Chase Harlan

3B Ontario Tower Buzzers

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 205 lbs A HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

APROSPECTFG #598MiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP49ETA2028FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ALAA	123	.240/.358/.356	3	2	60	—	.193/.285/.266
2025	19	ROKLAD	177	.288/.362/.500	6	1	55	—	.196/.247/.331
2026	20	A+LAD	130	.239/.333/.389	4	1	69	—	.207/.287/.319
2026	20	ALAD	266	.329/.439/.571	10	0	131	—	.281/.371/.472
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBLAD	506	.231/.308/.380	14	7	94	0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	22	MLBLAD	195	.233/.311/.397	6	3	101	0.4
2029PROJ61% MLB	23	MLBLAD	298	.238/.316/.411	11	5	106	0.9

Next 3 projected WAR 2.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$5M2034Arb-2$8M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%76

Whiff%68

ISO50

K%50

wOBA38

wRC+38

Career WAR1 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 31, comp-based) · star 16% · didn't stick 51%

CompsHeriberto Hernández (age 21) · Agustín Ramírez (age 22) · Andy Pages (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .306 / .376

PA320

HR9

SB5

K%23

BB%9

ISO149

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$51M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER58

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED46

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$8M	+$5M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+1.3	$6M	+$2M
2035	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$5M	+$0.5M
Totals		$25M		$44M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	123	104	25	3	0	3	18	32	1	2	1	240	358	356	713	115	319	26	15	330	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	177	156	45	13	1	6	18	35	0	1	1	288	362	500	862	212	331	20	10	373	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Great Lakes Loons	—	130	113	27	5	0	4	13	31	3	1	0	239	333	389	723	150	291	24	10	325	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	266	219	72	17	3	10	38	51	6	0	0	329	439	571	1.010	242	388	19	14	438	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	49	39	12	2	0	3	7	16	2	1	1	308	438	590	1.027	282	429	33	14	439	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	123	109	21	2	0	2	13	44	1	2	1	193	285	266	551	73	304	36	11	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	177	163	32	8	1	4	11	51	0	1	1	196	247	331	578	135	245	29	6	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	130	116	24	4	0	3	10	39	3	1	0	207	287	319	606	112	275	30	8	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Ontario Tower Buzzers	—	266	231	65	14	3	8	27	69	6	0	0	281	371	472	843	190	358	26	10	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	271	53	10	1	6	25	95	1	3	2	196	266	306	572	111	272	32	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	300	260	70	16	1	9	36	67	1	3	2	269	360	442	803	173	326	22	12	355	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	445	389	101	21	3	13	41	122	11	2	1	260	347	429	776	170	341	27	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	445	371	111	24	3	17	58	98	11	2	1	299	408	518	926	218	362	22	13	405	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	271	53	10	1	6	25	95	1	3	2	196	266	306	572	111	269	32	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	445	390	101	21	3	13	41	122	11	2	1	259	347	428	775	169	331	27	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	300	271	53	10	1	6	25	95	1	3	2	196	266	306	572	111	269	32	8	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	445	390	101	21	3	13	41	122	11	2	1	259	347	428	775	169	331	27	9	332	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	506	451	103	20	2	14	43	118	7	7	2	231	308	380	688	149	279	23	8	308	94	-3	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAD	43%	452	404	95	18	2	14	39	104	6	7	2	237	314	400	714	163	281	23	9	318	101	+1	+1	-3	+2	+10	1.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	LAD	61%	490	437	105	20	2	17	43	111	7	8	2	241	318	414	732	173	282	23	9	325	106	+3	+1	-2	+2	+11	1.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	LAD	66%	529	470	116	22	3	19	47	119	7	9	2	244	321	422	744	179	284	22	9	329	109	+6	+1	-1	+2	+11	1.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAD	69%	563	501	123	23	3	21	50	126	7	9	2	245	323	427	750	182	284	22	9	332	111	+7	+1	-1	+2	+12	2.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	LAD	70%	573	510	126	23	3	22	51	128	7	9	2	246	323	429	752	183	285	22	9	332	111	+8	+1	-1	+2	+12	2.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	LAD	69%	575	512	125	23	3	21	51	130	7	9	2	244	322	426	748	182	284	23	9	331	110	+7	+1	-1	+2	+12	2.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	LAD	68%	571	508	124	23	3	21	51	130	7	8	2	242	320	421	741	179	283	23	9	328	108	+6	+1	-1	+2	+12	2.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	LAD	67%	562	500	119	22	2	20	50	130	7	7	2	240	317	414	731	175	281	23	9	324	106	+4	+1	-2	+2	+12	1.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	LAD	66%	552	492	117	22	2	19	48	129	7	6	3	236	313	406	719	169	279	23	9	319	102	+1	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	LAD	65%	538	480	112	21	2	18	47	128	6	4	4	232	308	396	703	164	275	24	9	313	98	-1	-1	-3	+2	+12	0.8
2038	32	MLB MLE	LAD	65%	520	465	106	19	2	17	44	126	6	3	12	226	301	382	683	156	271	24	8	305	93	-5	-4	-4	+2	+11	0.0
2039	33	MLB MLE	LAD	65%	490	441	96	17	1	15	41	122	5	3	46	219	293	366	659	147	266	25	8	295	86	-8	-18	-5	+2	+11	-1.9
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAD	43%	195	173	40	7	1	6	17	45	3	3	1	233	311	397	708	164	274	23	9	315	101	+0	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	LAD	61%	298	266	63	11	1	11	26	67	4	5	1	238	316	411	727	173	276	22	9	322	106	+2	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.9
2030	24	MLB CTX	LAD	66%	350	311	74	13	1	13	31	79	5	6	1	241	318	420	738	179	278	23	9	327	109	+4	+1	-1	+1	+8	1.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAD	69%	387	345	84	15	2	15	34	87	5	6	2	242	320	425	745	183	278	22	9	330	111	+5	+0	-0	+1	+8	1.5
2032	26	MLB CTX	LAD	70%	400	357	87	15	2	16	35	90	5	6	2	243	320	427	747	184	278	22	9	330	111	+5	+0	-1	+1	+9	1.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	LAD	69%	396	353	85	15	2	15	35	89	5	6	2	241	319	424	743	183	278	22	9	329	110	+5	+0	-1	+1	+9	1.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	LAD	68%	391	348	83	15	1	15	35	89	5	5	2	239	317	419	736	180	277	23	9	326	108	+4	+0	-1	+1	+8	1.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	LAD	67%	375	334	79	14	1	14	33	86	5	5	2	237	314	412	727	176	275	23	9	322	106	+2	+0	-1	+1	+8	1.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	LAD	66%	363	324	75	13	1	13	32	85	4	4	2	234	310	404	715	171	273	23	9	317	102	+1	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.8
2037	31	MLB CTX	LAD	65%	350	313	72	13	1	12	30	83	4	3	2	229	305	394	699	165	270	24	9	311	98	-1	-0	-2	+1	+8	0.6
2038	32	MLB CTX	LAD	65%	337	301	68	12	1	11	29	82	4	2	7	224	299	380	679	157	265	24	9	303	93	-3	-2	-3	+1	+7	0.0
2039	33	MLB CTX	LAD	65%	316	284	61	10	1	10	26	78	3	2	30	217	291	364	655	148	260	25	8	294	86	-5	-12	-3	+1	+7	-1.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4158	3709	871	153	15	151	363	960	52	53	54	235	312	406	718	171	275	23	9	320	102	+19	-11	-17	+15	+90	9.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	136	24	2	24	57	150	8	8	8	234	312	407	719	172	274	23	9	320	102	+3	-2	-3	+2	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	7480	6666	1585	297	34	252	655	1775	95	92	85	238	315	406	721	168	285	24	9	319	102	+26	-15	-29	+24	+146	15.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	138	26	3	22	57	154	8	8	7	238	315	408	723	169	285	24	9	319	102	+3	-1	-3	+2	+14	1.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#2Red Kress'27-'46 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,664 PA	8.5	5,664	89	47	256*	317*	419*	+23	-13	16.3	16.5
/162	664	10	6	+2.7	-1.6	1.9	pk7: 17
#3Jeimer Candelariolast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,576 PA	5.4	3,576	110	19	237	316	412	+8	-5	12.7	13.0
/162	664	20	4	+1.6	-0.9	2.4	pk7: 13
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.7	4,479	155	58	239	312	410	+16	-12	14.5	12.9
/162	664	23	9	+2.4	-1.8	2.1	pk7: 11
#4Daryl Spencer'52-'63 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,206 PA	6.3	4,206	105	13	236*	321*	384*	+30	-4	11.2	11.7
/162	664	17	2	+4.8	-0.6	1.8	pk7: 12
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Charlie Neal'56-'63 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	87	48	251*	324*	402*	+18	-12	8.0	8.4
/162	664	15	8	+3.2	-2.1	1.4	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chase Harlan (OGILVIE)	21	24→38	40→58	44→46	42	229/306/376	148	279	9	5	23%	9%	94	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Heriberto Hernández 2021 · A	21	45→48	49→60	46→50	47	220/300/377	156	305	15	6	31%	9%	92	+0.7	206/285/353	147	323	17	6	38%	9%	81	-0.1	222/305/421	199	281	26	11	30%	10%	104	+1.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	43→53	46→60	46→50	46	215/300/346	131	277	14	9	26%	8%	85	+0.2	217/306/408	191	287	24	6	32%	9%	102	+1.5	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
●Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	44→48	48→55	46→45	43	226/277/363	137	270	17	7	24%	6%	80	-0.2	240/312/419	179	282	24	6	24%	8%	106	+1.8	242/317/431	188	286	27	4	25%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	43	46→50	48→40	47	217/290/349	133	270	14	4	25%	8%	82	-0.0	222/315/352	130	303	13	6	29%	9%	92	+0.7	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	44→51	46→60	49→50	53	217/301/350	133	262	13	15	22%	10%	86	+0.3	235/307/404	169	301	19	11	27%	8%	101	+1.4	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	43→45	48→55	44→40	40	219/279/357	139	300	16	5	32%	6%	79	-0.2	222/269/363	141	295	16	3	30%	5%	76	-0.4	216/302/377	161	281	21	0	29%	10%	94	+0.4
●Gary Sánchez 2014 · AA	21	45→53	48→65	47→45	41	228/279/370	142	291	16	6	28%	6%	82	+0.0	248/299/402	154	302	19	6	24%	6%	97	+1.1	245/318/474	229	271	32	4	23%	8%	121	+2.3
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A	21	44→54	48→50	47→40	44	225/277/373	147	267	16	3	22%	6%	82	-0.0	217/263/349	132	268	14	2	24%	5%	71	-0.8	257/325/415	158	308	17	0	21%	8%	106	+1.5
✕Kevin Cornelius 2016 · A	23	44	48→65	49→40	46	225/291/366	141	295	16	6	29%	8%	85	+0.2	218/276/375	157	324	19	3	36%	7%	82	-0.0	201/257/372	171	295	21	0	38%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Bryan Ramos 2023 · AA	21	42	50	46→50	43	220/278/368	148	268	19	5	26%	6%	82	-0.0	212/275/345	133	268	16	8	27%	7%	76	-0.4	196/266/318	122	249	15	10	27%	7%	63	-1.0
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	45→55	52→55	45→50	49	228/310/392	164	299	20	5	30%	10%	99	+1.3	209/309/374	165	282	20	9	31%	12%	95	+1.0	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Renato Núñez 2015 · A	21	42→52	51→60	47→30	37	220/264/374	155	282	20	3	30%	4%	78	-0.3	216/261/384	168	263	23	3	27%	5%	79	-0.2	246/311/421	175	298	23	1	25%	7%	106	+1.3
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	42→46	51→50	51→45	45	211/318/370	159	292	18	7	32%	9%	99	+1.2	219/326/372	153	274	16	7	25%	8%	101	+1.4	219/329/369	150	272	17	7	24%	9%	99	+0.8
●Todd Frazier 2008 · A	22	46→52	46→60	47→50	46	229/290/362	133	268	13	6	20%	6%	84	+0.2	235/289/383	148	296	15	8	25%	6%	88	+0.5	245/310/456	211	270	30	14	22%	8%	114	+2.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
●Travis d'Arnaud 2010 · A	21	44→54	45→60	45	43	219/265/344	126	254	12	6	20%	5%	71	-0.8	245/290/396	151	309	16	5	25%	5%	92	+0.7	260/318/455	195	291	26	1	20%	7%	117	+1.4
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→42	47→55	46→50	47	190/279/325	135	275	14	9	34%	10%	73	-0.6	191/275/329	138	281	14	8	34%	9%	72	-0.7	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Alexander Canario 2021 · A	21	44→36	50→60	48→50	40	224/283/379	155	309	19	8	33%	7%	86	+0.3	205/262/380	175	292	22	14	36%	7%	78	-0.3	210/280/412	202	285	27	13	35%	8%	90	+0.4
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→59	49→55	42→30	44	249/294/398	149	296	16	5	22%	6%	93	+0.8	268/308/425	157	313	19	2	20%	5%	105	+1.7	274/316/435	161	317	20	0	20%	5%	108	+1.5

Chase Harlan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps