Tavano Baker — OGILVIE

Tavano BakerOF FCL Red Sox

Age 19 L/L 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION164 act + 15 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .200 / .143

PA15

HR0

K%27

BB%7

BABIP271

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED64

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	144	35	5	3	1	11	25	3	6	0	243	310	340	650	97	286	16	7	294	85	-3	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	117	92	20	6	2	1	21	27	3	14	0	217	376	359	735	141	297	23	18	340	117	+2	+3	—	—	+3	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	148	26	3	2	1	7	36	3	6	0	176	228	243	471	68	224	23	4	209	28	-14	+1	—	—	+3	-0.9
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	117	101	15	4	2	1	13	40	3	14	0	149	265	257	522	109	223	34	11	228	40	-8	+3	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	148	26	3	2	1	7	36	3	6	0	176	228	243	471	68	223	23	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	144	35	5	3	1	11	25	3	6	0	243	310	340	650	97	286	16	7	294	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	117	101	15	4	2	1	13	40	3	14	0	149	265	257	522	109	233	34	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	117	92	20	6	2	1	21	27	3	14	0	217	376	359	735	141	297	23	18	340	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	148	26	3	2	1	7	36	3	6	0	176	228	243	471	68	224	23	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	117	100	15	4	2	1	13	40	3	14	0	150	265	260	525	110	223	34	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	159	148	26	3	2	1	7	36	3	6	0	176	228	243	471	68	224	23	4	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	117	100	15	4	2	1	13	40	3	14	0	150	265	260	525	110	223	34	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	BOS	—	164	144	22	5	3	1	16	59	3	21	3	153	252	250	502	97	247	36	10	224	38	-12	+3	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	BOS	—	164	134	31	8	4	1	26	41	3	21	3	231	368	373	741	142	323	25	16	338	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	BOS	0%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	0	143	200	143	343		268	27	7	253	57	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	BOS	—	179	158	24	5	3	1	17	63	3	22	3	152	247	241	488	89	242	35	9	226	39	-13	+3	+0	-1	+4	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	224	200	40	8	2	3	19	65	3	7	1	200	279	305	584	105	272	29	8	264	65	-9	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2027	20	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	77	70	14	3	1	1	6	22	1	2	0	200	273	314	587	114	276	29	8	256	65	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	77	70	14	3	1	1	6	22	1	2	0	200	273	314	587	114	277	29	8	256	48	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	117	25	8	8	51	186	8	17	0	198	271	308	579	110	275	29	8	256	48	-27	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	515	463	83	15	6	5	40	145	9	28	1	179	258	270	528	91	248	28	8	239	48	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	105	19	8	6	50	183	11	35	1	180	257	271	528	91	249	28	8	239	48	-27	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tavano Baker (OGILVIE)	19	33→38	32→37	59→64	55	187/265/283	95	268	1	6	30%	8%	57	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Duran 2010 · A	19	45	39→45	60→55	43	213/262/308	95	277	5	19	24%	6%	60	-1.6	195/243/273	78	277	5	14	30%	6%	45	-2.7	154/197/200	46	227	5	15	33%	5%	10	-1.2
✕Telmito Agustin 2016 · A	19	49→42	39→45	57→50	46	231/288/332	101	295	5	17	22%	7%	76	-0.4	224/260/326	102	319	8	13	31%	4%	63	-1.3	224/256/331	107	318	10	12	32%	4%	61	-0.8
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	47→43	37→45	55	44	215/294/306	91	310	2	12	29%	7%	73	-0.6	209/276/305	96	304	6	18	31%	6%	66	-1.1	203/264/313	110	295	9	29	32%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Junior Franco 2022 · A	19	47→41	42→45	57→55	41	216/282/325	110	337	8	15	36%	8%	72	-0.7	205/254/311	106	294	11	18	32%	6%	59	-1.7	221/275/325	104	280	10	21	24%	6%	67	-0.6
✕Frederick Bencosme 2022 · A	19	46→45	39→40	53→55	44	219/263/311	91	263	6	12	19%	5%	61	-1.5	230/284/306	76	285	5	16	20%	7%	68	-1.0	220/278/290	69	272	4	21	20%	7%	59	-1.2
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	45→41	39→40	54→50	49	210/298/303	92	292	6	15	28%	10%	74	-0.5	194/266/289	95	271	7	11	29%	9%	59	-1.7	192/278/283	91	261	5	13	26%	10%	60	-0.8
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Omar Lebron 2018 · A	19	43	38→40	53→55	51	202/287/279	78	251	5	20	21%	9%	65	-1.2	189/263/285	96	256	8	11	28%	7%	57	-1.8	154/228/257	103	209	10	8	30%	6%	37	-0.9
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	41	37→40	53→55	43	195/256/271	76	260	4	13	25%	6%	50	-2.3	197/266/280	83	273	6	17	28%	7%	56	-1.9	189/268/272	83	254	9	24	27%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Jaden Rudd 2022 · A	19	44→36	40→30	51→50	45	207/290/299	92	294	6	11	30%	8%	70	-0.8	180/288/254	74	275	4	13	32%	10%	61	-1.5	154/279/213	59	249	3	16	34%	11%	47	-1.1
✕Shard Munroe 2016 · A	20	43	38→40	56→50	49	206/275/289	83	264	5	14	23%	8%	61	-1.5	202/271/292	90	276	6	14	27%	8%	61	-1.5	176/250/270	95	256	9	14	33%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Gilbert Gomez 2011 · A	19	40→37	37→40	54→50	44	191/258/270	80	263	4	18	28%	7%	51	-2.2	202/266/283	81	296	5	9	31%	7%	57	-1.8	194/265/261	67	295	4	7	33%	8%	48	-1.4
✕Angel Aponte 2019 · A	19	41	41→45	56→55	40	203/267/304	101	272	9	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	209/267/303	94	296	7	19	30%	6%	61	-1.5	204/264/295	91	289	8	25	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	39→49	36→45	52→50	49	185/257/254	70	230	4	16	21%	8%	47	-2.5	208/287/287	79	268	6	12	23%	9%	66	-1.1	221/302/302	81	281	7	12	22%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Victor Padron 2013 · A	19	46	37→30	53→55	51	217/289/294	76	266	4	10	19%	8%	68	-1.0	230/291/277	47	289	1	15	19%	8%	63	-1.3	242/307/262	20	301	0	20	18%	9%	63	-0.4
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	39	41→45	56→50	41	189/251/288	99	284	8	15	35%	7%	53	-2.1	182/253/293	111	267	12	13	34%	8%	55	-1.9	182/240/283	101	235	12	16	28%	7%	44	-1.3
✕Estanlin Cassiani 2022 · A	19	46	37→30	57→50	42	219/271/304	85	276	3	17	21%	5%	63	-1.4	241/285/296	55	302	2	13	20%	5%	65	-1.2	245/288/279	34	308	1	12	20%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2010 · A	18	43	38→30	62→55	43	207/259/290	83	274	4	20	25%	6%	55	-1.9	213/265/278	65	273	2	17	21%	6%	54	-2.0	213/263/269	56	268	2	18	20%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2018 · A	19	42	37→40	54→60	45	200/270/270	70	284	4	22	29%	8%	55	-1.9	208/268/293	85	302	6	18	31%	7%	59	-1.6	157/239/224	68	251	6	32	37%	8%	33	-0.9
✕Theo Bowe 2010 · A	19	43→53	35→30	54→60	43	199/260/256	57	286	2	18	29%	7%	48	-2.5	223/283/282	59	306	3	24	26%	7%	62	-1.4	239/300/291	52	321	2	37	24%	7%	68	-0.6