Conrad Cason

1B FCL Red Sox

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #929MiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	ROKBOS	16	.267/.312/.733	2	0	88	—	.200/.250/.467
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBBOS	126	.239/.287/.435	5	1	99	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBBOS	43	.247/.297/.444	2	0	101	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBBOS	129	.248/.299/.445	5	1	102	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$1M2033Arb-2$2M2034Arb-3$3M

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsEric Arce (age 20) · Andy Pages (age 21) · Jhonkensy Noel (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .285 / .431

PA38

HR2

K%28

BB%6

ISO196

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	16	15	4	1	0	2	1	3	0	0	0	267	312	733	1.046	467	200	19	6	441	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	16	15	3	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	467	717	267	147	25	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	16	15	3	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	467	717	267	200	25	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	16	15	4	1	0	2	1	3	0	0	0	267	312	733	1.046	467	200	19	6	441	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	16	15	3	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	467	717	267	147	25	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	16	15	3	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	200	250	467	717	267	147	25	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	126	117	28	6	1	5	7	35	1	1	0	239	287	435	722	196	291	28	6	315	99	-0	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	124	115	28	6	1	5	7	34	1	1	0	240	291	436	727	196	292	27	6	318	101	+0	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	267	247	60	12	2	11	16	72	2	2	1	241	293	437	730	196	293	27	6	319	102	+1	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	369	340	82	17	2	15	23	98	3	3	1	242	295	437	733	195	293	27	6	321	103	+1	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	438	404	99	20	3	18	28	115	3	4	2	243	297	437	735	194	294	26	6	322	104	+2	+0	+0	-8	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	479	442	107	22	3	19	31	125	3	4	2	244	299	436	735	193	294	26	6	322	104	+2	+0	+0	-9	+10	0.4
2033	26	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	503	461	113	23	3	20	33	131	4	4	2	243	298	436	734	192	294	26	7	322	104	+2	+0	+0	-9	+11	0.4
2034	27	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	513	471	115	24	3	20	33	135	4	3	2	242	297	433	731	191	293	26	6	320	103	+2	-0	+0	-9	+11	0.4
2035	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	516	474	114	23	3	20	34	137	3	2	2	240	295	429	724	188	292	27	7	317	101	+1	-0	-1	-9	+11	0.1
2036	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	510	469	112	23	3	19	33	136	3	1	1	238	292	422	715	184	290	27	6	314	98	-1	-0	-1	-9	+11	-0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	503	463	108	22	2	19	32	136	3	0	1	235	289	415	703	180	288	27	6	309	95	-3	-0	-2	-9	+11	-0.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	490	453	104	21	2	18	31	134	3	0	1	231	284	405	688	174	285	27	6	303	91	-5	-0	-3	-9	+11	-0.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	473	439	98	20	2	16	29	132	2	0	0	225	277	392	669	167	281	28	6	295	86	-8	+0	-4	-8	+10	-1.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	43	40	10	2	0	2	3	12	0	0	0	247	297	444	741	198	303	28	7	324	101	+0	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	129	119	30	7	1	5	8	35	1	1	0	248	299	445	745	197	304	27	6	325	102	+0	+0	+0	-2	+3	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	200	184	46	10	1	8	13	53	1	2	1	249	302	446	747	197	304	26	6	327	103	+1	+0	+0	-4	+4	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	243	223	57	13	1	10	16	64	2	2	1	250	304	446	750	196	305	26	7	328	104	+1	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	268	247	61	14	1	10	17	70	2	2	1	250	305	445	750	194	305	26	6	328	104	+1	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.2
2033	26	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	283	261	65	15	1	11	18	74	2	2	1	250	305	444	749	194	305	26	6	328	104	+1	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	284	261	65	15	1	11	19	75	2	2	1	249	304	442	745	193	304	26	7	326	103	+1	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	283	261	64	14	1	11	18	75	2	1	1	247	302	437	739	190	303	27	6	324	101	+0	-0	-0	-5	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	272	250	61	14	1	10	18	73	2	0	1	245	299	431	730	186	301	27	7	320	98	-1	-0	-1	-5	+6	-0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	265	244	59	13	1	10	17	72	2	0	1	242	295	423	718	182	299	27	6	315	95	-2	-0	-1	-5	+6	-0.2
2038	31	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	255	236	56	13	1	9	16	70	1	0	0	237	290	413	703	176	296	27	6	309	91	-3	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.3
2039	32	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	245	227	53	12	1	8	15	68	1	0	0	232	283	400	684	169	291	28	6	301	86	-4	+0	-2	-4	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2770	2553	627	142	11	105	178	741	18	12	8	246	299	433	733	188	304	27	6	321	99	-3	-1	-6	-49	+60	0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	148	33	3	25	42	174	4	3	2	247	301	437	738	190	305	27	6	321	99	-1	-0	-1	-12	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5239	4829	1152	236	29	203	333	1399	34	24	15	239	292	426	718	187	292	27	6	314	99	-6	-1	-10	-93	+113	0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	143	29	4	25	41	174	4	3	2	239	291	426	717	187	293	27	6	314	99	-1	-0	-1	-12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Bris Lord'05-'13 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,073 PA	4.6	3,073	13	74	252*	306*	428*	-21	+8	6.6	6.9
/162	664	3	16	-4.5	+1.8	1.4	pk7: 7
#3Scott Hairstonlast yr '14 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA	4.0	2,624	106	36	242	297	444	-18	-16	6.0	6.6
/162	664	27	9	-4.5	-4.1	1.5	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.2	2,808	108	14	240	290	427	-17	+0	7.4	6.6
/162	664	26	3	-4.1	+0.0	1.8	pk7: 6
#4Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	3.1	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
/162	664	35	2	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#5Clyde Vollmer'42-'54 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,285 PA	3.4	2,285	69	7	242*	313*	428*	-14	-2	4.3	5.3
/162	664	20	2	-3.9	-0.7	1.2	pk7: 6
#6Lou Clinton'60-'67 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,379 PA	3.6	2,379	65	12	249*	309*	442*	-25	+1	4.7	5.0
/162	664	18	3	-7.1	+0.2	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Conrad Cason (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	237/285/431	194	291	2	0	28%	6%	99	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Arce 2012 · A	20	41	55→60	47→30	47	214/312/402	188	287	23	4	32%	10%	103	+1.5	198/287/352	154	334	18	4	42%	10%	82	-0.0	140/248/285	145	254	20	0	49%	11%	51	-0.6
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	42→52	59→60	45→50	47	225/317/433	209	295	27	6	32%	10%	112	+2.2	225/305/404	179	293	21	7	29%	8%	100	+1.3	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2022 · A	21	48→42	54→55	46→45	36	249/288/425	176	313	24	7	28%	4%	99	+1.2	210/269/388	178	271	23	3	31%	6%	83	+0.1	200/264/382	182	250	25	1	31%	6%	78	-0.3
✕Eric Campbell 2006 · A	20	43→48	55	50	39	227/277/418	191	292	23	12	31%	6%	93	+0.8	227/274/398	171	258	22	9	22%	5%	87	+0.4	226/287/373	148	253	18	3	18%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Renato Núñez 2015 · A	21	42→52	51→60	47→30	37	220/264/374	155	282	20	3	30%	4%	78	-0.3	216/261/384	168	263	23	3	27%	5%	79	-0.2	246/311/421	175	298	23	1	25%	7%	106	+1.3
✕Orelvis Martinez 2022 · A	20	40→36	58→60	47→40	42	217/283/421	203	278	26	5	32%	7%	96	+1.0	203/271/392	189	257	26	4	32%	7%	85	+0.2	194/265/382	188	239	26	3	31%	7%	79	-0.2
●Kyle Blanks 2008 · A	21	47→57	52→55	50→45	42	241/307/408	166	305	20	7	27%	6%	101	+1.4	255/330/422	167	322	20	5	26%	8%	113	+2.3	255/338/422	168	325	20	3	26%	9%	114	+1.5
●Miguel Sanó 2013 · A	20	40→50	54→70	46→45	43	211/285/395	184	296	22	5	35%	9%	91	+0.6	230/313/454	224	319	28	7	35%	10%	114	+2.4	244/332/473	229	340	30	2	35%	11%	126	+2.9
●Jonathon Long 2024 · A	22	44→54	54→45	49→40	44	232/304/405	174	289	22	7	28%	7%	100	+1.3	253/330/394	141	325	16	3	25%	9%	106	+1.8	257/335/390	133	331	14	2	25%	9%	104	+1.5
●Jerry Sands 2010 · A	22	41→46	55→60	50→45	45	219/286/401	182	274	23	4	29%	8%	92	+0.7	233/298/422	189	288	24	7	27%	8%	101	+1.4	229/296/414	185	280	24	6	27%	8%	99	+1.3
●Jo Adell 2019 · AA	20	47	52→65	54→50	37	238/286/414	176	325	19	12	32%	5%	95	+0.9	228/279/388	160	328	18	10	34%	6%	86	+0.3	228/290/425	197	264	28	9	26%	6%	101	+1.3
✕Tyler Locklear 2023 · A	22	45→53	52→50	48→50	37	232/290/395	163	305	21	6	31%	5%	93	+0.8	239/320/396	157	316	17	12	28%	8%	104	+1.6	240/325/394	154	321	17	14	28%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Brandon Laird 2009 · A	21	44→50	52→55	48→30	42	231/274/398	167	268	20	2	23%	5%	86	+0.3	239/280/387	148	284	18	2	22%	5%	86	+0.3	241/280/385	144	283	18	1	22%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Matt Dominguez 2009 · A	19	47→48	51→50	43→30	42	242/288/394	153	287	20	3	24%	5%	91	+0.7	228/284/366	138	274	14	2	22%	6%	83	+0.1	223/282/358	135	264	13	0	20%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Kala Ka'aihue 2007 · A	22	44→49	56→55	47→30	46	230/308/425	194	306	25	3	32%	9%	105	+1.7	212/298/373	161	305	19	3	34%	10%	91	+0.6	191/286/338	147	278	17	1	35%	10%	77	-0.3
●Miles Head 2012 · A	21	47→57	51→55	42→40	41	237/289/397	160	306	19	4	29%	6%	92	+0.7	239/288/393	154	326	18	4	31%	5%	91	+0.6	234/281/386	151	321	18	2	32%	5%	83	+0.0
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	45→55	52→55	45→50	49	228/310/392	164	299	20	5	30%	10%	99	+1.3	209/309/374	165	282	20	9	31%	12%	95	+1.0	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Michael Choice 2012 · A	22	45→55	53→50	44→40	42	230/296/404	174	311	22	7	32%	7%	97	+1.1	237/303/367	130	314	15	5	28%	7%	91	+0.6	233/304/351	118	304	14	3	26%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Marco Luciano 2022 · A	20	42→51	50	45	40	213/276/367	154	305	19	7	35%	7%	80	-0.1	218/289/359	141	315	17	6	34%	9%	84	+0.1	219/303/364	145	307	18	7	32%	10%	87	+0.3
●Maikel Franco 2014 · AA	21	53→58	51→55	43→40	42	269/301/433	164	303	18	3	19%	4%	105	+1.7	258/296/421	163	288	18	3	17%	5%	100	+1.3	250/298/422	172	268	22	1	16%	6%	102	+1.4

Conrad Cason

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps