Carlos Matias
OF FCL Rays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKTB | 166 | .247/.333/.370 | 3 | 7 | 22 | — | .153/.230/.213 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKDSL Tampa Bay | 182 | .240/.366/.301 | 1 | 20 | 28 | — | .158/.269/.204 |
| 2026 | 19 | ROKTB | 109 | .240/.330/.323 | 1 | 7 | 22 | — | .160/.229/.220 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBTB | 219 | .201/.264/.275 | 2 | 5 | 53 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBTB | 38 | .208/.272/.293 | 0 | 1 | 60 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | — | 166 | 146 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 247 | 333 | 370 | 703 | 123 | 308 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 182 | 146 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 240 | 366 | 301 | 667 | 62 | 274 | 14 | 11 | 306 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 109 | 96 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 330 | 323 | 653 | 83 | 310 | 22 | 9 | 303 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 166 | 150 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 153 | 230 | 213 | 444 | 60 | 203 | 27 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 182 | 152 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 158 | 269 | 204 | 473 | 46 | 174 | 17 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 109 | 100 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 160 | 229 | 220 | 449 | 60 | 233 | 32 | 6 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 166 | 150 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 153 | 230 | 213 | 444 | 60 | 210 | 27 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rays | — | 166 | 146 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 247 | 333 | 370 | 703 | 123 | 308 | 22 | 9 | 319 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 182 | 152 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 158 | 269 | 204 | 473 | 46 | 184 | 17 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 182 | 146 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 240 | 366 | 301 | 667 | 62 | 274 | 14 | 11 | 306 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 109 | 100 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 160 | 229 | 220 | 449 | 60 | 234 | 32 | 6 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Rays | — | 109 | 96 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 240 | 330 | 323 | 653 | 83 | 310 | 22 | 9 | 303 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 166 | 150 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 153 | 230 | 213 | 444 | 60 | 203 | 27 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 182 | 157 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 153 | 269 | 197 | 466 | 45 | 174 | 17 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 109 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 162 | 229 | 222 | 452 | 61 | 233 | 32 | 6 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rays | — | 166 | 150 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 153 | 230 | 213 | 444 | 60 | 203 | 27 | 7 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Tampa Bay | — | 182 | 157 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 9 | 20 | 6 | 153 | 269 | 197 | 466 | 45 | 174 | 17 | 8 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 109 | 99 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 162 | 229 | 222 | 452 | 61 | 233 | 32 | 6 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 219 | 200 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 201 | 264 | 275 | 539 | 74 | 273 | 27 | 6 | 247 | 53 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | TB | 34% | 112 | 102 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 270 | 292 | 562 | 86 | 275 | 27 | 6 | 256 | 60 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | TB | 34% | 38 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 272 | 293 | 565 | 84 | 279 | 26 | 5 | 258 | 60 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 38 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 237 | 200 | 437 | 29 | 240 | 26 | 5 | 258 | 33 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 103 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 171 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 172 | 237 | 200 | 437 | 28 | 241 | 26 | 5 | 258 | 33 | -31 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 627 | 557 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 157 | 19 | 38 | 8 | 169 | 251 | 228 | 479 | 59 | 223 | 25 | 7 | 217 | 33 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 98 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 163 | 20 | 39 | 8 | 170 | 253 | 229 | 481 | 59 | 225 | 25 | 7 | 217 | 33 | -33 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Rays · 109 PAwOBA .296 → .200 (−96)K% 22.0% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.02% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.75% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 18.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.08% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .296 → .200; ISO .083 → .055; BABIP .310 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 DSLDSL Tampa Bay · 182 PAwOBA .307 → .210 (−97)K% 14.3% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.99% | ÷1.011 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.95% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 3.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷1.054 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 14.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.944 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 3.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.952 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.41% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 111, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .307 → .210; ISO .062 → .039; BABIP .274 → .174. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Rays · 166 PAwOBA .312 → .200 (−113)K% 22.3% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.29% | ÷1.004 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.04% | ÷0.985 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.41% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.94% | ÷0.994 | ×0.680 | ×1.008 | ×1.008 | 15.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.053 | ×0.600 | ×1.008 | ×1.008 | 3.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×1.008 | ×1.008 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷1.160 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.12% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .312 → .200; ISO .123 → .061; BABIP .308 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).