Coby Morales

1B Somerset Patriots

Age 25 L/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2031MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	AANYY	96	.211/.260/.244	0	2	24	—	.196/.229/.228
2025	23	A+NYY	382	.251/.334/.385	7	15	49	—	.193/.250/.292
2026	24	AANYY	541	.282/.374/.479	21	21	99	—	.249/.317/.401
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBNYY	6	.229/.292/.356	0	0	81	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	26	MLBNYY	84	.230/.294/.362	2	2	83	-0.2
2029PROJ33% MLB	27	MLBNYY	128	.230/.295/.362	3	3	83	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wRC+83

wOBA78

ISO73

BB%72

Speed63

Chase%58

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsBrock Lundquist (age 25) · Luis Liberato (age 25) · Jose Manuel Orozco (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .292 / .356

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP316

ISO124

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED41

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	41	12	7	0	1	8	15	0	0	1	293	408	537	945	244	440	31	16	414	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	60	49	14	2	0	0	10	16	1	3	1	286	417	327	743	41	424	27	17	352	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	382	326	81	9	1	4	48	113	7	31	7	248	357	319	676	71	367	30	13	316	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	96	90	19	3	0	0	6	31	0	2	0	211	260	244	505	33	322	32	6	235	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	382	338	85	18	3	7	37	92	5	15	3	251	334	385	719	133	324	24	10	324	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	31	27	9	2	0	1	3	9	1	2	2	333	419	519	938	185	471	29	10	416	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	541	468	132	21	4	21	69	133	0	21	10	282	374	479	853	197	349	25	13	375	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	44	9	5	0	1	5	21	0	0	1	205	286	386	672	182	384	43	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	60	54	11	1	0	0	5	22	1	3	1	204	283	222	506	19	352	37	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	382	343	61	6	1	3	31	160	7	31	7	178	260	227	487	50	317	42	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	96	92	18	3	0	0	4	39	0	2	0	196	229	228	457	33	337	41	4	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	382	353	68	13	2	6	22	122	5	15	3	193	250	292	542	99	272	32	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	541	489	122	18	4	16	48	162	0	21	10	249	317	401	717	151	334	30	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	44	9	5	0	1	5	21	0	0	1	205	286	386	672	182	364	43	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	41	12	7	0	1	8	15	0	0	1	293	408	537	945	244	440	31	16	414	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	397	73	8	1	3	36	183	8	34	8	184	265	232	497	48	330	41	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	442	375	95	11	1	4	58	129	8	34	8	253	365	320	685	67	374	29	13	321	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	509	473	92	17	3	6	28	172	6	19	5	195	249	281	530	87	290	34	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	509	455	113	23	3	8	46	132	6	19	5	248	325	365	690	116	331	26	9	312	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	541	489	122	18	4	16	48	162	0	21	10	249	317	401	717	151	337	30	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	541	468	132	21	4	21	69	133	0	21	10	282	374	479	853	197	349	25	13	375	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	49	44	9	5	0	1	5	21	0	0	1	205	286	386	672	182	384	43	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	395	73	8	1	3	36	183	8	34	8	185	265	233	498	48	322	41	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	509	470	92	17	3	6	28	172	6	19	5	196	249	283	531	87	285	34	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	541	488	122	18	4	16	48	162	0	21	10	250	317	402	718	152	334	30	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	442	395	73	8	1	3	36	183	8	34	8	185	265	233	498	48	322	41	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	509	470	92	17	3	6	28	172	6	19	5	196	249	283	531	87	285	34	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	541	488	122	18	4	16	48	162	0	21	10	250	317	402	718	152	334	30	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	2%	380	346	78	13	2	8	29	118	2	10	4	228	291	350	641	123	315	31	8	287	81	-9	+0	-1	-7	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	229	292	356	648	127	316	33	0	290	81	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYY	23%	365	332	77	13	2	9	28	111	2	10	3	229	293	356	649	127	314	30	8	291	83	-7	+1	-1	-7	+8	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYY	33%	388	353	80	13	2	9	30	117	2	10	4	229	293	356	650	127	312	30	8	291	83	-8	+0	-1	-7	+8	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYY	39%	401	364	83	14	2	9	32	120	2	9	3	228	293	354	647	126	310	30	8	290	82	-8	+1	-1	-7	+9	-0.8
2031	29	MLB MLE	NYY	42%	400	364	82	14	2	9	31	120	2	7	3	226	291	350	642	124	307	30	8	288	81	-9	+0	-2	-7	+9	-1.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYY	23%	84	77	17	3	0	2	7	26	0	2	1	230	294	362	657	132	314	31	8	294	83	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYY	33%	128	116	26	4	1	3	10	39	1	3	1	230	295	362	657	132	312	30	8	294	83	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYY	39%	157	143	33	5	1	4	12	47	1	3	1	229	294	360	654	131	310	30	8	293	82	-3	+0	-0	-3	+3	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	NYY	42%	166	151	35	6	1	4	13	50	1	3	1	228	292	356	649	129	308	30	8	291	81	-4	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	535	487	111	18	3	13	42	162	3	11	4	228	293	357	651	129	311	30	8	292	73	-11	+1	-2	-10	+12	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	136	22	4	16	51	197	4	13	5	230	296	361	657	132	313	30	8	292	73	-14	+1	-2	-12	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3415	3107	685	113	18	69	263	1105	23	119	40	220	286	335	621	115	316	32	8	277	73	-40	+3	-5	-33	+41	-3.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	130	22	3	13	50	210	4	23	8	220	285	333	618	113	315	32	8	277	73	-14	+1	-2	-12	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Bert Haas'37-'51 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,674 PA	4.0	2,674	22	51	258*	313*	395*	-19	-7	3.1	3.5
/162	664	5	13	-4.6	-1.8	0.8	pk7: 4
#4Danny Moeller'07-'16 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,912 PA	4.4	2,912	15	171	242*	323*	402*	-31	-13	2.8	2.8
/162	664	3	39	-7.0	-3.0	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.8	542	13	12	229	290	355	-3	-2	0.0	0.0
/162	664	15	15	-4.1	-2.5	0.0	pk7: 0
#5Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0
#6Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Coby Morales (OGILVIE)	25	40	40→48	50→41	40	226/289/347	122	315	7	9	31%	8%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	43→44	44→50	45	42	213/275/327	114	293	11	7	30%	7%	70	-0.8	208/276/321	113	350	12	8	41%	7%	70	-0.9	153/237/242	90	288	14	0	48%	8%	38	-0.7
✕Luis Liberato 2021 · AA	25	44→50	47→50	45→50	42	222/269/351	129	282	15	8	27%	6%	73	-0.6	226/285/365	139	309	14	8	29%	8%	82	+0.0	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2016 · AAA	25	47	45	46→45	40	230/277/354	124	318	12	9	31%	6%	77	-0.3	225/275/350	125	312	13	9	31%	6%	76	-0.4	222/269/347	125	311	14	7	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Orlando Martinez 2023 · AAA	25	46→48	44→50	45→50	40	226/270/347	121	302	11	9	29%	6%	72	-0.7	226/278/339	113	283	10	8	23%	7%	74	-0.6	223/280/330	107	273	9	7	21%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Matt Lloyd 2021 · A	25	44→42	45	46→50	41	216/277/345	128	310	13	9	33%	7%	75	-0.5	213/280/359	146	311	17	7	35%	7%	80	-0.1	209/281/333	124	278	14	12	29%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Brad Nelson 2008 · AAA	25	44→50	47→50	43→50	45	223/284/357	134	285	15	10	27%	8%	81	-0.1	218/281/363	145	257	17	8	22%	8%	81	-0.1	212/279/363	151	252	19	2	24%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Carlos Guzman 2011 · AA	25	48	42→50	42→50	41	235/284/337	102	312	10	6	27%	6%	76	-0.4	229/286/313	84	301	7	6	25%	6%	71	-0.8	229/285/284	55	296	5	2	23%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Tommy Giles 2008 · AA	24	42→40	48→55	43→40	38	214/256/355	142	281	15	9	30%	5%	70	-0.9	218/275/381	163	284	20	5	29%	7%	83	+0.1	208/270/375	166	264	21	3	29%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	42	44→45	45→55	45	203/289/316	113	301	12	8	34%	9%	74	-0.6	223/300/322	99	294	9	18	26%	8%	79	-0.2	225/303/312	87	288	7	25	23%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Conner Capel 2022 · AAA	25	43→48	47→45	47→55	44	220/275/354	133	275	15	10	26%	7%	76	-0.4	225/297/351	126	282	13	19	24%	9%	84	+0.2	216/295/337	121	272	12	22	24%	9%	78	-0.2
✕John Rave 2024 · AAA	26	43→47	45→50	49→55	45	214/282/337	123	301	14	13	32%	9%	76	-0.4	221/290/365	144	288	15	19	27%	9%	84	+0.2	222/295/375	153	278	16	24	25%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Stuart Fairchild 2021 · AA	25	44→43	44→50	46→55	43	214/281/334	120	289	10	10	28%	7%	75	-0.5	226/303/379	153	299	16	13	28%	8%	93	+0.8	222/308/380	158	297	16	16	29%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Nelson Perez 2013 · AA	25	42	46→50	44→40	36	205/262/335	131	323	13	6	39%	6%	68	-1.0	231/288/382	151	308	18	6	30%	7%	88	+0.4	256/314/436	180	301	25	0	23%	7%	111	+1.2
✕Jacob Heyward 2021 · AA	25	41→40	44→45	44→50	47	199/291/316	117	303	12	11	35%	10%	75	-0.5	189/269/323	134	288	17	6	38%	8%	69	-0.9	161/244/293	131	239	18	2	39%	8%	50	-1.2
✕KD Kang 2013 · AA	25	44→51	45→50	46→45	44	212/291/342	130	317	12	6	35%	9%	80	-0.1	225/285/360	135	318	13	5	31%	7%	82	-0.0	228/285/358	130	314	12	3	30%	7%	78	-0.2
✕J.J. Matijevic 2021 · AA	25	42	50→55	48→50	37	212/264/366	154	318	17	11	38%	6%	76	-0.4	220/281/394	174	307	20	10	33%	7%	88	+0.5	216/279/393	177	291	20	10	32%	7%	84	+0.1
●Ka'ai Tom 2019 · AA	25	45→49	45→55	49→50	45	223/286/353	130	282	12	13	25%	7%	80	-0.1	228/297/389	161	298	17	8	28%	7%	93	+0.8	211/288/370	160	280	17	6	29%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Bligh Madris 2021 · AA	25	45→48	42→50	42→50	42	219/267/325	106	286	10	5	26%	6%	66	-1.1	226/287/348	122	294	11	7	25%	7%	79	-0.2	219/286/346	126	287	12	8	26%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Dillon Paulson 2022 · AA	25	47→36	44→50	44→30	45	223/290/339	117	323	11	6	33%	9%	79	-0.2	220/285/340	120	279	12	5	24%	8%	78	-0.3	211/273/307	96	276	7	0	25%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Justin Toerner 2022 · AAA	25	40	43→40	45→50	44	196/280/303	107	288	12	8	34%	9%	68	-1.0	187/282/293	106	278	11	11	34%	10%	67	-1.1	158/269/254	96	234	10	12	34%	11%	53	-1.0

Coby Morales

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps