Yensi Rivas — OGILVIE

Yensi RivasSS DSL Mets Blue

Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 137 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .264 / .265

PA12

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	185	155	38	5	4	0	20	50	7	16	7	245	357	329	686	84	352	27	11	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	164	138	36	4	0	1	21	33	5	23	8	261	378	312	690	51	337	20	13	327	107	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	185	163	26	3	3	0	12	75	7	16	7	160	247	215	462	55	267	41	6	205	25	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	164	146	29	2	0	1	13	48	5	23	8	199	287	233	519	34	282	29	8	233	44	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	185	163	26	3	3	0	12	75	7	16	7	160	247	215	462	55	286	41	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	185	155	38	5	4	0	20	50	7	16	7	245	357	329	686	84	352	27	11	315	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	164	146	29	2	0	1	13	48	5	23	8	199	287	233	519	34	289	29	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	—	164	138	36	4	0	1	21	33	5	23	8	261	378	312	690	51	337	20	13	327	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	185	164	26	3	3	0	12	75	7	16	7	159	247	213	461	55	267	41	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	164	145	29	2	0	1	13	48	5	23	8	200	287	234	521	34	282	29	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	185	164	26	3	3	0	12	75	7	16	7	159	247	213	461	55	267	41	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	—	164	145	29	2	0	1	13	48	5	23	8	200	287	234	521	34	282	29	8	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		277	25	8	246	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	NYM	34%	222	201	42	7	2	2	16	60	3	5	1	209	277	294	571	85	280	27	7	260	62	-10	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2028	21	MLB MLE	NYM	48%	350	316	67	11	2	5	26	93	5	9	2	212	282	307	589	95	282	27	7	270	69	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	442	399	86	14	3	7	33	116	7	11	2	216	287	318	605	103	284	26	7	276	73	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	503	452	101	17	4	9	38	130	8	12	3	223	295	338	634	115	285	26	8	280	76	-15	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	543	489	108	18	4	10	41	140	8	13	3	221	292	335	627	115	286	26	8	282	77	-15	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	NYM	57%	566	509	113	19	4	10	43	146	9	14	3	222	294	334	628	112	286	26	8	283	78	-15	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	NYM	56%	578	520	115	19	4	11	44	149	9	14	3	221	293	337	630	115	286	26	8	284	78	-15	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	581	522	115	19	4	11	45	150	9	14	3	220	293	335	629	115	285	26	8	284	78	-15	+2	+0	+6	+13	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	NYM	55%	579	520	115	19	4	11	45	151	9	14	3	221	294	337	631	115	285	26	8	283	78	-15	+2	-1	+6	+13	0.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	570	511	111	18	4	10	45	149	9	13	3	217	292	327	619	110	285	26	8	281	77	-16	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2037	30	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	560	502	110	18	4	10	44	148	9	13	3	219	294	331	624	112	284	26	8	279	75	-17	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2038	31	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	547	491	104	17	3	9	43	146	8	12	3	212	286	314	600	102	282	27	8	275	72	-18	+1	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	NYM	34%	76	70	14	2	1	1	5	21	1	2	0	200	263	300	563	100	273	28	7	245	62	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	NYM	48%	170	152	31	5	1	2	13	45	3	4	1	204	280	289	569	86	275	26	8	254	69	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	240	216	47	8	2	4	18	63	4	6	1	218	290	329	619	111	276	26	8	260	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	285	258	55	9	2	5	21	74	4	7	1	213	283	322	604	109	277	26	7	264	76	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	307	276	59	10	2	5	23	79	5	8	2	214	286	319	605	105	278	26	7	266	77	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	NYM	57%	320	288	62	10	2	6	24	83	5	8	2	215	287	326	613	111	278	26	8	267	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	NYM	56%	327	294	63	10	2	6	25	84	5	8	2	214	287	323	610	109	278	26	8	268	78	-8	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	322	289	62	10	2	6	25	83	5	8	2	215	288	325	614	111	278	26	8	268	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	NYM	55%	318	285	61	10	2	6	25	83	5	8	2	214	289	326	615	112	278	26	8	267	78	-8	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	305	273	57	9	2	5	24	80	5	7	2	209	285	311	596	103	277	26	8	265	77	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	295	265	56	9	2	5	23	78	5	7	1	211	287	317	604	106	276	26	8	263	75	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	285	257	54	9	2	5	22	76	4	6	1	210	283	319	602	109	274	27	8	259	72	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3250	2923	621	101	22	56	248	849	51	79	17	212	286	320	605	107	278	26	8	264	73	-94	+9	-4	+35	+70	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	123	20	4	11	50	170	10	16	3	210	284	315	598	104	275	26	8	264	73	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6402	5752	1244	201	45	106	489	1704	105	183	47	216	290	322	612	106	286	27	8	276	73	-178	+16	-7	+65	+131	2.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	127	20	5	11	50	173	11	19	5	217	292	325	617	108	287	27	8	276	73	-19	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,385	57	81	218	287	326	+36	+21	3.7	3.5
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+4.1	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yensi Rivas (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	60	45	197/264/265	68	277	1	3	28%	7%	53	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→45	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	55	-2.0	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	223/334/268	45	305	1	34	23%	14%	77	-0.2
✕Emmanuel Morel 2016 · A	19	45	35→30	53→55	49	207/286/270	62	293	2	17	28%	9%	61	-1.5	187/257/246	59	306	2	15	36%	8%	45	-2.7	139/207/173	34	251	0	17	41%	7%	8	-1.1
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	41	-3.0	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	58	-1.7	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	62	-0.6
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	53	-2.1	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	71	-0.8	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Wilmer Difo 2011 · A	19	39→49	35→45	53→55	43	185/240/246	61	245	2	14	24%	6%	38	-3.2	206/272/279	73	259	3	20	20%	8%	58	-1.7	251/291/356	104	304	7	26	19%	4%	79	-0.2
✕Jodaneli Carvajal 2011 · A	19	46	36→30	55	44	215/271/282	67	278	3	20	23%	6%	57	-1.8	212/262/279	67	270	3	14	21%	5%	53	-2.1	207/251/266	59	256	1	14	19%	4%	42	-0.8
✕Jilbert Rosario 2014 · A	19	46	36→30	52→55	46	216/291/285	69	292	3	15	25%	8%	67	-1.1	221/290/273	52	289	2	19	22%	8%	63	-1.4	225/295/260	35	292	0	25	21%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→41	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	63	-1.3	206/280/293	87	291	3	18	27%	8%	64	-1.3	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→49	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	276	2	20	30%	9%	49	-2.4	210/296/260	50	309	2	38	29%	11%	63	-1.3	208/293/264	56	293	5	52	28%	10%	61	-1.2
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→40	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	47	-2.5	207/258/252	45	280	1	12	25%	6%	46	-2.6	255/307/351	95	309	4	12	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Diego Velasquez 2023 · A	19	42→52	34→40	50	44	199/256/250	51	261	2	7	24%	6%	45	-2.7	234/298/318	84	300	6	14	22%	7%	77	-0.3	245/313/315	70	311	3	18	20%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	67	-1.1	215/285/280	65	301	2	9	27%	9%	63	-1.4	224/291/259	35	315	0	4	26%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→44	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	72	-0.7	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	78	-0.3	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	42→41	34→30	51→50	42	199/262/249	50	277	2	16	28%	6%	47	-2.5	210/309/255	45	289	1	19	25%	11%	68	-1.0	195/321/224	30	275	1	24	25%	14%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	53	-2.1	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	68	-1.0	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	54	-2.0	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	73	-0.6	224/288/270	46	274	0	22	17%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	50	-2.3	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	66	-1.1	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	63	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps