Jeremiah Jenkins1B San Jose Giants
Age 23 L/L 6'3" / 261 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION273 act + 182 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†74
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .283 / .348
PA182
HR5
K%36
BB%9
BABIP293
ISO149
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -8.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-8POSREP: +12.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: -0.50-0.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.9-0.7-0.5-0.4-0.4-0.526283031
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 ASan Jose Giants 4945 10212 3231 00 222286444730 222400 476 280 72
202421 ASan Jose Giants 4944 13312 4161 00 295367545913 250423 338 398 163
202522 A2 teams 283255 49934 20676 00 192267298565 106242 247 250 49
202522 A2 teams 283241 631347 34476 00 261367436802 174296 1712 357 132
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 ASF 273238 4613111 301123 00 193292395686 202299 4111 297 85 -4 +0 +0 -5 +8 -0.2
YTD23 ASF 273226 5918213 42843 00 261384531915 270351 3115 397 162 +19 +0 +0 -5 +8 2.2
ROS23 ASF 0% 182161 32715 17652 10 199283348631 149286 369 282 74 -5 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.3
ROS23 MLBSF 0% 01 0000 000 00 281 268 63 +0 -0
FULL23 ASF 273239 4613111 301123 00 192292393685 201297 4111 297 85 -4 +0 +0 -5 +8 -0.2
TOT23 ASF 455399 7820216 471775 10 195288376664 180297 3910 291 81 -10 +0 +0 -8 +13 -0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBSF 30% 502445 9020314 461716 51 202286355641 153287 349 287 78 -12 +1 +0 -9 +14 -0.7
202825 MLBSF 44% 516458 9521315 471716 61 207290365654 157288 339 292 81 -11 +1 +0 -9 +15 -0.5
202926 MLBSF 51% 520461 9621315 481696 62 208291364656 156288 329 294 83 -10 +0 +0 -9 +15 -0.4
203027 MLBSF 52% 519460 9621315 481686 62 209292365657 157288 329 294 83 -10 +0 +0 -9 +15 -0.4
203128 MLBSF 53% 515456 9521215 481686 62 208292362654 154287 339 293 83 -10 +0 -1 -9 +15 -0.5
202724 MLBSF 30% 151134 27614 14512 10 201287351637 149282 349 274 68 -5 +0 +0 -3 +4 -0.4
202825 MLBSF 44% 228202 40916 21763 31 198283342625 144282 339 278 71 -7 +0 +0 -4 +6 -0.5
202926 MLBSF 51% 264235 471017 24863 31 200282340623 140282 339 280 73 -8 +0 +0 -5 +7 -0.5
203027 MLBSF 52% 272242 501118 25883 31 207289360648 153282 329 281 73 -8 +0 +0 -5 +8 -0.5
203128 MLBSF 53% 274243 501118 26893 31 206290358648 152281 329 280 72 -9 +0 -0 -5 +8 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 11891057 21447533 11039014 134 202286350636 148283 339 279 72 -38 +1 -0 -21 +34 -2.5
/ 162G 650578 11826318 602138 72 204288353641 149286 339 279 72 -21 +1 -0 -12 +18 -1.4
Career 30862741 5631221985 277100239 308 205288357644 151286 329 287 78 -76 +3 -1 -55 +87 -4.3
/ 162G 650577 11926418 582118 62 206287359646 153287 329 287 78 -16 +0 -0 -12 +18 -0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 ASan Jose Giants 4944 13312 4161 00 295367545913 250423 338 398 163 +3 +0 +1 0.5
202522 ASan Jose Giants 217187 43924 24385 00 230333364697 134267 1811 317 101 +0 +0 +6 0.7
202522 ROKACL Giants 6654 20423 1091 00 3704776851.162 315395 1415 489 232 +10 +0 +2 1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#2Justin Smoaklast yr '20
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA
114,7501963229322419-85-771.93.8
/162664270-11.9-10.70.3pk7: 6
#3Chris Carterlast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA
72,80715812219314462-50-503.33.3
/162664373-11.7-11.90.8pk7: 3
#4Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA
52,2405912254332411-40-262.22.2
/162664174-11.9-7.80.6pk7: 2
#5Ike Davislast yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA
62,377817239332416-42-361.71.7
/162664232-11.9-10.10.5pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA
62,2947319238305421-23-450.00.0
/162664215-6.5-13.20.0pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,5094118207284356-27-4-2.0-1.0
/162664188-11.9-2.0-0.9pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jeremiah Jenkins (OGILVIE) 23 40 35 40 45 195/288/376 180297 161 39% 10% 81 -0.5
Danny Hayes
2014 · A
23 42→48 41→45 45→30 45 203/262/307 104272 83 28% 8% 56 -1.3 223/298/345 122302 112 27% 9% 81 +0.4 222/304/35313129512027%10%83+0.4
Dustin Yount
2006 · A
23 44→43 45 45→40 44 213/290/329 116305 136 32% 8% 74 -0.1 211/285/321 110286 125 29% 8% 69 -0.4 216/291/33912328816229%9%75-0.0
Luis González
2019 · A
23 47→52 44→45 43→50 43 230/283/354 124307 106 28% 7% 76 +0.1 219/277/328 109281 1113 25% 7% 68 -0.5 235/312/350115301122224%9%85+0.3
Gage Green
2017 · A
24 43 40→45 46→50 40 208/269/298 90288 910 30% 6% 56 -1.3 205/262/294 89283 78 29% 6% 53 -1.5 175/222/236622320023%4%22-0.7
Orlando Martinez
2021 · A
23 42→45 46→50 44→50 41 215/262/342 127276 147 27% 6% 65 -0.7 217/260/340 123296 128 30% 5% 63 -0.8 231/297/326952917921%8%73-0.1
Imanol Vargas
2021 · A
23 44 45→50 46→45 46 211/291/336 125311 138 34% 10% 76 +0.0 208/290/368 160334 194 40% 10% 85 +0.7 205/290/36015432618239%10%79+0.2
Mike Papi
2016 · A
23 40→47 38→45 41→45 47 189/267/278 88273 56 30% 9% 50 -1.7 210/288/330 120287 125 29% 9% 73 -0.1 211/294/33712628114428%10%76+0.1
Chris McGuiness
2011 · A
23 45→47 44→50 41→30 50 219/302/334 115285 124 26% 10% 81 +0.4 208/279/323 115278 123 28% 8% 68 -0.5 216/291/35814226815024%9%79+0.3
Roman Pena
2010 · A
23 41→51 41→50 41→45 40 199/258/298 99286 97 32% 7% 52 -1.6 213/277/330 117294 109 29% 8% 68 -0.5 233/302/38214931414729%9%88+0.6
JT Schwartz
2023 · A
23 44→47 40→50 45 44 210/271/305 95277 75 26% 7% 59 -1.1 227/293/342 115282 107 22% 7% 78 +0.2 223/296/34712326911621%8%78+0.1
Josh Sale
2014 · A
23 43 44→45 46→40 47 211/283/328 117285 118 29% 9% 70 -0.3 202/263/295 93360 74 42% 7% 53 -1.5 182/256/29211030712241%8%47-1.0
Ronnie Mitchell
2015 · A
24 42→43 46→45 40 42 214/270/340 126285 156 30% 7% 68 -0.5 222/275/347 125297 125 28% 7% 71 -0.3 222/275/34912729411327%7%69-0.3
Oliver Dunn
2021 · A
23 43→47 40→50 43→55 42 205/270/295 90310 79 34% 8% 56 -1.3 204/289/347 143327 1414 38% 10% 79 +0.3 203/294/358156311161637%11%80+0.2
Bobby Melley
2017 · A
23 48 41→45 43→30 45 232/293/332 100293 83 23% 6% 76 +0.0 221/284/309 88295 74 26% 7% 66 -0.6 207/276/273662738026%8%53-0.5
Austin Gallagher
2012 · A
23 48→50 44→45 39→30 48 237/298/354 117293 122 23% 8% 83 +0.6 233/301/368 135299 144 25% 9% 89 +0.9 226/298/37615028816226%9%85+0.5
Jose Medina
2018 · A
23 40 43→45 40→45 37 196/252/305 109292 114 35% 6% 51 -1.7 214/264/318 104289 105 28% 6% 59 -1.1 216/263/3171012689222%6%54-0.7
Will Frizzell
2022 · A
23 45 41→45 49→30 40 219/271/320 101300 86 29% 6% 63 -0.9 225/298/361 136338 153 35% 8% 85 +0.7 198/285/32512731114238%9%69-0.2
Saxon Butler
2013 · A
23 44 43→45 49→30 39 216/269/327 111290 116 29% 5% 64 -0.8 222/284/338 116298 105 27% 6% 73 -0.1 219/286/3371182919126%7%71-0.1
Mike Costanzo
2007 · A
23 46→48 44→50 44→40 45 221/299/343 123316 114 32% 9% 82 +0.5 221/284/358 137321 153 34% 8% 79 +0.3 214/275/34913531015134%7%71-0.2
Jeremy Vasquez
2019 · A
23 44→47 44→45 44→30 47 218/283/335 117282 112 26% 8% 72 -0.2 211/280/310 99280 83 26% 8% 64 -0.8 208/275/298902697124%8%57-0.9