Caleb Bonemer

3B Birmingham Barons

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #98MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP54ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%6%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	A+CWS	44	.278/.409/.611	2	2	120	—	.237/.341/.526
2025	19	ACWS	432	.281/.408/.458	10	27	96	—	.230/.328/.378
2026	20	AACWS	317	.261/.381/.545	19	7	108	—	.222/.311/.455
2026	20	A+CWS	278	.238/.384/.556	18	10	94	—	.185/.297/.441
2027PROJ6% MLB	21	MLBCWS	19	.228/.320/.456	1	0	115	0.1
2028PROJ54% MLB	22	MLBCWS	313	.233/.325/.466	15	7	119	1.6
2029PROJ74% MLB	23	MLBCWS	448	.237/.328/.472	22	9	122	2.4

Next 3 projected WAR 4.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$8M2032Arb-2$13M2033Arb-3$19M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO94

wRC+90

wOBA88

BB%85

Z-Con%82

Chase%75

Career WAR4 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 41, comp-based) · star 11% · didn't stick 46%

CompsAndy Pages (age 21) · Francisco Alvarez (age 21) · Javier Báez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†115

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .320 / .456

PA19

HR1

K%32

BB%11

BABIP282

ISO235

MLB%6%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$82M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 56

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER56

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$12M	+$11M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.4	$16M	+$16M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.8	$19M	+$19M
2031	Arb-1	$8M	+2.9	$19M	+$14M
2032	Arb-2	$13M	+2.9	$17M	+$10M
2033	Arb-3	$19M	+2.8	$15M	+$5M
Totals		$42M		$99M	+$74M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	19	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	44	36	10	4	1	2	7	10	1	2	0	278	409	611	1.020	333	333	23	16	437	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	432	349	98	26	3	10	68	91	7	27	8	281	408	458	866	178	344	21	16	382	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	317	264	69	14	2	19	46	80	5	7	2	261	381	545	926	284	299	25	15	402	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	278	223	53	15	1	18	38	81	15	10	3	238	384	556	940	318	278	29	14	407	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	51	47	14	4	2	3	4	11	0	0	0	298	353	660	1.013	362	333	22	8	430	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	19	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	44	38	9	3	1	2	5	14	1	2	0	237	341	526	867	289	293	32	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	432	370	85	21	2	10	47	123	7	27	8	230	328	378	706	149	296	28	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	317	279	62	13	2	16	31	98	5	7	2	222	311	455	766	233	269	31	10	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	278	238	44	11	1	16	23	106	15	10	3	185	297	441	738	256	222	38	8	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	476	408	94	24	3	12	52	136	8	29	8	230	329	392	721	162	306	29	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	476	385	108	30	4	12	75	101	8	29	8	281	408	473	881	192	343	21	16	387	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	646	563	114	26	3	34	59	221	20	17	5	202	301	440	741	238	256	34	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA RAW	3 teams	—	646	534	136	33	5	40	88	172	20	17	5	255	380	560	940	305	294	27	14	406	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	476	413	94	24	3	12	52	136	8	29	8	228	329	387	716	160	296	29	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	646	562	114	26	3	34	59	221	20	17	5	203	301	441	742	238	247	34	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	476	413	94	24	3	12	52	136	8	29	8	228	329	387	716	160	296	29	11	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	646	562	114	26	3	34	59	221	20	17	5	203	301	441	742	238	247	34	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CWS	6%	648	567	128	29	3	30	61	191	15	14	4	227	319	451	770	224	280	29	9	338	115	+12	+1	-1	+2	+14	1.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	CWS	6%	19	17	4	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	228	320	456	776	227	282	32	11	341	115	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	581	507	117	26	3	28	56	166	13	13	3	232	324	461	785	229	281	29	10	344	119	+13	+1	-1	+2	+13	2.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	CWS	74%	609	531	125	27	3	30	59	169	14	13	3	235	327	467	794	231	283	28	10	348	122	+16	+1	-0	+2	+13	3.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	CWS	79%	627	547	130	28	3	31	61	171	14	13	3	238	329	469	798	232	284	27	10	350	123	+17	+1	+0	+2	+14	3.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	631	552	132	28	3	31	61	170	13	12	3	239	330	469	798	230	284	27	10	350	123	+17	+1	+0	+2	+14	3.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	CWS	83%	634	555	132	28	3	30	61	170	13	12	3	239	329	465	795	226	285	27	10	349	122	+17	+1	+0	+2	+14	3.5
2033	27	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	634	554	132	28	3	30	62	170	13	11	3	238	328	463	791	225	284	27	10	347	121	+16	+1	+0	+2	+14	3.4
2034	28	MLB MLE	CWS	82%	629	550	130	28	3	29	61	170	13	10	3	236	326	458	785	222	283	27	10	345	119	+15	+1	-0	+2	+14	3.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	CWS	79%	619	542	126	27	3	28	60	169	12	8	3	234	324	452	776	218	282	27	10	341	117	+13	+0	-1	+2	+13	2.8
2036	30	MLB MLE	CWS	78%	609	534	124	27	3	27	58	169	12	7	3	231	320	445	765	214	280	28	10	337	114	+10	+0	-2	+2	+13	2.5
2037	31	MLB MLE	CWS	77%	595	523	120	26	3	26	56	167	11	5	4	227	316	435	751	208	277	28	9	331	110	+7	-1	-2	+2	+13	2.0
2038	32	MLB MLE	CWS	77%	576	506	112	24	2	24	54	164	11	3	13	222	310	422	732	200	273	28	9	324	105	+4	-5	-3	+2	+12	1.1
2039	33	MLB MLE	CWS	77%	546	481	104	22	2	22	50	159	10	4	18	215	302	406	708	191	268	29	9	314	99	-1	-6	-4	+2	+12	0.3
2040	34	MLB MLE	CWS	72%	499	442	91	18	2	19	45	149	9	2	54	207	292	386	678	179	260	30	9	302	91	-5	-21	-5	+2	+11	-1.9
2028	22	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	313	273	64	14	2	15	30	89	7	7	2	233	325	466	791	233	283	28	10	347	119	+7	+1	-0	+1	+7	1.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	CWS	74%	448	392	92	20	2	22	43	125	10	9	2	237	328	472	800	235	284	28	10	350	122	+12	+1	-0	+2	+10	2.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	CWS	79%	497	435	105	23	3	25	48	136	11	10	3	239	330	474	805	235	285	27	10	352	123	+14	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	517	451	108	23	3	25	50	139	11	10	3	240	331	474	805	233	286	27	10	352	123	+14	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	CWS	83%	528	461	112	24	3	26	51	141	11	10	3	241	331	470	801	230	286	27	10	351	122	+14	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	521	454	109	23	3	25	51	140	11	9	3	240	330	468	797	228	285	27	10	350	121	+13	+1	+0	+2	+11	2.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	CWS	82%	513	448	107	23	3	24	50	139	10	8	2	238	328	463	791	225	285	27	10	347	119	+12	+1	-0	+2	+11	2.6
2035	29	MLB CTX	CWS	79%	491	431	101	22	2	23	47	134	10	7	2	235	325	457	782	221	283	27	10	344	117	+10	+1	-1	+2	+11	2.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	CWS	78%	476	418	97	21	2	22	46	132	9	5	2	232	322	449	771	217	281	28	10	339	114	+8	+0	-1	+2	+10	1.9
2037	31	MLB CTX	CWS	77%	460	404	92	20	2	20	44	129	9	4	3	228	317	440	756	211	279	28	10	333	110	+6	-0	-2	+2	+10	1.5
2038	32	MLB CTX	CWS	77%	443	391	88	19	2	19	41	126	8	2	10	223	311	426	737	203	274	28	9	326	105	+3	-4	-2	+2	+10	0.8
2039	33	MLB CTX	CWS	77%	419	370	80	17	2	17	39	122	7	3	14	216	303	410	713	194	269	29	9	316	99	-1	-5	-3	+1	+9	0.2
2040	34	MLB CTX	CWS	72%	360	319	65	13	1	14	32	107	6	2	39	208	293	390	683	182	261	30	9	304	91	-4	-15	-3	+1	+8	-1.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5986	5247	1220	262	30	277	572	1659	120	86	88	233	322	452	774	220	282	28	10	340	113	+107	-18	-13	+21	+130	23.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	132	28	3	30	62	180	13	9	10	232	321	449	770	218	281	28	10	340	113	+12	-2	-1	+2	+14	2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	9231	8074	1846	401	44	416	885	2614	194	166	131	229	320	444	763	215	281	28	10	335	113	+144	-23	-18	+29	+176	31.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	129	28	3	29	62	184	14	12	9	227	318	439	758	213	278	28	10	335	113	+12	-2	-1	+2	+14	2.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#2Rico Petrocelli'63-'76 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,170 PA	9.3	6,170	210	10	258*	339*	470*	+43	-2	29.8	28.0
/162	664	23	1	+4.6	-0.2	3.2	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	9.0	6,006	274	87	232	318	450	+62	+2	31.9	27.7
/162	664	30	10	+6.8	+0.2	3.5	pk7: 23
#3Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	7.4	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
/162	664	26	14	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#4Freddy Parent'01-'11 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,563 PA	8.4	5,563	20	184	262*	327*	420*	+51	+27	29.0	27.5
/162	664	2	22	+6.1	+3.2	3.5	pk7: 26
#5Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#6Jimmy Williams'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,968 PA	7.5	4,968	35	107	264*	339*	467*	+18	+6	26.0	26.1
/162	664	5	14	+2.4	+0.9	3.5	pk7: 26

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caleb Bonemer (OGILVIE)	21	42→50	47→56	48	51	225/316/447	222	280	15	7	30%	9%	115	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Andy Pages 2022 · A	21	42→52	59→60	45→50	47	225/317/433	209	295	27	6	32%	10%	112	+2.2	225/305/404	179	293	21	7	29%	8%	100	+1.3	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Francisco Alvarez 2023 · AAA	21	46→47	59→60	43→40	48	242/325/451	209	307	28	4	30%	9%	118	+2.7	235/309/436	201	288	27	4	28%	9%	109	+2.0	231/307/434	204	276	28	2	27%	9%	108	+1.3
●Javier Báez 2014 · AA	21	45→55	59→65	54→55	36	240/287/452	212	309	27	16	32%	4%	105	+1.7	235/281/410	175	321	23	17	33%	5%	93	+0.8	274/302/512	239	331	31	15	27%	4%	126	+3.0
●Miguel Sanó 2015 · AA	22	43→52	60→70	50→45	44	227/308/451	224	312	28	8	35%	9%	112	+2.2	244/328/466	222	343	28	4	34%	11%	122	+3.0	244/332/473	229	340	30	2	35%	11%	126	+2.9
●Gleyber Torres 2020 · MLB	23	50→55	60	45→50	48	269/328/483	214	305	30	7	23%	8%	126	+3.2	258/325/424	166	303	20	10	21%	9%	112	+2.2	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
●Andy LaRoche 2006 · AA	22	49→57	57→55	47→45	45	261/311/457	196	299	26	8	23%	6%	114	+2.4	258/331/422	164	290	20	8	18%	9%	113	+2.3	250/335/398	148	275	18	7	16%	10%	108	+1.4
✕Anthony Volpe 2022 · A	21	46→50	58→55	55	51	238/335/457	218	295	24	20	27%	10%	123	+3.0	224/298/389	165	280	17	27	25%	8%	94	+0.9	222/288/370	148	277	15	29	25%	7%	85	+0.3
✕Brandon Wood 2007 · AAA	22	46→48	61→65	52→50	40	244/299/481	237	318	28	11	32%	6%	116	+2.5	228/282/418	190	295	24	9	31%	6%	95	+0.9	222/275/404	182	278	25	7	29%	6%	87	+0.3
●Junior Caminero 2024 · MLB	21	51→55	55→65	47→45	43	265/312/442	176	315	24	7	24%	6%	111	+2.1	259/309/471	212	287	30	6	22%	6%	117	+2.6	256/314/491	234	268	35	4	20%	7%	124	+3.1
●Evan Longoria 2007 · AA	21	47→57	58→65	45→50	40	254/289/451	196	285	27	8	22%	4%	105	+1.7	263/330/469	206	308	26	6	23%	8%	124	+3.1	266/348/500	234	289	28	8	19%	10%	138	+4.4
✕Everson Pereira 2022 · A	21	47→49	63→55	50	42	243/312/475	232	340	33	13	37%	8%	119	+2.7	232/291/394	162	344	18	16	36%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/385	156	342	17	17	36%	7%	86	+0.2
★Matt Kemp 2006 · A	21	48→58	58→65	53→55	37	255/294/454	199	318	26	17	29%	4%	107	+1.9	287/328/459	172	356	17	23	23%	5%	120	+2.8	284/340/496	212	336	27	28	23%	7%	135	+4.4
★Bobby Witt Jr. 2022 · AAA	22	45→55	56→65	53→60	42	237/293/429	192	293	24	21	28%	6%	101	+1.4	270/316/478	208	307	25	29	20%	6%	120	+2.8	299/348/530	231	326	26	34	17%	6%	146	+5.4
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	46→48	56→60	55	47	238/309/441	203	302	22	23	28%	9%	110	+2.1	236/301/437	201	274	23	20	23%	8%	106	+1.8	238/319/427	189	288	21	17	24%	10%	111	+2.3
●Cyle Hankerd 2007 · A	22	51→49	64→60	48→45	49	275/350/515	240	294	32	7	20%	7%	142	+4.4	233/291/344	111	274	10	3	18%	5%	80	-0.1	245/321/417	172	286	20	2	21%	6%	107	+1.1
●Carlos Correa 2017 · MLB	22	54→61	54→60	54→55	53	273/345/463	190	316	21	17	20%	10%	128	+3.3	269/344/470	201	314	25	7	22%	10%	129	+3.4	263/344/444	182	303	22	0	20%	10%	124	+3.1
●Sean Rodríguez 2007 · AA	22	47→51	52→60	48→50	46	240/313/415	174	307	20	12	28%	8%	105	+1.7	236/309/417	181	299	21	10	28%	7%	105	+1.7	244/318/452	208	301	26	12	27%	7%	113	+1.7
✕Jerry Sands 2011 · AA	23	45→46	58→60	53→45	46	240/305/446	206	289	27	9	27%	8%	109	+2.0	223/289/391	168	285	20	5	28%	8%	91	+0.6	232/297/374	143	282	16	2	23%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Jaff Decker 2011 · A	21	48→52	55	45→55	52	242/334/429	186	315	22	7	29%	11%	116	+2.5	215/301/366	151	287	17	9	29%	10%	90	+0.6	231/308/347	116	299	10	13	24%	9%	86	+0.2
●Wyatt Langford 2024 · AAA	22	53→50	56→55	53→55	55	270/355/472	202	322	22	19	23%	11%	133	+3.7	246/328/416	170	300	18	20	23%	10%	111	+2.1	240/328/410	170	291	19	21	23%	11%	109	+1.8

Caleb Bonemer

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps