Tavano Baker

OF FCL Red Sox
Age 20 L/L 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Red Sox B…159.243/.310/.3401614—.156/.215/.204
202518ROKBOS117.217/.376/.35911442—.149/.265/.257
202619ROKBOS164.231/.368/.37312137—.152/.245/.248
2027PROJMLE20MLBBOS274.194/.268/.2833757-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBBOS46.205/.279/.3061163-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Speed98
Z-Con%73
ISO62
BB%53
Whiff%40
wOBA36
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsDavid Calabrese (age 20) · Yohairo Cuevas (age 20) · Roberto Caro (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 85 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .266 / .281
PA85
HR1
K%28
BB%8
ISO90
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 29 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT29
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE62
scouting grade only
SPEED70
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Red Sox Blue — 159144 35531 11253 60 243310340650 97286 167 294 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Red Sox — 11792 20621 21273 140 217376359735 141297 2318 340 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Red Sox — 164134 31841 26413 213 231368373741 142323 2516 338 37 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 159147 23320 8303 60 156215204419 48187 195 189 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 117101 15421 13403 140 149265257522 109224 3411 230 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 164145 22531 15593 213 152245248494 97243 369 223 37 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 159147 23320 8303 60 156215204419 48195 195 189 14 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox Blue — 159144 35531 11253 60 243310340650 97286 167 294 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 117101 15421 13403 140 149265257522 109233 3411 230 42 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 11792 20621 21273 140 217376359735 141297 2318 340 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 164145 22531 15593 213 152245248494 97244 369 223 37 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Red Sox — 164134 31841 26413 213 231368373741 142323 2516 338 37 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 159147 23320 8303 60 156215204419 48187 195 189 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 117100 15421 13403 140 150265260525 110224 3411 230 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 164145 22531 15593 213 152245248494 97243 369 223 37 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox Blue — 159147 23320 8303 60 156215204419 48187 195 189 14 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 117100 15421 13403 140 150265260525 110224 3411 230 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Red Sox — 164145 22531 15593 213 152245248494 97243 369 223 37 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEBOS 0% 274247 48923 22763 71 194268283551 90265 288 253 57 -14 +1 +0 -2 +6 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEBOS 34% 135121 24412 11372 41 199274299573 100267 278 261 63 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXBOS 34% 4641 9201 4131 10 205279306585 102276 289 266 63 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4641 9201 4131 10 220304341646 122296 289 266 40 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650579 12728014 5718414 140 219305340645 121297 289 266 40 -29 +3 +0 -4 +14 -1.6
Career— MLE — 660591 991995 5419012 474 168251255507 88236 298 228 40 -10 +1 +0 -1 +5 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650582 981995 5318712 464 168252258510 89237 298 228 40 -30 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Red Sox · 164 PAwOBA .330 → .223 (−107)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷1.000×1.440——36.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.24%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9959.40%
HBP% /PA1.83%—×0.720—×0.9951.31%
Singles /BIP19.35%÷1.000×0.820×0.973×0.99515.36%
Doubles /BIP8.60%÷1.000×0.720×0.973×0.9956.00%
Triples /BIP4.30%÷1.000×0.720×0.973×0.9953.00%
Home runs /BIP1.08%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9950.83%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .330 → .223; ISO .142 → .095; BABIP .323 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Red Sox · 117 PAwOBA .333 → .230 (−103)K% 23.1% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.08%÷0.965×1.440——34.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.95%÷0.988×0.620—×1.00811.35%
HBP% /PA2.56%—×0.720—×1.0081.86%
Singles /BIP16.92%÷1.033×0.820×1.000×1.00813.54%
Doubles /BIP9.23%÷1.101×0.720×1.000×1.0086.09%
Triples /BIP3.08%÷0.900×0.720×1.000×1.0082.48%
Home runs /BIP1.54%÷0.815×0.780—×1.0081.48%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 107, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 93, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .333 → .230; ISO .141 → .103; BABIP .297 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Red Sox Blue · 159 PAwOBA .288 → .189 (−100)K% 15.7% → 19.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.72%÷1.004×1.220——19.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.92%÷0.976×0.700—×1.0085.00%
HBP% /PA1.89%—×0.700—×1.0081.33%
Singles /BIP21.85%÷0.998×0.680×0.998×1.00814.97%
Doubles /BIP4.20%÷1.080×0.600×0.998×1.0082.35%
Triples /BIP2.52%÷1.031×0.600×0.998×1.0081.48%
Home runs /BIP0.84%÷0.992×0.470—×1.0080.40%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.

Result: wOBA .288 → .189; ISO .097 → .054; BABIP .286 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).