Deinys Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Deinys GonzalezC DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 R/R 5'9" / 178 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2033

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .294 / .341

PA154

HR3

K%26

BB%8

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

40→40

SPD

35→35

EYE

47↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.5	$33M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$35M	+$34M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$35M	+$34M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$37M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.3	$35M	+$25M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$15M	+3.1	$34M	+$19M
Totals		$35M		$211M	+$175M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	178	150	21	5	0	2	12	53	14	6	2	.140	.267	.213	.480	.073	.196	30	7	.212	20	-16	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	183	153	28	4	1	4	15	41	11	0	1	.183	.302	.301	.602	.118	.216	22	8	.271	66	-7	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	TB	154	138	31	6	1	3	12	41	3	2	1	.225	.301	.348	.648	.123	.287	27	8	.289	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	20	MLB 11%	TB	236	209	49	9	1	6	21	59	4	3	1	.234	.316	.373	.689	.139	.293	25	9	.309	95	-1	+0	+0	+4	+7	1.0
2028	21	MLB 28%	TB	360	318	76	14	2	10	33	88	6	5	1	.239	.322	.390	.712	.151	.294	24	9	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.8
2029	22	MLB 48%	TB	450	396	95	17	3	13	43	107	8	6	1	.240	.327	.396	.723	.157	.295	24	10	.324	106	+3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.5
2030	23	MLB 65%	TB	509	444	108	20	3	15	51	119	9	7	1	.243	.333	.403	.736	.160	.295	23	10	.329	110	+6	+1	+0	+9	+14	3.1
2031	24	MLB 82%	TB	520	453	111	20	3	16	53	120	9	6	1	.245	.336	.408	.744	.163	.295	23	10	.334	113	+8	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2032	25	MLB	TB	520	452	112	20	3	17	54	119	9	6	1	.248	.340	.418	.758	.170	.296	23	10	.337	116	+9	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2033	26	MLB	TB	520	451	112	20	3	17	55	119	9	6	1	.248	.342	.419	.761	.171	.296	23	11	.338	117	+10	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2034	27	MLB	TB	520	450	112	20	3	17	56	119	9	5	1	.249	.344	.420	.764	.171	.296	23	11	.338	117	+10	+1	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2035	28	MLB	TB	520	450	111	20	3	17	56	120	9	5	0	.247	.342	.418	.760	.171	.296	23	11	.337	116	+10	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.5
2036	29	MLB	TB	520	450	111	20	3	17	56	122	9	5	0	.247	.342	.418	.760	.171	.295	23	11	.335	115	+9	+1	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2037	30	MLB	TB	520	450	108	19	3	16	56	123	9	4	0	.240	.336	.402	.738	.162	.294	24	11	.332	112	+7	+1	-2	+9	+15	3.1
2038	31	MLB	TB	504	435	104	18	3	15	55	122	9	3	0	.239	.337	.398	.734	.159	.292	24	11	.328	109	+5	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.7
2039	32	MLB	TB	489	425	99	18	2	14	53	121	8	3	0	.233	.329	.384	.713	.151	.291	25	11	.324	106	+3	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.3
2040	33	MLB	TB	456	396	91	16	2	13	49	116	8	2	0	.230	.327	.379	.705	.149	.289	25	11	.318	101	+1	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.8
2041	34	MLB	TB	400	347	78	13	2	11	43	105	7	2	0	.225	.322	.369	.691	.144	.287	26	11	.311	96	-2	+0	-5	+7	+11	1.3
2042	35	MLB	TB	339	295	66	11	2	9	36	92	5	2	0	.224	.318	.366	.685	.142	.285	27	11	.304	90	-4	+0	-6	+6	+10	0.7
2043	36	MLB	TB	278	243	51	9	1	6	29	79	4	2	0	.210	.304	.329	.634	.119	.282	28	10	.295	84	-5	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.2
2044	37	MLB	TB	217	190	39	6	1	5	22	63	3	2	0	.205	.298	.326	.624	.121	.278	29	10	.285	76	-6	+0	-7	+4	+6	-0.3
2045	38	MLB	TB	157	138	27	4	1	3	16	47	2	1	0	.196	.288	.304	.593	.109	.273	30	10	.274	68	-6	+0	-8	+3	+4	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8550	7433	1740	309	46	246	876	2095	164	83	12	.234	.328	.387	.715	.153	.291	25	10	.320	103	+31	+12	-46	+153	+242	40.0
/ 162G	—			650	565	132	23	3	19	67	159	12	6	1	.234	.328	.386	.713	.152	.289	24	10	.320	103	+2	+1	-4	+12	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	178	143	29	8	0	3	19	37	14	6	2	.203	.352	.322	.674	.119	.248	21	11	.317	100	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2025	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	183	144	39	5	3	5	24	29	11	0	1	.271	.413	.451	.865	.181	.301	16	13	.383	151	+11	-0	—	—	+5	1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Deinys Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	19	45	40	35	50	.219/.294/.341	.123	.287	3	2	26%	8%	79	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Alvarez 2009 · A	19	47	43→45	44→45	48	.230/.303/.339	.110	.271	10	5	19%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.291/.326	.101	.280	9	5	22%	6%	73	-0.1	.212/.264/.322	.111	.252	13	1	21%	4%	57	-0.3
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	43→45	38→40	46	.227/.287/.337	.110	.280	10	4	22%	7%	74	-0.1	.243/.310/.355	.112	.303	9	3	22%	7%	89	+0.9	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Victor Heredia 2019 · A	19	47	44→50	42→30	40	.230/.273/.349	.119	.292	11	4	25%	4%	71	-0.3	.214/.267/.303	.089	.290	7	4	27%	6%	56	-1.3	.176/.240/.214	.038	.249	3	2	28%	6%	21	-1.0
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	42→30	44	.214/.269/.309	.096	.275	10	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	.248/.300/.359	.111	.296	11	2	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.327/.424	.162	.295	21	1	19%	8%	110	+1.4
●Mark Vientos 2019 · A	19	42→50	45→60	43→30	45	.215/.274/.337	.122	.275	14	3	27%	7%	69	-0.4	.206/.251/.346	.140	.279	17	2	32%	5%	62	-0.9	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
✕Elias Díaz 2010 · A	19	42→52	40→50	43→45	44	.205/.267/.300	.095	.269	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	.185/.233/.263	.078	.242	5	4	25%	5%	31	-3.0	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→41	42→45	44→50	46	.227/.316/.333	.107	.303	8	7	26%	8%	87	+0.8	.212/.309/.337	.125	.286	12	8	28%	8%	85	+0.7	.203/.305/.339	.136	.270	15	9	28%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	45	.221/.275/.318	.097	.272	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	.243/.298/.349	.106	.288	8	15	18%	6%	82	+0.5	.263/.321/.381	.118	.302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Amadeo Zazueta 2006 · A	20	45→55	45	41→50	44	.223/.269/.352	.130	.262	12	5	20%	6%	70	-0.3	.209/.257/.317	.108	.263	9	5	23%	6%	56	-1.3	.285/.316/.382	.096	.311	8	10	11%	3%	94	+1.0
●Moisés Ballesteros 2023 · A	19	43→53	46→50	46→40	47	.216/.283/.346	.130	.273	14	5	26%	8%	75	-0.0	.241/.299/.377	.136	.292	16	4	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Randy Florentino 2019 · A	19	46	44→50	45	51	.220/.307/.353	.132	.309	10	8	30%	11%	87	+0.8	.194/.270/.290	.096	.293	8	5	33%	9%	56	-1.3	.183/.230/.260	.077	.238	8	4	26%	5%	28	-1.0
✕Adinso Reyes 2021 · A	19	46	43→45	41→40	38	.224/.269/.334	.110	.299	10	5	28%	4%	66	-0.6	.181/.234/.289	.108	.334	12	4	47%	5%	40	-2.4	.148/.202/.250	.102	.289	14	2	51%	5%	14	-1.3
✕Yeiner Fernandez 2022 · A	19	52	40	42→45	41	.247/.297/.342	.095	.322	7	5	25%	5%	79	+0.3	.240/.304/.333	.093	.291	8	4	19%	7%	80	+0.4	.231/.300/.315	.085	.275	7	5	18%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Gabriel Moreno 2019 · A	19	48	40→45	46→45	43	.228/.263/.327	.099	.258	7	7	15%	4%	60	-1.0	.239/.285/.381	.142	.269	14	6	17%	5%	85	+0.7	.295/.351/.419	.124	.354	12	9	19%	7%	118	+1.4
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Brad Harman 2006 · A	20	48→49	44→45	37→40	42	.238/.288/.350	.113	.303	12	5	25%	6%	78	+0.2	.215/.268/.314	.099	.300	9	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	.198/.253/.301	.103	.280	11	3	32%	6%	47	-1.6
✕Travis Denker 2006 · A	20	45→52	52→50	38→45	49	.233/.303/.397	.164	.282	20	4	25%	9%	97	+1.5	.226/.299/.365	.139	.268	16	4	21%	9%	87	+0.8	.233/.308/.392	.159	.261	18	0	18%	8%	97	+0.8
✕Francisco Herrera 2013 · A	19	47	42→45	45→30	48	.229/.292/.332	.104	.267	9	5	18%	7%	76	+0.0	.221/.277/.316	.095	.268	8	6	20%	6%	65	-0.7	.208/.255/.286	.078	.243	9	5	18%	4%	43	-0.6
●Willy Adames 2015 · A	19	48→53	41→60	47→50	46	.224/.293/.338	.114	.316	6	6	29%	8%	76	+0.1	.224/.290/.335	.111	.332	7	8	32%	8%	75	-0.0	.263/.332/.462	.199	.341	24	5	28%	9%	122	+2.4
●Juan Apodaca 2006 · A	20	41→51	48→45	46→40	40	.217/.257/.353	.136	.263	17	5	25%	5%	66	-0.6	.219/.272/.323	.104	.274	12	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.281/.346/.393	.113	.343	10	3	20%	8%	110	+1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)