Frailin Yan — OGILVIE

Frailin YanOF DSL Astros Orange

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+41

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .261 / .246

PA71

HR1

K%37

BB%9

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	142	119	13	1	0	1	18	74	4	9	11	109	248	143	391	34	273	52	13	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	142	108	19	2	0	1	29	48	4	9	11	176	369	222	591	46	305	34	20	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	—	—	71	64	12	2	0	1	6	26	1	1	0	188	268	266	533	78	289	37	8	239	41	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	—	34%	111	99	19	3	1	1	10	39	1	2	0	192	273	273	545	81	291	35	9	250	50	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	—	34%	38	35	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	1	0	171	237	200	437	29	291	37	8	250	50	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	38	35	6	1	0	0	3	14	0	1	0	171	237	200	437	29	286	37	8	250	50	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	103	17	0	0	51	239	0	17	0	172	237	200	437	28	286	37	8	250	50	-37	+3	+0	-4	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	324	282	44	6	1	3	34	139	6	12	11	156	261	216	477	60	291	43	10	222	28	-26	-2	+0	-2	+9	-2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	88	12	2	6	68	279	12	24	22	155	260	216	476	60	290	43	10	222	28	-53	-4	+0	-4	+18	-4.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	142	108	19	2	0	1	29	48	4	9	11	176	369	222	591	46	305	34	20	298	86	-2	-3	—	—	+4	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Frailin Yan (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	177/261/246	69	289	1	1	37%	9%	41	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Caleb Hamilton 2017 · A	22	39	39→45	48→45	45	184/268/268	85	290	5	5	36%	9%	50	-1.8	175/256/274	99	265	8	5	34%	9%	46	-2.0	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Robertico Medina 2016 · A	22	35	39→40	51→45	40	167/256/251	85	295	7	9	42%	9%	40	-2.4	187/276/261	74	337	5	6	41%	10%	51	-1.7	149/259/185	36	298	2	3	44%	13%	23	-1.3
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Darel Belen 2022 · A	22	41	39→40	48→50	39	187/261/269	82	328	6	10	42%	8%	46	-2.0	169/241/249	80	456	6	7	59%	7%	33	-2.9	37/123/86	49	139	8	3	75%	7%	-58	-1.7
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→33	41→40	49→55	33	185/229/278	92	285	8	9	37%	4%	33	-2.9	172/223/263	91	273	9	12	38%	5%	28	-3.2	143/198/223	80	227	9	13	40%	5%	4	-2.5
✕Arturo Guerrero 2023 · A	22	39	39→40	50	33	175/250/262	88	323	6	12	44%	6%	40	-2.4	190/262/286	96	363	8	9	46%	7%	51	-1.7	140/224/242	103	306	11	9	53%	6%	27	-0.7
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Julio Carrion 2021 · A	22	39	38→40	50→45	38	186/255/265	79	301	6	6	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/259/263	83	314	7	5	41%	7%	44	-2.1	156/236/234	78	290	8	3	45%	7%	25	-1.3
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	38→40	40→45	52→60	35	183/238/269	86	312	8	16	42%	6%	36	-2.7	194/252/291	97	301	8	29	36%	6%	47	-1.9	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕EJ Andrews Jr. 2023 · A	22	40→28	40→45	52→50	38	191/251/287	95	312	8	10	39%	7%	46	-2.0	168/240/275	107	279	11	11	41%	8%	39	-2.5	139/217/244	105	226	11	11	41%	8%	20	-2.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	41→31	40→45	50	44	197/272/291	94	298	8	13	34%	8%	56	-1.3	201/266/318	117	303	13	11	35%	7%	61	-1.0	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Will Bartlett 2023 · A	22	38	40	48→40	44	175/268/272	97	300	7	5	40%	10%	51	-1.7	176/274/264	88	305	7	6	39%	11%	52	-1.6	122/247/183	60	218	5	4	41%	14%	20	-1.9
✕Marcos Estevez 2017 · A	22	38	41→45	53→50	40	179/264/282	102	293	7	10	38%	8%	51	-1.7	185/284/281	96	271	7	10	31%	10%	61	-1.0	148/275/238	90	206	7	11	28%	12%	46	-0.4
✕Welinton Ramirez 2009 · A	22	41→36	39→40	49→50	36	197/250/279	83	300	6	12	35%	5%	43	-2.2	198/238/292	94	325	8	11	40%	4%	41	-2.3	178/210/274	97	304	9	11	44%	3%	22	-2.6
✕Edison Sanchez 2013 · A	22	36	40→45	45	39	175/245/267	92	285	7	3	39%	7%	39	-2.5	196/260/290	94	335	8	4	41%	6%	51	-1.7	192/258/279	88	335	8	3	42%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	37→34	42→45	47→45	40	188/245/295	107	268	10	8	33%	7%	46	-2.0	203/253/315	112	302	12	9	35%	6%	54	-1.4	191/237/303	112	281	15	10	37%	5%	43	-1.2