Stharlin Torres

P Daytona Tortugas

Age 21 RHP 6'0" / 182 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.0 · 2031

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP45ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	18	ROKCIN	14	10	56	1.76	1.98	24.6%	6.3%	—	K 16.8% · BB 7.9% · FIP 2.68
2025	19	ROKCIN	10	6	38	1.88	2.03	30.6%	4.9%	—	K 20.8% · BB 6.1% · FIP 2.97
2026	20	MIX2 levels	20	16	84	5.57	5.09	16.8%	8.6%	—	K 12.5% · BB 10.1% · FIP 6.20
2027PROJ	21	MLBCIN	11	11	59	5.10	5.10	14.7%	8.0%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBCIN	7	7	39	4.99	4.88	17.6%	7.5%	0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBCIN	11	11	60	4.78	4.65	19.4%	7.2%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$2M+2

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff51Control58Command60FB velo53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 88%

CompsLucas Long (age 22) · Drew McDaniel (age 22) · Tyler McKay (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%14.7%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%6.7%

Proj IP59

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$18M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5560

K†3055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$4M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	10	56	207	51	13	0	71%	4.0	16.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.0%	1.76	2.68	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	10	56	207	51	13	0	71%	4.0	16.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.0%	1.76	2.68	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	14	10	56	207	51	13	0	71%	4.0	24.6%	6.3%	18.4%	0.0%	1.76	1.98	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	10	6	38	144	44	7	2	60%	3.8	20.8%	6.1%	14.7%	1.6%	1.88	2.97	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	10	6	38	144	44	7	2	60%	3.8	20.8%	6.1%	14.7%	1.6%	1.88	2.97	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	10	6	38	144	44	7	2	60%	3.8	30.6%	4.9%	25.7%	1.4%	1.88	2.03	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	16	84	370	62	32	15	80%	4.2	12.5%	10.1%	2.4%	5.2%	5.57	6.20	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	16	84	370	62	32	15	80%	4.2	12.5%	10.1%	2.4%	5.2%	5.57	6.20	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	16	84	370	62	32	15	80%	4.2	16.8%	8.6%	8.1%	4.1%	5.57	5.09	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	CIN	11	11	59	249	37	20	8	100%	5.4	14.7%	8.0%	6.7%	3.4%	5.10	5.10	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	79	335	59	25	11	100%	5.7	17.6%	7.5%	10.1%	3.3%	4.85	4.74	+0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	82	348	67	25	11	100%	5.5	19.4%	7.2%	12.2%	3.2%	4.64	4.51	+0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	84	357	73	25	11	100%	5.6	20.4%	7.0%	13.5%	3.2%	4.48	4.37	+0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	15	15	86	361	76	25	11	100%	5.7	21.0%	6.9%	14.2%	3.1%	4.37	4.30	+0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	86	361	77	25	11	100%	6.1	21.3%	6.8%	14.5%	3.1%	4.31	4.27	+0.6
2033	27	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	84	356	76	24	11	100%	6.0	21.3%	6.9%	14.4%	3.2%	4.31	4.31	+0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	82	345	73	24	11	100%	5.8	21.1%	7.0%	14.1%	3.3%	4.36	4.39	+0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	CIN	13	13	78	330	76	21	11	100%	6.0	22.9%	6.5%	16.5%	3.4%	4.30	4.25	+0.6
2036	30	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	73	310	70	21	11	100%	6.1	22.6%	6.8%	15.8%	3.6%	4.38	4.43	+0.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	68	289	64	21	11	100%	6.2	22.2%	7.1%	15.1%	3.9%	4.53	4.63	+0.2
2038	32	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	63	267	58	20	11	100%	5.8	21.7%	7.5%	14.2%	4.1%	4.73	4.86	+0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CIN	7	7	39	165	29	12	6	100%	5.6	17.6%	7.5%	10.1%	3.5%	4.99	4.88	+0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	60	253	49	18	9	100%	5.5	19.4%	7.2%	12.2%	3.5%	4.78	4.65	+0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	70	296	60	21	10	100%	5.8	20.4%	7.0%	13.5%	3.4%	4.62	4.51	+0.4
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	13	13	76	321	67	22	11	100%	5.8	21.0%	6.9%	14.2%	3.4%	4.51	4.44	+0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	CIN	13	13	78	329	70	22	11	100%	6.0	21.3%	6.8%	14.5%	3.4%	4.45	4.41	+0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	CIN	13	13	78	329	70	23	11	100%	6.0	21.3%	6.9%	14.4%	3.4%	4.45	4.45	+0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	CIN	13	13	77	325	69	23	12	100%	5.9	21.1%	7.0%	14.1%	3.6%	4.50	4.53	+0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	74	312	72	20	12	100%	6.2	22.9%	6.5%	16.5%	3.7%	4.45	4.40	+0.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	CIN	12	12	70	296	67	20	12	100%	5.8	22.6%	6.8%	15.8%	3.9%	4.54	4.59	+0.4
2037	31	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	65	274	61	19	11	100%	5.9	22.2%	7.1%	15.1%	4.2%	4.70	4.80	+0.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	CIN	10	10	60	253	55	19	11	100%	6.0	21.7%	7.5%	14.2%	4.4%	4.91	5.04	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		127	127	747	3152	668	220	116	100%	5.9	21.2%	7.0%	14.2%	3.7%	4.60	4.20	+6.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	179	59	31	100%	5.9	21.2%	7.0%	14.2%	3.7%	4.60	4.20	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		44	32	179	721	111	62	22	73%	4.1	15.4%	8.7%	6.7%	3.0%	3.58	4.54	+4.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		49	36	200	807	124	70	24	73%	4.1	15.4%	8.7%	6.7%	3.0%	3.58	4.54	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stharlin Torres (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	—	4.54	19.1%	11.9%	246	-0.56	—	—	—
Lucas Long R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	22	SP-	4.84	14.5%	5.9%	4.0%	.300	3.94	15.0%	9.1%	386	-0.90	3.42	441	88
Drew McDaniel R 2023 · 4.71 FIP	22	SP	4.71	14.1%	9.1%	3.0%	.323	5.08	18.7%	8.7%	152	+0.37	4.24	230	88
Tyler McKay R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	21	SP-	5.32	15.1%	10.2%	4.0%	.262	4.64	13.2%	2.2%	106	-0.68	3.10	275	87
Cale Lansville R 2024 · 3.90 FIP	21	SP-	3.90	15.1%	7.7%	2.0%	.325	5.07	12.8%	0.1%	38	+1.17	3.90	113	87
Hansel Paulino R 2017 · 4.38 FIP	21	SP-	4.38	15.8%	7.5%	3.0%	.302	4.45	18.5%	10.7%	18	+0.07	2.98	156	87
Tommy Parsons R 2018 · 5.04 FIP	22	SP-	5.04	12.6%	5.4%	4.2%	.302	5.28	18.0%	12.5%	234	+0.24	4.82	501	86
Abel Duarte R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	21	SP-	4.84	12.5%	10.3%	2.7%	.306	3.93	13.9%	6.7%	79	-0.91	3.19	127	86
Andrew Cabezas R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	21	SP-	4.59	16.1%	9.4%	3.0%	.210	4.70	16.7%	6.9%	185	+0.11	4.16	300	85
Rafael Soriano R 2002 · 4.88 FIP	22	SP-	4.88	15.8%	7.4%	4.0%	.252	1.48	33.8%	28.3%	53	-3.40	1.48	620	85
Jeremiah Burke R 2019 · 4.88 FIP	21	SP-	4.88	11.9%	9.3%	2.9%	.330	3.78	15.7%	8.1%	34	-1.10	3.78	137	84
Adam Oller R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	21	SP-	4.86	13.3%	4.8%	4.2%	.322	4.53	17.4%	9.0%	160	-0.33	3.47	670	84
Nick Gardewine R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	21	SP-	4.24	14.4%	6.3%	2.8%	.334	3.18	24.5%	16.4%	104	-1.06	2.62	200	84
Shane Davis R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	21	SP-	5.21	17.3%	9.8%	4.2%	.313	4.19	20.9%	6.7%	55	-1.02	4.19	129	84
Johnathan Harmon R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	22	SP-	4.30	17.8%	10.2%	2.6%	.293	5.14	15.2%	6.4%	193	+0.84	3.52	282	84
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	84
Sergio Mitre R 2004 · 4.16 FIP	23	SP-	4.16	15.2%	7.8%	2.5%	.357	4.16	13.2%	6.5%	250	+0.00	3.55	602	83
Jack Perkins R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	21	SP-	4.34	13.6%	5.4%	3.1%	.312	4.91	16.4%	7.5%	156	+0.57	4.34	176	83
Carlos Felix R 2017 · 5.21 FIP	21	SP	5.21	12.9%	6.7%	4.3%	.374	4.92	8.7%	2.4%	64	-0.29	4.92	121	83
Rainiery Rodriguez R 2022 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	12.6%	6.5%	3.6%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	208	83
Logan Sendelbach R 2015 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP	5.31	11.4%	9.2%	3.7%	.300	4.58	12.8%	4.3%	297	-0.73	4.14	340	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.6	77	20.6%	7.1%	1.31	4.51
Jesse Chavez ('25)	5.7	82	21.4%	7.4%	1.32	4.27
Carlos Villanueva ('16)	5.0	91	20.4%	7.6%	1.25	4.31
Claude Raymond ('59-'71, 0 WAR*)	3.6	66	20.9%*	7.9%*	1.34*	4.45*
Ron Taylor ('62-'72, 3 WAR*)	4.0	80	17.8%*	6.8%*	1.26*	4.74*
Anthony Swarzak ('21)	3.3	73	17.8%	7.3%	1.20	4.42
Paul Lindblad ('65-'78, 6 WAR*)	6.1	93	18.3%*	7.4%*	1.22*	4.07*