Steven Cruz

2B ACL Guardians

Age 20 S/R 5'7" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2295ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	154	.248/.437/.327	1	10	49	—	.145/.298/.177
2026	19	ROKCLE	160	.246/.444/.280	0	32	57	—	.180/.319/.203
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBCLE	270	.196/.288/.262	2	7	60	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCLE	46	.201/.293/.277	0	1	66	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBCLE	110	.206/.297/.291	1	3	70	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%94

Chase%76

wRC+68

wOBA55

Z-Con%47

Speed47

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJuan Mosquera (age 20) · Willmer De La Cruz (age 20) · Emmanuel Morel (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 82 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .286 / .259

PA82

HR0

K%28

BB%10

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	113	28	6	0	1	36	23	2	10	2	248	437	327	765	80	293	15	23	360	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	160	118	29	4	0	0	40	37	2	32	10	246	444	280	723	34	358	23	25	357	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	124	18	4	0	0	25	27	2	10	2	145	298	177	475	32	175	18	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	160	133	24	3	0	0	25	53	2	32	10	180	319	203	522	23	299	33	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	124	18	4	0	0	25	27	2	10	2	145	298	177	475	32	180	18	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	113	28	6	0	1	36	23	2	10	2	248	437	327	765	80	293	15	23	360	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	160	133	24	3	0	0	25	53	2	32	10	180	319	203	522	23	300	33	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	160	118	29	4	0	0	40	37	2	32	10	246	444	280	723	34	358	23	25	357	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	126	18	4	0	0	25	27	2	10	2	143	298	175	473	32	175	18	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	160	132	24	3	0	0	25	53	2	32	10	182	319	205	523	23	299	33	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	126	18	4	0	0	25	27	2	10	2	143	298	175	473	32	175	18	16	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	160	132	24	3	0	0	25	53	2	32	10	182	319	205	523	23	299	33	16	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	270	238	47	8	1	2	28	76	2	7	1	196	288	262	550	66	277	28	10	257	60	-13	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	133	117	24	4	1	1	14	37	1	3	1	201	293	278	572	77	279	28	11	266	66	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	226	199	41	7	1	3	23	61	2	5	1	206	297	292	589	86	281	27	10	272	70	-8	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	321	282	59	10	2	4	33	86	3	7	1	210	300	304	603	94	282	27	10	278	74	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	390	343	74	13	2	6	40	104	4	9	2	213	302	313	615	100	284	27	10	282	77	-11	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	430	379	81	14	2	7	44	113	4	9	2	215	304	320	624	105	284	26	10	285	79	-11	+1	+0	+2	+9	0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	450	397	86	15	2	8	46	118	4	10	2	215	304	321	625	106	284	26	10	286	79	-11	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
2034	27	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	458	404	87	15	2	8	47	121	4	10	2	214	303	318	621	104	283	26	10	284	78	-12	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	CLE	62%	456	403	85	15	2	7	46	122	4	9	2	212	301	313	614	101	282	27	10	281	77	-13	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	CLE	63%	448	396	83	14	2	7	45	121	4	8	2	210	298	307	605	97	281	27	10	278	74	-14	+1	-1	+2	+10	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	46	41	7	1	0	0	5	13	0	1	0	201	293	277	570	76	279	28	11	265	66	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	110	97	19	3	0	1	11	30	1	3	0	206	297	291	588	85	281	27	10	272	70	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	174	152	32	6	1	2	18	47	2	4	1	210	300	302	602	93	282	27	10	277	74	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	216	190	40	7	1	3	22	57	2	5	1	213	302	312	614	99	284	26	10	282	77	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	241	212	46	8	1	4	25	63	2	5	1	215	304	319	623	104	284	26	10	285	79	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	253	222	47	8	1	4	26	67	3	5	1	215	304	320	624	105	284	26	10	285	79	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	273	240	51	9	1	4	28	72	3	6	1	214	303	317	620	103	284	26	10	284	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	CLE	62%	281	247	52	9	1	4	29	75	3	5	1	212	301	312	613	100	282	27	10	281	77	-8	+1	-0	+1	+6	-0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	CLE	63%	281	248	52	9	1	4	28	76	3	5	1	210	298	306	604	96	281	27	10	277	74	-9	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1875	1649	346	60	7	26	192	500	19	39	7	210	299	302	601	92	283	27	10	281	74	-53	+5	-1	+7	+41	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	120	21	2	9	67	173	7	14	2	210	301	301	601	91	282	27	10	281	74	-18	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3708	3249	675	116	16	51	397	986	35	114	27	208	301	300	601	93	280	27	11	277	74	-98	+8	-2	+12	+74	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	118	20	3	9	70	173	6	20	5	207	300	300	600	93	279	27	11	277	74	-19	+2	-0	+2	+14	-0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Guardians · 160 PAwOBA .350 → .252 (−98)K% 23.1% → 33.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.12%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	33.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.995	15.42%
HBP% /PA	1.25%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.90%
Singles /BIP	30.86%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.041	×0.995	26.22%
Doubles /BIP	4.94%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.041	×0.995	3.68%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.041	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.

Result: wOBA .350 → .252; ISO .034 → .025; BABIP .358 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 154 PAwOBA .359 → .241 (−118)K% 14.9% → 17.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.94%	÷1.028	×1.220	—	—	17.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	23.38%	÷0.993	×0.700	—	×0.995	16.40%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.90%
Singles /BIP	23.33%	÷1.061	×0.680	×0.953	×0.995	14.19%
Doubles /BIP	6.67%	÷1.020	×0.600	×0.953	×0.995	3.72%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.995	×0.600	×0.953	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.11%	÷1.316	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.39%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 112, 2B 104, 3B 99, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .359 → .241; ISO .080 → .043; BABIP .293 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Al Weis'62-'71 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,763 PA	2.7	1,763	7	55	223*	283*	300*	+10	+9	-0.2	1.3
/162	664	3	21	+3.8	+3.5	-0.1	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.9	1,956	29	42	212	298	311	+7	+6	1.0	1.0
/162	664	10	14	+2.4	+2.0	0.3	pk7: 1
#3Darrel Chaney'69-'79 * career totals — 10 seasons, 2,401 PA	3.6	2,401	14	19	214*	293*	313*	+21	-3	-1.9	-0.3
/162	664	4	5	+5.7	-0.9	-0.5	pk7: 1
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Vic Harris'72-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	13	36	215*	286*	325*	+4	-7	-1.9	-1.1
/162	664	5	13	+1.5	-2.7	-0.7	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Cruz (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	55	60	194/286/259	65	277	0	2	28%	10%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mosquera 2008 · A	20	43	33→30	48→55	58	195/304/239	44	264	1	17	24%	12%	63	-1.3	192/270/239	47	254	2	11	23%	9%	49	-2.4	181/239/208	28	219	0	9	16%	7%	26	-1.0
✕Willmer De La Cruz 2023 · A	20	44	37→30	50→55	51	202/294/273	71	297	4	17	30%	11%	66	-1.1	191/271/251	60	317	2	14	36%	9%	52	-2.2	149/242/181	32	268	0	19	40%	10%	24	-0.8
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	37	34→30	50→55	47	174/257/225	52	263	1	15	32%	10%	41	-3.0	194/259/259	65	313	2	13	36%	7%	49	-2.4	182/247/231	49	295	0	21	35%	6%	35	-0.9
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→51	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	277	2	20	30%	9%	49	-2.4	215/301/265	50	313	2	38	28%	11%	66	-1.1	214/299/272	58	299	5	52	27%	10%	65	-1.0
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	54	197/295/255	58	274	3	8	26%	11%	63	-1.4	211/273/274	63	328	3	8	33%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/238	35	318	0	8	34%	8%	43	-0.6
✕Candido Pimentel 2010 · A	20	45	35→30	53→55	54	207/295/272	65	273	2	17	23%	11%	65	-1.2	211/275/265	54	294	2	15	26%	8%	55	-1.9	234/284/275	41	327	1	17	27%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	37	34→30	48→55	50	173/257/224	51	239	2	16	26%	10%	41	-3.0	185/260/242	57	252	2	15	25%	9%	45	-2.7	181/264/235	54	253	2	17	26%	10%	44	-1.1
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→47	37→40	51→50	48	188/276/257	69	287	4	13	33%	10%	55	-1.9	205/266/280	75	274	6	8	25%	8%	56	-1.9	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	38	35→30	51→65	50	176/248/238	62	212	2	18	18%	8%	40	-3.1	199/280/263	64	250	2	26	19%	9%	57	-1.8	195/284/251	56	248	1	34	20%	10%	54	-0.7
✕Jose Constanza 2007 · A	19	44	34→30	51→60	59	202/309/251	49	278	1	22	25%	13%	67	-1.1	210/314/268	58	275	2	17	21%	13%	72	-0.7	203/332/243	40	254	0	21	17%	16%	73	-0.3
✕Pedro Ruiz 2012 · A	20	43	34→30	48→50	55	198/296/248	50	274	1	11	25%	11%	61	-1.5	207/277/269	62	318	2	10	32%	8%	57	-1.8	186/263/241	55	292	3	8	34%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	44	34→30	50	57	200/297/258	58	260	1	14	21%	12%	63	-1.3	214/284/278	64	299	2	9	27%	9%	62	-1.4	225/293/261	35	317	0	4	26%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→38	36→30	51→55	46	198/270/268	70	289	2	14	30%	8%	55	-2.0	200/280/266	66	332	4	12	36%	10%	58	-1.7	182/272/238	56	306	3	15	37%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	38→47	35→40	52→60	47	181/251/244	63	237	2	17	23%	8%	42	-2.9	216/281/305	89	285	5	23	24%	7%	68	-1.0	218/285/304	87	285	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Odalys Peguero 2023 · A	20	42	36→30	54→55	50	194/280/259	64	281	3	17	29%	10%	57	-1.8	180/261/247	67	268	2	17	30%	9%	47	-2.5	155/243/214	59	230	2	21	30%	10%	32	-1.7
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	41→40	35→40	55→60	51	191/273/258	66	249	1	16	22%	9%	54	-2.0	191/269/267	76	262	2	18	25%	8%	54	-2.0	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1

Steven Cruz

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps