Carlos MatiasOF
DSL Tampa Bay
Age 19
R/R
6'2" / 195 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.4 · 2033
wRC+†68
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .282 / .320
PA153
HR2
K%27
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
20→20
SPD
60→60
EYE
44↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.4peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.3 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.4 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.4 | $24M | +$23M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +2.3 | $24M | +$19M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | +2.1 | $23M | +$16M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +1.8 | $20M | +$11M |
| Totals | $23M | $136M | +$113M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 166 | 151 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .172 | .242 | .252 | .494 | .079 | .247 | 32 | 6 | .216 | 24 | -14 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 182 | 154 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 9 | 20 | 6 | .182 | .280 | .234 | .514 | .052 | .223 | 20 | 7 | .227 | 32 | -14 | +2 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | TB | 153 | 139 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .216 | .283 | .317 | .599 | .101 | .284 | 27 | 7 | .275 | 68 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | TB | 236 | 211 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 60 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .227 | .303 | .351 | .654 | .123 | .292 | 25 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | TB | 360 | 319 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 87 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .235 | .317 | .376 | .693 | .141 | .293 | 24 | 9 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | TB | 449 | 396 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 105 | 7 | 12 | 3 | .240 | .325 | .389 | .714 | .149 | .293 | 23 | 10 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.3 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | TB | 508 | 446 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 117 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .244 | .330 | .404 | .734 | .159 | .293 | 23 | 10 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.7 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | TB | 547 | 479 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 16 | 55 | 124 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .244 | .332 | .401 | .733 | .157 | .294 | 23 | 10 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | TB | 570 | 498 | 122 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 59 | 128 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .245 | .335 | .404 | .738 | .159 | .294 | 22 | 10 | .332 | 112 | +8 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | TB | 581 | 506 | 125 | 23 | 3 | 18 | 61 | 131 | 9 | 15 | 3 | .247 | .339 | .411 | .750 | .164 | .295 | 23 | 10 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.4 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | TB | 584 | 508 | 125 | 23 | 3 | 18 | 62 | 132 | 9 | 14 | 3 | .246 | .339 | .409 | .748 | .163 | .295 | 23 | 11 | .334 | 114 | +9 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +17 | 2.4 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | TB | 581 | 505 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 18 | 62 | 132 | 9 | 14 | 2 | .246 | .339 | .408 | .746 | .162 | .294 | 23 | 11 | .333 | 113 | +8 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | TB | 572 | 498 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 132 | 8 | 13 | 2 | .243 | .335 | .402 | .737 | .159 | .294 | 23 | 11 | .331 | 111 | +7 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | TB | 562 | 489 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 60 | 131 | 8 | 13 | 2 | .241 | .334 | .401 | .735 | .160 | .292 | 23 | 11 | .328 | 109 | +6 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 1.8 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | TB | 549 | 477 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 59 | 131 | 8 | 11 | 1 | .239 | .333 | .394 | .727 | .155 | .291 | 24 | 11 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +16 | 1.5 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | TB | 531 | 461 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 57 | 129 | 8 | 11 | 0 | .236 | .331 | .388 | .719 | .152 | .289 | 24 | 11 | .319 | 102 | +1 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.2 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | TB | 501 | 436 | 100 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 53 | 125 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .229 | .323 | .369 | .692 | .140 | .288 | 25 | 11 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | TB | 454 | 397 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 117 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .222 | .315 | .353 | .668 | .131 | .286 | 26 | 11 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +13 | 0.4 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | TB | 399 | 349 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 42 | 107 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .218 | .311 | .344 | .654 | .126 | .284 | 27 | 11 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +2 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | TB | 339 | 297 | 63 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 35 | 95 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .212 | .304 | .333 | .637 | .121 | .281 | 28 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8824 | 7716 | 1813 | 325 | 46 | 238 | 893 | 2114 | 134 | 224 | 35 | .235 | .325 | .382 | .706 | .147 | .291 | 24 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +6 | +31 | -31 | -53 | +250 | 20.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 568 | 134 | 24 | 3 | 18 | 66 | 156 | 10 | 17 | 3 | .236 | .326 | .384 | .710 | .148 | .291 | 24 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rays | 166 | 146 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .247 | .333 | .370 | .703 | .123 | .308 | 22 | 9 | .319 | 102 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 182 | 146 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | 9 | 20 | 6 | .240 | .366 | .301 | .667 | .062 | .274 | 14 | 11 | .306 | 92 | -2 | +2 | — | — | +5 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carlos Matias (OGILVIE) | 19 | 40 | 20 | 60 | 40 | .214/.282/.320 | .106 | .284 | 2 | 3 | 27% | 7% | 68 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A |
19 | 47 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .223/.278/.315 | .092 | .300 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.257/.296 | .085 | .311 | 4 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.220/.246 | .068 | .283 | 3 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A |
19 | 42 | 37→30 | 53→45 | 44 | .198/.262/.269 | .072 | .264 | 4 | 12 | 26% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .228/.288/.282 | .054 | .279 | 3 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .243/.302/.283 | .040 | .290 | 2 | 5 | 16% | 6% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 53→50 | 46 | .208/.263/.283 | .075 | .252 | 3 | 13 | 19% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .243/.293/.316 | .073 | .281 | 3 | 15 | 14% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .292/.336/.357 | .066 | .329 | 1 | 19 | 11% | 5% | 96 | +0.4 |
|
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A |
19 | 49→37 | 40→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .229/.303/.328 | .098 | .328 | 7 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .197/.323/.323 | .126 | .275 | 12 | 20 | 30% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .179/.324/.312 | .133 | .244 | 14 | 22 | 29% | 12% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A |
19 | 48 | 40 | 52→50 | 47 | .231/.288/.325 | .094 | .289 | 6 | 12 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .208/.275/.278 | .070 | .276 | 4 | 8 | 24% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .198/.271/.254 | .056 | .274 | 4 | 9 | 27% | 8% | 45 | -0.6 |
|
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 49→45 | 46 | .209/.271/.300 | .092 | .263 | 6 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.286/.317 | .091 | .284 | 6 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .230/.289/.314 | .084 | .291 | 6 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A |
20 | 44 | 41→45 | 51→55 | 44 | .212/.278/.308 | .097 | .264 | 8 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .227/.291/.336 | .109 | .276 | 10 | 14 | 21% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .227/.291/.331 | .104 | .281 | 10 | 15 | 22% | 5% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A |
19 | 43 | 37→40 | 50→60 | 45 | .205/.254/.275 | .070 | .250 | 4 | 12 | 19% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .229/.271/.302 | .073 | .268 | 3 | 22 | 15% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .224/.260/.285 | .061 | .276 | 2 | 30 | 19% | 4% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 48→55 | 46 | .208/.296/.287 | .079 | .283 | 7 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.267/.274 | .076 | .315 | 6 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .170/.229/.231 | .061 | .300 | 6 | 11 | 43% | 6% | 19 | -1.1 |
|
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 42→40 | 55 | 40 | .201/.255/.310 | .109 | .281 | 8 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .219/.281/.307 | .088 | .272 | 6 | 19 | 21% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .236/.307/.299 | .062 | .282 | 4 | 22 | 16% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A |
19 | 47→57 | 43→50 | 56→70 | 38 | .227/.269/.356 | .129 | .308 | 8 | 18 | 28% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.253/.311 | .107 | .309 | 9 | 27 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .264/.338/.396 | .132 | .327 | 13 | 74 | 22% | 6% | 108 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A |
20 | 45 | 38→30 | 48→60 | 46 | .214/.278/.298 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.302/.277 | .061 | .288 | 3 | 24 | 23% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.317/.260 | .044 | .285 | 1 | 34 | 22% | 12% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A |
19 | 41 | 37→40 | 53→55 | 43 | .196/.257/.274 | .078 | .264 | 4 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .198/.267/.280 | .082 | .273 | 6 | 17 | 28% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .193/.273/.274 | .081 | .258 | 9 | 24 | 27% | 8% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Edwin Ventura 2017 · A |
19 | 48 | 37→30 | 54→55 | 41 | .225/.280/.299 | .074 | .293 | 4 | 12 | 24% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | .194/.241/.244 | .050 | .260 | 2 | 14 | 25% | 5% | 30 | -3.1 | .167/.212/.188 | .021 | .225 | 0 | 20 | 24% | 4% | 1 | -1.5 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2022 · A |
19 | 46→36 | 40→45 | 50 | 43 | .220/.300/.314 | .095 | .296 | 7 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .204/.282/.283 | .079 | .308 | 6 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A |
20 | 43 | 40 | 54→45 | 41 | .211/.259/.301 | .090 | .269 | 7 | 9 | 24% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .215/.274/.304 | .089 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 26% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .193/.261/.272 | .079 | .271 | 7 | 6 | 30% | 7% | 46 | -1.1 |
|
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 40→50 | 54→60 | 46 | .202/.270/.293 | .091 | .264 | 7 | 13 | 25% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .205/.257/.275 | .070 | .291 | 3 | 24 | 28% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .250/.300/.402 | .152 | .328 | 16 | 23 | 28% | 6% | 93 | +0.7 |
|
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 43 | .202/.260/.288 | .085 | .282 | 6 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .216/.267/.306 | .090 | .280 | 7 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .239/.310/.323 | .084 | .313 | 8 | 14 | 24% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |