Justin Capellan

C FCL Yankees

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL NYY Yanke…	186	.255/.390/.443	6	16	37	—	.146/.258/.241
2026	20	ROKNYY	173	.221/.306/.390	4	5	22	—	.145/.214/.258
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBNYY	283	.200/.267/.297	4	6	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBNYY	76	.206/.273/.316	1	2	65	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBNYY	159	.210/.277/.328	3	4	70	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%80

ISO73

Whiff%47

Speed37

K%34

wOBA19

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBrandon Dailey (age 21) · Juan Mora (age 22) · Cayden Wallace (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 145 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .264 / .295

PA145

HR2

K%28

BB%7

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$10M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	156	128	31	12	0	1	17	33	9	11	2	242	370	359	730	117	312	21	11	335	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	149	38	10	0	6	26	34	7	16	4	255	390	443	833	188	283	18	14	368	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	173	154	34	12	1	4	12	43	7	5	5	221	306	390	696	169	280	25	7	314	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	156	133	19	7	0	0	12	40	9	11	2	143	260	195	455	53	189	26	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	158	23	6	0	3	17	42	7	16	4	146	258	241	499	95	163	23	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	173	159	23	7	1	3	7	62	7	5	5	145	214	258	472	113	204	36	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	156	133	19	7	0	0	12	40	9	11	2	143	260	195	455	53	200	26	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Bombers	—	156	128	31	12	0	1	17	33	9	11	2	242	370	359	730	117	312	21	11	335	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	158	23	6	0	3	17	42	7	16	4	146	258	241	499	95	171	23	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	149	38	10	0	6	26	34	7	16	4	255	390	443	833	188	283	18	14	368	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	173	159	23	7	1	3	7	62	7	5	5	145	214	258	472	113	213	36	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	173	154	34	12	1	4	12	43	7	5	5	221	306	390	696	169	280	25	7	314	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	156	134	19	7	0	0	12	40	9	11	2	142	260	194	454	52	189	26	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	160	23	6	0	3	17	42	7	16	4	144	258	237	496	94	163	23	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	173	157	23	7	1	3	7	62	7	5	5	146	214	261	475	115	204	36	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Bombers	—	156	134	19	7	0	0	12	40	9	11	2	142	260	194	454	52	189	26	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL NYY Yankees	—	186	160	23	6	0	3	17	42	7	16	4	144	258	237	496	94	163	23	9	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	173	157	23	7	1	3	7	62	7	5	5	146	214	261	475	115	204	36	4	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	NYY	0%	283	257	52	11	2	4	19	80	5	6	2	200	267	297	564	97	273	28	7	257	60	-14	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	NYY	34%	220	199	41	9	1	3	15	61	4	5	1	205	272	312	584	107	275	28	7	265	65	-9	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	NYY	48%	329	299	63	13	2	6	22	91	5	8	2	209	277	324	600	114	276	28	7	271	70	-12	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	405	368	78	16	2	8	28	110	6	10	3	213	280	333	613	120	278	27	7	276	73	-13	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	448	406	87	18	2	9	32	121	7	11	3	215	283	339	622	124	279	27	7	280	76	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.6
2032	26	MLB MLE	NYY	56%	475	431	94	19	3	10	34	127	7	11	3	216	285	343	628	126	279	27	7	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	486	441	95	19	3	10	35	130	7	11	3	215	284	340	624	125	279	27	7	281	76	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	NYY	55%	488	443	95	19	3	10	35	132	7	11	3	213	282	336	617	122	278	27	7	278	74	-15	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	NYY	58%	483	439	92	19	2	9	34	132	7	10	3	211	279	329	608	118	276	27	7	274	72	-16	+1	-1	+9	+10	0.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	NYY	60%	475	432	90	18	2	9	33	131	7	9	3	208	275	321	597	114	274	28	7	270	69	-18	+1	-2	+8	+10	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	NYY	34%	76	70	14	3	0	1	5	21	1	2	0	206	273	316	589	110	274	28	7	266	65	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	NYY	48%	159	144	30	6	1	3	11	44	3	4	1	210	277	328	605	118	276	28	7	273	70	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	214	194	40	8	1	4	15	58	3	5	1	214	281	337	619	124	278	27	7	278	73	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	245	222	48	10	1	5	17	66	4	6	2	216	284	344	628	128	279	27	7	282	76	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	NYY	56%	264	239	51	10	1	6	19	70	4	6	2	218	286	348	634	131	279	27	7	285	77	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	267	242	51	10	1	6	19	72	4	6	2	216	285	346	630	129	279	27	7	283	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	28	MLB CTX	NYY	55%	267	242	51	10	1	6	19	72	4	6	2	214	283	341	623	126	278	27	7	280	74	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.2
2035	29	MLB CTX	NYY	58%	280	254	54	11	1	6	20	77	4	6	2	212	280	334	614	122	276	28	7	277	72	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	NYY	60%	286	260	54	11	1	6	20	79	4	5	2	209	276	326	602	117	274	28	7	272	69	-11	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2058	1867	393	79	8	43	145	559	31	46	14	210	279	330	609	120	275	27	7	279	68	-66	+4	-2	+37	+45	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	125	25	3	14	46	177	10	15	4	212	281	336	616	124	276	27	7	279	68	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4469	4041	827	176	22	82	313	1220	82	121	36	205	275	320	595	115	270	27	7	268	68	-129	+8	-4	+71	+86	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	121	26	3	12	46	177	12	18	5	206	277	321	599	116	271	27	7	268	68	-21	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.3	2,203	43	49	213	277	332	+39	+24	3.2	3.1
/162	664	13	15	+11.9	+7.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Capellan (OGILVIE)	21	40	45	60	50	198/264/295	96	273	2	3	28%	7%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	203/249/301	98	294	7	12	32%	5%	54	-2.0	195/248/297	102	288	9	6	34%	6%	53	-2.1	144/199/220	76	199	6	0	30%	5%	17	-1.1
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→49	42→50	57→50	43	224/279/341	116	300	8	15	27%	6%	74	-0.5	220/277/337	117	289	10	12	26%	6%	73	-0.6	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	208/273/317	109	269	11	18	26%	7%	68	-1.0	210/276/360	150	277	17	18	29%	7%	79	-0.2	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕David Kandilas 2012 · A	21	45→44	42→45	54→55	42	218/263/332	115	278	8	12	24%	5%	66	-1.1	212/271/307	95	280	6	17	25%	7%	64	-1.3	204/267/292	89	268	6	20	25%	7%	57	-1.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	42	200/270/298	98	297	8	11	33%	8%	62	-1.4	192/261/284	92	292	6	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	40→50	39→45	52→50	41	192/253/281	89	260	5	10	27%	6%	51	-2.2	222/270/312	90	297	7	9	26%	5%	64	-1.3	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Wes Rogers 2015 · A	21	45→51	41→40	57→65	42	217/270/314	97	294	8	18	28%	6%	65	-1.2	225/283/314	89	299	5	34	25%	7%	70	-0.9	229/287/320	92	301	5	42	24%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Kenedy Corona 2021 · A	21	46→42	42→50	53→55	46	221/284/328	107	271	8	14	21%	6%	74	-0.5	210/267/329	119	292	12	21	31%	6%	68	-1.0	203/263/338	135	278	15	26	31%	6%	66	-0.8
✕Kristopher Negrón 2007 · A	21	43→49	39→45	56→55	44	206/262/290	84	251	6	12	20%	5%	57	-1.8	215/278/300	85	282	6	18	24%	6%	65	-1.2	231/294/333	102	293	8	23	23%	6%	76	-0.4
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Eduardo Diaz 2018 · A	21	46→45	41→50	53→50	40	225/271/329	104	291	8	14	25%	5%	69	-0.9	213/256/317	104	294	9	11	29%	4%	61	-1.5	199/243/329	129	271	15	12	32%	4%	56	-1.0
✕Allan Castro 2024 · A	21	42→45	42→45	52→50	47	205/277/316	111	276	7	12	27%	8%	69	-0.9	213/282/329	116	284	11	15	27%	8%	74	-0.6	212/279/324	113	274	12	17	26%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Jose Rosario 2013 · A	21	45	43→40	53→50	39	220/264/329	108	277	10	12	24%	4%	66	-1.1	223/271/316	93	276	7	9	21%	5%	65	-1.2	246/276/325	79	308	4	9	21%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	44→52	41→45	59→55	40	211/262/313	103	297	7	20	30%	6%	61	-1.5	227/284/341	114	305	9	18	27%	7%	76	-0.4	229/290/345	116	300	9	18	25%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/262/292	91	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/270/308	113	293	13	8	36%	7%	65	-1.2	180/256/294	114	253	15	7	34%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44→45	39→45	49→30	43	213/268/301	88	286	6	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	234/265/337	103	307	9	2	26%	4%	68	-1.0	244/279/354	110	291	9	0	19%	4%	75	-0.3

Justin Capellan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps