Steven Cruz — OGILVIE

Steven Cruz2B ACL Guardians

Age 19 S/R 5'7" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION160 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.154 / .267 / .154

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%13

BABIP284

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	113	28	6	0	1	36	23	2	10	2	248	437	327	765	80	293	15	23	360	129	+5	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	127	22	4	0	1	22	32	2	10	2	173	305	228	533	55	212	21	14	252	57	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	127	22	4	0	1	22	32	2	10	2	173	305	228	533	55	216	21	14	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	113	28	6	0	1	36	23	2	10	2	248	437	327	765	80	293	15	23	360	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	129	22	4	0	1	22	32	2	10	2	171	305	225	529	54	212	21	14	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	129	22	4	0	1	22	32	2	10	2	171	305	225	529	54	212	21	14	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	CLE	—	160	133	24	3	0	0	25	53	2	32	10	180	319	203	522	23	300	33	16	253	57	-8	+2	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CLE	—	160	118	29	4	0	0	40	37	2	32	10	246	444	280	723	34	358	23	25	357	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	CLE	0%	15	13	2	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	0	154	267	154	421		284	27	13	261	63	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	CLE	—	175	146	26	3	0	0	27	57	2	33	10	178	314	199	513	21	292	33	15	254	58	-9	+3	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	226	196	40	7	1	2	26	64	2	8	2	204	304	281	584	77	288	28	12	274	71	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	353	306	64	11	1	4	40	98	4	10	3	209	309	291	599	82	289	28	11	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	444	386	83	14	2	7	50	121	5	12	3	215	313	316	629	101	290	27	11	288	81	-10	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	504	436	94	16	2	8	57	136	6	12	3	216	315	317	631	101	291	27	11	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	543	470	102	17	2	9	62	146	6	13	3	217	316	319	635	102	292	27	11	293	85	-10	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	566	490	107	18	2	10	64	152	7	13	3	218	317	324	642	106	292	27	11	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	578	500	109	18	2	10	66	155	7	13	3	218	318	322	640	104	292	27	11	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	581	502	109	18	2	10	67	157	7	13	3	217	318	321	638	104	292	27	12	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	578	499	108	18	2	10	67	157	7	12	3	216	318	321	638	104	291	27	12	294	85	-10	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	569	491	107	18	2	10	66	155	7	12	3	218	319	324	643	106	290	27	12	292	84	-11	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	559	483	103	17	2	9	65	154	6	11	3	213	314	313	627	99	289	28	12	290	82	-12	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	546	471	100	16	2	9	64	152	6	11	3	212	314	312	626	100	287	28	12	285	79	-13	+1	-3	+2	+12	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	78	68	13	2	0	1	9	22	1	3	1	191	295	265	560	74	287	28	12	265	71	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	171	147	31	5	1	2	20	47	2	5	1	211	314	299	613	88	289	27	12	273	77	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	241	209	46	8	1	4	27	66	3	6	2	220	318	325	643	105	290	27	11	279	81	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	285	248	54	9	1	5	32	77	3	7	2	218	314	323	637	105	291	27	11	282	83	-6	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	307	265	58	10	1	5	35	83	4	7	2	219	319	321	640	102	292	27	11	284	85	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	320	277	61	10	1	6	36	86	4	7	2	220	319	329	647	108	292	27	11	285	86	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	327	283	62	10	1	6	37	88	4	7	2	219	318	325	643	106	292	27	11	286	86	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	322	278	61	10	1	6	37	87	4	7	2	219	320	327	647	108	291	27	11	286	86	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	317	273	60	10	1	6	37	86	4	7	2	220	322	330	651	110	291	27	12	285	85	-6	+1	-0	+1	+7	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	304	262	56	9	1	5	35	83	4	6	2	214	316	313	629	99	290	27	12	283	84	-6	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	294	255	54	9	1	5	34	81	3	6	1	212	312	314	625	102	289	28	12	281	82	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	309	267	56	9	1	5	36	86	3	6	1	210	310	307	618	97	286	28	12	277	79	-8	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3275	2832	612	101	11	56	375	892	39	74	20	216	316	319	635	103	292	27	11	282	82	-66	+7	-4	+12	+71	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	562	121	20	2	11	74	177	8	15	4	215	315	317	632	101	291	27	11	282	82	-13	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	6216	5370	1150	192	22	99	718	1683	72	151	37	214	315	313	628	99	290	27	12	290	82	-123	+14	-7	+22	+131	3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	562	120	20	2	10	75	176	8	16	4	214	315	310	625	96	289	27	12	290	82	-13	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,410	55	78	216	312	317	+12	+7	4.3	3.9
/162	664	11	15	+2.4	+1.4	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	55	60	193/296/249	57	284	1	10	29%	12%	63	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	67	-1.1	215/285/280	65	301	2	9	27%	9%	63	-1.4	224/291/259	35	315	0	4	26%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	61	-1.5	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	45	-2.7	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	8	-1.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Jose Constanza 2007 · A	19	47	34→30	51→60	54	213/308/264	51	310	2	22	28%	12%	69	-0.9	225/318/285	60	306	2	17	24%	12%	77	-0.3	236/346/282	46	308	0	21	20%	14%	85	+0.1
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→40	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	47	-2.5	207/258/252	45	280	1	12	25%	6%	46	-2.6	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→44	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	72	-0.7	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	78	-0.3	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	43	36→40	47→65	48	203/270/269	66	256	4	16	21%	8%	55	-1.9	209/282/280	71	262	3	24	20%	8%	62	-1.4	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	67	-1.1	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	63	-1.4	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	54	-2.0	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	73	-0.6	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	56	-1.9	209/289/266	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	61	-1.5	208/283/260	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	51	200/292/258	58	284	3	8	28%	11%	62	-1.4	210/273/275	65	326	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	203/265/239	35	320	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Olvy Marte 2013 · A	18	46	36→40	49→55	44	213/288/277	65	286	3	18	25%	7%	64	-1.3	220/281/292	72	293	2	16	24%	6%	64	-1.3	224/283/295	71	296	1	19	23%	6%	63	-0.5
✕Adderly Rosa 2010 · A	19	45	35→40	48→50	55	208/309/268	60	269	2	13	21%	11%	71	-0.8	199/283/255	56	263	2	12	23%	9%	57	-1.8	188/270/235	47	247	1	13	22%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	45	-2.7	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	51	-2.2	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	50	-1.0
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→46	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	63	-1.4	205/271/289	84	272	5	19	25%	7%	60	-1.6	218/285/302	85	288	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps