Yensi RivasSS DSL Mets Blue
Age 19 S/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 137 proj PA
wRC+†45
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .262 / .264
PA137
HR1
K%28
BB%7
ISO69
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -8.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.30.50.60.70.80.8+$27M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 185164 25330 11787 167 152236207444 55281 426 199 11 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 185155 38540 20507 167 245357329686 84352 2711 315 99 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 164146 29201 13485 238 199287233519 34289 298 231 35 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 164138 36401 21335 238 261378312690 51337 2013 327 108 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202619 MLBNYM — 137125 25411 9392 31 200265272537 72277 287 244 45 -9 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBNYM 34% 222201 42722 16613 51 209277294571 85281 277 258 56 -11 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.2
202821 MLBNYM 48% 350317 681135 25945 92 215282315598 101283 277 268 63 -14 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.0
202922 MLBNYM 54% 442399 861437 331177 112 216287318605 103284 267 275 68 -16 +1 +0 +5 +13 0.3
203023 MLBNYM 57% 503453 991649 371328 123 219289331620 113285 267 279 71 -16 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.5
203124 MLBNYM 57% 543489 10818410 411428 133 221292335627 115286 268 281 73 -17 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.6
203225 MLBNYM 57% 566510 11118410 421489 143 218289327616 110286 267 282 74 -17 +2 +0 +6 +16 0.7
203326 MLBNYM 56% 578521 11519411 431519 143 221291336627 115286 267 282 74 -17 +2 +0 +6 +16 0.8
203427 MLBNYM 55% 581523 11519411 441539 143 220292335626 115286 268 283 74 -17 +2 +0 +6 +16 0.8
202720 MLBNYM 34% 7670 15211 5211 20 214276314591 100280 287 247 47 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202821 MLBNYM 48% 170153 32512 12463 41 209280294574 85282 277 257 55 -9 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
202922 MLBNYM 54% 240216 48824 18644 61 222294333627 111284 278 263 60 -11 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.1
203023 MLBNYM 57% 285258 56925 21754 71 217286326612 109285 267 267 63 -12 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.0
203124 MLBNYM 57% 307276 601025 23815 82 217289322612 105286 267 269 64 -12 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.0
203225 MLBNYM 57% 320288 631026 24845 82 219290330620 111286 268 270 65 -13 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.1
203326 MLBNYM 56% 327294 651126 25865 82 221293333627 112286 268 271 65 -13 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.1
203427 MLBNYM 55% 322289 631026 25855 82 218292329620 111286 268 271 66 -13 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 20471844 402651435 15354232 5111 218289325615 107287 267 267 63 -87 +6 +0 +22 +58 -0.1
/ 162G— — 650586 12721411 4917210 163 217288323611 106286 268 267 63 -28 +2 +0 +7 +18 -0.0
Career— — 42713848 8231313267 314116372 13436 214286317602 103286 277 272 66 -164 +12 +0 +46 +121 1.6
/ 162G— — 650586 12520510 4817711 205 213286316601 102285 277 272 66 -25 +2 +0 +7 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 185155 38540 20507 167 245357329686 84352 2711 315 99 -0 +0 — — +5 0.6
202518 ROKDSL Mets Blue — 164138 36401 21335 238 261378312690 51337 2013 327 108 +2 +1 — — +5 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,1833654218285324+23+151.71.9
/1626641116+7.1+4.60.5pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yensi Rivas (OGILVIE) 19 40 20 60 45 196/262/264 68277 13 28% 7% 45 -0.5 ————————— —————————
✕Jeremy Arocho
2018 · A 		19 43→46 38→30 53→60 41 203/260/286 83285 412 29% 6% 49 -1.8 223/283/291 68291 211 22% 7% 59 -1.1 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
✕Emmanuel Morel
2016 · A 		19 45 35→30 53→55 49 207/286/270 62293 217 28% 9% 56 -1.3 187/257/246 59306 215 36% 8% 38 -2.6 139/207/1733425101741%7%-4-1.2
✕Luis Barahona
2013 · A 		19 40 35→30 53→50 43 190/243/255 65258 113 26% 6% 33 -2.9 217/273/280 63297 212 26% 7% 53 -1.5 233/290/2824931301724%6%57-0.5
✕Jesus Castillo
2022 · A 		19 41→44 34→30 51→55 42 194/257/244 49275 216 28% 6% 37 -2.6 213/312/258 45291 119 24% 11% 66 -0.6 202/327/2323028312424%14%65-0.3
✕Juan Mosquera
2007 · A 		19 38 35→30 49→55 44 180/246/238 57263 315 31% 8% 30 -3.1 201/290/246 45281 114 26% 10% 53 -1.5 210/308/2372728001722%11%56-0.4
✕Robedluis Fuentes
2008 · A 		19 41 37→30 53→45 45 197/263/267 70262 412 25% 7% 46 -2.0 230/290/284 54281 37 18% 6% 61 -1.0 243/302/283402902516%6%64-0.3
✕Jodaneli Carvajal
2011 · A 		19 46 36→30 55 44 215/271/282 67278 320 23% 6% 52 -1.6 212/262/279 67269 314 21% 5% 47 -1.9 205/250/2655925421419%5%35-0.8
✕Junior Valera
2013 · A 		20 42 36→40 51→60 45 196/266/265 69275 210 28% 8% 46 -2.0 226/289/310 84293 318 22% 8% 67 -0.5 245/308/3389430732820%8%77+0.1
✕Roberto Caro
2014 · A 		20 46→38 35→40 56→60 48 210/285/283 73287 116 25% 8% 59 -1.1 206/280/293 87292 318 28% 8% 59 -1.1 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
✕Wilmer Difo
2011 · A 		19 39→49 35→45 53→55 43 185/240/246 61245 214 24% 6% 30 -3.1 206/272/279 73259 320 20% 8% 53 -1.5 251/290/35710630582620%4%76+0.1
✕Nasim Nuñez
2021 · A 		20 41→49 35→30 57→65 47 191/265/249 58276 220 30% 9% 42 -2.3 209/294/259 50308 238 29% 10% 57 -1.2 210/286/2685827855625%9%54-1.0
✕Jilbert Rosario
2014 · A 		19 46 36→30 52→55 46 216/291/285 69292 315 25% 8% 63 -0.9 221/290/273 52289 219 22% 8% 58 -1.2 225/295/2603529202521%7%54-0.5
✕Pedro Toribio
2010 · A 		20 42 36→40 55→60 47 199/265/272 73259 317 23% 8% 47 -1.9 229/276/321 92283 423 20% 6% 64 -0.8 258/292/37011230943117%4%81+0.1
✕Diego Velasquez
2023 · A 		19 42→51 34→40 50→55 44 200/257/251 51263 27 24% 6% 39 -2.5 229/294/315 86297 614 23% 7% 72 -0.2 239/309/3086930441921%8%73-0.1
✕Frainyer Chavez
2019 · A 		20 46→47 38→40 54→50 42 216/270/292 76297 521 28% 6% 54 -1.4 200/264/255 55278 213 27% 8% 43 -2.2 228/293/32698302111726%8%71-0.2
✕Jose Acosta
2019 · A 		19 39 37→45 53→55 47 185/259/257 72250 414 26% 8% 42 -2.3 225/287/323 98318 619 29% 7% 70 -0.3 201/262/323122304122136%6%57-0.6
✕Steward Berroa
2018 · A 		19 43→47 37→45 52→65 41 200/262/273 74297 317 32% 7% 46 -2.0 207/271/277 70311 317 31% 8% 51 -1.7 223/304/3229931394829%10%75+0.0
✕Rodolfo Penalo
2013 · A 		20 41 36→40 52→65 48 193/259/264 71240 318 20% 7% 43 -2.2 214/291/283 69273 226 20% 9% 62 -0.9 212/299/2736127313420%10%59-0.4
✕Jose Astudillo
2023 · A 		19 44 37→30 54→50 47 207/264/281 74251 314 19% 6% 50 -1.8 245/295/318 73283 314 14% 5% 72 -0.2 293/336/3909732081910%4%104+0.6
✕Ismael Dionicio
2010 · A 		19 41 36→30 48→55 41 189/254/254 65292 212 34% 7% 39 -2.5 212/265/261 49292 116 26% 6% 44 -2.1 243/295/2884632102323%6%60-0.3