Victor Trejo — OGILVIE

Victor Trejo P FCL Pirates

Age 20 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%19.1%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%5.7%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	15	0	19	96	14	16	3	0%	1.3	9.9%	20.8%	-10.9%	4.4%	9.47	7.30	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	15	0	19	96	14	16	3	0%	1.3	9.9%	20.8%	-10.9%	4.4%	9.47	7.30	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	15	0	19	96	14	16	3	0%	1.3	14.6%	16.7%	-2.1%	3.1%	9.47	6.21	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	18	0	33	133	28	13	0	0%	1.8	14.3%	12.2%	2.1%	0.0%	1.65	3.44	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	18	0	33	133	28	13	0	0%	1.8	14.3%	12.2%	2.1%	0.0%	1.65	3.44	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	18	0	33	133	28	13	0	0%	1.8	21.1%	9.8%	11.3%	0.0%	1.65	2.58	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	28	0	39	176	27	22	6	0%	1.4	10.8%	14.6%	-3.8%	4.7%	5.95	6.62	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	28	0	39	176	27	22	6	0%	1.4	10.8%	14.6%	-3.8%	4.7%	5.95	6.62	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	ROK RAW	PIT	18	0	23	106	14	17	2	0%	1.3	13.2%	16.0%	-2.8%	1.9%	5.56	5.05	—
2026	20	A RAW	PIT	9	0	16	64	12	3	4	0%	1.8	18.8%	4.7%	14.1%	6.2%	4.41	5.54	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	PIT	1	0	0	6	1	2	0	0%	0.3	16.7%	33.3%	-16.7%	0.0%	108.00	5.91	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	38	0	40	171	34	20	5	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.0%	8.2%	2.9%	4.95	4.86	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	19	0	20	84	17	10	2	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.0%	8.2%	2.9%	4.95	4.86	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		19	0	20	84	17	10	2	0%	1.0	20.2%	12.0%	8.2%	2.9%	4.95	4.48	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	101	20	0%	1.1	20.2%	12.0%	8.2%	2.9%	4.95	4.48	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		61	0	91	405	48	62	12	0%	1.5	11.8%	15.3%	-3.5%	3.1%	5.14	5.74	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	0	200	890	105	136	27	0%	1.5	11.8%	15.3%	-3.5%	3.1%	5.14	5.74	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Trejo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	19.1%	13.4%	2.9%	—	4.86	20.2%	8.2%	40	-0.30	—	—	—
Devon Fisher R 2016 · 4.39 FIP	20	SU	4.39	16.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.333	5.76	15.1%	0.9%	88	+1.37	4.39	102	89
Luis Alvarado R 2018 · 5.24 FIP	21	SU	5.24	20.2%	12.4%	4.2%	.276	5.16	18.7%	4.4%	140	-0.08	4.89	162	88
Yordin Chalas R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	19	SU	4.56	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.92	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.64	3.67	140	88
Austin Mason R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	88
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	87
Aneudy Duarte R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	20	SU	4.79	17.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	102	87
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	87
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	86
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	86
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	86
Seth Mayberry R 2019 · 4.12 FIP	19	SU	4.12	18.3%	14.4%	1.4%	.270	3.41	23.6%	10.3%	53	-0.71	2.88	120	86
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	523	86
Alexander Martinez R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	20	SU	4.40	17.1%	12.4%	2.1%	.337	3.35	21.3%	13.0%	87	-1.05	3.06	170	86
Hobie Harris R 2015 · 4.28 FIP	22	SU	4.28	18.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.239	3.36	21.2%	12.0%	144	-0.92	3.31	474	86
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	86
Daniel Figueroa R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	20	SU	4.80	17.8%	13.1%	2.8%	.370	5.68	13.6%	-0.5%	31	+0.88	4.26	107	85
Audry Lugo R 2019 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.30	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.25	4.05	113	85
Gerson Moreno R 2016 · 4.48 FIP	20	SU	4.48	18.6%	14.8%	2.0%	.278	4.13	23.0%	9.1%	67	-0.35	3.44	349	85
Jeremy Beasley R 2017 · 4.71 FIP	21	SU	4.71	19.5%	11.6%	3.3%	.273	4.10	17.7%	8.7%	234	-0.61	3.17	337	85
Max Gieg R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	21	SU	5.10	21.1%	11.8%	4.2%	.317	4.65	20.4%	2.3%	92	-0.45	3.98	149	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	19.9%	12.4%	1.11	5.01
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99