Manuel Moreno — OGILVIE

Manuel Moreno P DSL Brewers Gold

Age 20 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 27 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.74

FIP5.74

K%13.5%

BB%14.1%

K-BB%-0.6%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF2525

CTRL3535

CMD2525

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	10	5	36	150	31	6	3	50%	3.6	14.1%	5.0%	9.1%	2.6%	4.00	3.95	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	10	5	36	150	31	6	3	50%	3.6	14.1%	5.0%	9.1%	2.6%	4.00	3.95	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	10	5	36	150	31	6	3	50%	3.6	20.7%	4.0%	16.7%	2.0%	4.00	2.96	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	7	42	179	32	19	1	64%	3.8	12.2%	13.3%	-1.1%	0.8%	4.50	4.17	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	11	7	42	179	32	19	1	64%	3.8	12.2%	13.3%	-1.1%	0.8%	4.50	4.17	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	11	7	42	179	32	19	1	64%	3.8	17.9%	10.6%	7.3%	0.6%	4.50	3.24	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	3	1	5	17	6	1	0	33%	1.8	35.3%	5.9%	29.4%	0.0%	1.69	0.86	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	3	1	5	17	6	1	0	33%	1.8	35.3%	5.9%	29.4%	0.0%	1.69	0.86	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	3	1	5	17	6	1	0	33%	1.8	35.3%	5.9%	29.4%	0.0%	1.69	1.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	MIL	4	4	27	114	15	16	3	100%	6.8	13.5%	14.1%	-0.6%	2.9%	5.74	5.74	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIL	6	6	40	168	26	22	5	100%	6.6	15.5%	13.2%	2.4%	2.9%	5.49	5.42	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIL	3	3	20	84	13	11	2	100%	6.7	15.5%	13.2%	2.4%	2.9%	5.49	5.42	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	20	82	13	11	2	100%	6.5	15.5%	13.2%	2.4%	2.9%	5.49	5.04	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	133	113	20	100%	6.4	15.5%	13.2%	2.4%	2.9%	5.49	5.04	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		24	13	83	346	49	32	5	54%	3.5	14.1%	9.3%	4.8%	1.5%	4.10	3.91	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		58	31	200	830	117	77	12	54%	3.5	14.1%	9.3%	4.8%	1.5%	4.10	3.91	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Manuel Moreno (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.74	13.5%	14.1%	2.9%	—	5.42	15.5%	2.4%	40	-0.32	—	—	—
Alain Pena R 2023 · 5.48 FIP	20	SP-	5.48	14.2%	13.9%	3.3%	.222	5.68	15.6%	3.5%	191	+0.20	3.66	266	88
Jorge Cespedes R 2016 · 4.88 FIP	20	SW	4.88	11.2%	12.2%	2.1%	.284	4.14	12.9%	5.6%	107	-0.74	3.47	153	87
Lisander Brito R 2022 · 5.62 FIP	20	SP-	5.62	14.1%	15.0%	3.3%	.309	3.23	18.9%	5.3%	21	-2.39	3.23	101	87
Maiker Manuel R 2018 · 4.56 FIP	20	SP-	4.56	15.0%	13.2%	1.9%	.278	4.62	15.3%	11.5%	51	+0.06	4.56	148	86
Miguel Vinicio R 2019 · 5.69 FIP	19	SP-	5.69	13.8%	14.2%	3.5%	.327	3.99	16.9%	1.4%	47	-1.70	3.63	164	86
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	86
Juan Gomez R 2017 · 5.39 FIP	20	SP-	5.39	10.9%	12.6%	2.9%	.345	3.58	11.2%	-0.1%	61	-1.81	3.58	113	85
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	85
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	84
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	84
Jhon Vergara R 2019 · 5.75 FIP	19	SW	5.75	11.1%	13.1%	3.5%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	106	84
Kristian Cardozo R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	20	SW	4.89	16.3%	13.5%	2.7%	.358	6.76	13.6%	-4.3%	15	+1.87	3.49	138	83
Yeury Tatiz R 2021 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	17.4%	15.6%	3.5%	.295	5.10	13.0%	-1.0%	100	-0.44	3.73	221	83
Andres German R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	20	SW	4.97	8.7%	10.4%	2.3%	.302	3.04	13.4%	7.0%	73	-1.93	3.04	116	83
Nolberto Henriquez R 2021 · 4.99 FIP	21	SP-	4.99	16.0%	13.4%	2.8%	.305	5.60	11.3%	-3.1%	52	+0.61	4.99	108	83
Erick Reynoso R 2023 · 6.37 FIP	20	SP-	6.37	10.7%	20.4%	2.9%	.305	6.44	14.9%	-7.7%	146	+0.07	6.06	180	83
Carlos Castillo R 2024 · 5.00 FIP	18	SP-	5.00	13.5%	13.3%	2.5%	.336	4.65	14.3%	2.6%	121	-0.35	3.15	206	83
Yondrei Rojas R 2023 · 4.59 FIP	20	SP-	4.59	14.0%	11.2%	2.3%	.312	4.10	20.9%	10.2%	123	-0.49	2.60	240	82
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	82
Daury Cabrera R 2021 · 5.97 FIP	20	SW	5.97	9.7%	14.3%	3.4%	.290	4.15	15.1%	5.0%	44	-1.82	2.86	191	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	14.7%	13.6%	1.13	5.59
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Denny Bautista ('10)	1.1	45	17.3%	12.7%	0.85	5.89
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
David Purcey ('13)	1.0	41	18.8%	12.8%	0.96	4.98
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27