Carlos CarrasquelSS DSL Red Sox Red
Age 19 R/R 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA
wRC+48
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .265 / .271
PA66
HR0
K%29
BB%6
ISO66
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.50.60.60.50.3+$22M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$1.0M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.6$1M+$0.9M
2035Arb-1$1M+0.5$1M+$0.6M
2036Arb-2$1M+0.3$0.6M+$0.2M
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $5M $6M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red 127117 26210 5405 00 222283256540 34338 314 237 40
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red 127113 36410 9265 00 319394372765 53414 207 352 128
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLB 6661 12200 4191 10 197258230487 33290 296 248 48 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLB 34% 122111 23311 8342 10 207273279552 72292 287 260 57 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
202821 MLB 48% 272247 55824 18745 21 223289320609 97293 277 268 64 -11 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.1
202922 MLB 54% 386351 781136 261046 31 222287322609 100294 277 274 68 -14 +0 +0 +4 +11 0.1
203023 MLB 57% 464422 951438 311248 42 225291329620 104295 277 278 71 -15 +0 +0 +5 +13 0.3
203124 MLB 57% 515466 1041539 351389 42 223290326616 103296 277 280 73 -16 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.4
203225 MLB 57% 546495 11216410 371469 52 226292335627 109296 277 282 74 -16 +0 +0 +6 +15 0.5
203326 MLB 56% 564512 11617410 381509 52 227292334626 107296 277 283 74 -16 +0 +0 +6 +16 0.6
203427 MLB 55% 570516 11617410 3915210 52 225292331623 107296 277 283 74 -16 +0 +0 +6 +16 0.6
203528 MLB 55% 570516 11617410 401539 52 225292331623 107295 277 282 74 -17 +0 -1 +6 +16 0.5
203629 MLB 53% 562509 11416410 391529 42 224291330621 106295 277 280 72 -17 +0 -1 +6 +16 0.3
202720 MLB 34% 4238 7100 3121 00 184262211472 26292 297 260 57 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202821 MLB 48% 132120 27412 9362 10 225290325615 100293 277 268 64 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
202922 MLB 54% 209190 41613 14563 21 216280305585 89294 277 274 68 -8 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203023 MLB 57% 263239 53824 18704 21 222287322610 100295 277 278 71 -9 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.2
203124 MLB 57% 291264 60925 20785 31 227294333627 106296 277 280 73 -9 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203225 MLB 57% 309280 62925 21825 31 221288321609 100296 277 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.3
203326 MLB 56% 319289 661026 22855 31 228294339633 111296 277 283 74 -9 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.3
203427 MLB 55% 316286 64926 22845 31 224291332623 108296 277 283 74 -9 +0 +0 +3 +9 0.3
203528 MLB 55% 313283 64926 22845 31 226294336629 110295 277 282 74 -9 +0 -0 +3 +9 0.3
203629 MLB 53% 300271 61925 21815 21 225293328621 103295 277 280 72 -9 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 24942260 505741642 17266840 228 223290326616 103296 277 279 72 -79 +1 -1 +27 +71 1.9
/ 162G 650589 13119411 4517410 62 222289324613 102294 277 279 72 -21 +0 -0 +7 +18 0.5
Career 47644323 9671383378 320128682 3916 224290325615 101298 277 278 71 -158 +1 -2 +51 +135 2.8
/ 162G 650590 13319511 4417511 52 225291331622 105300 277 278 71 -22 +0 -0 +7 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Red 127113 36410 9265 00 319394372765 53414 207 352 128 +4 +0 +4 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,5594322224287328+27+181.81.8
/162664116+7.1+4.70.5pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Carrasquel (OGILVIE) 19 205/265/271 65290 01 29% 6% 48 -0.2
Juan Uriarte
2017 · A
19 41 38→45 46→30 41 199/261/275 76260 55 25% 5% 47 -1.9 210/260/302 92278 84 26% 4% 53 -1.5 184/227/264802547030%3%27-1.0
Jose Cordoba
2022 · A
19 39 39→45 45→55 38 193/252/278 85266 78 29% 5% 44 -2.1 196/255/289 93278 810 31% 6% 48 -1.9 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
Jose Sibrian
2018 · A
19 42 36→50 48→30 42 200/260/265 65267 35 25% 6% 44 -2.1 194/250/265 71274 45 29% 5% 40 -2.4 193/253/280872458024%5%42-0.8
Luis Vázquez
2019 · A
19 40→46 36→50 49→45 39 193/237/259 66276 38 30% 5% 32 -3.0 204/249/275 71283 510 28% 5% 41 -2.3 232/296/36613430116827%6%83+0.3
Daniel Santos
2018 · A
19 37 36→45 46→40 43 178/255/242 64250 36 28% 7% 37 -2.6 197/260/282 85284 66 31% 6% 49 -1.8 186/247/273872697431%6%40-0.7
Pedro Severino
2012 · A
19 37→47 39→50 49→45 39 184/237/267 83257 74 30% 6% 34 -2.8 189/233/266 77239 53 22% 4% 32 -3.0 238/307/37513729117324%8%90+0.6
Wilmer Dominguez
2010 · A
19 43 38→45 46→45 38 202/250/284 82300 55 33% 6% 43 -2.2 219/259/313 94273 96 22% 5% 55 -1.4 232/268/33610426412517%4%61-0.3
Emilio King
2009 · A
19 38 37→45 44→40 41 184/245/258 74245 56 26% 6% 36 -2.7 196/261/279 83281 56 30% 5% 49 -1.8 206/259/300942986431%4%49-0.8
Jose Peroza
2019 · A
19 39→44 36→45 45 35 187/230/258 70295 37 36% 5% 28 -3.2 208/266/338 130306 136 34% 6% 66 -0.6 203/275/32612330813436%7%65-0.5
Denzer Guzman
2023 · A
19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
Adrian De Leon
2023 · A
19 42 38→40 47→45 43 199/271/276 78287 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 193/290/269 76317 65 37% 9% 60 -1.0 155/264/219642696339%10%36-1.1
Leonardo Ortiz
2016 · A
19 40 36→40 50→30 37 194/234/261 67272 25 29% 4% 30 -3.1 205/255/272 67258 36 21% 5% 43 -2.2 205/256/264592473517%4%39-0.7
Jesus Ugueto
2010 · A
19 43 37→45 45→50 43 203/265/278 75297 46 31% 7% 50 -1.8 221/273/309 88288 68 24% 6% 60 -1.0 231/284/34611529491124%6%73-0.1
Geoandry Montilla
2015 · A
19 41 35→45 48→50 37 191/242/251 60300 27 35% 6% 31 -3.0 207/270/307 100295 88 30% 7% 59 -1.1 193/264/30210927310931%8%53-0.5
Luis Cruz
2012 · A
19 39 35→40 43→45 42 186/235/238 52254 25 27% 6% 25 -3.5 220/272/314 94275 95 22% 5% 61 -1.0 227/272/301753026326%4%56-0.5
Jhoneiker Betancourt
2019 · A
19 38 34→55 52→40 37 182/225/238 56256 16 29% 4% 21 -3.7 213/281/291 78282 46 25% 6% 60 -1.0 201/286/34514425819129%7%80+0.1
Hector Garcia
2009 · A
19 42 37→45 44→40 44 201/251/268 68260 54 24% 6% 40 -2.4 218/268/302 84272 63 21% 5% 56 -1.3 222/269/309872707120%5%56-0.4
Marco Guzman
2014 · A
19 39 36→45 44→50 48 185/262/256 71249 38 25% 9% 43 -2.2 207/264/294 87251 57 19% 7% 53 -1.5 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Rodolfo Durán
2016 · A
18 39 36→55 45→40 37 189/231/257 68267 36 30% 5% 29 -3.2 211/250/329 118282 135 29% 5% 56 -1.3 225/266/38616127619326%4%75-0.0
Gilberto Vizcarra
2018 · A
19 39 37→45 48→40 44 188/255/263 75232 53 21% 5% 42 -2.3 188/254/255 67241 44 22% 7% 40 -2.4 197/250/284872418122%5%43-0.7