Carter Johnson

2B Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 21 L/R 6'2" / 180 lbs A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AMIA	465	.177/.277/.261	3	11	17	—	.138/.216/.202
2026	20	A+MIA	214	.237/.308/.392	6	8	58	—	.202/.262/.328
2026	20	AMIA	282	.243/.360/.426	8	6	65	—	.186/.277/.320
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIA	606	.168/.241/.265	9	10	43	-0.9
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIA	184	.170/.244/.272	3	3	52	-0.6
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBMIA	281	.176/.251/.287	5	5	58	-0.7

Next 3 projected WAR -2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Whiff%56

Speed55

ISO51

K%49

Z-Con%43

wRC+34

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsRudy van Heydoorn (age 21) · Rubel Cespedes (age 21) · Victor Duarte (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .239 / .262

PA320

HR5

SB5

K%33

BB%7

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	113	25	3	1	1	7	40	1	2	1	221	273	292	565	71	333	33	6	258	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	406	72	17	4	3	47	134	9	11	3	177	277	261	538	84	254	29	10	252	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	214	194	46	10	1	6	16	52	4	8	4	237	308	392	700	155	294	24	7	314	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	282	235	57	15	2	8	39	79	4	6	2	243	360	426	785	183	322	28	14	348	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	37	32	3	0	0	1	5	8	0	0	0	94	216	188	404	94	87	22	14	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	115	19	2	1	1	5	53	1	2	1	165	207	226	433	61	301	44	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	420	58	13	4	2	33	179	9	11	3	138	216	202	419	64	228	38	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Beloit Sky Carp	—	214	198	40	8	1	5	12	66	4	8	4	202	262	328	590	126	274	31	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	282	247	46	11	2	6	27	107	4	6	2	186	277	320	597	134	280	38	10	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	115	19	2	1	1	5	53	1	2	1	165	207	226	433	61	295	44	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	113	25	3	1	1	7	40	1	2	1	221	273	292	565	71	333	33	6	258	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	420	58	13	4	2	33	179	9	11	3	138	216	202	419	64	231	38	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	406	72	17	4	3	47	134	9	11	3	177	277	261	538	84	254	29	10	252	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	533	479	93	21	3	12	42	187	8	14	6	194	270	326	596	132	285	35	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	533	461	106	25	3	15	60	139	8	14	6	230	329	395	724	165	293	26	11	324	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	114	19	2	1	1	5	53	1	2	1	167	207	228	435	61	301	44	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	420	58	13	4	2	33	179	9	11	3	138	216	202	419	64	228	38	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	533	478	93	21	3	12	42	187	8	14	6	195	270	326	597	132	277	35	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	121	114	19	2	1	1	5	53	1	2	1	167	207	228	435	61	301	44	4	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	465	420	58	13	4	2	33	179	9	11	3	138	216	202	419	64	228	38	7	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	533	478	93	21	3	12	42	187	8	14	6	195	270	326	597	132	277	35	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	606	548	92	20	3	9	45	198	8	10	3	168	241	265	506	97	241	33	7	232	43	-41	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	536	483	85	18	3	10	41	170	7	9	3	176	250	286	536	110	244	32	8	245	52	-31	+1	+0	+2	+12	-1.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	579	521	95	20	3	12	45	178	8	10	3	182	257	301	558	118	248	31	8	253	58	-29	+1	+0	+2	+13	-1.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	615	554	102	21	3	13	48	185	8	11	4	187	263	311	574	124	251	30	8	260	62	-28	+1	+0	+2	+13	-1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	627	564	107	22	3	14	50	186	8	11	4	191	266	318	585	127	253	30	8	264	65	-26	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	634	570	111	23	3	15	51	186	8	11	4	193	269	322	592	129	255	29	8	267	67	-25	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	634	570	108	22	3	14	51	187	8	10	4	192	268	320	588	127	255	29	8	266	66	-25	+0	+0	+2	+14	-0.9
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	184	166	28	6	1	3	14	58	2	3	1	170	244	272	517	103	236	32	8	237	52	-11	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	281	253	44	9	1	5	22	87	4	5	2	176	251	287	538	111	239	31	8	246	58	-14	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	324	291	53	10	2	7	26	98	4	6	2	181	257	297	553	116	242	30	8	252	62	-15	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.6
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	343	309	57	11	2	7	27	102	4	6	2	184	260	303	564	119	244	30	8	256	65	-14	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	353	317	60	12	2	8	28	103	5	6	2	187	263	307	570	121	246	29	8	259	67	-14	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	349	314	59	11	2	8	28	103	4	6	2	186	262	305	567	119	246	30	8	258	66	-14	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1834	1650	301	59	10	38	145	551	23	32	11	182	258	299	557	117	246	30	8	253	56	-81	+2	+0	+7	+40	-3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	107	21	4	13	51	195	8	11	4	183	258	299	557	116	247	30	8	253	56	-29	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	5064	4565	828	173	28	98	390	1616	69	94	34	181	256	296	552	115	254	32	8	250	56	-186	+4	+0	+14	+85	-8.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	107	22	4	13	50	207	9	12	4	183	257	300	558	118	255	32	8	250	56	-31	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.2	2,154	45	37	186	258	306	+21	+12	-1.7	-0.8
/162	664	14	11	+6.4	+3.7	-0.5	pk7: 0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Johnson (OGILVIE)	21	20	25	45	40	167/239/262	96	241	5	5	33%	7%	43	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	32→42	39→45	49→40	36	166/219/248	82	252	6	6	36%	6%	31	-3.7	210/258/309	99	293	9	4	30%	6%	59	-1.6	215/263/317	102	288	10	3	28%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2017 · A	20	32	38→30	49→50	42	160/225/238	78	222	6	8	30%	7%	32	-3.7	193/249/266	73	256	4	9	25%	6%	46	-2.6	188/241/245	57	243	2	11	22%	5%	35	-1.5
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→40	44→55	40	185/250/278	93	262	9	9	32%	6%	50	-2.3	205/259/296	91	278	6	11	27%	6%	57	-1.8	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Aaron Bracho 2022 · A	21	34→40	43→45	43→40	41	173/243/277	104	270	11	5	38%	8%	48	-2.5	187/254/305	118	266	13	4	33%	7%	58	-1.7	198/262/325	128	249	16	4	27%	7%	64	-0.7
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	41→39	35→30	44→50	49	190/271/250	60	279	2	9	30%	10%	52	-2.2	227/310/295	68	314	2	16	25%	10%	76	-0.4	246/336/306	60	332	1	21	23%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	185/236/280	95	238	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	206/275/317	111	300	10	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	193/270/308	115	299	12	4	36%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	33	39→45	48→45	35	170/215/251	81	265	7	7	38%	5%	30	-3.8	202/249/292	90	329	5	5	38%	6%	52	-2.2	202/246/298	97	321	5	3	37%	5%	48	-0.8
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	38	38→40	47→50	40	185/239/260	76	260	6	5	30%	6%	41	-3.0	185/243/256	71	278	3	6	32%	6%	42	-2.9	144/211/202	57	222	0	6	32%	6%	17	-1.5
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	46	190/261/259	69	270	4	9	29%	8%	50	-2.3	191/256/256	65	306	3	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	156/231/187	31	268	0	14	38%	8%	19	-1.5
✕Steven Lerud 2006 · A	21	35→42	43→45	47→40	37	180/236/294	114	257	10	5	34%	5%	49	-2.4	190/253/299	109	292	10	4	37%	6%	56	-1.9	199/289/281	82	285	7	2	29%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	39	39→40	45→50	40	192/245/278	86	270	7	8	31%	6%	47	-2.5	194/249/286	92	266	7	11	28%	7%	51	-2.3	165/232/259	94	229	8	19	30%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Randy Florentino 2022 · A	22	34	40→45	43→45	40	170/238/253	83	272	8	6	38%	8%	40	-3.1	191/245/278	87	263	9	6	29%	6%	48	-2.5	183/231/259	76	238	8	4	26%	5%	37	-1.0
✕Yeicok Calderon 2012 · A	20	38	42→40	49→45	42	190/255/295	105	271	9	7	32%	7%	55	-1.9	188/238/305	117	303	12	5	40%	6%	51	-2.2	179/226/296	117	283	14	3	41%	6%	43	-0.9

Carter Johnson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps