Tavano Baker — OGILVIE

Tavano BakerOF FCL Red Sox

Age 19 L/L 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION152 act + 101 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .259 / .274

PA101

HR1

SB5

K%30

BB%8

BABIP261

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	148	26	3	2	1	7	36	3	6	0	176	228	243	471	68	223	23	4	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	144	35	5	3	1	11	25	3	6	0	243	310	340	650	97	286	16	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	117	101	14	3	2	1	13	42	3	14	0	139	256	238	494	99	224	36	11	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	117	92	20	6	2	1	21	27	3	14	0	217	376	359	735	141	297	23	18	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	BOS	—	152	133	23	5	3	1	15	53	3	19	2	173	272	278	550	105	275	35	10	235	38	-11	+3	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
YTD	19	ROK	BOS	—	152	123	30	7	4	1	25	37	3	19	2	244	384	390	774	146	337	24	16	352	127	+5	+3	+0	-1	+4	1.1
ROS	19	ROK	BOS	0%	101	91	17	3	1	1	8	30	1	5	1	186	259	274	533	88	275	30	8	260	57	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
ROS	19	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		279	—	—	252	51	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	BOS	—	152	134	23	5	3	1	15	53	3	19	2	172	272	276	548	104	272	35	10	235	38	-11	+3	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
TOT	19	ROK	BOS	—	253	224	40	8	4	2	23	83	4	24	3	178	267	276	543	98	269	33	9	245	46	-16	+4	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	267	239	48	9	3	4	22	76	4	8	1	201	279	314	593	113	274	28	8	268	63	-11	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2027	20	MLB	BOS	34%	92	83	16	3	1	1	8	26	1	3	0	193	272	289	561	96	280	28	9	261	58	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	92	84	16	3	1	1	8	26	1	3	0	190	272	286	557	95	263	28	9	261	58	-4	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	113	21	7	7	57	184	7	21	0	191	272	285	557	94	264	28	9	261	58	-31	+4	+0	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	644	579	105	18	8	7	50	184	11	33	2	181	259	276	535	95	250	29	8	244	45	-40	+6	+0	-4	+18	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	106	18	8	7	50	186	11	33	2	182	259	276	534	94	251	29	8	244	45	-40	+6	+0	-4	+18	-2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	144	35	5	3	1	11	25	3	6	0	243	310	340	650	97	286	16	7	294	83	-3	+1	—	—	+5	0.3
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	117	92	20	6	2	1	21	27	3	14	0	217	376	359	735	141	297	23	18	340	119	+2	+3	—	—	+3	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	232	3	6	203	274	304	-1	+0	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	8	18	203	274	304	-4.0	+0.0	-1.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tavano Baker (OGILVIE)	19	33→38	32→37	59→64	55	178/267/276	98	269	2	24	33%	9%	46	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Duran 2010 · A	19	45	39→45	60→55	43	213/262/308	95	277	5	19	24%	6%	55	-1.4	195/243/273	78	277	5	14	30%	6%	38	-2.6	153/197/199	46	226	5	15	33%	5%	-2	-1.2
✕Telmito Agustin 2016 · A	19	49→41	39→45	57→50	46	231/288/332	101	295	5	17	22%	7%	72	-0.2	226/262/328	102	322	8	13	31%	4%	59	-1.1	226/258/333	106	321	10	12	32%	4%	57	-0.6
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Junior Franco 2022 · A	19	47→42	42→45	57→55	41	216/281/327	111	339	8	15	36%	8%	69	-0.4	206/254/312	106	297	11	18	33%	5%	53	-1.5	221/272/324	104	281	11	23	25%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Frederick Bencosme 2022 · A	19	46→44	39→40	53→55	44	219/263/311	91	263	6	12	19%	5%	56	-1.3	231/285/307	76	287	4	16	20%	7%	64	-0.8	198/258/294	96	236	11	18	21%	7%	48	-1.1
✕Omar Lebron 2018 · A	19	43	38→40	53→55	51	202/287/279	78	251	5	20	21%	9%	60	-1.0	189/263/285	96	256	8	11	28%	7%	51	-1.7	154/228/257	103	209	10	8	30%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→42	39→40	54→50	49	212/301/304	92	297	6	15	28%	10%	72	-0.2	195/269/291	96	274	7	11	29%	9%	55	-1.4	181/270/264	83	253	5	13	28%	11%	47	-0.9
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	47→43	37→45	55	44	216/295/307	91	310	2	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3	209/276/307	98	303	6	18	31%	6%	62	-0.9	204/265/321	117	295	9	29	32%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	63	-0.8	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	59	-1.1	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	58	-0.4
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	39→49	36→45	52→50	50	184/257/252	69	229	3	16	21%	8%	40	-2.4	207/286/283	76	268	5	12	23%	9%	60	-1.0	217/293/324	107	277	12	10	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	57	-1.2	219/285/316	97	323	6	14	31%	8%	67	-0.5	224/266/315	91	324	5	11	31%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A	19	40→50	42→40	56→55	40	199/252/310	111	278	8	14	30%	6%	52	-1.6	223/287/308	85	277	6	19	20%	7%	66	-0.6	232/302/304	72	281	5	22	18%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Shard Munroe 2016 · A	20	43	38→40	56→50	49	206/275/289	83	264	5	14	23%	8%	56	-1.3	202/271/291	89	276	6	14	27%	8%	55	-1.4	174/247/268	94	256	9	14	34%	8%	37	-0.9
✕Jaden Rudd 2022 · A	19	44→36	40→30	51→50	45	207/290/299	92	294	6	11	30%	8%	66	-0.6	182/289/257	75	276	4	13	32%	10%	57	-1.2	157/280/216	59	252	3	16	34%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	50	-1.8	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	54	-1.4	155/238/219	64	252	5	32	37%	8%	22	-1.0
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→35	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	45	-2.1	201/265/282	81	295	5	9	31%	7%	50	-1.7	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	38→37	41→45	56→50	41	186/249/288	102	279	8	15	35%	7%	45	-2.1	184/254/304	120	272	13	13	35%	8%	53	-1.5	166/230/262	96	226	11	13	31%	7%	28	-1.4
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	58	-1.2	209/266/303	94	295	7	19	30%	6%	56	-1.3	202/262/292	90	286	7	25	30%	6%	50	-0.7