	40	122	12	5	2	235	313	371	684	136	290	23	8	307	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2034	27	MLB	TB	69%	520	463	109	21	3	12	40	122	12	5	2	235	313	371	684	136	290	23	8	307	93	-4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2035	28	MLB	TB	69%	520	462	108	21	3	12	41	123	12	5	2	234	313	370	683	136	289	24	8	306	92	-5	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2036	29	MLB	TB	67%	520	462	108	21	3	12	41	124	12	5	1	234	313	370	683	136	288	24	8	304	91	-5	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2037	30	MLB	TB	66%	520	462	107	21	3	11	41	125	12	5	1	232	311	361	672	130	287	24	8	301	89	-7	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.6
2038	31	MLB	TB	65%	504	448	103	20	3	11	40	123	11	5	1	230	309	362	670	132	285	24	8	297	85	-8	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.3
2039	32	MLB	TB	65%	489	437	96	18	2	10	38	121	11	4	1	220	298	339	637	119	281	25	8	291	81	-10	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.9
2040	33	MLB	TB	65%	456	407	88	16	2	9	36	115	10	4	1	216	296	332	628	115	277	25	8	284	76	-12	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.5
2041	34	MLB	TB	60%	400	358	75	13	2	7	31	104	8	3	1	209	287	316	603	106	271	26	8	276	69	-14	+0	-5	+7	+11	-0.0
2042	35	MLB	TB	56%	339	303	62	10	2	6	26	90	7	3	1	205	283	310	593	106	265	27	8	266	62	-15	+0	-6	+6	+10	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	TB	43%	102	92	21	4	1	2	7	25	2	1	0	228	297	359	656	130	289	25	7	276	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	21	MLB	TB	61%	219	196	45	9	1	4	16	53	5	2	1	230	304	347	651	117	291	24	7	282	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2029	22	MLB	TB	68%	307	274	65	12	2	7	23	73	7	3	1	237	312	372	685	135	292	24	7	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.7
2030	23	MLB	TB	71%	362	324	76	14	2	8	27	85	8	4	1	235	309	364	673	130	293	23	7	289	79	-9	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2031	24	MLB	TB	71%	369	330	78	15	2	8	28	87	8	4	1	236	311	367	678	130	294	24	8	290	80	-8	+0	+0	+7	+10	0.9
2032	25	MLB	TB	71%	369	330	78	15	2	8	28	86	8	4	1	236	311	367	678	130	294	23	8	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+7	+10	1.0
2033	26	MLB	TB	71%	369	330	78	15	2	8	28	86	8	4	1	236	311	367	678	130	293	23	8	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+7	+10	1.0
2034	27	MLB	TB	69%	361	322	75	14	2	8	28	85	8	4	1	233	310	363	673	130	293	24	8	291	81	-8	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2035	28	MLB	TB	69%	358	319	75	14	2	8	28	85	8	4	1	235	313	367	679	132	293	24	8	290	80	-8	+0	-0	+6	+10	0.9
2036	29	MLB	TB	67%	348	310	73	14	2	8	27	83	8	3	1	235	313	371	684	135	292	24	8	288	79	-8	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.7
2037	30	MLB	TB	66%	342	304	70	13	2	7	27	82	8	3	1	230	310	355	665	125	291	24	8	286	77	-9	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.6
2038	31	MLB	TB	65%	328	292	67	12	2	7	26	80	7	3	1	229	308	356	664	127	288	24	8	282	74	-10	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2039	32	MLB	TB	65%	317	282	64	12	2	6	25	79	7	3	1	227	306	348	653	121	285	25	8	276	70	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.2
2040	33	MLB	TB	65%	295	264	56	10	1	5	23	75	6	2	1	212	290	314	604	102	281	25	8	270	65	-12	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2041	34	MLB	TB	60%	240	214	45	8	1	4	19	62	5	2	1	210	290	313	603	103	275	26	8	261	58	-11	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.3
2042	35	MLB	TB	56%	188	168	35	6	1	3	14	50	4	1	0	208	285	310	594	101	268	27	7	252	51	-10	+0	-3	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4874	4352	1001	187	27	101	374	1176	107	47	14	230	307	355	662	125	290	24	8	283	75	-138	+4	-16	+87	+138	7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	133	25	4	13	50	157	14	6	2	229	306	353	659	124	290	24	8	283	75	-18	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7846	6981	1574	299	44	166	601	1903	192	78	25	225	304	352	657	127	284	24	8	295	84	-141	+6	-25	+140	+222	20.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	131	25	4	14	50	158	16	6	2	227	306	356	662	130	285	24	8	295	84	-12	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	178	143	29	8	0	3	19	37	14	6	2	203	352	322	674	119	248	21	11	317	100	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	183	144	39	5	3	5	24	29	11	0	1	271	413	451	865	181	301	16	13	383	151	+11	-0	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	5,027	108	50	229	303	358	+83	+44	15.1	12.5
	/162	664	14	7	229	303	358	+11.0	+5.8	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deinys Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	19	45	40	35	50	239/305/377	138	300	3	2	25%	6%	82	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	39	232/274/353	122	292	11	4	25%	4%	72	-0.2	213/267/301	88	291	7	5	28%	6%	56	-1.3	176/240/214	38	249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	44→54	42→45	37→40	44	216/277/321	104	275	9	3	25%	7%	66	-0.6	239/305/344	105	301	8	3	22%	7%	84	+0.6	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	231/306/343	112	272	11	5	19%	7%	85	+0.7	224/289/325	101	280	9	6	22%	6%	72	-0.2	209/262/317	108	250	12	1	21%	4%	55	-0.3
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	41→50	42→45	44	204/265/299	95	266	8	5	26%	7%	55	-1.4	186/235/263	77	243	5	4	25%	5%	32	-3.0	245/304/378	133	272	15	0	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	62	-0.9	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	46	-2.0	215/312/294	79	295	8	4	27%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Armando Sierra 2023 · A	19	46	41→45	43→40	47	225/288/323	98	278	9	4	22%	7%	71	-0.3	214/269/315	101	304	9	4	31%	6%	60	-1.0	191/241/289	98	292	10	0	37%	6%	39	-0.5
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Francisco Herrera 2013 · A	19	47	42→45	44→30	49	230/294/334	104	267	9	5	18%	7%	76	+0.1	221/277/315	94	270	8	6	21%	6%	64	-0.8	208/255/286	78	243	9	5	18%	4%	43	-0.6
✕Adinso Reyes 2021 · A	19	46	43→45	41→40	38	224/269/334	110	299	10	5	28%	4%	66	-0.6	178/231/282	104	339	12	4	48%	5%	37	-2.7	146/199/242	96	289	13	2	52%	5%	10	-1.4
✕Amadeo Zazueta 2006 · A	20	45→55	45	40→50	44	223/268/355	132	261	12	5	20%	6%	71	-0.3	209/254/322	113	255	10	5	22%	5%	56	-1.3	282/313/378	96	307	8	10	11%	3%	91	+0.8
✕Raul Juarez 2017 · A	19	42	41→45	42→40	41	208/273/305	97	268	9	6	25%	5%	61	-1.0	204/257/279	75	279	6	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	180/221/220	41	250	4	2	29%	3%	13	-0.9
✕Francisco Ventura 2017 · A	18	48	40	41→40	54	228/297/319	92	260	7	6	15%	9%	73	-0.1	221/275/291	70	307	4	5	27%	7%	56	-1.3	222/262/247	25	337	0	0	32%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Fernando Pujadas 2011 · A	19	46	42→40	42→30	47	222/280/326	104	261	8	5	19%	6%	69	-0.4	212/280/309	97	269	8	3	23%	7%	64	-0.8	208/295/292	84	266	6	1	22%	9%	63	-0.2
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	63	-0.9	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	58	-1.2	188/232/267	79	256	8	1	29%	3%	30	-0.9
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2022 · A	19	53→52	40	41→45	40	251/300/346	95	328	7	5	25%	5%	81	+0.4	238/300/327	89	293	7	5	20%	7%	77	+0.1	229/296/312	83	278	7	5	19%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Yojhan Quevedo 2013 · A	19	47→52	40→45	39→50	45	227/269/312	85	259	8	5	16%	5%	59	-1.1	218/260/302	84	253	5	8	16%	5%	53	-1.5	238/260/331	93	280	7	3	18%	2%	56	-0.5
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2018 · A	20	50→44	43→55	40→45	44	245/288/356	111	285	9	4	18%	5%	79	+0.3	227/267/356	129	268	15	7	21%	4%	71	-0.3	216/261/385	169	243	24	1	23%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	46→51	39→45	41→45	44	215/285/308	93	302	6	4	29%	7%	66	-0.6	195/267/273	78	284	4	5	30%	8%	50	-1.8	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3