Steven Cruz — OGILVIE

Steven Cruz2B ACL Guardians

Age 19 S/R 5'7" / 145 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 95 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .304 / .231

PA95

HR0

SB7

K%27

BB%13

BABIP284

ISO36

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$4M	+$4M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.1M
Totals		$12M		$25M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	126	21	4	0	1	23	31	2	10	2	167	305	222	527	56	206	20	15	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	113	28	6	0	1	36	23	2	10	2	248	437	327	765	80	293	15	23	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CLE	—	143	118	23	3	0	0	24	40	1	32	9	195	336	220	556	25	295	28	17	273	67	-5	+3	+0	+1	+4	0.2
YTD	19	ROK	CLE	—	143	103	27	4	0	0	39	28	1	32	9	262	469	301	770	39	360	20	27	377	147	+8	+3	+0	+1	+4	1.5
ROS	19	ROK	CLE	0%	95	82	16	3	0	0	12	26	1	7	2	194	304	231	535	36	282	27	13	267	63	-4	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
ROS	19	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		283	—	—	261	58	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CLE	—	143	119	23	3	0	0	24	40	1	32	9	193	336	218	554	25	291	28	17	273	67	-5	+3	+0	+1	+4	0.2
TOT	19	ROK	CLE	—	238	200	39	6	0	0	36	66	2	39	11	195	323	225	548	30	290	28	15	271	65	-9	+3	+0	+1	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CLE	34%	264	228	47	8	1	2	32	69	2	9	2	206	309	276	585	70	288	26	12	280	73	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2028	21	MLB	CLE	48%	382	330	72	12	2	5	45	98	4	11	3	218	319	312	631	94	289	26	12	288	79	-9	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.4
2029	22	MLB	CLE	54%	464	402	88	15	2	7	54	118	5	12	3	219	319	318	637	100	291	25	12	293	83	-9	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.7
2030	23	MLB	CLE	57%	518	448	99	17	2	8	60	131	5	13	3	221	320	321	641	100	292	25	12	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.0
2031	24	MLB	CLE	57%	552	477	106	18	2	9	64	139	6	13	3	222	322	325	647	103	292	25	12	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.1
2032	25	MLB	CLE	57%	572	494	111	19	2	10	67	144	6	13	3	225	325	332	656	107	293	25	12	300	88	-8	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.2
2033	26	MLB	CLE	56%	582	503	112	19	2	10	68	146	6	13	3	223	322	328	650	105	292	25	12	301	89	-8	+1	+0	+2	+16	1.3
2034	27	MLB	CLE	60%	583	503	112	19	2	10	69	147	6	13	3	223	324	328	652	105	292	25	12	301	89	-8	+1	+0	+2	+17	1.3
2035	28	MLB	CLE	62%	579	499	111	19	2	10	69	146	6	12	3	222	324	329	653	106	292	25	12	300	88	-8	+1	-1	+2	+16	1.1
2036	29	MLB	CLE	63%	570	491	109	18	2	10	68	145	6	12	3	222	324	328	652	106	291	25	12	298	86	-9	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.9
2037	30	MLB	CLE	63%	560	482	106	18	2	9	67	144	6	11	3	220	323	322	644	102	289	26	12	295	84	-10	+1	-2	+2	+16	0.7
2038	31	MLB	CLE	65%	546	470	101	17	2	8	65	142	6	11	2	215	318	311	629	96	287	26	12	291	81	-12	+1	-3	+2	+15	0.4
2039	32	MLB	CLE	65%	528	455	97	16	2	8	63	140	5	10	2	213	315	310	625	97	284	27	12	286	77	-14	+1	-4	+2	+15	0.1
2040	33	MLB	CLE	65%	498	431	89	14	2	7	59	134	5	9	2	206	309	297	606	90	280	27	12	279	72	-16	+1	-4	+2	+14	-0.3
2027	20	MLB	CLE	34%	91	79	17	3	0	1	11	24	1	3	1	215	319	291	610	76	289	26	12	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	CLE	48%	185	159	35	6	1	2	22	48	2	5	1	220	322	308	631	88	290	26	12	281	73	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2029	22	MLB	CLE	54%	252	218	48	8	1	4	29	64	3	7	1	220	320	321	641	101	291	25	12	286	77	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2030	23	MLB	CLE	57%	293	254	57	10	1	5	34	74	3	7	2	224	323	331	654	106	292	25	12	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB	CLE	57%	312	270	60	10	1	5	36	78	3	7	2	222	320	322	643	100	293	25	12	292	81	-7	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB	CLE	57%	323	279	63	11	1	6	38	81	3	7	2	226	325	337	662	111	293	25	12	293	82	-6	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.5
2033	26	MLB	CLE	56%	329	285	64	11	1	6	38	83	3	7	2	225	322	333	655	109	293	25	12	293	83	-6	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.5
2034	27	MLB	CLE	60%	348	300	67	11	1	6	41	88	4	8	2	223	325	327	651	103	293	25	12	293	83	-7	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.5
2035	28	MLB	CLE	62%	358	308	69	12	1	6	43	91	4	8	2	224	327	328	655	104	292	25	12	292	82	-7	+1	-0	+1	+10	0.5
2036	29	MLB	CLE	63%	358	308	68	11	1	6	43	91	4	7	2	221	324	321	645	101	291	25	12	291	81	-8	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.3
2037	30	MLB	CLE	63%	355	306	67	11	1	6	42	91	4	7	2	219	321	320	641	101	290	26	12	288	78	-9	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.2
2038	31	MLB	CLE	65%	355	306	66	11	1	5	42	93	4	7	2	216	318	307	625	92	287	26	12	284	75	-10	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.0
2039	32	MLB	CLE	65%	343	296	62	10	1	5	41	91	3	6	1	209	312	301	612	91	284	27	12	279	72	-11	+1	-2	+1	+10	-0.2
2040	33	MLB	CLE	65%	324	279	57	9	1	4	39	87	3	6	1	204	308	287	595	82	280	27	12	273	67	-12	+1	-3	+1	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4226	3648	800	134	13	67	499	1084	44	92	23	219	321	318	639	99	291	26	12	287	78	-105	+9	-9	+15	+120	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	561	123	21	2	10	77	167	7	14	4	219	321	317	639	98	291	26	12	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+2	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	7447	6421	1397	236	27	114	885	1900	77	179	42	218	320	316	635	98	288	26	12	293	82	-148	+19	-15	+27	+211	9.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	560	122	21	2	10	77	166	7	16	4	218	319	316	635	98	289	26	12	293	82	-13	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	154	113	28	6	0	1	36	23	2	10	2	248	437	327	765	80	293	15	23	360	133	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,384	67	97	220	317	319	+16	+9	5.9	5.3
	/162	664	10	15	220	317	319	+2.4	+1.4	0.9	pk7: 5
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Steven Cruz (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	55	60	195/323/225	30	290	0	39	28%	15%	65	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	56	-1.3	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	38	-2.6	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	-4	-1.2
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Jose Constanza 2007 · A	19	47	34→30	51→60	54	213/308/264	51	310	2	22	28%	12%	65	-0.7	225/318/285	60	306	2	17	24%	12%	74	-0.1	236/346/282	46	308	0	21	20%	14%	83	+0.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→42	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	69	-0.4	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	76	+0.0	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Julio Izturis 2009 · A	19	47	34→30	55→60	55	215/311/263	48	261	2	25	17%	10%	66	-0.6	226/302/298	72	296	4	17	23%	8%	70	-0.3	242/304/298	57	323	4	23	25%	6%	70	-0.1
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2012 · A	19	43	36→40	47→65	48	203/270/269	66	256	4	16	21%	8%	50	-1.8	209/282/280	71	262	3	24	20%	8%	57	-1.2	210/296/279	69	262	2	36	19%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	63	-0.8	199/289/276	77	291	4	13	30%	10%	60	-1.0	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→45	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	40	-2.4	205/256/250	45	276	1	12	24%	6%	37	-2.6	262/314/365	103	319	5	12	18%	7%	89	+0.7
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	63	-0.9	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	58	-1.2	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	47→57	34→30	53→60	52	216/292/271	55	261	1	19	16%	8%	59	-1.1	225/304/282	57	280	1	24	18%	9%	67	-0.5	268/330/326	58	319	3	17	16%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	51	193/275/258	65	253	3	8	24%	9%	50	-1.8	200/306/292	92	270	5	6	25%	12%	72	-0.2	182/303/271	88	244	5	5	24%	13%	64	-0.3
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Olvy Marte 2013 · A	18	46	36→40	49→55	44	213/288/277	65	286	3	18	25%	7%	59	-1.1	220/281/292	72	293	2	16	24%	6%	59	-1.1	224/283/295	71	296	1	19	23%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Pedro Ruiz 2011 · A	19	40	35→30	48→50	53	183/285/242	59	262	2	9	28%	11%	50	-1.7	208/288/265	57	311	2	11	30%	10%	56	-1.3	206/282/258	52	316	2	11	32%	9%	48	-0.9